Was BTC direction correct at resolution?
READ-ONLY · KALSHI 15-MINUTE PAPER PERFORMANCE
Market
edge.
Does the BRTI 15-minute consensus clear Kalshi’s live strike and entry cost? The Small leg reuses the frozen Binance-hourly self-tuned checkpoint as a clearly labeled cross-interval transfer experiment. This prospective paper ledger records only timely executable asks with sufficient displayed depth.
Paper-trading results are hypothetical. Historical Polymarket entries may use traded-price samples rather than archived executable asks. Past and in-sample performance does not establish a tradable edge.
Historical empirical hit rate — small, partially in-sample sample; not a calibrated probability.
PAPER PERFORMANCE
Signal economics
Did the signal overcome entry cost and fees?
LATEST MODEL STATE
Current signal status
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PERFORMANCE PATH
What the ledger shows
COMPLETE RECORD
Historical signals
| Trigger (CT) | Resolution (CT) | Venue | Base / Small | Entry | Price type | Quote offset | Settlement | Direction | Gross P&L | Fees | Net P&L | ROI | Data quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading paper ledger… | |||||||||||||
Select any row to open its complete audit trail.
DATA PROVENANCE
Provider status
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