Was BTC direction correct at resolution?
READ-ONLY · MARKET-RELATIVE PERFORMANCE
Market
edge.
Does the frozen BTC Flix bullish consensus make money at the market price available when it fires? This paper ledger separates predicting Bitcoin’s direction from overcoming entry probability and fees.
Paper-trading results are hypothetical. Historical Polymarket entries may use traded-price samples rather than archived executable asks. Past and in-sample performance does not establish a tradable edge.
Historical empirical hit rate — small, partially in-sample sample; not a calibrated probability.
PAPER PERFORMANCE
Signal economics
Did the signal overcome entry cost and fees?
LATEST MODEL STATE
Current signal status
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PERFORMANCE PATH
What the ledger shows
COMPLETE RECORD
Historical signals
| Trigger (CT) | Resolution (CT) | Venue | Base / Small | Entry | Price type | Quote offset | Settlement | Direction | Gross P&L | Fees | Net P&L | ROI | Data quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading paper ledger… | |||||||||||||
Select any row to open its complete audit trail.
DATA PROVENANCE
Provider status
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