Was BTC direction correct at resolution?
AIKA · TIMESFM 2.5 · KALSHI 15-MINUTE
Aika
market edge.
TimesFM 2.5 forecasts the next BRTI close against the live Kalshi strike.
Prospective paper results from captured Kalshi quotes, including fees.
Prospective sample; not a calibrated probability.
PAPER PERFORMANCE
Signal economics
Did the signal overcome entry cost and fees?
LATEST FORECAST
Current signal status
Checking TimesFM and the Kalshi quote…
PERFORMANCE PATH
What the ledger shows
COMPLETE RECORD
Aika signals
YES paper candidates. All model forecasts are included in the JSON export.
| Trigger (CT) | Resolution (CT) | Observed BTC | Kalshi Strike | TimesFM | YES Entry | Quote offset | Settlement | Direction | Gross P&L | Fees | Net P&L | ROI | Data quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading paper ledger… | |||||||||||||
Select any row to open its complete audit trail.
DATA PROVENANCE
Provider status
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