Was BTC direction correct at resolution?
READ-ONLY · KALSHI 15-MINUTE FINE-TUNED PAPER PERFORMANCE
Market
edge.
The same bullish consensus, now with a purpose-tuned BRTI Small model. Kronos Base is paired with Kronos Small trained on June–July 2026 CF Benchmarks BRTI 15-minute candles. Epoch 1 was selected by the lowest August validation loss. This independent prospective ledger uses the same live-strike, executable-ask, displayed-depth and fee rules as the original Kalshi lane.
Paper-trading results are hypothetical. Historical Polymarket entries may use traded-price samples rather than archived executable asks. Past and in-sample performance does not establish a tradable edge.
Historical empirical hit rate — small, partially in-sample sample; not a calibrated probability.
PAPER PERFORMANCE
Signal economics
Did the signal overcome entry cost and fees?
LATEST MODEL STATE
Current signal status
Checking the latest model pair and market quote…
PERFORMANCE PATH
What the ledger shows
COMPLETE RECORD
Historical signals
| Trigger (CT) | Resolution (CT) | Venue | Base / Small | Entry | Price type | Quote offset | Settlement | Direction | Gross P&L | Fees | Net P&L | ROI | Data quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading paper ledger… | |||||||||||||
Select any row to open its complete audit trail.
DATA PROVENANCE
Provider status
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