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      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
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      "market": {
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        "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:01.229249Z",
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        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T07:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T07:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80849.65,
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        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T07:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T07:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "286311.22",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
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        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
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        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
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        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
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        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
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        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7901.46",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
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        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,849.65"
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          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
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              "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:01.229249Z",
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              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T07:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T07:00:00Z",
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              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T07:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "287009.27",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00.669387Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "762319.90",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5954.69",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7895.76",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,849.65"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.17,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.18,
            "yes_ask_size": 5954.69,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.83,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "715": {
      "id": 715,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.332748Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150245-45",
      "strike": 80847.53,
      "predicted_close": 80859.21875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80849.65,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.332748Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 715,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80847.52716666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118368,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5593.44
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5593.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        715
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 80859.21875,
        "quantiles": [
          80870.1875,
          80538.34375,
          80665.90625,
          80743.28125,
          80794.484375,
          80859.21875,
          80917.3671875,
          80983.921875,
          81054.6328125,
          81191.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e397660657bd05bd047193110355fe6620637c4bcc3ccb154cac59b47bd34cad",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 06:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80847.52716666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:00.878585Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80847.53,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T06:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "259053.01",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00.600881Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "181569.52",
        "volume_fp": "546997.16",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4354.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4836.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,847.53"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.451116Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 5593.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.332748Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.451116Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.451116Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:00.878585Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80847.53,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T06:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "266353.56",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00.600881Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "181569.52",
              "volume_fp": "568373.54",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5593.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1478.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,847.53"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 5593.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "714": {
      "id": 714,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T06:19:11.301311Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150230-30",
      "strike": 80638.42,
      "predicted_close": 80696.875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80847.53,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:19:11.301311Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 714,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80638.42383333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113168,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 120.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 20.360000000000014,
          "roi": 0.2043356081894823,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3979.16
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.959999999999994,
          "roi": 0.2042389210019267,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3979.16
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        714
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 80696.875,
        "quantiles": [
          80710.5078125,
          80352.484375,
          80491.546875,
          80573.7734375,
          80627.265625,
          80696.875,
          80760.234375,
          80827.640625,
          80903.2109375,
          81042.6796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b67c6ced4c162bd1651ad6c0ec14e5c2125e94e4469409455d64e6bde0c8a69c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 06:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80638.42383333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:00.549978Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80638.42,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T06:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "307211.11",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00.553924Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "640991.28",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7367.92",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1421.94",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,638.42"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T06:19:11.414479Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 3979.16,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:19:11.301311Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:19:11.414479Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:19:11.414479Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.82,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:00.549978Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80638.42,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T06:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "302871.31",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00.553924Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "658189.58",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3979.16",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5729.54",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,638.42"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 3979.16,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "713": {
      "id": 713,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T06:04:12.580207Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150215-15",
      "strike": 80499.63,
      "predicted_close": 80586.46875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80638.42,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:04:12.580207Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 713,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80499.63216666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123306,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        713
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 80586.46875,
        "quantiles": [
          80590.0703125,
          80134.2890625,
          80318.90625,
          80423.640625,
          80493.9453125,
          80586.46875,
          80671.8359375,
          80764.4140625,
          80863.171875,
          81028.6796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "435905e0b2a63e0df2ede7acea7fc71adfa878363bf5e0b40cf0dd740accaa1e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 05:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80499.63216666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:00.236132Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80499.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T06:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "355986.56",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00.692671Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "264766.39",
        "volume_fp": "719490.23",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9012.40",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "526.40",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,499.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T06:04:12.703513Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 0.12,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:04:12.580207Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:04:12.703513Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:04:12.703513Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.63,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:01:00.236132Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80499.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T06:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T06:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "353027.79",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00.692671Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "264766.39",
              "volume_fp": "736936.13",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "0.12",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7816.63",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,499.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 0.12,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "706": {
      "id": 706,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T04:19:11.336936Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150030-30",
      "strike": 80831.72,
      "predicted_close": 80845.3828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81228.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:19:11.336936Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 706,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80831.72483333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12006,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.8,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 123,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 98.4,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 123.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.599999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 23.22,
          "roi": 0.232711966325917,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2378.1
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 80.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 81.12,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 20.0,
          "net_pnl": 18.879999999999995,
          "roi": 0.2327416173570019,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2378.1
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        706
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 80845.3828125,
        "quantiles": [
          80848.4765625,
          80567.625,
          80682.828125,
          80746.8046875,
          80793.6484375,
          80845.3828125,
          80894.40625,
          80956.59375,
          81019.1015625,
          81129.71875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "30730f2f880183153706c2e24732a5304486d7503ee2adaf8e5e2b1bbd4a7695",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 04:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80831.72483333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T04:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:58.017779Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80831.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T04:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "363396.78",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T04:15:00.552313Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "814002.17",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7932.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4919.18",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,831.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T04:19:11.456996Z",
        "ask": 0.8,
        "depth": 2378.1,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:19:11.336936Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:19:11.456996Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:19:11.456996Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.79,
          "ask": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.795,
          "last_price": 0.79,
          "implied_probability": 0.8,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T04:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:58.017779Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80831.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T04:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "365842.63",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T04:15:00.552313Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "850434.96",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2378.10",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6575.38",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,831.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.79,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.8,
            "yes_ask_size": 2378.1,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.21,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "705": {
      "id": 705,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T04:04:12.410931Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150015-15",
      "strike": 80833.68,
      "predicted_close": 80892.2421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80831.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:04:12.410931Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 705,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80833.68283333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122788,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.53999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8806.22
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -59.0,
          "net_pnl": -60.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8806.22
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        705
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 80892.2421875,
        "quantiles": [
          80902.734375,
          80581.1640625,
          80706.4375,
          80780.9453125,
          80836.2734375,
          80892.2421875,
          80945.984375,
          81014.609375,
          81090.9375,
          81221.3359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a691b282f9759a7bcb01b1173a68b879aac1459e98ab7a3db73338f2c15b7169",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 03:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80833.68283333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:57.686021Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80833.68,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T04:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "305011.53",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T04:00:00.582405Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "242426.25",
        "volume_fp": "959464.43",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8243.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6885.05",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,833.68"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T04:04:12.533719Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 8806.22,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:04:12.410931Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:04:12.533719Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:04:12.533719Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T04:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:57.686021Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80833.68,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T04:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "303458.93",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T04:00:00.582405Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "242426.25",
              "volume_fp": "986949.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8806.22",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6440.87",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,833.68"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 8806.22,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "704": {
      "id": 704,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T03:49:11.842253Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150000-00",
      "strike": 80744.23,
      "predicted_close": 80796.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80833.68,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:49:11.842253Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 704,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80744.233,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123694,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.5,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 193,
          "entry_price": 0.5,
          "gross_cost": 96.5,
          "trading_fee": 3.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.88,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 193.0,
          "gross_pnl": 96.5,
          "net_pnl": 93.12,
          "roi": 0.932318782539047,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9337.73
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.5,
          "gross_cost": 50.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 51.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 50.0,
          "net_pnl": 48.25,
          "roi": 0.9323671497584541,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9337.73
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        704
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 80796.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          80795.0859375,
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          80586.53125,
          80672.5703125,
          80736.1796875,
          80796.796875,
          80855.1484375,
          80930.859375,
          81014.078125,
          81151.0078125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d40ef7af805e8a465641c5ac19ee75ce8fb7a1fb79c5bf081e4bd209f77d4234",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 03:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80744.233,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:40.300829Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80744.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T04:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "386675.26",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
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            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00.573051Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "899159.33",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11825.42",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "539.55",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,744.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T03:49:11.965947Z",
        "ask": 0.5,
        "depth": 9337.73,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:49:11.842253Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:49:11.965947Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:49:11.965947Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.49,
          "ask": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.495,
          "last_price": 0.5,
          "implied_probability": 0.5,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T04:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:40.300829Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80744.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T04:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T04:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "381894.67",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
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                },
                {
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00.573051Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "932410.97",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9337.73",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1820.31",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,744.23"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.49,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.5,
            "yes_ask_size": 9337.73,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.51,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "703": {
      "id": 703,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T03:34:11.895757Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142345-45",
      "strike": 80945.93,
      "predicted_close": 81008.9921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80744.23,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:34:11.895757Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 703,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80945.92983333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131744,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6317.92
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        703
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81008.9921875,
        "quantiles": [
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ba4e0396fe69596b47a4ccc6a44596865bfd80f7476d15590a8fc4b0b7a74a8f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 03:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 80945.92983333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:40.027882Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 80945.93,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "416547.65",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00.612984Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "266179.77",
        "volume_fp": "732188.16",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3245.63",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9296.44",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,945.93"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T03:34:12.027501Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 6317.92,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:34:11.895757Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:34:12.027501Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:34:12.027501Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.34,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:40.027882Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 80945.93,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "416834.40",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00.612984Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "266179.77",
              "volume_fp": "733577.97",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6317.92",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7753.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $80,945.93"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 6317.92,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "702": {
      "id": 702,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T03:19:11.518106Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142330-30",
      "strike": 81157.55,
      "predicted_close": 81169.1796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80945.93,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:19:11.518106Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 702,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81157.54933333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124438,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.53999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12086.83
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -59.0,
          "net_pnl": -60.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12086.83
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        702
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81169.1796875,
        "quantiles": [
          81180.546875,
          80850.5546875,
          80983.71875,
          81063.9140625,
          81118.21875,
          81169.1796875,
          81220.5625,
          81288.921875,
          81348.6875,
          81464.40625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f99e633988b3411c3e70ad23acce3d20eb67a50705f771f0c4b032c9d50127df",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 03:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81157.54933333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:39.762747Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81157.55,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "297447.51",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:15:00.547332Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "791572.24",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "12746.28",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5630.03",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,157.55"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T03:19:11.642544Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 12086.83,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:19:11.518106Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:19:11.642544Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:19:11.642544Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:39.762747Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81157.55,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "298262.64",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:15:00.547332Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "796044.42",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "12086.83",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5102.87",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,157.55"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 12086.83,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "701": {
      "id": 701,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T03:04:11.889472Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142315-15",
      "strike": 81418.49,
      "predicted_close": 81440.4375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81157.55,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:04:11.889472Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 701,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81418.489,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127602,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.08,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 1174,
          "entry_price": 0.08,
          "gross_cost": 93.92,
          "trading_fee": 6.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -93.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9360.05
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.08,
          "gross_cost": 8.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.52,
          "total_deployed": 8.52,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -8.0,
          "net_pnl": -8.52,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9360.05
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        701
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81440.4375,
        "quantiles": [
          81455.1171875,
          81157.3828125,
          81272.0078125,
          81344.1015625,
          81392.4375,
          81440.4375,
          81486.3125,
          81540.4765625,
          81595.96875,
          81705.3203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "12421c2c57b36a87924df3e46bfcde7a81735ef1d4324cd147e09c510f7cfb7b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 02:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81418.489,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:39.47045Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81418.49,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9210",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "532564.34",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00.569048Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "185282.55",
        "volume_fp": "920795.42",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "31284.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0790",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "147.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,418.49"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T03:04:12.017074Z",
        "ask": 0.08,
        "depth": 9360.05,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:04:11.889472Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:04:12.017074Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:04:12.017074Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.079,
          "ask": 0.08,
          "midpoint": 0.0795,
          "last_price": 0.08,
          "implied_probability": 0.08,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:39.47045Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81418.49,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.0800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9210",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.9200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "544050.13",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00.569048Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "185282.55",
              "volume_fp": "943495.72",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9360.05",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0790",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3996.86",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,418.49"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.079,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.08,
            "yes_ask_size": 9360.05,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.921,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "700": {
      "id": 700,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T02:49:11.629303Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142300-00",
      "strike": 81177.03,
      "predicted_close": 81294.4453125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81418.49,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:49:11.629303Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 700,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81177.03366666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117818,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.37,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 258,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 95.46,
          "trading_fee": 4.21,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 258.0,
          "gross_pnl": 162.54000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 158.33,
          "roi": 1.588542189224441,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6632.78
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 37.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 38.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 63.0,
          "net_pnl": 61.36,
          "roi": 1.5879917184265009,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6632.78
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        700
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81294.4453125,
        "quantiles": [
          81309.0390625,
          80970.40625,
          81099.96875,
          81183.59375,
          81240.9375,
          81294.4453125,
          81349.0390625,
          81406.4296875,
          81469.171875,
          81590.5546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0be887a5926483b7de9a9bf9ec2f976048ebf537cda2eb07e10f42d42cdb4d79",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 02:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81177.03366666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:39.200327Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81177.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,177.03",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "357015.22",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least 81177.03, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:13.079642Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "783240.38",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4525.39",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6684.35",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,177.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T02:49:11.747121Z",
        "ask": 0.37,
        "depth": 6632.78,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:49:11.629303Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:49:11.747121Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:49:11.747121Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.36,
          "ask": 0.37,
          "midpoint": 0.365,
          "last_price": 0.37,
          "implied_probability": 0.37,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:39.200327Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81177.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T03:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,177.03",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T03:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "355942.10",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least 81177.03, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:13.079642Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "779685.11",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6632.78",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5626.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,177.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.36,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.37,
            "yes_ask_size": 6632.78,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.64,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "698": {
      "id": 698,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T02:19:11.710126Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142230-30",
      "strike": 81411.92,
      "predicted_close": 81434.6328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80596.5,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T02:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:19:11.710126Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 698,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81411.91549999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125224,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.28,
          "net_pnl": -99.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2393.27
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -64.0,
          "net_pnl": -65.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2393.27
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        698
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81434.6328125,
        "quantiles": [
          81453.1953125,
          81276.375,
          81334.0234375,
          81379.15625,
          81409.4296875,
          81434.6328125,
          81466.03125,
          81498.53125,
          81536.703125,
          81630.0546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "343582cc9eab9d916640d1e5b71a53ad7c48c516dd4bd2ef0783d9d50d15ea27",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 02:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81411.91549999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T02:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:38.654331Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T02:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81411.92,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T02:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T02:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "366336.31",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T02:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T02:15:00.610571Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "944945.11",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1227.12",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7546.65",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,411.92"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T02:19:11.835350Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 2393.27,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:19:11.710126Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:19:11.835350Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T02:19:11.835350Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T02:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:38.654331Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T02:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81411.92,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T02:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T02:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "362060.58",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T02:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T02:15:00.610571Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "977508.66",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2393.27",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10299.27",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,411.92"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 2393.27,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "693": {
      "id": 693,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T01:04:12.358212Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142115-15",
      "strike": 81513.46,
      "predicted_close": 81542.3125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81620.4,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:04:12.358212Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 693,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81513.46366666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.121628,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 116.0,
          "gross_pnl": 17.400000000000006,
          "net_pnl": 16.36,
          "roi": 0.1641910879164994,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4879.41
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 15.0,
          "net_pnl": 14.099999999999994,
          "roi": 0.16414435389988352,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4879.41
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        693
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81542.3125,
        "quantiles": [
          81549.484375,
          81379.859375,
          81445.7265625,
          81489.2109375,
          81516.9609375,
          81542.3125,
          81569.1953125,
          81604.90625,
          81647.0234375,
          81736.5703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3d01d2242722dab85c92a8138a7247d89c4c9fa51d7183cfe9a93d0b5d5f24a9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 00:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81513.46366666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T01:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:37.295296Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T01:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81513.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T01:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "546937.96",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T01:00:00.644803Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "278938.97",
        "volume_fp": "906581.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4879.41",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "13703.05",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,513.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T01:04:12.479840Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 4879.41,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:04:12.358212Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:04:12.479840Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:04:12.479840Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T01:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:37.295296Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T01:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81513.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T01:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "546937.96",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T01:00:00.644803Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "278938.97",
              "volume_fp": "906581.93",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4879.41",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "13703.05",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,513.46"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 4879.41,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "692": {
      "id": 692,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T00:49:11.206157Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142100-00",
      "strike": 81453.35,
      "predicted_close": 81469.0625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81513.46,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T00:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T00:49:11.206157Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T00:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 692,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81453.34550000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.111435,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.25,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 380,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 95.0,
          "trading_fee": 4.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 380.0,
          "gross_pnl": 285.0,
          "net_pnl": 280.01,
          "roi": 2.8003800380038006,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3904.22
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 25.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 26.32,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 75.0,
          "net_pnl": 73.68,
          "roi": 2.799392097264438,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3904.22
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        692
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81469.0625,
        "quantiles": [
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          81374.53125,
          81417.1171875,
          81446.2890625,
          81469.0625,
          81494.7734375,
          81532.921875,
          81581.3125,
          81676.984375
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "133a37fb70ab0a2f5f2ea1a9d7ae9448d4b63012ddaf2f792f913c122609d8ae",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-15 00:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81453.34550000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:37.029228Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T01:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81453.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T01:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "381895.90",
        "open_time": "2026-10-15T00:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-15T00:45:00.609407Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "631571.43",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6453.06",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4556.89",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,453.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-15T00:49:11.317592Z",
        "ask": 0.25,
        "depth": 3904.22,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-15T00:49:11.206157Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-15T00:49:11.317592Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-15T00:49:11.317592Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.24,
          "ask": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.245,
          "last_price": 0.24,
          "implied_probability": 0.25,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T01:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:37.029228Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T01:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81453.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T01:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T01:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "384861.08",
              "open_time": "2026-10-15T00:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-15T00:45:00.609407Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "639644.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3904.22",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4776.05",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,453.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.24,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.25,
            "yes_ask_size": 3904.22,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.76,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "688": {
      "id": 688,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T23:49:11.411964Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142000-00",
      "strike": 81483.16,
      "predicted_close": 81496.2578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81572.32,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T23:49:11.411964Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 688,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81483.16216666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126553,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.77,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 127,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 97.79,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.37,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 127.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 27.629999999999995,
          "roi": 0.27805172587299987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1362.48
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 77.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 78.24,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 23.0,
          "net_pnl": 21.760000000000005,
          "roi": 0.27811860940695304,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1362.48
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        688
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81496.2578125,
        "quantiles": [
          81504.5859375,
          81333.6640625,
          81401.0859375,
          81443.5390625,
          81471.46875,
          81496.2578125,
          81521.7578125,
          81558.96875,
          81617.7109375,
          81720.46875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "baf640969c2fe2fa0b4c4c74f06d820c895cfe9daf0eb1e65c8500f3ce9f669d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 23:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81483.16216666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:35.906961Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T00:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T00:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81483.16,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T00:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T00:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "328954.21",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00.617221Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "747836.50",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9042.39",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3694.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,483.16"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T23:49:11.538517Z",
        "ask": 0.77,
        "depth": 1362.48,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T23:49:11.411964Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T23:49:11.538517Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T23:49:11.538517Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.76,
          "ask": 0.77,
          "midpoint": 0.765,
          "last_price": 0.76,
          "implied_probability": 0.77,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-15T00:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:35.906961Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T00:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-22T00:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81483.16,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-22T00:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-15T00:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "337349.16",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT142000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00.617221Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "758800.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1362.48",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10594.06",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,483.16"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.76,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.77,
            "yes_ask_size": 1362.48,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.24,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "679": {
      "id": 679,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T21:34:13.831525Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141745-45",
      "strike": 81753.6,
      "predicted_close": 81757.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81733.92,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T21:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:34:13.831525Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 679,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81753.6035,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142874,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.39999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.63999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7763.59
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -82.0,
          "net_pnl": -83.04,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7763.59
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        679
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81757.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          81759.7265625,
          81583.9765625,
          81658.859375,
          81698.6640625,
          81728.421875,
          81757.5859375,
          81789.5546875,
          81830.5625,
          81884.28125,
          81987.515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d6b9a36e038861ea9b2068a79395894d64871434fa6927bf7b6dfc6da433f24f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 21:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81753.6035,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:33.374518Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T21:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81753.6,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T21:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T21:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "488872.14",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T21:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T21:30:00.577478Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "206218.94",
        "volume_fp": "807318.88",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8289.53",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3680.23",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,753.60"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T21:34:13.974399Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 7763.59,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:34:13.831525Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:34:13.974399Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:34:13.974399Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.82,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:33.374518Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T21:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81753.6,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T21:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T21:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "491134.84",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T21:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T21:30:00.577478Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "206218.94",
              "volume_fp": "809686.89",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7763.59",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1879.51",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,753.60"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 7763.59,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "675": {
      "id": 675,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T20:34:12.299011Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141645-45",
      "strike": 81814.04,
      "predicted_close": 81827.9765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81682.67,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:34:12.299011Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 675,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81814.03533333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123265,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.63,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 154,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 97.02,
          "trading_fee": 2.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.02,
          "net_pnl": -99.53999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 752.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 63.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 64.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -63.0,
          "net_pnl": -64.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 752.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        675
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81827.9765625,
        "quantiles": [
          81836.25,
          81626.09375,
          81714.9140625,
          81765.359375,
          81797.875,
          81827.9765625,
          81862.3984375,
          81901.9921875,
          81953.2578125,
          82052.640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b601e759e8f75d13fbab9ddf2f11e2430a54f9c9ccda4103c9e843553eea47e8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 20:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81814.03533333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:32.288242Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81814.04,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T20:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "276925.99",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00.534404Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "163620.38",
        "volume_fp": "951756.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4597.93",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6564.54",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,814.04"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T20:34:12.422276Z",
        "ask": 0.63,
        "depth": 752.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:34:12.299011Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:34:12.422276Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:34:12.422276Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.62,
          "ask": 0.63,
          "midpoint": 0.625,
          "last_price": 0.62,
          "implied_probability": 0.63,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:32.288242Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81814.04,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T20:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "277095.77",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00.534404Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "163620.38",
              "volume_fp": "953488.59",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "752.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9036.89",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,814.04"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.62,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.63,
            "yes_ask_size": 752.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.38,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "674": {
      "id": 674,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T20:19:11.185475Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141630-30",
      "strike": 81822.14,
      "predicted_close": 81846.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81814.04,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:19:11.185475Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 674,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81822.14199999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.137637,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.89,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 15483.75
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -65.0,
          "net_pnl": -66.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 15483.75
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        674
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81846.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          81859.890625,
          81635.8203125,
          81728.7890625,
          81781.4765625,
          81816.0078125,
          81846.5859375,
          81882.5703125,
          81924.203125,
          81978.09375,
          82085.2578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6da952e6738bedea13d1da71c7f2165a6a6e3458f8a58a52bd3bfd0b57cc8de5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81822.14199999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:32.007646Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81822.14,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "235127.05",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T20:15:00.613107Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "517789.26",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8224.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3668.63",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,822.14"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T20:19:11.323112Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 15483.75,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:19:11.185475Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:19:11.323112Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:19:11.323112Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:32.007646Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81822.14,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "236321.08",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T20:15:00.613107Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "521092.80",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "15483.75",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "992.54",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,822.14"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 15483.75,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "673": {
      "id": 673,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T20:04:11.218042Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141615-15",
      "strike": 81689.35,
      "predicted_close": 81706.5390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81822.14,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:04:11.218042Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 673,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81689.34966666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127608,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 116.0,
          "gross_pnl": 17.400000000000006,
          "net_pnl": 16.36,
          "roi": 0.1641910879164994,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6216.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 15.0,
          "net_pnl": 14.099999999999994,
          "roi": 0.16414435389988352,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6216.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        673
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81706.5390625,
        "quantiles": [
          81719.4453125,
          81536.2578125,
          81610.234375,
          81651.21875,
          81681.359375,
          81706.5390625,
          81736.125,
          81772.3125,
          81821.171875,
          81924.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "020ed82eed3daf69af92d87d3b8de54e7631f0f13b14e11b24752ccbad0efde1",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 19:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81689.34966666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:31.731862Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81689.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T20:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "472169.92",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00.653874Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "239826.84",
        "volume_fp": "658072.53",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5191.85",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11552.62",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,689.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T20:04:11.345650Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 6216.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:04:11.218042Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:04:11.345650Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:04:11.345650Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T20:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:31.731862Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81689.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T20:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T20:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "475131.94",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00.653874Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "239826.84",
              "volume_fp": "661600.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6216.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9003.16",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,689.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 6216.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "669": {
      "id": 669,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T19:04:12.819199Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141515-15",
      "strike": 81629.01,
      "predicted_close": 81645.9765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81695.84,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:04:12.819199Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 669,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81629.01316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.119486,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.14,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 673,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 94.22000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.68,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 673.0,
          "gross_pnl": 578.78,
          "net_pnl": 573.1,
          "roi": 5.736736736736737,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12890.46
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 14.000000000000002,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 14.850000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 86.0,
          "net_pnl": 85.15,
          "roi": 5.7340067340067336,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12890.46
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        669
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81645.9765625,
        "quantiles": [
          81654.90625,
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          81538.75,
          81588.8203125,
          81618.984375,
          81645.9765625,
          81679.7109375,
          81719.0703125,
          81775.5625,
          81890.1953125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7e9d706a752ae9d204176bc4377e54e7901b86826139a679fdd8fe7cc9e076a8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 18:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81629.01316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T19:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:30.534378Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81629.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T19:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "241069.32",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
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            "end": "0.9000",
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            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.899288Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "108619.46",
        "volume_fp": "590266.13",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11725.11",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7801.93",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,629.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T19:04:12.938685Z",
        "ask": 0.14,
        "depth": 12890.46,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:04:12.819199Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:04:12.938685Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:04:12.938685Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.13,
          "ask": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.135,
          "last_price": 0.14,
          "implied_probability": 0.14,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T19:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:30.534378Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81629.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T19:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "251863.82",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.899288Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "108619.46",
              "volume_fp": "611163.66",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "12890.46",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4532.23",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,629.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.13,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.14,
            "yes_ask_size": 12890.46,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.87,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "668": {
      "id": 668,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T18:49:12.386042Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141500-00",
      "strike": 81509.78,
      "predicted_close": 81524.546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81629.01,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:49:12.386042Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 668,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81509.77616666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12138,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.74,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 132,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 97.67999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.46,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 132.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.32000000000001,
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          "roi": 0.3271667001809774,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
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          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 74.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 75.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.0,
          "net_pnl": 24.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.32714001327140024,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7458.65
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        668
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81524.546875,
        "quantiles": [
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          81524.546875,
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          81590.5703125,
          81643.984375,
          81750.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cd40a49fbd9a435df7e0c0c473d6a89bcf0d89f1e88dabad699386e371a2b446",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 18:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81509.77616666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:30.245421Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81509.78,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T19:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "313274.61",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T18:45:00.586342Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "684474.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2420.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7897.44",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,509.78"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T18:49:12.507422Z",
        "ask": 0.74,
        "depth": 7458.65,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:49:12.386042Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:49:12.507422Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:49:12.507422Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.73,
          "ask": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.735,
          "last_price": 0.73,
          "implied_probability": 0.74,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:30.245421Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81509.78,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T19:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T19:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "319484.75",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T18:45:00.586342Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "704026.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7458.65",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8138.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,509.78"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.73,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.74,
            "yes_ask_size": 7458.65,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.27,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "667": {
      "id": 667,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T18:34:11.840444Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141445-45",
      "strike": 81547.06,
      "predicted_close": 81558.8515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81509.78,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:34:11.840444Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 667,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81547.05883333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124407,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 201,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.99999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.47999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.99999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1343.39
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 49.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -48.0,
          "net_pnl": -49.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1343.39
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        667
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81558.8515625,
        "quantiles": [
          81562.5078125,
          81378.390625,
          81459.78125,
          81505.5390625,
          81532.2890625,
          81558.8515625,
          81589.9296875,
          81628.5625,
          81683.6484375,
          81792.671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4e44ba63129df99f6620a9e564e759f2656a5238443156e66a2e1fb9cf6916fa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 18:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81547.05883333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:29.967379Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141445",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81547.06,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T18:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "282538.27",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141445-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00.549658Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "114726.45",
        "volume_fp": "606968.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1343.39",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "15272.40",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,547.06"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T18:34:11.964851Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 1343.39,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:34:11.840444Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:34:11.964851Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:34:11.964851Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.47,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T18:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:29.967379Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141445",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81547.06,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T18:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "282538.27",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141445-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00.549658Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "114726.45",
              "volume_fp": "606968.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1343.39",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "15272.40",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,547.06"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.47,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 1343.39,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.53,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "666": {
      "id": 666,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T18:19:11.766151Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141430-30",
      "strike": 81576.89,
      "predicted_close": 81612.0859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81547.06,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:19:11.766151Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 666,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81576.89449999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122803,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.3,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 317,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 95.1,
          "trading_fee": 4.66,
          "total_deployed": 99.75999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.1,
          "net_pnl": -99.75999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3195.05
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 30.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 31.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -30.0,
          "net_pnl": -31.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3195.05
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        666
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81612.0859375,
        "quantiles": [
          81625.859375,
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          81540.015625,
          81576.78125,
          81612.0859375,
          81652.4453125,
          81700.796875,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3478ff6210bfde27925c0f1c9aae32c391496172c472c586a4057078a5ed3ef5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 18:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81576.89449999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:29.704978Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141430",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81576.89,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T18:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "322704.41",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141430-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00.646951Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "614831.25",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3234.45",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "14836.72",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,576.89"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T18:19:11.888954Z",
        "ask": 0.3,
        "depth": 3195.05,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:19:11.766151Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:19:11.888954Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:19:11.888954Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.29,
          "ask": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.295,
          "last_price": 0.29,
          "implied_probability": 0.3,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:29.704978Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141430",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81576.89,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T18:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "329530.58",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141430-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00.646951Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "630375.97",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3195.05",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "12278.99",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,576.89"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.29,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.3,
            "yes_ask_size": 3195.05,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.71,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "664": {
      "id": 664,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T17:49:12.558428Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141400-00",
      "strike": 81702.39,
      "predicted_close": 81714.515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81492.38,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:49:12.558428Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 664,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81702.387,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142775,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.16,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 590,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 94.4,
          "trading_fee": 5.56,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.4,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7905.75
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 16.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 16.95,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -16.0,
          "net_pnl": -16.95,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7905.75
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        664
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81714.515625,
        "quantiles": [
          81719.390625,
          81505.8515625,
          81599.140625,
          81651.9296875,
          81683.765625,
          81714.515625,
          81750.5859375,
          81791.9296875,
          81851.15625,
          81965.875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f4363c7f941086664cf95b38a5fba5e773c1d86010f76226830cd195fce2a669",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 17:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81702.387,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:29.160296Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81702.39,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T18:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "466296.99",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00.638279Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "744099.22",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7905.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8254.50",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,702.39"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T17:49:12.701203Z",
        "ask": 0.16,
        "depth": 7905.75,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:49:12.558428Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:49:12.701203Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:49:12.701203Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.15,
          "ask": 0.16,
          "midpoint": 0.155,
          "last_price": 0.15,
          "implied_probability": 0.16,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:29.160296Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81702.39,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T18:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T18:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "466296.99",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00.638279Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "744099.22",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7905.75",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8254.50",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,702.39"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.15,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.16,
            "yes_ask_size": 7905.75,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.85,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "663": {
      "id": 663,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T17:34:12.796595Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141345-45",
      "strike": 81756.84,
      "predicted_close": 81791.6015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81702.39,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:34:12.796595Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 663,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81756.84216666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.106139,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.39999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.67999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4183.83
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -36.0,
          "net_pnl": -37.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4183.83
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        663
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81791.6015625,
        "quantiles": [
          81797.125,
          81565.1953125,
          81666.9921875,
          81723.8125,
          81759.71875,
          81791.6015625,
          81829.953125,
          81874.5234375,
          81934.1171875,
          82047.3203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2932d45e8aa7a93f02bd6fba092ce8433cb472748fded024323454f76518a78f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 17:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81756.84216666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.896557Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81756.84,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "281866.46",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00.569526Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "210775.25",
        "volume_fp": "756286.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5104.87",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10737.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,756.84"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T17:34:12.902734Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 4183.83,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:34:12.796595Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:34:12.902734Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:34:12.902734Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.896557Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81756.84,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "281117.02",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00.569526Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "210775.25",
              "volume_fp": "778580.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4183.83",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10044.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,756.84"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 4183.83,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "662": {
      "id": 662,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T17:19:12.074056Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141330-30",
      "strike": 81868.41,
      "predicted_close": 81884.7421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81756.84,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:19:12.074056Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 662,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81868.41016666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.112246,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.42000000000002,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8346.32
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -68.0,
          "net_pnl": -69.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8346.32
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        662
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81884.7421875,
        "quantiles": [
          81888.15625,
          81660.734375,
          81765.46875,
          81819.3671875,
          81852.71875,
          81884.7421875,
          81921.65625,
          81964.765625,
          82025.4140625,
          82136.6171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2282f3e47e47a480a6fd3a29ab9dc8a9cd37e7356cfb9efc91edc099c7883f1f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 17:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81868.41016666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.604166Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81868.41,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "235267.68",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00.642755Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "557625.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4039.88",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7830.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,868.41"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T17:19:12.186302Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 8346.32,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:19:12.074056Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:19:12.186302Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:19:12.186302Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.604166Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81868.41,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "241259.77",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00.642755Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "569652.34",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8346.32",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8387.86",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,868.41"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 8346.32,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "661": {
      "id": 661,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T17:04:12.412702Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141315-15",
      "strike": 81903.91,
      "predicted_close": 81920.2734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81868.41,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:04:12.412702Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 661,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81903.91449999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127667,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.72,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 136,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 97.92,
          "trading_fee": 1.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 13100.98
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 72.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 73.42,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -72.0,
          "net_pnl": -73.42,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 13100.98
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        661
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81920.2734375,
        "quantiles": [
          81925.3046875,
          81673.703125,
          81787.390625,
          81846.546875,
          81884.5703125,
          81920.2734375,
          81965.8125,
          82016.96875,
          82086.015625,
          82206.734375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "46f666f31f321a62fb733dbec55738ddb89979c11bea05427a11534c32f3326e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 16:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81903.91449999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.332056Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81903.91,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "299796.14",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00.638889Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "133722.83",
        "volume_fp": "545966.19",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3525.41",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10304.88",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,903.91"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T17:04:12.540369Z",
        "ask": 0.72,
        "depth": 13100.98,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:04:12.412702Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:04:12.540369Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:04:12.540369Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.71,
          "ask": 0.72,
          "midpoint": 0.715,
          "last_price": 0.72,
          "implied_probability": 0.72,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.332056Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81903.91,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "300656.51",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00.638889Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "133722.83",
              "volume_fp": "547161.33",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "13100.98",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "102.12",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,903.91"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.71,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.72,
            "yes_ask_size": 13100.98,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.29,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "660": {
      "id": 660,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T16:49:13.301557Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141300-00",
      "strike": 81863.54,
      "predicted_close": 81919.390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81903.91,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:49:13.301557Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 660,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81863.54283333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124596,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.28,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 340,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 95.2,
          "trading_fee": 4.8,
          "total_deployed": 100.0,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 340.0,
          "gross_pnl": 244.8,
          "net_pnl": 240.0,
          "roi": 2.4,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1090.9
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 28.000000000000004,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 29.42,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 72.0,
          "net_pnl": 70.58,
          "roi": 2.399048266485384,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1090.9
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        660
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81919.390625,
        "quantiles": [
          81934.28125,
          81645.25,
          81770.0390625,
          81834.1640625,
          81877.5234375,
          81919.390625,
          81969.5859375,
          82028.765625,
          82110.1171875,
          82247.8671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "82124d54c54ae7200030aca6c198132fb6e21537f5d54aec6a93f0c139c04562",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 16:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81863.54283333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.067192Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81863.54,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "354823.74",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:01.0367Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "635229.91",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9127.51",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9643.36",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,863.54"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T16:49:13.426153Z",
        "ask": 0.28,
        "depth": 1090.9,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:49:13.301557Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:49:13.426153Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:49:13.426153Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.27,
          "ask": 0.28,
          "midpoint": 0.275,
          "last_price": 0.28,
          "implied_probability": 0.28,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:28.067192Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81863.54,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T17:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T17:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "346460.46",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:01.0367Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "655956.03",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1090.90",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8877.46",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,863.54"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.27,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.28,
            "yes_ask_size": 1090.9,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.73,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "659": {
      "id": 659,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T16:34:19.592716Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141245-45",
      "strike": 81640.29,
      "predicted_close": 81654.1640625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81863.54,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:34:19.592716Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 659,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81640.29466666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.135272,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 145.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.849999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 45.599999999999994,
          "roi": 0.45875251509054316,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4524.36
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 33.0,
          "net_pnl": 31.450000000000003,
          "roi": 0.45878920495988335,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4524.36
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        659
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81654.1640625,
        "quantiles": [
          81665.2578125,
          81404.71875,
          81517.84375,
          81574.65625,
          81615.375,
          81654.1640625,
          81701.0234375,
          81756.9609375,
          81836.1171875,
          81970.015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ed40aaceea5e22eaae185a573bd642c6c22e9d794310dfd2e49705088d70c226",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 16:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81640.29466666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:27.793499Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81640.29,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T16:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "241503.56",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00.645444Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "171541.12",
        "volume_fp": "591158.20",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6151.55",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5105.30",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,640.29"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T16:34:19.727988Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 4524.36,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:34:19.592716Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:34:19.727988Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:34:19.727988Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:27.793499Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81640.29,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T16:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "250239.76",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00.645444Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "171541.12",
              "volume_fp": "617087.54",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4524.36",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6514.31",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,640.29"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 4524.36,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "657": {
      "id": 657,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T16:04:12.794940Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141215-15",
      "strike": 81557.63,
      "predicted_close": 81558.546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81550.68,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:04:12.794940Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 657,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81557.62533333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.138832,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.2,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7800.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -60.0,
          "net_pnl": -61.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7800.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        657
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81558.546875,
        "quantiles": [
          81571.9609375,
          81303.15625,
          81419.0859375,
          81476.546875,
          81519.640625,
          81558.546875,
          81605.765625,
          81666.1015625,
          81751.7890625,
          81893.0078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4506f254a7a1e4c18bff99e5b1a763ed3d1bb85c365027c752a7e0a76a7cf63c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81557.62533333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:27.235411Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81557.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "209266.49",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00.634702Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "109473.11",
        "volume_fp": "583954.90",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "397.01",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "14695.94",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,557.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T16:04:12.933772Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 7800.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:04:12.794940Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:04:12.933772Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T16:04:12.933772Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:27.235411Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81557.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T16:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "209166.27",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00.634702Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "109473.11",
              "volume_fp": "590448.78",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7800.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7380.51",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,557.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 7800.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "655": {
      "id": 655,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T15:34:12.151375Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141145-45",
      "strike": 81859.77,
      "predicted_close": 81871.0546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81588.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T15:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:34:12.151375Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 655,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81859.76849999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125292,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.31,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 307,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 95.17,
          "trading_fee": 4.6,
          "total_deployed": 99.77,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.17,
          "net_pnl": -99.77,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11374.98
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 31.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 32.5,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -31.0,
          "net_pnl": -32.5,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11374.98
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        655
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81871.0546875,
        "quantiles": [
          81896.078125,
          81608.1484375,
          81724.1171875,
          81784.78125,
          81829.6484375,
          81871.0546875,
          81919.4140625,
          81981.03125,
          82068.421875,
          82209.8828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "18bab09b33bf1c2e1861160ce0756a38ce5521c25f4e5d524dcb6d9e7b7dec76",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 15:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81859.76849999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:26.696818Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81859.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T15:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "311358.53",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T15:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T15:30:00.545021Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "146924.18",
        "volume_fp": "533375.76",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8745.24",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1800.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,859.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T15:34:12.276667Z",
        "ask": 0.31,
        "depth": 11374.98,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:34:12.151375Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:34:12.276667Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:34:12.276667Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.305,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.31,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:26.696818Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81859.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T15:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "318405.02",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T15:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T15:30:00.545021Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "146924.18",
              "volume_fp": "542251.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11374.98",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5045.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,859.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.3,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.31,
            "yes_ask_size": 11374.98,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.7,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "653": {
      "id": 653,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T15:04:11.822257Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141115-15",
      "strike": 81825.79,
      "predicted_close": 81842.1171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81753.14,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T15:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:04:11.822257Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 653,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81825.79216666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.111403,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3589.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3589.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        653
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81842.1171875,
        "quantiles": [
          81852.3125,
          81538.6328125,
          81669.5234375,
          81740.5390625,
          81795.6953125,
          81842.1171875,
          81897.2578125,
          81961.8515625,
          82055.984375,
          82207.625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0ca9f3529827bc4697844d6bca65afe4474242d1a440b40ebed3150c836507fa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 14:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81825.79216666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T15:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:26.142353Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81825.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T15:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "327665.83",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T15:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T15:00:00.697032Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "180614.71",
        "volume_fp": "637929.05",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3428.56",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "12432.26",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,825.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T15:04:11.933660Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 3589.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:04:11.822257Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:04:11.933660Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:04:11.933660Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T15:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:26.142353Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81825.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T15:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T15:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "324013.09",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T15:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T15:00:00.697032Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "180614.71",
              "volume_fp": "648808.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3589.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10000.50",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,825.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 3589.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "651": {
      "id": 651,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T14:34:12.431429Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141045-45",
      "strike": 81897.35,
      "predicted_close": 81910.3515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81782.18,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:34:12.431429Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 651,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 81897.34533333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126079,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.52,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 186,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 96.72,
          "trading_fee": 3.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.72,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5881.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 52.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 53.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -52.0,
          "net_pnl": -53.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5881.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        651
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 81910.3515625,
        "quantiles": [
          81908.703125,
          81566.1328125,
          81712.6640625,
          81795.796875,
          81858.7109375,
          81910.3515625,
          81970.2578125,
          82035.5234375,
          82129.1015625,
          82282.7578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "816cf9aebf8144305761cc53ce72412cbf9affb71323195a9ce7c45f0a3ae225",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 14:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 81897.34533333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T14:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:25.343852Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 81897.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T14:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "188030.04",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00.552324Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "165522.47",
        "volume_fp": "458187.14",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9630.57",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7577.23",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,897.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:34:12.557508Z",
        "ask": 0.52,
        "depth": 5881.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:34:12.431429Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:34:12.557508Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:34:12.557508Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.51,
          "ask": 0.52,
          "midpoint": 0.515,
          "last_price": 0.51,
          "implied_probability": 0.52,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T14:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:25.343852Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 81897.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T14:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "187969.68",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00.552324Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "165522.47",
              "volume_fp": "460424.89",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5881.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5420.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $81,897.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.51,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.52,
            "yes_ask_size": 5881.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.49,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "649": {
      "id": 649,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T14:04:12.106499Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141015-15",
      "strike": 82349.12,
      "predicted_close": 82367.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 81996.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:04:12.106499Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 649,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82349.11550000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.110793,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.31,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 307,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 95.17,
          "trading_fee": 4.6,
          "total_deployed": 99.77,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.17,
          "net_pnl": -99.77,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10979.4
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 31.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 32.5,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -31.0,
          "net_pnl": -32.5,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10979.4
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        649
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82367.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          82368.6171875,
          82057.546875,
          82186.6328125,
          82261.484375,
          82319.6640625,
          82367.796875,
          82423.390625,
          82482.71875,
          82569.0234375,
          82712.1328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1dff7579dc3b3e0bb1959faf26b91143eddd74e1180e39e493991813bb42cfdc",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 13:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82349.11550000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:24.786767Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82349.12,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T14:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "275591.37",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00.591251Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "131907.20",
        "volume_fp": "595347.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9888.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5131.37",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,349.12"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:04:12.217292Z",
        "ask": 0.31,
        "depth": 10979.4,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:04:12.106499Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:04:12.217292Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:04:12.217292Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.305,
          "last_price": 0.3,
          "implied_probability": 0.31,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:24.786767Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82349.12,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T14:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "278273.24",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00.591251Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "131907.20",
              "volume_fp": "604235.55",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10979.40",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1027.34",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,349.12"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.3,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.31,
            "yes_ask_size": 10979.4,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.7,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "648": {
      "id": 648,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T13:49:12.807019Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141000-00",
      "strike": 82834.28,
      "predicted_close": 82935.8984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82349.12,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:49:12.807019Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 648,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82834.27816666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124022,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.72,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 136,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 97.92,
          "trading_fee": 1.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5980.08
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 72.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 73.42,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -72.0,
          "net_pnl": -73.42,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5980.08
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        648
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82935.8984375,
        "quantiles": [
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          82827.234375,
          82885.8359375,
          82935.8984375,
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          83053.046875,
          83137.734375,
          83276.3046875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "94f270fc841b18d4edcb984474499555cef22985d8f8f13d5fbbc5dc57e0468a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 13:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82834.27816666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:24.500692Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82834.28,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T14:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "172146.67",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
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            "start": "0.0000",
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            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00.605221Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "529434.03",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9286.95",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "13462.11",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,834.28"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T13:49:12.931041Z",
        "ask": 0.72,
        "depth": 5980.08,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:49:12.807019Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:49:12.931041Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:49:12.931041Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.71,
          "ask": 0.72,
          "midpoint": 0.715,
          "last_price": 0.72,
          "implied_probability": 0.72,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:24.500692Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82834.28,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T14:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T14:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "172952.40",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT141000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "531472.90",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5980.08",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6445.85",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,834.28"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.71,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.72,
            "yes_ask_size": 5980.08,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.29,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "647": {
      "id": 647,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T13:34:12.185454Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140945-45",
      "strike": 82539.06,
      "predicted_close": 82631.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82834.28,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:34:12.185454Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 647,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82539.05716666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.109435,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.89,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
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          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 98.79,
          "trading_fee": 0.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.56,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
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          "gross_pnl": 12.209999999999994,
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          "roi": 0.11490558457211729,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 89.0,
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          "total_deployed": 89.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.310000000000002,
          "roi": 0.114951499609767,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10655.94
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        647
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82631.078125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b1f7a469b50e0afc8e625f79107ea743de135854a02565db74a6cfd3166e470e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 13:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82539.05716666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:24.219439Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82539.06,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T13:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "319250.52",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00.655455Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "204456.00",
        "volume_fp": "695094.65",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "13568.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "164.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,539.06"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T13:34:12.294889Z",
        "ask": 0.89,
        "depth": 10655.94,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:34:12.185454Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:34:12.294889Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:34:12.294889Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.88,
          "ask": 0.89,
          "midpoint": 0.885,
          "last_price": 0.89,
          "implied_probability": 0.89,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:24.219439Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82539.06,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T13:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "319339.28",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00.655455Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "204456.00",
              "volume_fp": "695262.60",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10655.94",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5424.55",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,539.06"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.88,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.89,
            "yes_ask_size": 10655.94,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.12,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "645": {
      "id": 645,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T13:04:12.605077Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140915-15",
      "strike": 82642.77,
      "predicted_close": 82738.578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82407.52,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:04:12.605077Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 645,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82642.77166666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123133,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.89,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6691.18
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -65.0,
          "net_pnl": -66.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6691.18
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        645
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82738.578125,
        "quantiles": [
          82752.5234375,
          82449.7265625,
          82566.0,
          82634.640625,
          82691.0,
          82738.578125,
          82792.25,
          82851.6015625,
          82933.3984375,
          83071.3984375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5d054a16f356bce3ce759935bf2d8d32bdde9fcd72b498eff5e7d6dd85297905",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 12:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82642.77166666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:23.672155Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82642.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T13:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "205484.08",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00.631341Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "152156.23",
        "volume_fp": "445562.05",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3791.93",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5050.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,642.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T13:04:12.728210Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 6691.18,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:04:12.605077Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:04:12.728210Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:04:12.728210Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.65,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:23.672155Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82642.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T13:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "211032.88",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00.631341Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "152156.23",
              "volume_fp": "468084.81",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6691.18",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9367.96",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,642.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 6691.18,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "644": {
      "id": 644,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T12:49:16.850202Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140900-00",
      "strike": 82679.4,
      "predicted_close": 82693.953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82642.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T12:49:16.850202Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 644,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82679.39816666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126367,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.3,
          "net_pnl": -99.35,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5201.47
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -70.0,
          "net_pnl": -71.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5201.47
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        644
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82693.953125,
        "quantiles": [
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          82626.7265625,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ea71e943975ce71d83e1998a51f91fa0e54feb97151dd2de4203f8e4c5ab5d14",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 12:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82679.39816666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:23.396401Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82679.4,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T13:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "191300.27",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00.53394Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "420013.74",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5711.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7149.83",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,679.40"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T12:49:16.976569Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 5201.47,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T12:49:16.850202Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T12:49:16.976569Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T12:49:16.976569Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:23.396401Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140900",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82679.4,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T13:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T13:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "191981.34",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140900-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00.53394Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "425277.99",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5201.47",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4940.04",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,679.40"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 5201.47,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "637": {
      "id": 637,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T11:04:11.403414Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140715-15",
      "strike": 83375.62,
      "predicted_close": 83375.921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83374.85,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:04:11.403414Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 637,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83375.61983333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12363,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.11,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 855,
          "entry_price": 0.11,
          "gross_cost": 94.05,
          "trading_fee": 5.86,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.05,
          "net_pnl": -99.91,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5362.93
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.11,
          "gross_cost": 11.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 11.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -11.0,
          "net_pnl": -11.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5362.93
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        637
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83375.921875,
        "quantiles": [
          83379.8671875,
          83237.578125,
          83293.765625,
          83326.09375,
          83352.8046875,
          83375.921875,
          83403.03125,
          83435.46875,
          83479.8671875,
          83563.765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "25bf6bb69214a5ab84b508999ae3a10367ee3d35129ca5b162044dadd9e2a63e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 10:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83375.61983333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:21.379403Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83375.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T11:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "156344.61",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00.645801Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "65174.59",
        "volume_fp": "271035.16",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9889.80",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "791.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,375.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T11:04:11.527044Z",
        "ask": 0.11,
        "depth": 5362.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:04:11.403414Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:04:11.527044Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:04:11.527044Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.1,
          "ask": 0.11,
          "midpoint": 0.10500000000000001,
          "last_price": 0.11,
          "implied_probability": 0.11,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999995,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:21.379403Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83375.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T11:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "158279.11",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00.645801Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "65174.59",
              "volume_fp": "277872.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5362.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4979.67",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,375.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.1,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.11,
            "yes_ask_size": 5362.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.9,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "636": {
      "id": 636,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T10:49:11.803594Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140700-00",
      "strike": 83310.33,
      "predicted_close": 83315.0625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83375.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:49:11.803594Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 636,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83310.32966666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115103,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        636
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83315.0625,
        "quantiles": [
          83315.3828125,
          83189.6640625,
          83240.6875,
          83270.5390625,
          83293.7109375,
          83315.0625,
          83339.859375,
          83369.3984375,
          83411.0546875,
          83489.734375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "dac9f2362e5d9ff6f4f78a6099117ca71fa56b6cd8e471585aec05bcc2eeafc1",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 10:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83310.32966666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:21.099193Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83310.33,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T11:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "102311.72",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00.63409Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "241638.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6997.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5424.47",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,310.33"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T10:49:11.918697Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 2.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:49:11.803594Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:49:11.918697Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:49:11.918697Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:21.099193Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83310.33,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T11:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T11:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "106458.31",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00.63409Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "254039.70",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8887.46",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,310.33"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 2.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "635": {
      "id": 635,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T10:34:12.047248Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140645-45",
      "strike": 83270.53,
      "predicted_close": 83277.9140625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83310.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:34:12.047248Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 635,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83270.53166666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12282,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 139.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.7,
          "net_pnl": 39.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3990941117262205,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11777.37
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.0,
          "net_pnl": 28.53,
          "roi": 0.3991884706870016,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11777.37
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        635
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83277.9140625,
        "quantiles": [
          83275.0,
          83139.5,
          83194.8046875,
          83228.2109375,
          83253.796875,
          83277.9140625,
          83306.34375,
          83339.78125,
          83384.796875,
          83469.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "85bf832f76be1bd07915146a13737af1c779f47657ff91f8cce8e89c9bef385f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 10:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83270.53166666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:20.828567Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83270.53,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "143323.01",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:30:00.550553Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "55345.08",
        "volume_fp": "238553.29",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10489.23",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "130.07",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,270.53"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T10:34:12.170068Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 11777.37,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:34:12.047248Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:34:12.170068Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:34:12.170068Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.69,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:20.828567Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83270.53,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "142543.40",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:30:00.550553Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "55345.08",
              "volume_fp": "246315.16",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11777.37",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "116.92",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,270.53"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 11777.37,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "634": {
      "id": 634,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T10:19:11.750538Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140630-30",
      "strike": 83228.53,
      "predicted_close": 83251.09375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83270.53,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:19:11.750538Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 634,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83228.52966666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117986,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.83,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 119,
          "entry_price": 0.83,
          "gross_cost": 98.77,
          "trading_fee": 1.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.95,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 119.0,
          "gross_pnl": 20.230000000000004,
          "net_pnl": 19.049999999999997,
          "roi": 0.19059529764882438,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 693.71
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.83,
          "gross_cost": 83.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.99,
          "total_deployed": 83.99,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 17.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.010000000000005,
          "roi": 0.1906179307060365,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 693.71
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        634
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83251.09375,
        "quantiles": [
          83250.34375,
          83107.3125,
          83164.21875,
          83197.8671875,
          83225.671875,
          83251.09375,
          83281.0546875,
          83315.1875,
          83361.859375,
          83445.421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6ce4f6d5147a6afc64927ba606772b7c9720ebfc3c45528a213f8fe4677046ee",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 10:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83228.52966666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:20.545029Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83228.53,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "133605.12",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:15:00.59921Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "263056.62",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4308.12",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "13221.54",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,228.53"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T10:19:11.868524Z",
        "ask": 0.83,
        "depth": 693.71,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:19:11.750538Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:19:11.868524Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:19:11.868524Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.82,
          "ask": 0.83,
          "midpoint": 0.825,
          "last_price": 0.82,
          "implied_probability": 0.83,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:20.545029Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83228.53,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "139832.22",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:15:00.59921Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "272937.84",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "693.71",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8777.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,228.53"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.82,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.83,
            "yes_ask_size": 693.71,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.18,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "633": {
      "id": 633,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T10:04:11.211932Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140615-15",
      "strike": 83167.29,
      "predicted_close": 83194.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83228.53,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:04:11.211932Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 633,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83167.2878333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12235,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 289.0,
          "gross_pnl": 193.63,
          "net_pnl": 189.14999999999998,
          "roi": 1.8943415122684022,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 857.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 33.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.0,
          "net_pnl": 65.45,
          "roi": 1.8943560057887123,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 857.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        633
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83194.078125,
        "quantiles": [
          83191.9140625,
          83052.328125,
          83110.5,
          83142.53125,
          83169.78125,
          83194.078125,
          83224.203125,
          83256.8359375,
          83303.015625,
          83385.8671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3eebf971e1912c1cb1d376b575893c7ab9e004a1ad0d28c99aab708639596ce9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 09:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83167.2878333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:20.266031Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83167.29,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "138549.30",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00.628418Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "88475.47",
        "volume_fp": "314994.62",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9776.18",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "573.69",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,167.29"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T10:04:11.334282Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 857.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:04:11.211932Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:04:11.334282Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:04:11.334282Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:20.266031Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83167.29,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "139541.54",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00.628418Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "88475.47",
              "volume_fp": "316242.39",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "857.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4172.49",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,167.29"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 857.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "632": {
      "id": 632,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T09:49:12.406823Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140600-00",
      "strike": 83172.85,
      "predicted_close": 83204.453125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83167.29,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:49:12.406823Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 632,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83172.84633333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124174,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.53,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 182,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 96.46000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.64000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.46000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.64000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2744.74
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 53.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 54.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -53.0,
          "net_pnl": -54.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2744.74
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        632
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83204.453125,
        "quantiles": [
          83202.3203125,
          83043.609375,
          83105.03125,
          83142.3984375,
          83175.3828125,
          83204.453125,
          83238.078125,
          83276.5546875,
          83330.0625,
          83422.46875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1862695c517c76d3e5ec1a70ca7c1d01ee6ae5bcff8d06696e42dfa536ebccc8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 09:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83172.84633333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.972324Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83172.85,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "94511.41",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00.524315Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "248971.86",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4200.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8981.74",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,172.85"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T09:49:12.530997Z",
        "ask": 0.53,
        "depth": 2744.74,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:49:12.406823Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:49:12.530997Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:49:12.530997Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.52,
          "ask": 0.53,
          "midpoint": 0.525,
          "last_price": 0.52,
          "implied_probability": 0.53,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.972324Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83172.85,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T10:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T10:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "91202.90",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00.524315Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "256247.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2744.74",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5832.91",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,172.85"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.52,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.53,
            "yes_ask_size": 2744.74,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.48,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "631": {
      "id": 631,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T09:34:11.155641Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140545-45",
      "strike": 83202.66,
      "predicted_close": 83222.9296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83172.85,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:34:11.155641Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 631,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83202.65816666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122975,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.47,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 205,
          "entry_price": 0.47,
          "gross_cost": 96.35,
          "trading_fee": 3.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.92999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.35,
          "net_pnl": -99.92999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11613.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.47,
          "gross_cost": 47.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 48.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -47.0,
          "net_pnl": -48.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11613.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        631
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83222.9296875,
        "quantiles": [
          83219.78125,
          83061.9296875,
          83122.28125,
          83160.90625,
          83193.640625,
          83222.9296875,
          83258.515625,
          83299.6640625,
          83355.59375,
          83450.828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9368606cfc95c4c155df91b72f1df2191cd6de1edbe560fb0f1966108143345e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 09:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83202.65816666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.697126Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83202.66,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T09:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "128619.88",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00.598215Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "72247.35",
        "volume_fp": "253502.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8895.95",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,202.66"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T09:34:11.278616Z",
        "ask": 0.47,
        "depth": 11613.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:34:11.155641Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:34:11.278616Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:34:11.278616Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.46,
          "ask": 0.47,
          "midpoint": 0.46499999999999997,
          "last_price": 0.47,
          "implied_probability": 0.47,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.697126Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83202.66,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T09:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "128775.16",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00.598215Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "72247.35",
              "volume_fp": "258402.50",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11613.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "838.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,202.66"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.46,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.47,
            "yes_ask_size": 11613.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.54,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "630": {
      "id": 630,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T09:19:11.870644Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140530-30",
      "strike": 83391.1,
      "predicted_close": 83421.2578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83202.66,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:19:11.870644Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 630,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83391.09666666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127323,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.54,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        630
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83421.2578125,
        "quantiles": [
          83419.6953125,
          83293.8984375,
          83341.390625,
          83371.09375,
          83397.1953125,
          83421.2578125,
          83450.15625,
          83485.75,
          83530.84375,
          83610.6953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3328b0d23ba39f1984d319fe7b4029b4a0d58161f37f0141874af861fc163363",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 09:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83391.09666666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.39121Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83391.1,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T09:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "116273.14",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00.548432Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "260564.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7215.21",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3604.84",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,391.10"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T09:19:11.997967Z",
        "ask": 0.54,
        "depth": 74.7,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:19:11.870644Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:19:11.997967Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:19:11.997967Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.53,
          "ask": 0.54,
          "midpoint": 0.535,
          "last_price": 0.53,
          "implied_probability": 0.54,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.39121Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83391.1,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T09:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "118914.62",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00.548432Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "267057.85",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "74.70",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7952.97",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,391.10"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.53,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.54,
            "yes_ask_size": 74.7,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.47,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "629": {
      "id": 629,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T09:04:11.836237Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140515-15",
      "strike": 83355.01,
      "predicted_close": 83395.5625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83391.1,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:04:11.836237Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 629,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83355.01049999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.111786,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.56,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 173,
          "entry_price": 0.56,
          "gross_cost": 96.88000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 173.0,
          "gross_pnl": 76.11999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 73.13,
          "roi": 0.7322519275057574,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11550.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.56,
          "gross_cost": 56.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 57.730000000000004,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 43.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 42.269999999999996,
          "roi": 0.7322016282695305,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11550.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        629
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83395.5625,
        "quantiles": [
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "febb2781abaf5a5b5c0a107a785931618811c4a033b34e2227def4d56a72585a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 08:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83355.01049999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.081018Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83355.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T09:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "112049.57",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00.543514Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "80201.49",
        "volume_fp": "231490.30",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11550.24",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "986.60",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,355.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T09:04:11.948023Z",
        "ask": 0.56,
        "depth": 11550.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:04:11.836237Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:04:11.948023Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T09:04:11.948023Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.55,
          "ask": 0.56,
          "midpoint": 0.555,
          "last_price": 0.56,
          "implied_probability": 0.56,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:19.081018Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83355.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T09:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T09:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "112049.57",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00.543514Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "80201.49",
              "volume_fp": "231490.30",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11550.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "986.60",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,355.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.55,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.56,
            "yes_ask_size": 11550.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.45,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "625": {
      "id": 625,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T08:04:11.393386Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140415-15",
      "strike": 83499.57,
      "predicted_close": 83502.9296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83827.55,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:04:11.393386Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 625,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83499.568,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120131,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.88,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 112,
          "entry_price": 0.88,
          "gross_cost": 98.56,
          "trading_fee": 0.83,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 112.0,
          "gross_pnl": 13.439999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 12.61,
          "roi": 0.12687393097897173,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3079.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.88,
          "gross_cost": 88.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.74,
          "total_deployed": 88.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 12.0,
          "net_pnl": 11.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.126887536623845,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3079.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        625
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83502.9296875,
        "quantiles": [
          83495.9140625,
          83380.6328125,
          83428.3046875,
          83459.4765625,
          83482.4140625,
          83502.9296875,
          83529.0234375,
          83560.7421875,
          83600.765625,
          83668.609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a7f484178a7dca6df32139b85ae46a69a55e49a6fb817d71f9d6bcd90ab60f0b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 07:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83499.568,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.962968Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83499.57,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T08:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "302819.70",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00.598212Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "116613.09",
        "volume_fp": "620438.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6454.09",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "400.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,499.57"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T08:04:11.513517Z",
        "ask": 0.88,
        "depth": 3079.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:04:11.393386Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:04:11.513517Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:04:11.513517Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.87,
          "ask": 0.88,
          "midpoint": 0.875,
          "last_price": 0.87,
          "implied_probability": 0.88,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.962968Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83499.57,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T08:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "304272.61",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00.598212Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "116613.09",
              "volume_fp": "635082.57",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3079.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9058.37",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,499.57"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.87,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.88,
            "yes_ask_size": 3079.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.13,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "624": {
      "id": 624,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T07:49:11.630089Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140400-00",
      "strike": 83352.24,
      "predicted_close": 83369.8359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83499.57,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:49:11.630089Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 624,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83352.24283333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118663,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        624
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83369.8359375,
        "quantiles": [
          83359.5859375,
          83270.78125,
          83308.96875,
          83331.6015625,
          83352.5,
          83369.8359375,
          83390.7109375,
          83416.9609375,
          83453.3671875,
          83512.0859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f50c844670dd36708e0c6cea1c7440cbb55db362e9515ce4e9b9b965aa899199",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 07:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83352.24283333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.677405Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83352.24,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T08:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "162187.41",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00.614427Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "405672.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5228.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7641.79",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,352.24"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T07:49:11.748752Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 42.82,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:49:11.630089Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:49:11.748752Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:49:11.748752Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.677405Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83352.24,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T08:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T08:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "162328.05",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00.614427Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "409731.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "42.82",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7658.20",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,352.24"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 42.82,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "623": {
      "id": 623,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T07:34:11.651463Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140345-45",
      "strike": 83388.18,
      "predicted_close": 83406.28125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83352.24,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:34:11.651463Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 623,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83388.17716666663,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.111648,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.36,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8998.77
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8998.77
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        623
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83406.28125,
        "quantiles": [
          83395.84375,
          83307.90625,
          83346.75,
          83369.3984375,
          83388.703125,
          83406.28125,
          83425.9140625,
          83450.3125,
          83485.7265625,
          83544.703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8bd3ebc20d55e181662973900ed3f57d1ac2eb2fa571db5460926e696898cc1d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 07:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83388.17716666663,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.392909Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83388.18,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "137753.75",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00.556987Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "74433.52",
        "volume_fp": "375630.99",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9248.63",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2573.54",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,388.18"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T07:34:11.763111Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 8998.77,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:34:11.651463Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:34:11.763111Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:34:11.763111Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.392909Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83388.18,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "139463.80",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00.556987Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "74433.52",
              "volume_fp": "378963.39",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8998.77",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "138.80",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,388.18"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 8998.77,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "622": {
      "id": 622,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T07:19:11.570871Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140330-30",
      "strike": 83409.31,
      "predicted_close": 83420.46875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83388.18,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:19:11.570871Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 622,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83409.3095,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120325,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.36,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3505.98
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3505.98
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        622
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83420.46875,
        "quantiles": [
          83408.9453125,
          83300.1953125,
          83346.2890625,
          83375.1171875,
          83399.609375,
          83420.46875,
          83443.625,
          83471.4765625,
          83511.25,
          83572.8828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3ff13471c9763530cb899d8ee1783bed9c79485e499c76940254250273befed7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 07:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83409.3095,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.126317Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83409.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "236742.31",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00.606504Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "455807.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10439.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "552.35",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,409.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T07:19:11.691196Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 3505.98,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:19:11.570871Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:19:11.691196Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:19:11.691196Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.32,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:17.126317Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83409.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "238447.12",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00.606504Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "457783.49",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3505.98",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6537.19",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,409.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 3505.98,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "621": {
      "id": 621,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T07:04:12.334283Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140315-15",
      "strike": 83363.99,
      "predicted_close": 83378.0703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83409.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:04:12.334283Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 621,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83363.99266666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124705,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 145.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.849999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 45.599999999999994,
          "roi": 0.45875251509054316,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 191.83
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 33.0,
          "net_pnl": 31.450000000000003,
          "roi": 0.45878920495988335,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 191.83
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        621
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83378.0703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83365.6171875,
          83253.8984375,
          83301.8125,
          83330.8671875,
          83355.390625,
          83378.0703125,
          83401.6640625,
          83429.828125,
          83470.1640625,
          83533.9609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f643fd734b54b70a14948ab453d8c9833f2b67559a6f20c9cbeecb69a951ca9b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 06:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83363.99266666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:16.859377Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83363.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "365149.64",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00.590761Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "127285.87",
        "volume_fp": "992369.60",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5351.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3012.50",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,363.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T07:04:12.458988Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 191.83,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:04:12.334283Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:04:12.458988Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:04:12.458988Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:16.859377Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83363.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "358792.38",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00.590761Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "127285.87",
              "volume_fp": "1010471.40",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "191.83",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7491.40",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,363.99"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 191.83,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "620": {
      "id": 620,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T06:49:11.573808Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140300-00",
      "strike": 83398.62,
      "predicted_close": 83399.59375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83363.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:49:11.573808Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 620,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83398.61616666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115119,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.36,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7923.34
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7923.34
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        620
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83399.59375,
        "quantiles": [
          83386.7734375,
          83270.7578125,
          83319.734375,
          83351.1796875,
          83377.21875,
          83399.59375,
          83422.5546875,
          83452.3125,
          83492.5546875,
          83559.6328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a290ab0f6b22ae24e37b5fc72ccd194a46894062e1a950404df68bb1a72ab4fd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 06:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83398.61616666669,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:16.578875Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83398.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "313572.86",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00.571033Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "534979.76",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "704.60",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7120.29",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,398.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T06:49:11.688927Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 7923.34,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:49:11.573808Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:49:11.688927Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:49:11.688927Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:16.578875Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83398.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T07:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T07:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "318070.81",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00.571033Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "544002.76",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7923.34",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4287.24",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,398.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 7923.34,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "619": {
      "id": 619,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T06:34:12.290857Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140245-45",
      "strike": 83406.53,
      "predicted_close": 83414.3984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83398.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:34:12.290857Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 619,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83406.53433333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125262,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.44,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 218,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 95.92,
          "trading_fee": 3.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5248.82
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 44.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 45.73,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -44.0,
          "net_pnl": -45.73,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5248.82
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        619
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83414.3984375,
        "quantiles": [
          83402.5625,
          83275.171875,
          83328.75,
          83362.59375,
          83390.1875,
          83414.3984375,
          83440.125,
          83472.1875,
          83515.578125,
          83586.0078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "028d0b4e474e04af02f8d5413447c9fb75e76da35c04a809a5d18e81977ad915",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 06:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83406.53433333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:16.302794Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83406.53,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "247032.37",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00.534697Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "155050.55",
        "volume_fp": "510513.48",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "466.55",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11231.30",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,406.53"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T06:34:12.416119Z",
        "ask": 0.44,
        "depth": 5248.82,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:34:12.290857Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:34:12.416119Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:34:12.416119Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.43,
          "ask": 0.44,
          "midpoint": 0.435,
          "last_price": 0.43,
          "implied_probability": 0.44,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:16.302794Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83406.53,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "246767.82",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00.534697Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "155050.55",
              "volume_fp": "509459.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5248.82",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2953.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,406.53"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.43,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.44,
            "yes_ask_size": 5248.82,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.57,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "618": {
      "id": 618,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T06:19:11.256174Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140230-30",
      "strike": 83489.77,
      "predicted_close": 83501.9375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83406.53,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:19:11.256174Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 618,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83489.76883333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120631,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.4,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
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          "shares": 239,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 95.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 4.02,
          "total_deployed": 99.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 40.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 41.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -40.0,
          "net_pnl": -41.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3847.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        618
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83501.9375,
        "quantiles": [
          83497.9453125,
          83360.390625,
          83413.0,
          83447.90625,
          83476.9140625,
          83501.9375,
          83528.8359375,
          83563.34375,
          83607.7890625,
          83683.6640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2fa16daddc0cafed104a8eeda9232ca03d27cdfa5840650c8d0ba1d6f26d99e7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 06:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83489.76883333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:11.779286Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83489.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "231335.99",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00.629159Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "702428.22",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "119.12",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7502.98",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,489.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T06:19:11.376805Z",
        "ask": 0.4,
        "depth": 3847.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:19:11.256174Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:19:11.376805Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:19:11.376805Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.39,
          "ask": 0.4,
          "midpoint": 0.395,
          "last_price": 0.4,
          "implied_probability": 0.4,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:11.779286Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83489.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234707.24",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00.629159Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "707429.48",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3847.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4459.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,489.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.39,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.4,
            "yes_ask_size": 3847.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.61,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "617": {
      "id": 617,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T06:04:11.546176Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140215-15",
      "strike": 83376.09,
      "predicted_close": 83390.0546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83489.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:04:11.546176Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 617,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83376.0873333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115169,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5743.59
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5743.59
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        617
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83390.0546875,
        "quantiles": [
          83387.6171875,
          83246.53125,
          83301.046875,
          83337.0859375,
          83365.21875,
          83390.0546875,
          83417.8515625,
          83452.9453125,
          83499.3125,
          83574.6484375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ac4a76d10b28e3edaed54dbbca721dc6ad1ec9a71ef29272935f031ef67051c1",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 05:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83376.0873333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:11.062911Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83376.09,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234655.22",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00.58622Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "153625.10",
        "volume_fp": "587653.90",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1849.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8358.91",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,376.09"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T06:04:11.661345Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 5743.59,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:04:11.546176Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:04:11.661345Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:04:11.661345Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:11.062911Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83376.09,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234622.22",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00.58622Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "153625.10",
              "volume_fp": "588529.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5743.59",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8617.87",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,376.09"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 5743.59,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "616": {
      "id": 616,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T05:49:11.968196Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140200-00",
      "strike": 83468.99,
      "predicted_close": 83473.53125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83376.09,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:49:11.968196Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 616,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83468.98616666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.110824,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.14,
          "net_pnl": -99.78,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7608.93
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -46.0,
          "net_pnl": -47.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7608.93
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        616
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83473.53125,
        "quantiles": [
          83468.859375,
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          83387.140625,
          83422.734375,
          83450.5234375,
          83473.53125,
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          83575.59375,
          83648.5
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "eed37f6beaa9b6312d849df3b4cab9ce5d29dfc57dbdf37e95e2c8e269c75e7b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 05:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83468.98616666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:10.737972Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83468.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "230746.06",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
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          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00.535538Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "588002.98",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5281.32",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6240.67",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,468.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T05:49:12.079020Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 7608.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:49:11.968196Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:49:12.079020Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:49:12.079020Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.46,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:10.737972Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83468.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T06:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T06:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "235900.45",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                },
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                },
                {
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00.535538Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "603042.46",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7608.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5556.31",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,468.99"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 7608.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "615": {
      "id": 615,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T05:34:12.194065Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140145-45",
      "strike": 83508.16,
      "predicted_close": 83517.421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83468.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:34:12.194065Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 615,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83508.15666666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130021,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.37,
          "net_pnl": -99.85000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
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          "gross_cost": 33.0,
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          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -33.0,
          "net_pnl": -34.55,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6996.77
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        615
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83517.421875,
        "quantiles": [
          83511.8125,
          83359.3203125,
          83415.8515625,
          83456.96875,
          83489.0078125,
          83517.421875,
          83548.515625,
          83586.6875,
          83635.546875,
          83720.890625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f7c580ab6a2bbb3aeb984cef20a83f508290cbf715a9eb4d5d3677e6796cf75f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 05:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83508.15666666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:10.441268Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T05:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83508.16,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T05:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T05:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "276719.98",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00.54814Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "168257.44",
        "volume_fp": "670662.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9171.08",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6934.25",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,508.16"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T05:34:12.324086Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 6996.77,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:34:12.194065Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:34:12.324086Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T05:34:12.324086Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-13T20:01:10.441268Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T05:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83508.16,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T05:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T05:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "284331.71",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Oct 14, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on October 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT140145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00.54814Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "168257.44",
              "volume_fp": "684172.98",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6996.77",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8100.53",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,508.16"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 6996.77,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "604": {
      "id": 604,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T02:49:11.634707Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T03:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132300-00",
      "strike": 83308.96,
      "predicted_close": 83312.5625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83563.51,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:49:11.634707Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 604,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83308.95916666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120736,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.88,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 112,
          "entry_price": 0.88,
          "gross_cost": 98.56,
          "trading_fee": 0.83,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 112.0,
          "gross_pnl": 13.439999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 12.61,
          "roi": 0.12687393097897173,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12987.05
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.88,
          "gross_cost": 88.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.74,
          "total_deployed": 88.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 12.0,
          "net_pnl": 11.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.126887536623845,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12987.05
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        604
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83312.5625,
        "quantiles": [
          83321.0234375,
          83201.6328125,
          83243.1796875,
          83273.0234375,
          83297.2578125,
          83312.5625,
          83334.0625,
          83360.9375,
          83399.5859375,
          83465.5234375
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b90ab111bbe0e6d7e94842c6b7abf7dee892141f0dd30ed45bfc7a499b8031e0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 02:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83308.95916666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T03:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.940857Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T03:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T03:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83308.96,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T03:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T03:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "521778.07",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:45:00.556331Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "875859.59",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6601.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7504.05",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,308.96"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T02:49:11.755443Z",
        "ask": 0.88,
        "depth": 12987.05,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:49:11.634707Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:49:11.755443Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:49:11.755443Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.87,
          "ask": 0.88,
          "midpoint": 0.875,
          "last_price": 0.88,
          "implied_probability": 0.88,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T03:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.940857Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T03:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T03:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83308.96,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T03:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T03:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "528602.60",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:45:00.556331Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "887354.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "12987.05",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "841.36",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,308.96"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.87,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.88,
            "yes_ask_size": 12987.05,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.13,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "603": {
      "id": 603,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T02:34:11.273520Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132245-45",
      "strike": 83251.67,
      "predicted_close": 83259.2265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83308.96,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:34:11.273520Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 603,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83251.67016666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123564,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 498.0,
          "gross_pnl": 403.38,
          "net_pnl": 398.01,
          "roi": 3.98049804980498,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8970.36
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        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 81.0,
          "net_pnl": 79.92,
          "roi": 3.980079681274901,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8970.36
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        603
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83259.2265625,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a3e891250ec383d5d89310149a8f6a67a5cac94fdd345f357b797558d10379b3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 02:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83251.67016666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.687965Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83251.67,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "450305.97",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:30:00.62442Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "185488.88",
        "volume_fp": "786914.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8305.57",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "683.74",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,251.67"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T02:34:11.397084Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 8970.36,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:34:11.273520Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:34:11.397084Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:34:11.397084Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.19,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.687965Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83251.67,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "453812.35",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:30:00.62442Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "185488.88",
              "volume_fp": "803091.94",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8970.36",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3635.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,251.67"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 8970.36,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "602": {
      "id": 602,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T02:19:11.221720Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132230-30",
      "strike": 83276.21,
      "predicted_close": 83287.2578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83251.67,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:19:11.221720Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 602,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83276.20666666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125777,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.53999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6714.95
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -59.0,
          "net_pnl": -60.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6714.95
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        602
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83287.2578125,
        "quantiles": [
          83294.7265625,
          83162.59375,
          83206.359375,
          83240.65625,
          83269.2109375,
          83287.2578125,
          83313.109375,
          83343.90625,
          83387.8515625,
          83458.1328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c60b715dfa1ec38b666ee3aba324421a02d212bd5ebeecb47e4995d053f283ec",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 02:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83276.20666666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.405431Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83276.21,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "297230.28",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
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            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00.549327Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "730695.35",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2650.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6167.57",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,276.21"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T02:19:11.347497Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 6714.95,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:19:11.221720Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:19:11.347497Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:19:11.347497Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.405431Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83276.21,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "297983.90",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00.549327Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "733428.53",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6714.95",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3882.79",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,276.21"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 6714.95,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "601": {
      "id": 601,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T02:04:10.948980Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132215-15",
      "strike": 83247.84,
      "predicted_close": 83259.1875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83276.21,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:04:10.948980Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 601,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83247.84483333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114787,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.74,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 132,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 97.67999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.46,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 132.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.32000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 32.540000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3271667001809774,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 386.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 74.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 75.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.0,
          "net_pnl": 24.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.32714001327140024,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 386.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        601
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83259.1875,
        "quantiles": [
          83269.4296875,
          83129.171875,
          83178.8515625,
          83213.3984375,
          83240.90625,
          83259.1875,
          83284.5625,
          83313.140625,
          83356.625,
          83426.015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "21741499909f30cd8bcf6379666b9031725793cc926a90aa7847c1584b0d213c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 01:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83247.84483333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.097513Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83247.84,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "346331.76",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00.605658Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "188181.44",
        "volume_fp": "774698.08",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7009.55",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2635.79",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,247.84"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T02:04:11.063767Z",
        "ask": 0.74,
        "depth": 386.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:04:10.948980Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:04:11.063767Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:04:11.063767Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.73,
          "ask": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.735,
          "last_price": 0.74,
          "implied_probability": 0.74,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:28.097513Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83247.84,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "345301.90",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00.605658Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "188181.44",
              "volume_fp": "794772.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "386.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "13850.55",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,247.84"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.73,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.74,
            "yes_ask_size": 386.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.27,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "600": {
      "id": 600,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T01:49:11.653270Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132200-00",
      "strike": 83260.23,
      "predicted_close": 83272.3203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83247.84,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:49:11.653270Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 600,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83260.23416666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.112106,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.39,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 245,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.08,
          "total_deployed": 99.63,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.63,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4648.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 39.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 40.67,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -39.0,
          "net_pnl": -40.67,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4648.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        600
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83272.3203125,
        "quantiles": [
          83280.9140625,
          83118.796875,
          83174.3828125,
          83213.828125,
          83249.640625,
          83272.3203125,
          83301.671875,
          83336.1015625,
          83384.4921875,
          83460.1171875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c98b3c928381b8e82d71bc78166610a5948d92d989f6393b4e981d7498ea4d64",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83260.23416666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:27.691945Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83260.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "305575.52",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
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            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
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            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00.666875Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "648990.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9841.53",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4784.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,260.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T01:49:11.765376Z",
        "ask": 0.39,
        "depth": 4648.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:49:11.653270Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:49:11.765376Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:49:11.765376Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.38,
          "ask": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.385,
          "last_price": 0.38,
          "implied_probability": 0.39,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:27.691945Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83260.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T02:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "309701.86",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00.666875Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "660352.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4648.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8118.20",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,260.23"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.38,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.39,
            "yes_ask_size": 4648.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.62,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "599": {
      "id": 599,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T01:34:12.044311Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132145-45",
      "strike": 83250.65,
      "predicted_close": 83268.6875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83260.23,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:34:12.044311Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 599,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83250.65183333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113442,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 298.0,
          "gross_pnl": 202.64,
          "net_pnl": 198.1,
          "roi": 1.9829829829829828,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 68.0,
          "net_pnl": 66.47,
          "roi": 1.9824038174768863,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6363.98
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        599
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83268.6875,
        "quantiles": [
          83280.9375,
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          83167.8203125,
          83208.0390625,
          83247.421875,
          83268.6875,
          83298.96875,
          83332.9375,
          83385.7734375,
          83453.125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0c8b8fdddd0c475567a21afeec8d76d9846895a44435f70b5bce1e4d97de4266",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 01:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83250.65183333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:27.367615Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83250.65,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T01:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "493066.56",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T01:30:00.630523Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "303209.91",
        "volume_fp": "945149.14",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2795.57",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5897.13",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,250.65"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T01:34:12.157753Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 6363.98,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:34:12.044311Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:34:12.157753Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:34:12.157753Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:27.367615Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83250.65,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T01:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "495493.16",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T01:30:00.630523Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "303209.91",
              "volume_fp": "956541.70",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6363.98",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "242.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,250.65"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 6363.98,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "598": {
      "id": 598,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T01:19:12.929446Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132130-30",
      "strike": 83259.92,
      "predicted_close": 83274.03125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83250.65,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T01:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:19:12.929446Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 598,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83259.923,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127536,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.4,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 239,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 95.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 4.02,
          "total_deployed": 99.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1009.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 40.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 41.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -40.0,
          "net_pnl": -41.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1009.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        598
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83274.03125,
        "quantiles": [
          83282.671875,
          83114.6640625,
          83177.15625,
          83214.7734375,
          83250.640625,
          83274.03125,
          83301.75,
          83333.640625,
          83383.796875,
          83453.796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "db7888df074f8b4f7fd2cb19d37e455ffec0db4e293410403f5613f57ec541d3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 01:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83259.923,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:27.128378Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83259.92,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T01:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "358046.96",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T01:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T01:15:00.552158Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "807021.90",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5610.62",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1828.30",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,259.92"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T01:19:13.056982Z",
        "ask": 0.4,
        "depth": 1009.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:19:12.929446Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:19:13.056982Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T01:19:13.056982Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.39,
          "ask": 0.4,
          "midpoint": 0.395,
          "last_price": 0.39,
          "implied_probability": 0.4,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T01:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:27.128378Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83259.92,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T01:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T01:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "362539.84",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T01:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T01:15:00.552158Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "817793.75",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1009.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7585.83",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,259.92"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.39,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.4,
            "yes_ask_size": 1009.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.61,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "594": {
      "id": 594,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T00:19:11.965745Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132030-30",
      "strike": 83310.69,
      "predicted_close": 83317.9453125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83380.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:19:11.965745Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 594,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83310.68583333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139372,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.8,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 123,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 98.4,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 123.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.599999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 23.22,
          "roi": 0.232711966325917,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4487.69
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 80.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 81.12,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 20.0,
          "net_pnl": 18.879999999999995,
          "roi": 0.2327416173570019,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4487.69
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        594
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83317.9453125,
        "quantiles": [
          83331.3984375,
          83149.84375,
          83213.9921875,
          83255.0625,
          83296.078125,
          83317.9453125,
          83347.8671875,
          83382.5078125,
          83442.3671875,
          83514.6484375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a357d8a31d155abf821ff85ddad054a54b75d9ae701b6d511a3296309c256fbe",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-14 00:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83310.68583333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T00:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:25.465652Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83310.69,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T00:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "291676.05",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T00:15:00.568261Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "796288.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5531.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6749.55",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,310.69"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T00:19:12.105117Z",
        "ask": 0.8,
        "depth": 4487.69,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:19:11.965745Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:19:12.105117Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:19:12.105117Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.79,
          "ask": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.795,
          "last_price": 0.8,
          "implied_probability": 0.8,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T00:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:25.465652Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83310.69,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T00:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "295259.94",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T00:15:00.568261Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "812476.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4487.69",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7541.18",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,310.69"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.79,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.8,
            "yes_ask_size": 4487.69,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.21,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "593": {
      "id": 593,
      "created_at": "2026-10-14T00:04:12.133941Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132015-15",
      "strike": 83102.31,
      "predicted_close": 83118.25,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83310.69,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:04:12.133941Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 593,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83102.30550000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.149416,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.87,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 113,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 98.31,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 99.21000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 113.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.689999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 13.789999999999992,
          "roi": 0.13899808487047668,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10454.34
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 87.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.8,
          "total_deployed": 87.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 13.0,
          "net_pnl": 12.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.13895216400911165,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10454.34
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        593
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83118.25,
        "quantiles": [
          83127.578125,
          82976.7109375,
          83031.9140625,
          83064.8828125,
          83099.1640625,
          83118.25,
          83143.40625,
          83172.53125,
          83229.8984375,
          83290.984375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7feb3ba99a90996c170dfe47377110d96aa24e98aedbe3b6c09489a250727bd5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 23:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83102.30550000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:25.199694Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83102.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T00:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "278788.78",
        "open_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00.841026Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "148191.23",
        "volume_fp": "558948.96",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7476.26",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2941.42",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,102.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-14T00:04:12.283357Z",
        "ask": 0.87,
        "depth": 10454.34,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:04:12.133941Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:04:12.283357Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:04:12.283357Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.86,
          "ask": 0.87,
          "midpoint": 0.865,
          "last_price": 0.87,
          "implied_probability": 0.87,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T00:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:25.199694Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83102.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T00:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "283368.11",
              "open_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00.841026Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "148191.23",
              "volume_fp": "572674.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10454.34",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3808.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,102.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.86,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.87,
            "yes_ask_size": 10454.34,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.14,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "592": {
      "id": 592,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T23:49:12.049118Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132000-00",
      "strike": 83184.22,
      "predicted_close": 83213.015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83102.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:49:12.049118Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 592,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83184.21916666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129385,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.14,
          "net_pnl": -99.78,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10870.08
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -46.0,
          "net_pnl": -47.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10870.08
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        592
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83213.015625,
        "quantiles": [
          83221.546875,
          83060.84375,
          83120.421875,
          83156.09375,
          83191.4765625,
          83213.015625,
          83238.4453125,
          83266.6328125,
          83316.65625,
          83378.21875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b2f0a4f530c8a676d6bdf42e06ab7cd7ca06d978b0e401371bcd47f37c584d80",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 23:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83184.21916666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:24.924203Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83184.22,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T00:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "238280.97",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T23:45:00.943396Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "474421.86",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3724.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6984.74",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,184.22"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T23:49:12.178503Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 10870.08,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:49:12.049118Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:49:12.178503Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:49:12.178503Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.46,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:24.924203Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83184.22,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-14T00:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "239747.77",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT132000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T23:45:00.943396Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "479450.13",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10870.08",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "80.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,184.22"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 10870.08,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "591": {
      "id": 591,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T23:34:11.224853Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131945-45",
      "strike": 83111.61,
      "predicted_close": 83144.328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83184.22,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:34:11.224853Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 591,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83111.61299999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118095,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.61,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 159,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 96.99,
          "trading_fee": 2.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 159.0,
          "gross_pnl": 62.010000000000005,
          "net_pnl": 59.36,
          "roi": 0.5957446808510638,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 777.12
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 61.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 62.67,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 39.0,
          "net_pnl": 37.33,
          "roi": 0.5956598053295037,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 777.12
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        591
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83144.328125,
        "quantiles": [
          83150.1171875,
          82971.2578125,
          83041.28125,
          83077.765625,
          83115.46875,
          83144.328125,
          83172.2109375,
          83207.1875,
          83267.21875,
          83338.1328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "80825fd43cabaf936b2aeb3987bfaf72f83213dcd5fcbced36aa0abc5f79de97",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 23:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83111.61299999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:24.468188Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83111.61,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T23:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "246269.66",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00.566646Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "242495.85",
        "volume_fp": "682107.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4859.33",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5074.63",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,111.61"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T23:34:11.342948Z",
        "ask": 0.61,
        "depth": 777.12,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:34:11.224853Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:34:11.342948Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:34:11.342948Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.6,
          "ask": 0.61,
          "midpoint": 0.605,
          "last_price": 0.6,
          "implied_probability": 0.61,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T23:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:24.468188Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83111.61,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T23:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "246955.99",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00.566646Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "242495.85",
              "volume_fp": "684555.08",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "777.12",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "12305.07",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,111.61"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.6,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.61,
            "yes_ask_size": 777.12,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.4,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "590": {
      "id": 590,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T23:19:11.686057Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131930-30",
      "strike": 83213.8,
      "predicted_close": 83220.03125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83111.61,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:19:11.686057Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 590,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83213.79600000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114875,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.15,
          "net_pnl": -99.4,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4829.82
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -67.0,
          "net_pnl": -68.55,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4829.82
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        590
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83220.03125,
        "quantiles": [
          83224.28125,
          83042.578125,
          83112.4921875,
          83151.046875,
          83191.8359375,
          83220.03125,
          83248.265625,
          83282.640625,
          83343.640625,
          83411.609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b6202dd38d23a84b950dac0baa878fa375152f8e344496f42ed409cbe14d97fa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 23:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83213.79600000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:23.890973Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83213.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T23:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "309667.35",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00.56205Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "645607.87",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11056.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1131.39",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,213.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T23:19:11.800932Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 4829.82,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:19:11.686057Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:19:11.800932Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T23:19:11.800932Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:23.890973Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83213.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T23:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T23:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "309360.81",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00.56205Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "651241.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4829.82",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "856.60",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,213.80"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 4829.82,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "587": {
      "id": 587,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T22:34:12.013436Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131845-45",
      "strike": 83376.52,
      "predicted_close": 83382.0,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83446.41,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:34:12.013436Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 587,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83376.52133333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118667,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.84,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 117,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 117.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.72,
          "net_pnl": 17.61,
          "roi": 0.17718080289767582,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10788.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 84.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 84.95,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.0,
          "net_pnl": 15.049999999999997,
          "roi": 0.17716303708063563,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10788.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        587
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83382.0,
        "quantiles": [
          83385.8046875,
          83239.578125,
          83299.7109375,
          83333.484375,
          83361.4296875,
          83382.0,
          83402.9296875,
          83429.1015625,
          83470.5859375,
          83534.9609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "400b4743a894c8a61f58fd6177b8bcb2971e9e80b3ee2c1395ad411037528227",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 22:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83376.52133333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T22:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:22.835317Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83376.52,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T22:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "296120.48",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00.55713Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "179314.86",
        "volume_fp": "539413.84",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "12228.63",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2716.87",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,376.52"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T22:34:12.132103Z",
        "ask": 0.84,
        "depth": 10788.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:34:12.013436Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:34:12.132103Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:34:12.132103Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.83,
          "ask": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.835,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.84,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T22:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:22.835317Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83376.52,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T22:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "300035.93",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00.55713Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "179314.86",
              "volume_fp": "544423.33",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10788.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4269.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,376.52"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.83,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.84,
            "yes_ask_size": 10788.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.17,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "584": {
      "id": 584,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T21:49:12.390129Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131800-00",
      "strike": 83396.27,
      "predicted_close": 83398.921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83458.12,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:49:12.390129Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 584,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83396.2675,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131013,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12553.51
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12553.51
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        584
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83398.921875,
        "quantiles": [
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          83310.1328125,
          83346.140625,
          83379.4765625,
          83398.921875,
          83424.8359375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3735bfc1a7900e9bd25aff0ea1c28f8ac9f28967fce17f2aa9ef81ab2b03d77a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83396.2675,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:21.775319Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83396.27,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "247748.41",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00.62316Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "687017.34",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3725.88",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2594.64",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,396.27"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T21:49:12.521142Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 12553.51,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:49:12.390129Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:49:12.521142Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:49:12.521142Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:21.775319Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83396.27,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T22:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "248627.47",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                },
                {
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "684231.14",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "12553.51",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "200.81",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,396.27"
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            "yes_bid": 0.77,
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            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 12553.51,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "583": {
      "id": 583,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T21:34:11.332045Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131745-45",
      "strike": 83274.46,
      "predicted_close": 83281.328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83396.27,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:34:11.332045Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 583,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83274.46383333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126831,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.87,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 113,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 98.31,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 99.21000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 113.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.689999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 13.789999999999992,
          "roi": 0.13899808487047668,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5553.25
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 87.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.8,
          "total_deployed": 87.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 13.0,
          "net_pnl": 12.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.13895216400911165,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5553.25
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
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      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83281.328125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "993508e2e2ef6a01bd9ad045d38692ca8bff971b966c93002fe2b486601ddf04",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 21:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83274.46383333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:21.51236Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83274.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T21:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "262059.10",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00.537224Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "143490.17",
        "volume_fp": "610860.24",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7526.51",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10785.14",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,274.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T21:34:11.458876Z",
        "ask": 0.87,
        "depth": 5553.25,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:34:11.332045Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:34:11.458876Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:34:11.458876Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.86,
          "ask": 0.87,
          "midpoint": 0.865,
          "last_price": 0.86,
          "implied_probability": 0.87,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:21.51236Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83274.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T21:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "269612.16",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00.537224Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "143490.17",
              "volume_fp": "628309.83",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5553.25",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5197.04",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,274.46"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.86,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.87,
            "yes_ask_size": 5553.25,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.14,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "580": {
      "id": 580,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T20:49:11.789577Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131700-00",
      "strike": 83261.62,
      "predicted_close": 83264.8828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83351.98,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:49:11.789577Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 580,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83261.62449999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123703,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.74,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 132,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 97.67999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.46,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 132.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.32000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 32.540000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3271667001809774,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3372.5
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 74.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 75.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.0,
          "net_pnl": 24.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.32714001327140024,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3372.5
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        580
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83264.8828125,
        "quantiles": [
          83282.3359375,
          83120.671875,
          83178.8203125,
          83213.84375,
          83246.484375,
          83264.8828125,
          83294.390625,
          83326.2265625,
          83373.1796875,
          83453.5390625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7f656594cea018a58ba32df34a692e59e6e51958b48207f7ac5ed0cd48a763d7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 20:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83261.62449999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:20.713813Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83261.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T21:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "383655.17",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00.601207Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "634197.30",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1818.22",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11209.96",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,261.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T20:49:11.913280Z",
        "ask": 0.74,
        "depth": 3372.5,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:49:11.789577Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:49:11.913280Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:49:11.913280Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.73,
          "ask": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.735,
          "last_price": 0.73,
          "implied_probability": 0.74,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:20.713813Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83261.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T21:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T21:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "396566.72",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00.601207Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "650697.98",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3372.50",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5037.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,261.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.73,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.74,
            "yes_ask_size": 3372.5,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.27,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "579": {
      "id": 579,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T20:34:11.972473Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131645-45",
      "strike": 83130.27,
      "predicted_close": 83147.5703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83261.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:34:11.972473Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 579,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83130.26916666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120134,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 289.0,
          "gross_pnl": 193.63,
          "net_pnl": 189.14999999999998,
          "roi": 1.8943415122684022,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6151.5
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        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 33.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.0,
          "net_pnl": 65.45,
          "roi": 1.8943560057887123,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6151.5
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        579
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83147.5703125,
        "quantiles": [
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          83176.5859375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cba070f88d350242132fb1ad82b43a04e759307193174011a771a7891eb22330",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 20:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83130.26916666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:20.406536Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83130.27,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "283586.09",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00.71108Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "201253.39",
        "volume_fp": "655550.14",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5546.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7987.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,130.27"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T20:34:12.092607Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 6151.5,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:34:11.972473Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:34:12.092607Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:34:12.092607Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.32,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:20.406536Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83130.27,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "283191.73",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00.71108Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "201253.39",
              "volume_fp": "656594.26",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6151.50",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5701.58",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,130.27"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 6151.5,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "578": {
      "id": 578,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T20:19:11.602535Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131630-30",
      "strike": 83206.19,
      "predicted_close": 83220.46875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83130.27,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:19:11.602535Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 578,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83206.19033333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125469,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9169.2
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9169.2
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        578
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83220.46875,
        "quantiles": [
          83238.328125,
          83092.609375,
          83144.9609375,
          83176.6640625,
          83204.53125,
          83220.46875,
          83245.3984375,
          83272.359375,
          83317.59375,
          83397.4453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c5fa71bbbb718a1634fa1130c469fb25e25ea62487af6be7ce750e2ee3e526d4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83206.19033333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:20.137388Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83206.19,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "391691.90",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00.607004Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "647525.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11135.83",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5015.21",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,206.19"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T20:19:11.728004Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 9169.2,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:19:11.602535Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:19:11.728004Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:19:11.728004Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.34,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:20.137388Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83206.19,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "393737.95",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00.607004Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "651132.20",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9169.20",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3536.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,206.19"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 9169.2,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "577": {
      "id": 577,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T20:04:11.026922Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131615-15",
      "strike": 83211.37,
      "predicted_close": 83231.2109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83206.19,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:04:11.026922Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 577,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83211.3725,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127192,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.89,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7990.18
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -65.0,
          "net_pnl": -66.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7990.18
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        577
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83231.2109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83251.8203125,
          83076.15625,
          83139.078125,
          83176.8515625,
          83209.375,
          83231.2109375,
          83263.828125,
          83295.859375,
          83346.9765625,
          83434.1796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c0faece885270d56cec93dd4e4ac531e918176b497bbfa955280523471df2388",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 19:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83211.3725,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:19.890739Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83211.37,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "246159.54",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00.910924Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "157517.02",
        "volume_fp": "717701.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2471.99",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5799.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,211.37"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T20:04:11.154114Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 7990.18,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:04:11.026922Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:04:11.154114Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:04:11.154114Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.65,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:19.890739Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83211.37,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "250150.39",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00.910924Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "157517.02",
              "volume_fp": "725711.57",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7990.18",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4717.43",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,211.37"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 7990.18,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "576": {
      "id": 576,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T19:49:11.426646Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131600-00",
      "strike": 83108.12,
      "predicted_close": 83116.390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83211.37,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:49:11.426646Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 576,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83108.11899999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127733,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.37,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 258,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 95.46,
          "trading_fee": 4.21,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 258.0,
          "gross_pnl": 162.54000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 158.33,
          "roi": 1.588542189224441,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 303.8
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 37.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 38.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 63.0,
          "net_pnl": 61.36,
          "roi": 1.5879917184265009,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 303.8
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        576
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83116.390625,
        "quantiles": [
          83134.7890625,
          82961.640625,
          83023.4921875,
          83061.2890625,
          83094.640625,
          83116.390625,
          83150.3984375,
          83183.328125,
          83234.6953125,
          83324.5859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "13de7ed6b890f6f5231c90a6d1a4dca4a5132a59f25118bc14cf9e1978422c9f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83108.11899999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:19.28397Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83108.12,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248702.36",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00.611038Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "417722.79",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3476.53",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11731.40",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,108.12"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T19:49:11.554379Z",
        "ask": 0.37,
        "depth": 303.8,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:49:11.426646Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:49:11.554379Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:49:11.554379Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.36,
          "ask": 0.37,
          "midpoint": 0.365,
          "last_price": 0.36,
          "implied_probability": 0.37,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:19.28397Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83108.12,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T20:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "252072.38",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00.611038Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "426441.99",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "303.80",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8022.91",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,108.12"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.36,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.37,
            "yes_ask_size": 303.8,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.64,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "575": {
      "id": 575,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T19:34:11.390485Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131545-45",
      "strike": 83162.85,
      "predicted_close": 83169.6015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83108.12,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:34:11.390485Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 575,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83162.84616666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.110953,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.63,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 154,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 97.02,
          "trading_fee": 2.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.02,
          "net_pnl": -99.53999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3625.78
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 63.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 64.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -63.0,
          "net_pnl": -64.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3625.78
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        575
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83169.6015625,
        "quantiles": [
          83187.21875,
          83021.2578125,
          83080.953125,
          83117.7421875,
          83150.65625,
          83169.6015625,
          83203.109375,
          83234.28125,
          83282.2421875,
          83367.546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f33aadd7fe07d3f21def3e96934e23ee6a64b9bbb5756d273525c9fb2d4b49af",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 19:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83162.84616666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:19.028701Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83162.85,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "232890.59",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00.553465Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "186286.46",
        "volume_fp": "535071.31",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1074.40",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9261.66",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,162.85"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T19:34:11.501438Z",
        "ask": 0.63,
        "depth": 3625.78,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:34:11.390485Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:34:11.501438Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:34:11.501438Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.62,
          "ask": 0.63,
          "midpoint": 0.625,
          "last_price": 0.62,
          "implied_probability": 0.63,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:19.028701Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83162.85,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234220.15",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00.553465Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "186286.46",
              "volume_fp": "540882.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3625.78",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8476.74",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,162.85"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.62,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.63,
            "yes_ask_size": 3625.78,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.38,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "574": {
      "id": 574,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T19:19:11.561771Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131530-30",
      "strike": 83102.87,
      "predicted_close": 83124.046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83162.85,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:19:11.561771Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 574,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83102.87266666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114429,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.52,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 186,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 96.72,
          "trading_fee": 3.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 186.0,
          "gross_pnl": 89.28,
          "net_pnl": 86.03,
          "roi": 0.8605581674502351,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5041.87
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 52.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 53.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 48.0,
          "net_pnl": 46.25,
          "roi": 0.8604651162790697,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5041.87
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        574
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83124.046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83146.515625,
          82963.859375,
          83028.375,
          83066.4609375,
          83102.09375,
          83124.046875,
          83161.0078125,
          83197.578125,
          83251.703125,
          83342.875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "268e4fd1ecedc67cdee2cf331fe84046cfbe61fe6b7779fe6f6f0a565bd1ba03",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 19:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83102.87266666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:18.754154Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83102.87,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "233660.35",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:15:00.602377Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "470106.95",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6198.08",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "12638.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,102.87"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T19:19:11.676200Z",
        "ask": 0.52,
        "depth": 5041.87,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:19:11.561771Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:19:11.676200Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:19:11.676200Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.51,
          "ask": 0.52,
          "midpoint": 0.515,
          "last_price": 0.52,
          "implied_probability": 0.52,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:18.754154Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83102.87,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "236246.86",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:15:00.602377Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "482499.97",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5041.87",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5126.46",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,102.87"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.51,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.52,
            "yes_ask_size": 5041.87,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.49,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "573": {
      "id": 573,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T19:04:12.387740Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131515-15",
      "strike": 83048.14,
      "predicted_close": 83071.2265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83102.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:04:12.387740Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 573,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83048.14316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113215,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.89,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 111,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 98.79,
          "trading_fee": 0.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.56,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 111.0,
          "gross_pnl": 12.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 11.439999999999998,
          "roi": 0.11490558457211729,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5224.93
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 89.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 89.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.310000000000002,
          "roi": 0.114951499609767,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5224.93
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        573
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83071.2265625,
        "quantiles": [
          83091.9453125,
          82911.4375,
          82972.546875,
          83013.1015625,
          83048.703125,
          83071.2265625,
          83107.34375,
          83143.6484375,
          83199.171875,
          83290.3828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "bde2a3a801f89e076985b97cd8684921430f0a3b3c778057d0ea865b8d064ce3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 18:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83048.14316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:18.489978Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83048.14,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "363388.88",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.881444Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "169053.96",
        "volume_fp": "653974.32",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "13323.82",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3417.17",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,048.14"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T19:04:12.500955Z",
        "ask": 0.89,
        "depth": 5224.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:04:12.387740Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:04:12.500955Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:04:12.500955Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.88,
          "ask": 0.89,
          "midpoint": 0.885,
          "last_price": 0.88,
          "implied_probability": 0.89,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:18.489978Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83048.14,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "366914.97",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.881444Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "169053.96",
              "volume_fp": "660177.26",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5224.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10528.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,048.14"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.88,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.89,
            "yes_ask_size": 5224.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.12,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "572": {
      "id": 572,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T18:49:11.654014Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131500-00",
      "strike": 82994.44,
      "predicted_close": 83018.953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83048.14,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:49:11.654014Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 572,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82994.43950000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127545,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 197.0,
          "gross_pnl": 100.47,
          "net_pnl": 97.02,
          "roi": 0.9703940788157631,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 14950.84
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 51.0,
          "net_pnl": 49.25,
          "roi": 0.9704433497536946,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 14950.84
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        572
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83018.953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83040.5234375,
          82844.03125,
          82911.9765625,
          82955.8359375,
          82994.765625,
          83018.953125,
          83056.4921875,
          83094.5546875,
          83153.84375,
          83246.59375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "415f443f63df093a31e46baa8c17fcb42980db3a83f8fbdbcff505119c1b2f0e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 18:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82994.43950000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:18.242501Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82994.44,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "189467.62",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:01.058408Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "502554.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7026.82",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7302.70",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,994.44"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T18:49:11.781559Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 14950.84,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:49:11.654014Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:49:11.781559Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:49:11.781559Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:18.242501Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82994.44,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T19:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T19:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "193060.21",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:01.058408Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "508411.15",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "14950.84",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "310.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,994.44"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 14950.84,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "571": {
      "id": 571,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T18:34:11.364315Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131445-45",
      "strike": 82991.79,
      "predicted_close": 83014.1953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82994.44,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:34:11.364315Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 571,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82991.79433333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.112874,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.31,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 307,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 95.17,
          "trading_fee": 4.6,
          "total_deployed": 99.77,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 307.0,
          "gross_pnl": 211.82999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 207.23000000000002,
          "roi": 2.0770772777387996,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11512.33
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 31.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 32.5,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 69.0,
          "net_pnl": 67.5,
          "roi": 2.076923076923077,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11512.33
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        571
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83014.1953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83034.9296875,
          82810.1328125,
          82890.140625,
          82940.2890625,
          82983.9140625,
          83014.1953125,
          83057.109375,
          83101.140625,
          83166.390625,
          83272.1171875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "36acdac9d0d1935e7b2afc0105b84cff69b373d1f0e47c1be2824a62a7049f72",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 18:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82991.79433333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.988944Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131445",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82991.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "251579.26",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131445-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00.663419Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "169449.18",
        "volume_fp": "603688.12",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7149.76",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2844.03",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,991.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T18:34:11.477189Z",
        "ask": 0.31,
        "depth": 11512.33,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:34:11.364315Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:34:11.477189Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:34:11.477189Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.305,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.31,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.988944Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131445",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82991.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "258403.14",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131445-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00.663419Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "169449.18",
              "volume_fp": "614901.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11512.33",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "600.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,991.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.3,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.31,
            "yes_ask_size": 11512.33,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.7,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "570": {
      "id": 570,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T18:19:12.336198Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131430-30",
      "strike": 83087.72,
      "predicted_close": 83109.90625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82991.79,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:19:12.336198Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 570,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83087.72133333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127092,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.47,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 205,
          "entry_price": 0.47,
          "gross_cost": 96.35,
          "trading_fee": 3.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.92999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.35,
          "net_pnl": -99.92999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7200.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.47,
          "gross_cost": 47.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 48.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -47.0,
          "net_pnl": -48.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7200.03
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        570
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83109.90625,
        "quantiles": [
          83132.546875,
          82923.2890625,
          82995.4453125,
          83040.71875,
          83081.859375,
          83109.90625,
          83148.1640625,
          83189.203125,
          83250.140625,
          83350.46875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "578f6e9a0913430bb78e5f1c1a088bcb0af1c512ad5dc14b19c429bcb143cd5d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 18:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83087.72133333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.754343Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131430",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83087.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "205828.20",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131430-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00.544116Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "552070.65",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5032.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9501.08",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,087.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T18:19:12.463290Z",
        "ask": 0.47,
        "depth": 7200.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:19:12.336198Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:19:12.463290Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:19:12.463290Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.46,
          "ask": 0.47,
          "midpoint": 0.46499999999999997,
          "last_price": 0.47,
          "implied_probability": 0.47,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.754343Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131430",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83087.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "205642.43",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131430-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00.544116Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "553224.04",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7200.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2046.93",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,087.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.46,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.47,
            "yes_ask_size": 7200.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.54,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "569": {
      "id": 569,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T18:04:11.542039Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131415-15",
      "strike": 82985.27,
      "predicted_close": 82997.0390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83087.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:04:11.542039Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 569,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82985.27416666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130619,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.73,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 134,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 97.82,
          "trading_fee": 1.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 134.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.18000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 34.33000000000001,
          "roi": 0.34443664091501974,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1373.82
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 73.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 74.38,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.0,
          "net_pnl": 25.620000000000005,
          "roi": 0.34444743210540474,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1373.82
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        569
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82997.0390625,
        "quantiles": [
          83015.0234375,
          82767.0,
          82858.65625,
          82914.0390625,
          82962.171875,
          82997.0390625,
          83042.484375,
          83089.640625,
          83156.34375,
          83266.140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "09fa2d136357a18916569534449d189255780fb61b53f4fd438066ed2876213d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82985.27416666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.503231Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82985.27,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "286430.19",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00.611332Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "192625.37",
        "volume_fp": "690130.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1373.82",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8140.08",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,985.27"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T18:04:11.672658Z",
        "ask": 0.73,
        "depth": 1373.82,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:04:11.542039Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:04:11.672658Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:04:11.672658Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.72,
          "ask": 0.73,
          "midpoint": 0.725,
          "last_price": 0.72,
          "implied_probability": 0.73,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.503231Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82985.27,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "286430.19",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00.611332Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "192625.37",
              "volume_fp": "690130.89",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1373.82",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8140.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,985.27"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.72,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.73,
            "yes_ask_size": 1373.82,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.28,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "568": {
      "id": 568,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T17:49:12.392673Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131400-00",
      "strike": 83132.07,
      "predicted_close": 83146.046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82985.27,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:49:12.392673Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 568,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83132.06983333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11904,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.36,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3959.94
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3959.94
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        568
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83146.046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83162.0703125,
          82957.453125,
          83032.4921875,
          83077.765625,
          83117.5625,
          83146.046875,
          83184.828125,
          83225.140625,
          83280.4921875,
          83375.5859375
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9a31026531f9b55d5beb2c93186ab6ae38461c3ff161c4fa4cd91fc49ab6b187",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 17:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83132.06983333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.22132Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83132.07,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "285758.60",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00.542642Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "664760.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3594.65",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "14035.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,132.07"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T17:49:12.511713Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 3959.94,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:49:12.392673Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:49:12.511713Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:49:12.511713Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.32,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:17.22132Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83132.07,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T18:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T18:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "288370.59",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00.542642Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "671516.36",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3959.94",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "13403.53",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,132.07"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 3959.94,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "567": {
      "id": 567,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T17:34:11.731285Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131345-45",
      "strike": 83137.17,
      "predicted_close": 83199.4765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83132.07,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:34:11.731285Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 567,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83137.16733333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126162,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.42,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
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          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 228,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 95.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.89,
          "total_deployed": 99.64999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.64999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9134.5
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 42.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 43.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -42.0,
          "net_pnl": -43.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9134.5
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        567
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83199.4765625,
        "quantiles": [
          83214.9765625,
          82997.0703125,
          83078.4296875,
          83127.8046875,
          83167.546875,
          83199.4765625,
          83239.75,
          83282.1796875,
          83337.375,
          83437.3359375
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0d3b72f13ca751596e2cf4f161c90c56d2385da345beb61f3a40397e8f6943a4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 17:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83137.16733333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:16.61959Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83137.17,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "226630.25",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:30:00.54552Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "183697.65",
        "volume_fp": "537299.90",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4260.21",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9523.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,137.17"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T17:34:11.857447Z",
        "ask": 0.42,
        "depth": 9134.5,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:34:11.731285Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:34:11.857447Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:34:11.857447Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.41,
          "ask": 0.42,
          "midpoint": 0.415,
          "last_price": 0.42,
          "implied_probability": 0.42,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:16.61959Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83137.17,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "230606.29",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
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                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "183697.65",
              "volume_fp": "546932.07",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9134.50",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3863.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,137.17"
            },
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            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.42,
            "yes_ask_size": 9134.5,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.59,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "566": {
      "id": 566,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T17:19:11.834011Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131330-30",
      "strike": 83091.18,
      "predicted_close": 83130.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83137.17,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:19:11.834011Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 566,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83091.17816666664,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13655,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.69,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
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          "shares": 141,
          "entry_price": 0.69,
          "gross_cost": 97.28999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.12,
          "total_deployed": 99.41,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 141.0,
          "gross_pnl": 43.71000000000001,
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          "roi": 0.4183683734030782,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "entry_price": 0.69,
          "gross_cost": 69.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 70.5,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
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          "gross_pnl": 31.0,
          "net_pnl": 29.5,
          "roi": 0.41843971631205673,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6311.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        566
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83130.296875,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3c18ee5111bb8f2c82f30f46767956f4749b7f828b3aed017c8de24512135330",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 17:00:00+00:00",
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        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:16.345455Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83091.18,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "323726.32",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:15:00.551047Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "656751.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7415.79",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5562.32",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,091.18"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T17:19:11.970561Z",
        "ask": 0.69,
        "depth": 6311.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:19:11.834011Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:19:11.970561Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:19:11.970561Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.68,
          "ask": 0.69,
          "midpoint": 0.685,
          "last_price": 0.68,
          "implied_probability": 0.69,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:16.345455Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83091.18,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "323789.45",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:15:00.551047Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "667348.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6311.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6959.80",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,091.18"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.68,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.69,
            "yes_ask_size": 6311.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.32,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "565": {
      "id": 565,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T17:04:11.522024Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131315-15",
      "strike": 83307.11,
      "predicted_close": 83340.5625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83091.18,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:04:11.522024Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 565,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83307.11150000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11212,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.11,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 855,
          "entry_price": 0.11,
          "gross_cost": 94.05,
          "trading_fee": 5.86,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.05,
          "net_pnl": -99.91,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 13106.68
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.11,
          "gross_cost": 11.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 11.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -11.0,
          "net_pnl": -11.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 13106.68
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        565
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83340.5625,
        "quantiles": [
          83343.25,
          83152.828125,
          83228.3984375,
          83273.28125,
          83309.3203125,
          83340.5625,
          83376.078125,
          83414.4609375,
          83464.078125,
          83556.671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "015e245aa3a7a609b460790100530b9df647ae7a6bf84253c509ed50e8407a8e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 16:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83307.11150000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:16.054323Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83307.11,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "478179.39",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:00:00.664021Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "239729.49",
        "volume_fp": "674546.02",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2099.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "12666.63",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,307.11"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T17:04:11.634144Z",
        "ask": 0.11,
        "depth": 13106.68,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:04:11.522024Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:04:11.634144Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:04:11.634144Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.1,
          "ask": 0.11,
          "midpoint": 0.10500000000000001,
          "last_price": 0.1,
          "implied_probability": 0.11,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999995,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:16.054323Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83307.11,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "491202.27",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T17:00:00.664021Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "239729.49",
              "volume_fp": "704334.45",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "13106.68",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3562.55",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,307.11"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.1,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.11,
            "yes_ask_size": 13106.68,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.9,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "564": {
      "id": 564,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T16:49:11.581117Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131300-00",
      "strike": 83357.68,
      "predicted_close": 83372.203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83307.11,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:49:11.581117Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 564,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83357.68050000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12169,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.75,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 131,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 98.25,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.25,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8538.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 75.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 76.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -75.0,
          "net_pnl": -76.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8538.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        564
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83372.203125,
        "quantiles": [
          83378.5859375,
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          83254.609375,
          83303.015625,
          83340.59375,
          83372.203125,
          83406.859375,
          83444.3671875,
          83491.875,
          83574.484375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7416db0340078d120153c6c705e0df51be83adb8e86d3f4857c6a3da1b108bb8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 16:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83357.68050000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:15.78949Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83357.68,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "282546.57",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:45:00.620684Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "530970.65",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9910.42",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5400.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,357.68"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T16:49:11.702807Z",
        "ask": 0.75,
        "depth": 8538.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:49:11.581117Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:49:11.702807Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:49:11.702807Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.74,
          "ask": 0.75,
          "midpoint": 0.745,
          "last_price": 0.74,
          "implied_probability": 0.75,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T17:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:15.78949Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83357.68,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T17:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T17:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "287226.95",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:45:00.620684Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "539285.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8538.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3517.59",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,357.68"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.74,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.75,
            "yes_ask_size": 8538.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.26,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "563": {
      "id": 563,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T16:34:12.014487Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131245-45",
      "strike": 83457.03,
      "predicted_close": 83457.25,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83357.68,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:34:12.014487Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 563,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83457.02883333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118708,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.13,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 725,
          "entry_price": 0.13,
          "gross_cost": 94.25,
          "trading_fee": 5.74,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.25,
          "net_pnl": -99.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1514.78
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.13,
          "gross_cost": 13.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.8,
          "total_deployed": 13.8,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -13.0,
          "net_pnl": -13.8,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1514.78
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        563
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83457.25,
        "quantiles": [
          83465.8359375,
          83265.015625,
          83344.1484375,
          83389.984375,
          83426.515625,
          83457.25,
          83490.453125,
          83526.6953125,
          83573.234375,
          83657.1796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "85065648c4ce004f22b540077fd681ad59116d7ab8bf5757d2de3c49a4390344",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 16:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83457.02883333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:15.523208Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83457.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "383731.34",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00.635928Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "170242.62",
        "volume_fp": "745675.79",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "590.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10271.18",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,457.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T16:34:12.133195Z",
        "ask": 0.13,
        "depth": 1514.78,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:34:12.014487Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:34:12.133195Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:34:12.133195Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.12,
          "ask": 0.13,
          "midpoint": 0.125,
          "last_price": 0.13,
          "implied_probability": 0.13,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:15.523208Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83457.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "385338.76",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00.635928Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "170242.62",
              "volume_fp": "752200.17",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1514.78",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "13777.67",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,457.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.12,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.13,
            "yes_ask_size": 1514.78,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.88,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "562": {
      "id": 562,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T16:19:11.871283Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131230-30",
      "strike": 83360.41,
      "predicted_close": 83364.6875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83457.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:19:11.871283Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 562,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83360.408,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129647,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6878.4
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6878.4
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        562
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83364.6875,
        "quantiles": [
          83372.953125,
          83167.125,
          83248.4765625,
          83295.9140625,
          83332.78125,
          83364.6875,
          83401.6640625,
          83439.5859375,
          83489.3125,
          83578.828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "18c852a66fe5def4a0238deb0c67f424b401b132d6b2f75ccccccf1a6431f60a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 16:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83360.408,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:15.218099Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83360.41,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "337926.04",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:15:00.555528Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "545640.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9026.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3413.27",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,360.41"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T16:19:12.000930Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 6878.4,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:19:11.871283Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:19:12.000930Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:19:12.000930Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:15.218099Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83360.41,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "340634.02",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:15:00.555528Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "554174.13",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6878.40",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7996.96",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,360.41"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 6878.4,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "561": {
      "id": 561,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T16:04:12.279788Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131215-15",
      "strike": 83337.02,
      "predicted_close": 83352.3515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83360.41,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:04:12.279788Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 561,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83337.01683333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.121125,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.87,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 113,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 98.31,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 99.21000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 113.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.689999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 13.789999999999992,
          "roi": 0.13899808487047668,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9158.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 87.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.8,
          "total_deployed": 87.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 13.0,
          "net_pnl": 12.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.13895216400911165,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9158.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        561
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83352.3515625,
        "quantiles": [
          83357.0390625,
          83132.2265625,
          83221.5859375,
          83275.203125,
          83317.65625,
          83352.3515625,
          83390.9140625,
          83433.8359375,
          83488.6328125,
          83577.703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8425126be042a6229106d24170513a23d048052c329488eb65d1bc4b9a6f4fe6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83337.01683333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:14.960051Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83337.02,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "351811.63",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00.605858Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "176926.54",
        "volume_fp": "585132.82",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "15353.67",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3787.70",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,337.02"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T16:04:12.400913Z",
        "ask": 0.87,
        "depth": 9158.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:04:12.279788Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:04:12.400913Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:04:12.400913Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.86,
          "ask": 0.87,
          "midpoint": 0.865,
          "last_price": 0.86,
          "implied_probability": 0.87,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:14.960051Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83337.02,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "353913.40",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00.605858Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "176926.54",
              "volume_fp": "591278.30",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9158.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2672.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,337.02"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.86,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.87,
            "yes_ask_size": 9158.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.14,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "560": {
      "id": 560,
      "created_at": "2026-10-13T15:49:12.206980Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131200-00",
      "strike": 83263.17,
      "predicted_close": 83289.015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83337.02,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:49:12.206980Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 560,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83263.17250000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126031,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.18,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 525,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 94.5,
          "trading_fee": 5.43,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 525.0,
          "gross_pnl": 430.5,
          "net_pnl": 425.07,
          "roi": 4.253677574302011,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2802.07
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 18.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 19.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 82.0,
          "net_pnl": 80.96000000000001,
          "roi": 4.252100840336135,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2802.07
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        560
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83289.015625,
        "quantiles": [
          83291.21875,
          83047.7890625,
          83145.2578125,
          83204.609375,
          83249.0234375,
          83289.015625,
          83333.9765625,
          83382.1796875,
          83444.0625,
          83549.2265625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c7b69f0704428b9e9d5a8a6beb5501c21242857f6b001cc0fde13daf72b99b10",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-13 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83263.17250000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:14.701219Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83263.17,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "355516.08",
        "open_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00.45187Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "631335.10",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10546.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4189.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,263.17"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-13T15:49:12.333011Z",
        "ask": 0.18,
        "depth": 2802.07,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:49:12.206980Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:49:12.333011Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:49:12.333011Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.17,
          "ask": 0.18,
          "midpoint": 0.175,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.18,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-12T20:01:14.701219Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83263.17,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-20T16:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-13T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "361577.32",
              "open_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 13, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on October 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT131200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00.45187Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "640343.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2802.07",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "12041.59",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,263.17"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.17,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.18,
            "yes_ask_size": 2802.07,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.83,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "556": {
      "id": 556,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T06:49:12.479274Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T07:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080300-00",
      "strike": 82659.5,
      "predicted_close": 82695.6328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82842.12,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:49:12.479274Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 556,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82659.50483333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122151,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.72,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 136,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 97.92,
          "trading_fee": 1.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 136.0,
          "gross_pnl": 38.08,
          "net_pnl": 36.16,
          "roi": 0.3621794871794871,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1143.14
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 72.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 73.42,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 28.0,
          "net_pnl": 26.58,
          "roi": 0.36202669572323615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1143.14
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        556
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82695.6328125,
        "quantiles": [
          82719.4765625,
          82480.71875,
          82553.03125,
          82626.3359375,
          82666.9921875,
          82695.6328125,
          82733.1015625,
          82783.1171875,
          82834.8828125,
          82928.4453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "899025c8db25a9e3dee5ed2df6c82598d4db8b0b7ecc51cba80727535389a5f9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 06:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82659.50483333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T07:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:06.276816Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T07:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T07:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82659.5,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T07:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T07:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "279294.13",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:45:00.688377Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "509333.72",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "284.67",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10115.85",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,659.50"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T06:49:12.601425Z",
        "ask": 0.72,
        "depth": 1143.14,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:49:12.479274Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:49:12.601425Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:49:12.601425Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.71,
          "ask": 0.72,
          "midpoint": 0.715,
          "last_price": 0.71,
          "implied_probability": 0.72,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T07:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:06.276816Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T07:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T07:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82659.5,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T07:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T07:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "282903.73",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:45:00.688377Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "514700.10",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1143.14",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9222.69",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,659.50"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.71,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.72,
            "yes_ask_size": 1143.14,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.29,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "555": {
      "id": 555,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T06:34:11.054984Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080245-45",
      "strike": 82560.18,
      "predicted_close": 82651.8984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82659.5,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:34:11.054984Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 555,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82560.179,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.116999,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 289.0,
          "gross_pnl": 193.63,
          "net_pnl": 189.14999999999998,
          "roi": 1.8943415122684022,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3130.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 33.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.0,
          "net_pnl": 65.45,
          "roi": 1.8943560057887123,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3130.57
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        555
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82651.8984375,
        "quantiles": [
          82676.1484375,
          82402.2421875,
          82485.1015625,
          82568.28125,
          82614.09375,
          82651.8984375,
          82697.4453125,
          82761.5625,
          82826.90625,
          82934.734375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "fd6839686fe355a95237f04baf697a87d5dbe67117f978c0415a21bc3a63e1f2",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 06:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82560.179,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:05.836055Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82560.18,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "273016.16",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:30:00.673482Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "138735.47",
        "volume_fp": "624915.34",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9547.85",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "784.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,560.18"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T06:34:11.171983Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 3130.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:34:11.054984Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:34:11.171983Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:34:11.171983Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:05.836055Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82560.18,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "276203.64",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:30:00.673482Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "138735.47",
              "volume_fp": "631565.98",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3130.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5448.82",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,560.18"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 3130.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "554": {
      "id": 554,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T06:19:12.164872Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080230-30",
      "strike": 82849.94,
      "predicted_close": 82867.8515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82560.18,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:19:12.164872Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 554,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82849.93533333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113078,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.14,
          "net_pnl": -99.78,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7866.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -46.0,
          "net_pnl": -47.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7866.55
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        554
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82867.8515625,
        "quantiles": [
          82895.2734375,
          82650.5234375,
          82724.4296875,
          82798.0625,
          82837.3046875,
          82867.8515625,
          82908.3125,
          82959.3984375,
          83011.9921875,
          83105.6796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "284dee576a2131bc1a690edbf52531fceaf2a7f5cf716cb7c4e52b89644fb932",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 06:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82849.93533333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:05.391925Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82849.94,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "202630.20",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:15:00.697944Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "396820.28",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "778.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8959.93",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,849.94"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T06:19:12.277950Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 7866.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:19:12.164872Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:19:12.277950Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:19:12.277950Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.46,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:05.391925Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82849.94,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "202710.92",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:15:00.697944Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "396348.12",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7866.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4419.07",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,849.94"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 7866.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "553": {
      "id": 553,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T06:04:12.320925Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080215-15",
      "strike": 82633.49,
      "predicted_close": 82666.9609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82849.94,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:04:12.320925Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 553,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82633.48999999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.150901,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.75,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 131,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 98.25,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 131.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.75,
          "net_pnl": 31.03,
          "roi": 0.3103931179353806,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1946.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 75.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 76.32,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 25.0,
          "net_pnl": 23.680000000000007,
          "roi": 0.31027253668763116,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1946.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        553
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82666.9609375,
        "quantiles": [
          82685.890625,
          82452.796875,
          82523.015625,
          82598.859375,
          82638.265625,
          82666.9609375,
          82707.6953125,
          82757.234375,
          82807.953125,
          82905.109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "dccc1c731904b00abe793bb1297e557045ca9b3171e246b1c7e08d7074c1f12f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 05:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82633.48999999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:04.945272Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82633.49,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "254664.65",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:00:00.681866Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "186766.64",
        "volume_fp": "664056.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1946.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2100.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,633.49"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T06:04:12.471826Z",
        "ask": 0.75,
        "depth": 1946.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:04:12.320925Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:04:12.471826Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:04:12.471826Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.74,
          "ask": 0.75,
          "midpoint": 0.745,
          "last_price": 0.75,
          "implied_probability": 0.75,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:04.945272Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82633.49,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "254664.65",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T06:00:00.681866Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "186766.64",
              "volume_fp": "664056.51",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1946.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2100.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,633.49"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.74,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.75,
            "yes_ask_size": 1946.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.26,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "552": {
      "id": 552,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T05:49:12.186748Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080200-00",
      "strike": 82844.01,
      "predicted_close": 82866.9140625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82633.49,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:49:12.186748Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 552,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82844.00750000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.108251,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.56,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 173,
          "entry_price": 0.56,
          "gross_cost": 96.88000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.88000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.87,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7542.69
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.56,
          "gross_cost": 56.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 57.730000000000004,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -56.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -57.730000000000004,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7542.69
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        552
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82866.9140625,
        "quantiles": [
          82882.1171875,
          82684.9921875,
          82748.5703125,
          82811.0546875,
          82844.453125,
          82866.9140625,
          82900.9296875,
          82942.875,
          82980.90625,
          83053.1796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "246d9cb78c3475bfa3bdc313efb8f896d7a0e6aa4f683f95381778ecbb668fca",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 05:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82844.00750000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:04.471705Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82844.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "229716.71",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:45:00.677169Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "629490.88",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11174.11",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "578.25",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,844.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T05:49:12.294999Z",
        "ask": 0.56,
        "depth": 7542.69,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:49:12.186748Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:49:12.294999Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:49:12.294999Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.55,
          "ask": 0.56,
          "midpoint": 0.555,
          "last_price": 0.55,
          "implied_probability": 0.56,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T06:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:04.471705Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T06:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82844.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T06:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T06:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234034.82",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:45:00.677169Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "644565.63",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7542.69",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1363.16",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,844.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.55,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.56,
            "yes_ask_size": 7542.69,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.45,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "551": {
      "id": 551,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T05:34:12.475906Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080145-45",
      "strike": 82873.09,
      "predicted_close": 82877.1328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82844.01,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:34:12.475906Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 551,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82873.09099999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.103581,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 138,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 97.97999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.96999999999998,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.97999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.96999999999998,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12429.01
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 71.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 72.45,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -71.0,
          "net_pnl": -72.45,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 12429.01
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        551
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82877.1328125,
        "quantiles": [
          82900.59375,
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          82746.703125,
          82811.0546875,
          82848.9921875,
          82877.1328125,
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          82963.515625,
          83017.03125,
          83100.78125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d28e720c8204d166898bd79550662090c6207d2142b8918191698ca8fbbcf657",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 05:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82873.09099999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:04.021134Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82873.09,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "232636.37",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:30:00.696936Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "136159.51",
        "volume_fp": "694540.71",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "12429.01",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1391.04",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,873.09"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T05:34:12.579487Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 12429.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:34:12.475906Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:34:12.579487Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:34:12.579487Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:04.021134Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82873.09,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "232636.37",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
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                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:30:00.696936Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "136159.51",
              "volume_fp": "694540.71",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "12429.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1391.04",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,873.09"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 12429.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "550": {
      "id": 550,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T05:19:12.024197Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080130-30",
      "strike": 82700.52,
      "predicted_close": 82721.03125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82873.09,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:19:12.024197Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 550,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82700.51866666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115749,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.72,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 136,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 97.92,
          "trading_fee": 1.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 136.0,
          "gross_pnl": 38.08,
          "net_pnl": 36.16,
          "roi": 0.3621794871794871,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 72.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 73.42,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 28.0,
          "net_pnl": 26.58,
          "roi": 0.36202669572323615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2566.09
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
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      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82721.03125,
        "quantiles": [
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d5c2c90057b5f4b2608c3ea189cb07da91072719ce7ffa453963313b9adc3800",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 05:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82700.51866666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:03.555714Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82700.52,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "364723.99",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:15:00.75296Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "704553.40",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "643.57",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10479.15",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,700.52"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T05:19:12.139946Z",
        "ask": 0.72,
        "depth": 2566.09,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:19:12.024197Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:19:12.139946Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:19:12.139946Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.71,
          "ask": 0.72,
          "midpoint": 0.715,
          "last_price": 0.71,
          "implied_probability": 0.72,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:03.555714Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82700.52,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "372724.50",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:15:00.75296Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "724739.76",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2566.09",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3542.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,700.52"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.71,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.72,
            "yes_ask_size": 2566.09,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.29,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "549": {
      "id": 549,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T05:04:11.630048Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080115-15",
      "strike": 82597.01,
      "predicted_close": 82619.96875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82700.52,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:04:11.630048Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 549,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82597.01416666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11673,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 152.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.72,
          "net_pnl": 52.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.5239623019851615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1595.51
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.0,
          "net_pnl": 34.379999999999995,
          "roi": 0.5239256324291374,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1595.51
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        549
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82619.96875,
        "quantiles": [
          82639.4765625,
          82423.2578125,
          82491.765625,
          82556.5859375,
          82595.1796875,
          82619.96875,
          82657.4609375,
          82705.4375,
          82760.5078125,
          82850.015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "53ca7421fa65e8699c536554a8b749d7e7c3ebe03eea89aca6a7fecc77806884",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 04:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82597.01416666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:03.086375Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82597.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "201758.02",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:00:00.716556Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "147886.74",
        "volume_fp": "633360.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5978.58",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8705.77",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,597.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T05:04:11.746778Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 1595.51,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:04:11.630048Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:04:11.746778Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:04:11.746778Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:03.086375Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82597.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "210339.06",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T05:00:00.716556Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "147886.74",
              "volume_fp": "656957.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1595.51",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6023.44",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,597.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 1595.51,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "548": {
      "id": 548,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T04:49:11.461968Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080100-00",
      "strike": 82470.05,
      "predicted_close": 82517.875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82597.01,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:49:11.461968Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 548,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82470.05116666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123487,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.5,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 193,
          "entry_price": 0.5,
          "gross_cost": 96.5,
          "trading_fee": 3.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.88,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 193.0,
          "gross_pnl": 96.5,
          "net_pnl": 93.12,
          "roi": 0.932318782539047,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10015.29
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.5,
          "gross_cost": 50.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 51.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 50.0,
          "net_pnl": 48.25,
          "roi": 0.9323671497584541,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10015.29
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        548
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82517.875,
        "quantiles": [
          82540.9375,
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          82480.9140625,
          82517.875,
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          82632.8984375,
          82707.09375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c937fcc2f68031634a5f833b8177a125658d9028a5dd0841de464bba87bc1d00",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 04:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82470.05116666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:02.643018Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82470.05,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "272509.47",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T04:45:00.689481Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "678316.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4926.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8236.59",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,470.05"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T04:49:11.585455Z",
        "ask": 0.5,
        "depth": 10015.29,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:49:11.461968Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:49:11.585455Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:49:11.585455Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.49,
          "ask": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.495,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.5,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T05:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:02.643018Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T05:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82470.05,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T05:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T05:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "270336.03",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T04:45:00.689481Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "689079.84",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10015.29",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "190.77",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,470.05"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.49,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.5,
            "yes_ask_size": 10015.29,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.51,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "547": {
      "id": 547,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T04:34:11.883406Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080045-45",
      "strike": 82808.72,
      "predicted_close": 82838.2578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82470.05,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T04:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:34:11.883406Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 547,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82808.71816666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11894,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.4,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 239,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 95.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 4.02,
          "total_deployed": 99.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7707.14
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 40.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 41.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -40.0,
          "net_pnl": -41.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7707.14
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        547
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82838.2578125,
        "quantiles": [
          82868.4453125,
          82648.5390625,
          82716.8671875,
          82770.921875,
          82810.125,
          82838.2578125,
          82875.9140625,
          82917.5625,
          82970.546875,
          83039.640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a3752d29d83453114fbd8d13cf358c422ecd4d0be289cae407040478ee65ae92",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 04:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82808.71816666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:02.135536Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T04:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82808.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T04:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "305469.66",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T04:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T04:30:00.80681Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "205997.49",
        "volume_fp": "745482.21",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7249.33",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9650.89",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,808.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T04:34:12.002346Z",
        "ask": 0.4,
        "depth": 7707.14,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:34:11.883406Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:34:12.002346Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T04:34:12.002346Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.39,
          "ask": 0.4,
          "midpoint": 0.395,
          "last_price": 0.4,
          "implied_probability": 0.4,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T04:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-07T20:01:02.135536Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T04:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82808.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T04:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T04:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "307444.74",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T04:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on October 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT080045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T04:30:00.80681Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "205997.49",
              "volume_fp": "753271.01",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7707.14",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5751.84",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,808.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.39,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.4,
            "yes_ask_size": 7707.14,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.61,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "543": {
      "id": 543,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T03:34:11.921217Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072345-45",
      "strike": 82908.0,
      "predicted_close": 82936.7265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82790.5,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:34:11.921217Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 543,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82907.99700000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.116198,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.37,
          "net_pnl": -99.85000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 531.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 33.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -33.0,
          "net_pnl": -34.55,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 531.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        543
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82936.7265625,
        "quantiles": [
          82972.390625,
          82788.3671875,
          82841.5703125,
          82883.2265625,
          82914.4453125,
          82936.7265625,
          82968.4140625,
          82999.5234375,
          83044.0546875,
          83105.2578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f4241d5ba9096bb543a4460d2a89370a5d939f91e6711f272c652a80ede9e763",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 03:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82907.99700000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:25.83177Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82908,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T03:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "349449.48",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00.689227Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "158153.74",
        "volume_fp": "968729.29",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "427.70",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11209.79",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,908.00"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T03:34:12.037415Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 531.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:34:11.921217Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:34:12.037415Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:34:12.037415Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.32,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:25.83177Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82908,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T03:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "350778.04",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00.689227Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "158153.74",
              "volume_fp": "975165.01",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "531.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8672.75",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,908.00"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 531.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "542": {
      "id": 542,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T03:19:11.443142Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072330-30",
      "strike": 82872.89,
      "predicted_close": 82877.234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82908.0,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T03:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:19:11.443142Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 542,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82872.89316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125975,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.43,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 223,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 95.89,
          "trading_fee": 3.83,
          "total_deployed": 99.72,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 223.0,
          "gross_pnl": 127.11,
          "net_pnl": 123.28,
          "roi": 1.2362615322904131,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8032.21
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 43.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 44.72,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 57.0,
          "net_pnl": 55.28,
          "roi": 1.2361359570661896,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8032.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        542
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82877.234375,
        "quantiles": [
          82900.28125,
          82687.5703125,
          82755.3828125,
          82808.8203125,
          82847.109375,
          82877.234375,
          82913.0625,
          82950.8046875,
          82997.3359375,
          83070.671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "eac20578b1f079c9bf9d841305eb8714b044becf766d4a9220af5bf37ae89e92",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 03:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82872.89316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:25.54876Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82872.89,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T03:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "289166.58",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T03:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T03:15:00.689741Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "725931.46",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "13268.71",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4178.89",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,872.89"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T03:19:11.569117Z",
        "ask": 0.43,
        "depth": 8032.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:19:11.443142Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:19:11.569117Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:19:11.569117Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.42,
          "ask": 0.43,
          "midpoint": 0.425,
          "last_price": 0.42,
          "implied_probability": 0.43,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:25.54876Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82872.89,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T03:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "290318.61",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T03:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T03:15:00.689741Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "732539.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8032.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3165.43",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,872.89"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.42,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.43,
            "yes_ask_size": 8032.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.58,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "540": {
      "id": 540,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T02:49:11.822044Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T03:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072300-00",
      "strike": 83199.33,
      "predicted_close": 83205.9921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83116.95,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:49:11.822044Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 540,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83199.33116666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130746,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.38,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 252,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 95.76,
          "trading_fee": 4.16,
          "total_deployed": 99.92,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.76,
          "net_pnl": -99.92,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9909.08
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 38.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 39.65,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -38.0,
          "net_pnl": -39.65,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9909.08
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        540
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83205.9921875,
        "quantiles": [
          83229.5703125,
          83072.7734375,
          83119.2890625,
          83155.5859375,
          83180.828125,
          83205.9921875,
          83232.03125,
          83258.390625,
          83291.015625,
          83349.4453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "bfdb4da9eaae0a68251b6d447ab6c1530bb383aeb406ff7e3fe4aae2c2417c9a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 02:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83199.33116666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T03:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:25.043394Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83199.33,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T03:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "286076.05",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T02:45:00.68896Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "859840.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5300.07",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8204.18",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,199.33"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T02:49:11.952790Z",
        "ask": 0.38,
        "depth": 9909.08,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:49:11.822044Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:49:11.952790Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:49:11.952790Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.37,
          "ask": 0.38,
          "midpoint": 0.375,
          "last_price": 0.37,
          "implied_probability": 0.38,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T03:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:25.043394Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83199.33,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T03:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T03:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "288520.64",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T02:45:00.68896Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "864457.87",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9909.08",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5627.44",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,199.33"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.37,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.38,
            "yes_ask_size": 9909.08,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.63,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "539": {
      "id": 539,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T02:34:12.029276Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072245-45",
      "strike": 83099.61,
      "predicted_close": 83111.6953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83199.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T02:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:34:12.029276Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 539,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83099.60966666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.107998,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.66,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 147,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 97.02000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.33000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 147.0,
          "gross_pnl": 49.97999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 47.66999999999999,
          "roi": 0.4799154334038053,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2885.22
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 66.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 67.58,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.0,
          "net_pnl": 32.42,
          "roi": 0.47972773009766206,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2885.22
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        539
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83111.6953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83134.5390625,
          82989.765625,
          83031.078125,
          83065.2265625,
          83087.453125,
          83111.6953125,
          83135.125,
          83160.203125,
          83188.40625,
          83247.9609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ba9fd2c96426486435e046ae1d21602824e41c3fa71d9c61fe37315551ffab24",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 02:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83099.60966666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:24.769555Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83099.61,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T02:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "245598.45",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T02:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T02:30:00.691853Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "114451.66",
        "volume_fp": "588285.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "528.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "12238.05",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,099.61"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T02:34:12.137274Z",
        "ask": 0.66,
        "depth": 2885.22,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:34:12.029276Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:34:12.137274Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:34:12.137274Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.65,
          "ask": 0.66,
          "midpoint": 0.655,
          "last_price": 0.65,
          "implied_probability": 0.66,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T02:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:24.769555Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83099.61,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T02:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "247863.25",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T02:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T02:30:00.691853Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "114451.66",
              "volume_fp": "592264.52",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2885.22",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8796.70",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,099.61"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.65,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.66,
            "yes_ask_size": 2885.22,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.35,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "536": {
      "id": 536,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T01:49:11.417340Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072200-00",
      "strike": 83217.57,
      "predicted_close": 83223.71875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83050.75,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-08T01:49:11.417340Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 536,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83217.56816666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114414,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.29,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 328,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 95.11999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.11999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5752.56
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 28.999999999999996,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 30.449999999999996,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.999999999999996,
          "net_pnl": -30.449999999999996,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5752.56
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        536
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83223.71875,
        "quantiles": [
          83224.546875,
          83133.25,
          83160.5859375,
          83190.5859375,
          83208.2578125,
          83223.71875,
          83243.78125,
          83262.3515625,
          83282.7421875,
          83329.21875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0644701dc562b0b6b9a614d88b1c3a79672ed23a419b0a157fd8807b6b005a0b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-08 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83217.56816666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:23.967762Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83217.57,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "390191.77",
        "open_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00.671214Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "739863.10",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2529.61",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7305.57",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,217.57"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-08T01:49:11.531754Z",
        "ask": 0.29,
        "depth": 5752.56,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-08T01:49:11.417340Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-08T01:49:11.531754Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-08T01:49:11.531754Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.28,
          "ask": 0.29,
          "midpoint": 0.28500000000000003,
          "last_price": 0.29,
          "implied_probability": 0.29,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:23.967762Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83217.57,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-15T02:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-08T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "391126.20",
              "open_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT072200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00.671214Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "741453.65",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5752.56",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4479.65",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,217.57"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.28,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.29,
            "yes_ask_size": 5752.56,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.72,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "527": {
      "id": 527,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T23:34:12.455201Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071945-45",
      "strike": 83296.37,
      "predicted_close": 83308.765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83300.39,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:34:12.455201Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 527,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83296.37416666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129476,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.86,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 115,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 98.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 0.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.86999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 115.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 15.13000000000001,
          "roi": 0.1514969460298389,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6261.73
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 86.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 86.85,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.0,
          "net_pnl": 13.150000000000006,
          "roi": 0.1514104778353484,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6261.73
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        527
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83308.765625,
        "quantiles": [
          83330.2421875,
          83200.1015625,
          83233.2109375,
          83262.6328125,
          83292.9921875,
          83308.765625,
          83340.2421875,
          83360.046875,
          83413.796875,
          83453.625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1c852f4df98dffe336a537596033c7a34704dd2c03351ea142a1f6bda4ee6508",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 23:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83296.37416666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:21.127188Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83296.37,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "275130.86",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00.703226Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "148867.38",
        "volume_fp": "470556.13",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6431.15",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5020.33",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,296.37"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T23:34:12.584677Z",
        "ask": 0.86,
        "depth": 6261.73,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:34:12.455201Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:34:12.584677Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:34:12.584677Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.85,
          "ask": 0.86,
          "midpoint": 0.855,
          "last_price": 0.86,
          "implied_probability": 0.86,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:21.127188Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83296.37,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "277205.17",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00.703226Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "148867.38",
              "volume_fp": "476882.76",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6261.73",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3831.97",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,296.37"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.85,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.86,
            "yes_ask_size": 6261.73,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.15,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "526": {
      "id": 526,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T23:19:11.546207Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071930-30",
      "strike": 83143.95,
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      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83296.37,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:19:11.546207Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 526,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83143.95216666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117772,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
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          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 120.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.60000000000001,
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          "roi": 0.2043356081894823,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1008.12
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.959999999999994,
          "roi": 0.2042389210019267,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1008.12
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        526
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83152.890625,
        "quantiles": [
          83170.984375,
          83052.0546875,
          83086.0546875,
          83116.1640625,
          83138.265625,
          83152.890625,
          83176.546875,
          83195.328125,
          83232.9921875,
          83276.53125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0ac50c28da12a792346d77bbfdd7162939a667af64536909b4f646e23ddbb1c5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 23:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83143.95216666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:20.450059Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83143.95,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "287832.29",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00.707468Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "542975.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "814.57",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4629.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,143.95"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T23:19:11.663979Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 1008.12,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:19:11.546207Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:19:11.663979Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:19:11.663979Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.81,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:20.450059Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83143.95,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "294166.84",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00.707468Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "553127.51",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1008.12",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5452.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,143.95"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 1008.12,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "525": {
      "id": 525,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T23:04:12.542448Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071915-15",
      "strike": 83205.15,
      "predicted_close": 83225.0859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83143.95,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:04:12.542448Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 525,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83205.15233333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120333,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.44,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 218,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 95.92,
          "trading_fee": 3.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7979.71
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 44.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 45.73,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -44.0,
          "net_pnl": -45.73,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7979.71
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        525
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83225.0859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83242.4609375,
          83126.109375,
          83157.6640625,
          83187.1796875,
          83211.890625,
          83225.0859375,
          83247.640625,
          83265.6328125,
          83305.671875,
          83347.1015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "26b72bbbb0f6f061903f342c4d5efceaed5b7c074606fe5b1763b6f1308c4ee6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 22:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83205.15233333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:20.182198Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83205.15,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "257868.09",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T23:00:00.772059Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "160384.61",
        "volume_fp": "463469.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1916.53",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5512.60",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,205.15"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T23:04:12.662781Z",
        "ask": 0.44,
        "depth": 7979.71,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:04:12.542448Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:04:12.662781Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:04:12.662781Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.43,
          "ask": 0.44,
          "midpoint": 0.435,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.44,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:20.182198Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83205.15,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "257215.76",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T23:00:00.772059Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "160384.61",
              "volume_fp": "468816.16",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7979.71",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "515.33",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,205.15"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.43,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.44,
            "yes_ask_size": 7979.71,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.57,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "524": {
      "id": 524,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T22:49:11.697890Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071900-00",
      "strike": 83267.54,
      "predicted_close": 83294.84375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83205.15,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:49:11.697890Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 524,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83267.54466666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.112271,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.28,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 340,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 95.2,
          "trading_fee": 4.8,
          "total_deployed": 100.0,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.2,
          "net_pnl": -100.0,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10145.01
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 28.000000000000004,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 29.42,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.000000000000004,
          "net_pnl": -29.42,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10145.01
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        524
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83294.84375,
        "quantiles": [
          83310.0703125,
          83192.453125,
          83227.8828125,
          83257.1953125,
          83281.2421875,
          83294.84375,
          83317.75,
          83335.6875,
          83372.0,
          83409.6484375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4aadd8a298e66cf37bc7d69b191ec45cf05e9b55a2657f625fed448997a49659",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 22:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83267.54466666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:19.910404Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83267.54,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "359298.85",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00.684108Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "617378.52",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6328.80",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "534.71",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,267.54"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T22:49:11.810161Z",
        "ask": 0.28,
        "depth": 10145.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:49:11.697890Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:49:11.810161Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:49:11.810161Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.27,
          "ask": 0.28,
          "midpoint": 0.275,
          "last_price": 0.28,
          "implied_probability": 0.28,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T23:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:19.910404Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071900",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83267.54,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T23:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T23:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "359741.52",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
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                },
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071900-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00.684108Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "618133.42",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10145.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "220.59",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,267.54"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.27,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.28,
            "yes_ask_size": 10145.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.73,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "523": {
      "id": 523,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T22:34:12.838184Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071845-45",
      "strike": 83271.96,
      "predicted_close": 83290.6796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83267.54,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:34:12.838184Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 523,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83271.96133333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.173681,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.36,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3531.18
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3531.18
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        523
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83290.6796875,
        "quantiles": [
          83312.4765625,
          83182.6640625,
          83219.65625,
          83250.953125,
          83275.125,
          83290.6796875,
          83314.7265625,
          83335.1328125,
          83375.5,
          83423.3203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "04c960c4c9ed6eba3969b6760175799f8e8323f1e4ab5ed1268507268a07846f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 22:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83271.96133333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:19.657314Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83271.96,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T22:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "255486.36",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00.686636Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "132961.06",
        "volume_fp": "574021.52",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6258.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2388.27",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,271.96"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T22:34:13.011865Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 3531.18,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:34:12.838184Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:34:13.011865Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:34:13.011865Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.32,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:19.657314Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83271.96,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T22:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "260735.76",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00.686636Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "132961.06",
              "volume_fp": "586995.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3531.18",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3825.21",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,271.96"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 3531.18,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "522": {
      "id": 522,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T22:19:11.589059Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071830-30",
      "strike": 83195.63,
      "predicted_close": 83213.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83271.96,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:19:11.589059Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 522,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83195.6255,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.107121,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.35,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 273,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.35,
          "total_deployed": 99.89999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 273.0,
          "gross_pnl": 177.45,
          "net_pnl": 173.10000000000002,
          "roi": 1.732732732732733,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2573.22
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 35.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 36.6,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 65.0,
          "net_pnl": 63.4,
          "roi": 1.7322404371584699,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2573.22
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        522
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83213.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83230.265625,
          83112.859375,
          83145.8515625,
          83176.0703125,
          83199.3359375,
          83213.5859375,
          83235.1484375,
          83251.8984375,
          83287.625,
          83335.296875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "bd3fd13e0ac0b82f137a759754c4e1d78d735df221b179fe315c9292cc9f9573",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 22:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83195.6255,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:19.378295Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83195.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T22:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "267267.90",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00.693773Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "523328.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2935.45",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3641.98",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,195.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T22:19:11.696180Z",
        "ask": 0.35,
        "depth": 2573.22,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:19:11.589059Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:19:11.696180Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:19:11.696180Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.34,
          "ask": 0.35,
          "midpoint": 0.345,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.35,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:19.378295Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83195.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T22:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "268935.77",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00.693773Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "530081.55",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2573.22",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4866.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,195.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.34,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.35,
            "yes_ask_size": 2573.22,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.66,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "520": {
      "id": 520,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T21:49:11.785589Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071800-00",
      "strike": 83177.69,
      "predicted_close": 83180.1015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83120.05,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:49:11.785589Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 520,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83177.68599999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133716,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.4,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 239,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 95.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 4.02,
          "total_deployed": 99.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9748.13
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.4,
          "gross_cost": 40.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 41.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -40.0,
          "net_pnl": -41.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9748.13
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        520
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83180.1015625,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b4716b6455d19ffb8c6e84a4fd7f8de5e91251341d87ecbb129cc0c422e53226",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83177.68599999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:18.827759Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83177.69,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "292198.23",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T21:45:00.696451Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "665332.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4516.61",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3586.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,177.69"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T21:49:11.919305Z",
        "ask": 0.4,
        "depth": 9748.13,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:49:11.785589Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:49:11.919305Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:49:11.919305Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.39,
          "ask": 0.4,
          "midpoint": 0.395,
          "last_price": 0.4,
          "implied_probability": 0.4,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:18.827759Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83177.69,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T22:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "297673.97",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T21:45:00.696451Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "675164.31",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9748.13",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "318.32",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,177.69"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.39,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.4,
            "yes_ask_size": 9748.13,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.61,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "519": {
      "id": 519,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T21:34:11.769957Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071745-45",
      "strike": 83293.61,
      "predicted_close": 83294.8359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83177.69,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T21:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:34:11.769957Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 519,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83293.61466666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11767,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.31,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 307,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 95.17,
          "trading_fee": 4.6,
          "total_deployed": 99.77,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.17,
          "net_pnl": -99.77,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3307.58
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 31.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 32.5,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -31.0,
          "net_pnl": -32.5,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3307.58
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        519
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83294.8359375,
        "quantiles": [
          83322.4375,
          83182.328125,
          83222.8984375,
          83255.5703125,
          83279.78125,
          83294.8359375,
          83319.5546875,
          83341.609375,
          83380.59375,
          83440.5234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b6853be66daab1eac38ff292773be5ee989bdbddc7160654e7af18aede8f7562",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 21:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83293.61466666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:18.546541Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T21:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83293.61,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T21:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "266384.43",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T21:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T21:30:00.721721Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "121536.48",
        "volume_fp": "506773.19",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2705.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3897.63",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,293.61"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T21:34:11.887627Z",
        "ask": 0.31,
        "depth": 3307.58,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:34:11.769957Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:34:11.887627Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:34:11.887627Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.305,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.31,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T21:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:18.546541Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T21:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83293.61,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T21:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "266439.20",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T21:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T21:30:00.721721Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "121536.48",
              "volume_fp": "510652.81",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3307.58",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3199.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,293.61"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.3,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.31,
            "yes_ask_size": 3307.58,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.7,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "517": {
      "id": 517,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T21:04:11.780458Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071715-15",
      "strike": 83392.87,
      "predicted_close": 83394.75,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83317.42,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:04:11.780458Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 517,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83392.8715,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.110311,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.21,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 451,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 94.71,
          "trading_fee": 5.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.94999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.71,
          "net_pnl": -99.94999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2121.74
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 21.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.17,
          "total_deployed": 22.17,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -21.0,
          "net_pnl": -22.17,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2121.74
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        517
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83394.75,
        "quantiles": [
          83430.609375,
          83272.6015625,
          83319.0078125,
          83353.78125,
          83379.15625,
          83394.75,
          83417.0234375,
          83443.875,
          83478.2578125,
          83534.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1796663d1c1d4f9e794373601409c03da72ebdb71a8ba577a09d54abf2425f96",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 20:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83392.8715,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T21:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:17.78219Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T21:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83392.87,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T21:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "294831.64",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T21:00:00.774621Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "93624.71",
        "volume_fp": "572120.43",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2716.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1675.57",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,392.87"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T21:04:11.890769Z",
        "ask": 0.21,
        "depth": 2121.74,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:04:11.780458Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:04:11.890769Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:04:11.890769Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.2,
          "ask": 0.21,
          "midpoint": 0.20500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.21,
          "implied_probability": 0.21,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T21:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:17.78219Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T21:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83392.87,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T21:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "298672.11",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T21:00:00.774621Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "93624.71",
              "volume_fp": "576986.75",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2121.74",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2367.51",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,392.87"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.2,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.21,
            "yes_ask_size": 2121.74,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.8,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "516": {
      "id": 516,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T20:49:11.261308Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071700-00",
      "strike": 83349.21,
      "predicted_close": 83357.2734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83392.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:49:11.261308Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 516,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83349.2145,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126954,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.41,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 234,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 95.94,
          "trading_fee": 3.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 234.0,
          "gross_pnl": 138.06,
          "net_pnl": 134.09,
          "roi": 1.3421078971073968,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3856.61
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 41.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 42.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 59.0,
          "net_pnl": 57.3,
          "roi": 1.3419203747072599,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3856.61
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        516
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83357.2734375,
        "quantiles": [
          83401.3828125,
          83240.3359375,
          83284.7578125,
          83317.6015625,
          83343.109375,
          83357.2734375,
          83379.953125,
          83411.65625,
          83450.390625,
          83499.828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3e39559b3490548d9fafa92ac4faef082c5b696e64e5e59272e0204448dd4729",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 20:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83349.2145,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:17.337803Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T21:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83349.21,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T21:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "214175.82",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00.700431Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "499733.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7946.07",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2425.17",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,349.21"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T20:49:11.388262Z",
        "ask": 0.41,
        "depth": 3856.61,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:49:11.261308Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:49:11.388262Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:49:11.388262Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.4,
          "ask": 0.41,
          "midpoint": 0.405,
          "last_price": 0.4,
          "implied_probability": 0.41,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T21:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:17.337803Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T21:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83349.21,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T21:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T21:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "216110.52",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00.700431Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "503314.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3856.61",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7836.78",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,349.21"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.4,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.41,
            "yes_ask_size": 3856.61,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.6,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "515": {
      "id": 515,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T20:34:12.037855Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071645-45",
      "strike": 83518.14,
      "predicted_close": 83518.5625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83349.21,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:12.037855Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 515,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83518.14316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118178,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.17,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 555,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 94.35000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.49,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1625.76
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 17.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.99,
          "total_deployed": 17.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -17.0,
          "net_pnl": -17.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1625.76
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        515
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83518.5625,
        "quantiles": [
          83567.390625,
          83403.1484375,
          83447.453125,
          83481.734375,
          83506.65625,
          83518.5625,
          83539.8125,
          83565.2890625,
          83602.2890625,
          83647.1015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "613005643972b5e5afc054565b4c86e0a30ed87e152ff8f70ad2eb5df6d12a1a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 20:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83518.14316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:17.067607Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83518.14,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T20:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "232751.29",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00.704434Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "126024.60",
        "volume_fp": "527632.84",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "828.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6999.82",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,518.14"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T20:34:12.156033Z",
        "ask": 0.17,
        "depth": 1625.76,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:12.037855Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:12.156033Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:12.156033Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.16,
          "ask": 0.17,
          "midpoint": 0.165,
          "last_price": 0.17,
          "implied_probability": 0.17,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:17.067607Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83518.14,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T20:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "233309.48",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00.704434Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "126024.60",
              "volume_fp": "529831.24",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1625.76",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7623.83",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,518.14"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.16,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.17,
            "yes_ask_size": 1625.76,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.84,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "514": {
      "id": 514,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T20:19:11.535662Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071630-30",
      "strike": 83506.46,
      "predicted_close": 83509.6328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83518.14,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:19:11.535662Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 514,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83506.46383333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114061,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 164.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 64.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.6475788627687363,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5913.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.0,
          "net_pnl": 39.3,
          "roi": 0.6474464579901152,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5913.57
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        514
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83509.6328125,
        "quantiles": [
          83560.7890625,
          83391.9765625,
          83438.734375,
          83473.25,
          83498.6171875,
          83509.6328125,
          83532.8515625,
          83559.328125,
          83602.609375,
          83652.2578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "50de56dbd4796f50c80a0da025de5b6e23c9a1d12aceaf583c4b0b5b4d7cb2d9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83506.46383333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:16.428772Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83506.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "245985.60",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00.676672Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "542514.11",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1256.38",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8340.66",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,506.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T20:19:11.649723Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 5913.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:19:11.535662Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:19:11.649723Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:19:11.649723Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:16.428772Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83506.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "246344.81",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00.676672Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "545212.20",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5913.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6483.33",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,506.46"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 5913.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "512": {
      "id": 512,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T19:49:11.918826Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071600-00",
      "strike": 83411.94,
      "predicted_close": 83415.0859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83382.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:49:11.918826Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 512,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83411.94483333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131492,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.16,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 590,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 94.4,
          "trading_fee": 5.56,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.4,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2445.06
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 16.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 16.95,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -16.0,
          "net_pnl": -16.95,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2445.06
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        512
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83415.0859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83468.875,
          83280.890625,
          83335.8984375,
          83375.8828125,
          83403.3046875,
          83415.0859375,
          83440.3125,
          83465.6875,
          83514.0078125,
          83567.5
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6eeef8709f352ba51102a3ab8abdba31948e8349484360552d9cd7aede008f05",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83411.94483333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:15.898228Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83411.94,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "350777.49",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00.682053Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "617856.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8653.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "886.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,411.94"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T19:49:12.050318Z",
        "ask": 0.16,
        "depth": 2445.06,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:49:11.918826Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:49:12.050318Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:49:12.050318Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.15,
          "ask": 0.16,
          "midpoint": 0.155,
          "last_price": 0.16,
          "implied_probability": 0.16,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:15.898228Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83411.94,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "353476.70",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00.682053Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "625240.70",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2445.06",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7429.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,411.94"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.15,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.16,
            "yes_ask_size": 2445.06,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.85,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "511": {
      "id": 511,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T19:34:11.638692Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071545-45",
      "strike": 83416.25,
      "predicted_close": 83424.15625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83411.94,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:34:11.638692Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 511,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83416.25333333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118128,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 167,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 96.86,
          "trading_fee": 2.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.86,
          "net_pnl": -99.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8203.41
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 57.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 59.709999999999994,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -57.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -59.709999999999994,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8203.41
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        511
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83424.15625,
        "quantiles": [
          83477.0078125,
          83293.03125,
          83346.3515625,
          83386.25,
          83413.015625,
          83424.15625,
          83452.203125,
          83479.453125,
          83525.3671875,
          83581.625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "936a66e58810ac516689fff6fa72f733f18a8332229472cae6f28a5012df3c92",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 19:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83416.25333333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:15.550363Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83416.25,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T19:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "209869.44",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00.678762Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "152841.61",
        "volume_fp": "558875.74",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1668.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6845.69",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,416.25"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T19:34:11.756820Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 8203.41,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:34:11.638692Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:34:11.756820Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:34:11.756820Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.57,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:15.550363Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83416.25,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T19:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "217011.09",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00.678762Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "152841.61",
              "volume_fp": "581274.04",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8203.41",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3810.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,416.25"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 8203.41,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "508": {
      "id": 508,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T18:49:12.358947Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T19:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071500-00",
      "strike": 83286.61,
      "predicted_close": 83289.234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83373.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T18:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:49:12.358947Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 508,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83286.61099999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127976,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.63,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 154,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 97.02,
          "trading_fee": 2.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 154.0,
          "gross_pnl": 56.980000000000004,
          "net_pnl": 54.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.5471167369901548,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10876.08
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 63.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 64.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 37.0,
          "net_pnl": 35.36,
          "roi": 0.5470297029702971,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10876.08
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        508
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83289.234375,
        "quantiles": [
          83347.203125,
          83147.8046875,
          83202.859375,
          83242.6015625,
          83268.4609375,
          83289.234375,
          83318.6640625,
          83352.3828125,
          83397.890625,
          83472.828125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "421e048e70e09156dcc3127f6bd2cf0ef1518c84d2fef8ec765a7957993c6f5e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 18:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83286.61099999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T19:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:14.600414Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83286.61,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T19:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "261719.13",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T18:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T18:45:00.710413Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "560630.31",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11701.31",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4300.45",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,286.61"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T18:49:12.486923Z",
        "ask": 0.63,
        "depth": 10876.08,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:49:12.358947Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:49:12.486923Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:49:12.486923Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.62,
          "ask": 0.63,
          "midpoint": 0.625,
          "last_price": 0.62,
          "implied_probability": 0.63,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T19:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:14.600414Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83286.61,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T19:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T19:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "271461.71",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T18:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T18:45:00.710413Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "587324.69",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10876.08",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "488.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,286.61"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.62,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.63,
            "yes_ask_size": 10876.08,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.38,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "506": {
      "id": 506,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T18:19:11.406361Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071430-30",
      "strike": 83297.34,
      "predicted_close": 83316.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83308.98,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:19:11.406361Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 506,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83297.34083333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122876,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.24,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 395,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 94.8,
          "trading_fee": 5.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 395.0,
          "gross_pnl": 300.2,
          "net_pnl": 295.15,
          "roi": 2.955933900851277,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1507.19
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 24.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 25.28,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 76.0,
          "net_pnl": 74.72,
          "roi": 2.9556962025316453,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1507.19
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        506
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83316.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83396.328125,
          83154.4140625,
          83217.359375,
          83258.265625,
          83288.6875,
          83316.703125,
          83355.5859375,
          83394.6015625,
          83450.9375,
          83533.4140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "54b5b107b2be48839496d00c1d3ff8ae1f04cb831e65e7bd194d51fc26340218",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 18:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83297.34083333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T18:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.980976Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071430",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83297.34,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T18:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "198945.99",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071430-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00.708146Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "551357.24",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8631.82",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1122.04",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,297.34"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T18:19:11.529237Z",
        "ask": 0.24,
        "depth": 1507.19,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:19:11.406361Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:19:11.529237Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:19:11.529237Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.23,
          "ask": 0.24,
          "midpoint": 0.235,
          "last_price": 0.23,
          "implied_probability": 0.24,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T18:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.980976Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071430",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83297.34,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T18:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "201582.78",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071430-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00.708146Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "571006.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1507.19",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9197.90",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,297.34"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.23,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.24,
            "yes_ask_size": 1507.19,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.77,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "505": {
      "id": 505,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T18:04:11.323116Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071415-15",
      "strike": 83115.01,
      "predicted_close": 83138.1953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83297.34,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:04:11.323116Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 505,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83115.00983333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123666,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.91,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 109,
          "entry_price": 0.91,
          "gross_cost": 99.19,
          "trading_fee": 0.63,
          "total_deployed": 99.82,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 109.0,
          "gross_pnl": 9.810000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 9.180000000000007,
          "roi": 0.09196553796834309,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2523.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.91,
          "gross_cost": 91.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.58,
          "total_deployed": 91.58,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 9.0,
          "net_pnl": 8.420000000000002,
          "roi": 0.0919414719371042,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2523.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        505
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83138.1953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83196.546875,
          82989.8046875,
          83047.578125,
          83083.125,
          83114.140625,
          83138.1953125,
          83173.90625,
          83208.75,
          83262.8984375,
          83334.28125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "deea5c42c291483c60780b7f4061201bd9d96cf61b4741fe111833507428bf26",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83115.00983333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.688504Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83115.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9010",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.0990",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.0980",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "293157.58",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T18:00:00.798765Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "146745.44",
        "volume_fp": "563194.43",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9020",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4254.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9010",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "667.19",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,115.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T18:04:11.446782Z",
        "ask": 0.91,
        "depth": 2523.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:04:11.323116Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:04:11.446782Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:04:11.446782Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.909,
          "ask": 0.91,
          "midpoint": 0.9095,
          "last_price": 0.909,
          "implied_probability": 0.91,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.688504Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83115.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9090",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0910",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "297808.89",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T18:00:00.798765Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "146745.44",
              "volume_fp": "571777.80",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2523.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9090",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "813.86",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,115.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.909,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.91,
            "yes_ask_size": 2523.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.091,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "504": {
      "id": 504,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T17:49:12.185599Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071400-00",
      "strike": 83047.88,
      "predicted_close": 83052.7734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83115.01,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:49:12.185599Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 504,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83047.87550000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.10715,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 152.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.72,
          "net_pnl": 52.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.5239623019851615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7153.89
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.0,
          "net_pnl": 34.379999999999995,
          "roi": 0.5239256324291374,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7153.89
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        504
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83052.7734375,
        "quantiles": [
          83102.03125,
          82879.1328125,
          82948.2109375,
          82991.5546875,
          83026.2265625,
          83052.7734375,
          83092.375,
          83132.0,
          83189.7421875,
          83273.328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "eb1032b8a7756cac74e6c4b517b1fa8290580c691c4a83a8a47903ed5dc34a5f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 17:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83047.87550000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.424396Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83047.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T18:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "231141.65",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:45:00.698996Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "499126.10",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6862.92",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7379.67",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,047.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T17:49:12.292749Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 7153.89,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:49:12.185599Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:49:12.292749Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:49:12.292749Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T18:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.424396Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83047.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T18:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T18:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "231088.87",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:45:00.698996Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "501922.11",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7153.89",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7883.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,047.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 7153.89,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "503": {
      "id": 503,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T17:34:11.815789Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071345-45",
      "strike": 83170.45,
      "predicted_close": 83196.6953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83047.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:34:11.815789Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 503,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83170.45233333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.109295,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.54,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 179,
          "entry_price": 0.54,
          "gross_cost": 96.66000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.12,
          "total_deployed": 99.78000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.66000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.78000000000002,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 789.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.54,
          "gross_cost": 54.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 55.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -54.0,
          "net_pnl": -55.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 789.57
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        503
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83196.6953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83249.2578125,
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          83078.3828125,
          83124.625,
          83165.890625,
          83196.6953125,
          83240.515625,
          83278.8984375,
          83339.8203125,
          83425.171875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "195780993c568b55855ef8588bd965b1cd5a90f8f72f36304eccc7590114e344",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 17:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83170.45233333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.12308Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83170.45,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "228521.50",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
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            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:30:00.669858Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "152866.88",
        "volume_fp": "543403.77",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5298.93",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7483.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,170.45"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T17:34:11.925084Z",
        "ask": 0.54,
        "depth": 789.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:34:11.815789Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:34:11.925084Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:34:11.925084Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.53,
          "ask": 0.54,
          "midpoint": 0.535,
          "last_price": 0.53,
          "implied_probability": 0.54,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:13.12308Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83170.45,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "230440.35",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "152866.88",
              "volume_fp": "559637.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "789.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9391.40",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,170.45"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.53,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.54,
            "yes_ask_size": 789.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.47,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "502": {
      "id": 502,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T17:19:12.038476Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071330-30",
      "strike": 83488.31,
      "predicted_close": 83504.9765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83170.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:19:12.038476Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 502,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83488.307,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122039,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.42,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 228,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 95.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.89,
          "total_deployed": 99.64999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.64999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4204.06
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 42.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 43.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -42.0,
          "net_pnl": -43.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4204.06
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        502
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83504.9765625,
        "quantiles": [
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "94a1afbbf30896159469b0be8e15a555026f590b86178a4c8252c5cba0c0b362",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 17:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83488.307,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:12.845191Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83488.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "244660.13",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:15:00.669809Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "534477.43",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9310.15",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "385.87",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,488.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T17:19:12.160515Z",
        "ask": 0.42,
        "depth": 4204.06,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:19:12.038476Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:19:12.160515Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:19:12.160515Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.41,
          "ask": 0.42,
          "midpoint": 0.415,
          "last_price": 0.42,
          "implied_probability": 0.42,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:12.845191Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83488.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "247260.23",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:15:00.669809Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "541079.84",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4204.06",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6204.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,488.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.41,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.42,
            "yes_ask_size": 4204.06,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.59,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "501": {
      "id": 501,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T17:04:11.566577Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071315-15",
      "strike": 83355.86,
      "predicted_close": 83362.859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83488.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:04:11.566577Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 501,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83355.86116666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113199,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.89,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 111,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 98.79,
          "trading_fee": 0.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.56,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 111.0,
          "gross_pnl": 12.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 11.439999999999998,
          "roi": 0.11490558457211729,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6361.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 89.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 89.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.310000000000002,
          "roi": 0.114951499609767,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6361.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        501
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83362.859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83415.6875,
          83220.4921875,
          83274.8828125,
          83308.7109375,
          83342.1796875,
          83362.859375,
          83396.484375,
          83425.0703125,
          83475.8359375,
          83539.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3ceb91d53ac636d72b3ed021eea4ba026905c543edb63bf9dc19f549e0615e03",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 16:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83355.86116666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:12.58186Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83355.86,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "289238.57",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:00:00.766257Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "132824.87",
        "volume_fp": "728592.19",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1425.55",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9525.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,355.86"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T17:04:11.679776Z",
        "ask": 0.89,
        "depth": 6361.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:04:11.566577Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:04:11.679776Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:04:11.679776Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.88,
          "ask": 0.89,
          "midpoint": 0.885,
          "last_price": 0.89,
          "implied_probability": 0.89,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:12.58186Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83355.86,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "296229.72",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T17:00:00.766257Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "132824.87",
              "volume_fp": "743071.16",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6361.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5309.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,355.86"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.88,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.89,
            "yes_ask_size": 6361.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.12,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "500": {
      "id": 500,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T16:49:12.103656Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071300-00",
      "strike": 83399.03,
      "predicted_close": 83413.21875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83355.86,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:49:12.103656Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 500,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83399.03383333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124922,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.39,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 245,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.08,
          "total_deployed": 99.63,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.63,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3743.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 39.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 40.67,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -39.0,
          "net_pnl": -40.67,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3743.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        500
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83413.21875,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1ec0f45e33718f51a16825656e7430a3ce222c1b71117419c8978ee6148b9c9f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 16:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83399.03383333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:12.286053Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83399.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "168181.08",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:45:00.728797Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "579061.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3636.20",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6007.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,399.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T16:49:12.228578Z",
        "ask": 0.39,
        "depth": 3743.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:49:12.103656Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:49:12.228578Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:49:12.228578Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.38,
          "ask": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.385,
          "last_price": 0.38,
          "implied_probability": 0.39,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T17:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:12.286053Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T17:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83399.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T17:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T17:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "167812.71",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:45:00.728797Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "581453.24",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3743.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6030.59",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,399.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.38,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.39,
            "yes_ask_size": 3743.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.62,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "499": {
      "id": 499,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T16:34:11.159789Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071245-45",
      "strike": 83532.9,
      "predicted_close": 83563.4375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83399.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:34:11.159789Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 499,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83532.9,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.112184,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.75,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 131,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 98.25,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.25,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6005.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 75.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 76.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -75.0,
          "net_pnl": -76.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6005.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        499
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83563.4375,
        "quantiles": [
          83610.734375,
          83403.625,
          83465.625,
          83508.4609375,
          83542.8203125,
          83563.4375,
          83599.75,
          83627.2734375,
          83673.484375,
          83741.0078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "da71915ab3e4b2bdc560fbd2da9132905b9556e4f42f25f769ecc492afca08dd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 16:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83532.9,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:11.814338Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83532.9,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "276900.38",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00.680629Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "117381.58",
        "volume_fp": "666399.87",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7922.42",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4392.89",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,532.90"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T16:34:11.271973Z",
        "ask": 0.75,
        "depth": 6005.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:34:11.159789Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:34:11.271973Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:34:11.271973Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.74,
          "ask": 0.75,
          "midpoint": 0.745,
          "last_price": 0.74,
          "implied_probability": 0.75,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:11.814338Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83532.9,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "281045.87",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00.680629Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "117381.58",
              "volume_fp": "675911.03",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6005.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3896.49",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,532.90"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.74,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.75,
            "yes_ask_size": 6005.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.26,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "498": {
      "id": 498,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T16:19:11.582015Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071230-30",
      "strike": 83475.38,
      "predicted_close": 83501.46875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83532.9,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:19:11.582015Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 498,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83475.37533333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117647,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.8,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 123,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 98.4,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 123.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.599999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 23.22,
          "roi": 0.232711966325917,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7290.65
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 80.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 81.12,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 20.0,
          "net_pnl": 18.879999999999995,
          "roi": 0.2327416173570019,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7290.65
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        498
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83501.46875,
        "quantiles": [
          83549.828125,
          83322.1484375,
          83390.046875,
          83437.921875,
          83478.015625,
          83501.46875,
          83542.0703125,
          83572.046875,
          83626.7265625,
          83704.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7b8a68c48c504ccf0a44ee1c26e5c481aa16194fe8df71811f2d9493de6ae9b5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 16:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83475.37533333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:11.536039Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83475.38,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "224618.08",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00.679116Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "467178.32",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7290.65",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "333.19",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,475.38"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T16:19:11.699662Z",
        "ask": 0.8,
        "depth": 7290.65,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:19:11.582015Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:19:11.699662Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:19:11.699662Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.79,
          "ask": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.795,
          "last_price": 0.79,
          "implied_probability": 0.8,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:11.536039Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83475.38,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "224618.08",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00.679116Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "467178.32",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7290.65",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "333.19",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,475.38"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.79,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.8,
            "yes_ask_size": 7290.65,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.21,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "497": {
      "id": 497,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T16:04:12.269345Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071215-15",
      "strike": 83406.45,
      "predicted_close": 83430.5390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83475.38,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:04:12.269345Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 497,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83406.44783333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.111338,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 152.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.72,
          "net_pnl": 52.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.5239623019851615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 551.45
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.0,
          "net_pnl": 34.379999999999995,
          "roi": 0.5239256324291374,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 551.45
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        497
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83430.5390625,
        "quantiles": [
          83474.828125,
          83276.4375,
          83335.3515625,
          83377.140625,
          83411.359375,
          83430.5390625,
          83463.3515625,
          83488.609375,
          83533.5859375,
          83599.6875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "fd08e7aa2fdb973b1da66c13bfa0826a6ce06e5aafd4016c555f15410d1151b7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83406.44783333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:11.205097Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83406.45,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "237107.18",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00.761599Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "161512.94",
        "volume_fp": "668075.15",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "73.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4757.40",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,406.45"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T16:04:12.380683Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 551.45,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:04:12.269345Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:04:12.380683Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:04:12.380683Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.63,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:11.205097Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83406.45,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "245919.87",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00.761599Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "161512.94",
              "volume_fp": "683187.72",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "551.45",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6849.23",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,406.45"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 551.45,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "496": {
      "id": 496,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T15:49:12.124569Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071200-00",
      "strike": 83280.34,
      "predicted_close": 83292.78125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83406.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:49:12.124569Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 496,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83280.33700000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113468,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 197.0,
          "gross_pnl": 100.47,
          "net_pnl": 97.02,
          "roi": 0.9703940788157631,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6250.47
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 51.0,
          "net_pnl": 49.25,
          "roi": 0.9704433497536946,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6250.47
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        496
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83292.78125,
        "quantiles": [
          83345.296875,
          83132.1015625,
          83192.8984375,
          83238.6015625,
          83273.359375,
          83292.78125,
          83323.8984375,
          83351.59375,
          83391.3046875,
          83460.265625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b54f753fa255d32e27e34ed7ef133ff868351ef7f57820447e5df0aaecbaf2d5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83280.33700000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:10.913454Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83280.34,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "183198.38",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T15:45:00.834903Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "355855.15",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1794.25",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4260.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,280.34"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T15:49:12.238037Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 6250.47,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:49:12.124569Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:49:12.238037Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:49:12.238037Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:10.913454Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83280.34,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T16:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "187306.02",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T15:45:00.834903Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "371198.78",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6250.47",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1825.86",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,280.34"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 6250.47,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "495": {
      "id": 495,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T15:34:12.036109Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071145-45",
      "strike": 83009.13,
      "predicted_close": 83015.4453125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83280.34,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:34:12.036109Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 495,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83009.134,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.103256,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.89,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 111,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 98.79,
          "trading_fee": 0.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.56,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 111.0,
          "gross_pnl": 12.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 11.439999999999998,
          "roi": 0.11490558457211729,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2580.74
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 89.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 89.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.310000000000002,
          "roi": 0.114951499609767,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2580.74
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        495
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83015.4453125,
        "quantiles": [
          83066.7578125,
          82922.7265625,
          82954.5625,
          82980.859375,
          83003.9453125,
          83015.4453125,
          83037.9453125,
          83054.9296875,
          83086.546875,
          83137.859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "07e9031ab6e186ff27cc827474e8061582a252418010f9d27cbda8b5b12cd453",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 15:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83009.134,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:10.650974Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83009.13,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T15:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "329129.59",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00.697961Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "73747.25",
        "volume_fp": "513162.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6254.58",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4931.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,009.13"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T15:34:12.139365Z",
        "ask": 0.89,
        "depth": 2580.74,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:34:12.036109Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:34:12.139365Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:34:12.139365Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.88,
          "ask": 0.89,
          "midpoint": 0.885,
          "last_price": 0.89,
          "implied_probability": 0.89,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T15:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:10.650974Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83009.13,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T15:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T15:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "334670.80",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00.697961Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "73747.25",
              "volume_fp": "519047.38",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2580.74",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6997.05",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,009.13"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.88,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.89,
            "yes_ask_size": 2580.74,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.12,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "490": {
      "id": 490,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T14:19:11.411354Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071030-30",
      "strike": 83142.31,
      "predicted_close": 83146.96875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83031.07,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:19:11.411354Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 490,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83142.30549999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.116051,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.26,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        490
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83146.96875,
        "quantiles": [
          83194.625,
          83053.4375,
          83086.765625,
          83110.3203125,
          83135.9609375,
          83146.96875,
          83168.375,
          83179.09375,
          83211.3515625,
          83261.3359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d7ad3ac0da2db78504d8fe5f2765fafd4e3a6dc80e131dce83b73a1f333682e8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 14:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83142.30549999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T14:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:09.125502Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T14:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83142.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T14:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "227872.01",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T14:15:00.674101Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "454839.15",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10847.33",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3367.42",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,142.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T14:19:11.527405Z",
        "ask": 0.26,
        "depth": 81.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:19:11.411354Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:19:11.527405Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:19:11.527405Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.25,
          "ask": 0.26,
          "midpoint": 0.255,
          "last_price": 0.26,
          "implied_probability": 0.26,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T14:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:09.125502Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T14:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83142.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T14:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "233713.93",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T14:15:00.674101Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "464104.71",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "81.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "15869.60",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,142.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.25,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.26,
            "yes_ask_size": 81.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.75,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "489": {
      "id": 489,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T14:04:11.696069Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071015-15",
      "strike": 83180.95,
      "predicted_close": 83196.421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83142.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:04:11.696069Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 489,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83180.94616666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114953,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        489
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83196.421875,
        "quantiles": [
          83243.609375,
          83064.71875,
          83114.1015625,
          83148.34375,
          83180.09375,
          83196.421875,
          83225.28125,
          83239.8984375,
          83278.5390625,
          83338.921875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e815f80a653e114e605419d71ab336d72ab3a0e94c04310f663e36f6fb0fd42a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 13:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83180.94616666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:08.832455Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T14:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83180.95,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T14:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "186576.96",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T14:00:00.756953Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "80651.30",
        "volume_fp": "468250.20",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1671.49",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10926.91",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,180.95"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T14:04:11.811022Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 54.11,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:04:11.696069Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:04:11.811022Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:04:11.811022Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.47,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "last_price": 0.47,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T14:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:08.832455Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T14:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83180.95,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T14:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "188199.88",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T14:00:00.756953Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "80651.30",
              "volume_fp": "478471.32",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "54.11",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7948.88",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,180.95"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.47,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 54.11,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.53,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "488": {
      "id": 488,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T13:49:11.806297Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071000-00",
      "strike": 83072.73,
      "predicted_close": 83084.8046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83180.95,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:49:11.806297Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 488,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83072.72966666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.119779,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.3,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 317,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 95.1,
          "trading_fee": 4.66,
          "total_deployed": 99.75999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 317.0,
          "gross_pnl": 221.9,
          "net_pnl": 217.24,
          "roi": 2.1776263031275063,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9862.08
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 30.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 31.47,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 70.0,
          "net_pnl": 68.53,
          "roi": 2.1776294884016525,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9862.08
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        488
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83084.8046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83136.2578125,
          82914.734375,
          82981.0390625,
          83025.765625,
          83064.4609375,
          83084.8046875,
          83122.265625,
          83146.2890625,
          83196.4296875,
          83277.4296875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "82ab694b6e3ef9b3f30141aed259ae4498c5b623e584ae72ef581a58bc4f3d1b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 13:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83072.72966666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:08.568731Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T14:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83072.73,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T14:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "259832.58",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:45:00.864143Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "590691.13",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7254.96",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2155.62",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,072.73"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T13:49:11.926076Z",
        "ask": 0.3,
        "depth": 9862.08,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:49:11.806297Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:49:11.926076Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:49:11.926076Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.29,
          "ask": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.295,
          "last_price": 0.29,
          "implied_probability": 0.3,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T14:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:08.568731Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T14:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83072.73,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T14:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T14:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "259468.13",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT071000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:45:00.864143Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "591249.42",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9862.08",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1025.97",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,072.73"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.29,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.3,
            "yes_ask_size": 9862.08,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.71,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "487": {
      "id": 487,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T13:34:11.649052Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070945-45",
      "strike": 83299.08,
      "predicted_close": 83313.4765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83072.73,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:34:11.649052Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 487,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83299.08349999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124652,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.66,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        487
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83313.4765625,
        "quantiles": [
          83357.953125,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "37d1427644fed12dda2b3d267c3d2d28cdc81674dff6507a55d15aaab802d806",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 13:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83299.08349999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:08.306013Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83299.08,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "203633.83",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00.67901Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "181945.97",
        "volume_fp": "566572.17",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9888.28",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "72.73",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,299.08"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T13:34:11.773704Z",
        "ask": 0.66,
        "depth": 1.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:34:11.649052Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:34:11.773704Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:34:11.773704Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.65,
          "ask": 0.66,
          "midpoint": 0.655,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.66,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:08.306013Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83299.08,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "203829.40",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00.67901Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "181945.97",
              "volume_fp": "567940.77",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10852.27",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,299.08"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.65,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.66,
            "yes_ask_size": 1.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.35,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "486": {
      "id": 486,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T13:19:11.070799Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070930-30",
      "strike": 83345.82,
      "predicted_close": 83353.0703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83299.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:19:11.070799Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 486,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83345.81683333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.109962,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.3,
          "net_pnl": -99.35,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7888.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -70.0,
          "net_pnl": -71.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7888.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        486
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83353.0703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83397.6640625,
          83277.3046875,
          83312.4609375,
          83330.28125,
          83343.421875,
          83353.0703125,
          83375.7265625,
          83389.4453125,
          83411.828125,
          83470.375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9296daa6cd4ff1d7e71fac8a5c998f5ad815dc573eda5b7e46baf806f8fa5c3f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 13:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83345.81683333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.994349Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83345.82,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "165168.94",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:15:00.683746Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "410803.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5313.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2173.41",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,345.82"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T13:19:11.180761Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 7888.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:19:11.070799Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:19:11.180761Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:19:11.180761Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.69,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.994349Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83345.82,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "173881.80",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:15:00.683746Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "423461.18",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7888.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "920.26",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,345.82"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 7888.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "485": {
      "id": 485,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T13:04:11.785517Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070915-15",
      "strike": 83449.86,
      "predicted_close": 83458.0625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83345.82,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:04:11.785517Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 485,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83449.85716666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122372,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.3,
          "net_pnl": -99.35,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8482.89
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -70.0,
          "net_pnl": -71.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8482.89
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        485
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83458.0625,
        "quantiles": [
          83505.140625,
          83379.6875,
          83416.4609375,
          83435.109375,
          83448.6328125,
          83458.0625,
          83480.2421875,
          83492.015625,
          83513.828125,
          83571.296875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "27025df4c47560040d51f23f5cefd606d8f4bef92c6e7e5a25c616860ab13b9b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 12:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83449.85716666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.724128Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83449.86,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "150613.81",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:00:00.785362Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "107966.18",
        "volume_fp": "463085.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5361.49",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5256.07",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,449.86"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T13:04:11.907889Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 8482.89,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:04:11.785517Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:04:11.907889Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:04:11.907889Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.724128Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83449.86,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "151041.10",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T13:00:00.785362Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "107966.18",
              "volume_fp": "466099.72",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8482.89",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4030.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,449.86"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 8482.89,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "484": {
      "id": 484,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T12:49:11.964409Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070900-00",
      "strike": 83483.44,
      "predicted_close": 83510.5,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83449.86,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:49:11.964409Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 484,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83483.44399999997,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114545,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.28,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 340,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 95.2,
          "trading_fee": 4.8,
          "total_deployed": 100.0,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.2,
          "net_pnl": -100.0,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10333.96
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 28.000000000000004,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 29.42,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.000000000000004,
          "net_pnl": -29.42,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10333.96
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        484
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83510.5,
        "quantiles": [
          83561.5390625,
          83433.078125,
          83467.9609375,
          83485.25,
          83499.34375,
          83510.5,
          83535.234375,
          83553.046875,
          83585.421875,
          83646.609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "695f11a44e0616e75e80cbddbebb91baa187ad4e5b161f33ffbe461a8605e2cc",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 12:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83483.44399999997,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.457158Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83483.44,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "139078.71",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:45:00.666913Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "387857.42",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2170.44",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7727.07",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,483.44"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T12:49:12.078954Z",
        "ask": 0.28,
        "depth": 10333.96,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:49:11.964409Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:49:12.078954Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:49:12.078954Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.27,
          "ask": 0.28,
          "midpoint": 0.275,
          "last_price": 0.28,
          "implied_probability": 0.28,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T13:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.457158Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070900",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83483.44,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T13:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T13:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "143247.06",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070900-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:45:00.666913Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "393701.65",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10333.96",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2050.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,483.44"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.27,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.28,
            "yes_ask_size": 10333.96,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.73,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "483": {
      "id": 483,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T12:34:12.230345Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070845-45",
      "strike": 83439.89,
      "predicted_close": 83460.40625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83483.44,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:34:12.230345Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 483,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83439.89416666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.1717,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.74,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 132,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 97.67999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.46,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 132.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.32000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 32.540000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3271667001809774,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1800.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 74.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 75.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.0,
          "net_pnl": 24.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.32714001327140024,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1800.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        483
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83460.40625,
        "quantiles": [
          83511.0546875,
          83348.9453125,
          83397.96875,
          83421.859375,
          83444.140625,
          83460.40625,
          83488.2109375,
          83513.0625,
          83551.765625,
          83621.65625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3c614001a2b5901e31943df64647a31cc51404936c5cf60f03d835a90359e8d4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 12:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83439.89416666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.045573Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83439.89,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "174817.15",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:30:00.671945Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "94633.61",
        "volume_fp": "409821.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6912.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1873.74",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,439.89"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T12:34:12.402045Z",
        "ask": 0.74,
        "depth": 1800.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:34:12.230345Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:34:12.402045Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:34:12.402045Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.73,
          "ask": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.735,
          "last_price": 0.73,
          "implied_probability": 0.74,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:07.045573Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83439.89,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "182123.51",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:30:00.671945Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "94633.61",
              "volume_fp": "456608.33",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1800.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3784.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,439.89"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.73,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.74,
            "yes_ask_size": 1800.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.27,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "482": {
      "id": 482,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T12:19:11.782232Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070830-30",
      "strike": 83623.03,
      "predicted_close": 83644.421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83439.89,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:19:11.782232Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 482,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83623.02600000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.137064,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1521.45
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1521.45
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        482
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83644.421875,
        "quantiles": [
          83696.40625,
          83573.1953125,
          83604.4453125,
          83619.9921875,
          83635.6640625,
          83644.421875,
          83665.609375,
          83683.2265625,
          83711.515625,
          83768.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "64c74fd5ffde730b0941315ce2814923922fd04857643350e1f79cac73f1055f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 12:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83623.02600000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:06.776988Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83623.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "169686.24",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:15:00.678852Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "331711.14",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1276.18",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9485.32",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,623.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T12:19:11.919296Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 1521.45,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:19:11.782232Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:19:11.919296Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:19:11.919296Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:06.776988Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83623.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "169706.16",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:15:00.678852Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "331741.08",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1521.45",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9549.30",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,623.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 1521.45,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "481": {
      "id": 481,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T12:04:15.459299Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070815-15",
      "strike": 83710.72,
      "predicted_close": 83723.546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83623.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:04:15.459299Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 481,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83710.71666666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118288,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.2,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 473,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 94.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.3,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4332.35
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 20.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 21.12,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -20.0,
          "net_pnl": -21.12,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4332.35
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        481
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83723.546875,
        "quantiles": [
          83764.671875,
          83611.234375,
          83660.6640625,
          83678.9609375,
          83699.859375,
          83723.546875,
          83747.515625,
          83768.7265625,
          83792.578125,
          83850.1328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "24c2c43fe017562c6eb4f58446fdf3229a6d53971e82c831425c8d1e3dd21f94",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 11:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83710.71666666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:06.289324Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070815",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83710.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "160263.51",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070815-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:00:01.4272Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "108746.47",
        "volume_fp": "307528.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6068.73",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "945.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,710.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T12:04:15.577587Z",
        "ask": 0.2,
        "depth": 4332.35,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:04:15.459299Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:04:15.577587Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:04:15.577587Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.19,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.195,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:06.289324Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070815",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83710.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "162943.48",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070815-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T12:00:01.4272Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "108746.47",
              "volume_fp": "311134.20",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4332.35",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2581.12",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,710.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.19,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.2,
            "yes_ask_size": 4332.35,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.81,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "480": {
      "id": 480,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T11:49:12.022592Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070800-00",
      "strike": 83624.07,
      "predicted_close": 83624.6171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83710.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:49:12.022592Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 480,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83624.07183333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118547,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.37,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 258,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 95.46,
          "trading_fee": 4.21,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 258.0,
          "gross_pnl": 162.54000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 158.33,
          "roi": 1.588542189224441,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 559.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 37.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 38.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 63.0,
          "net_pnl": 61.36,
          "roi": 1.5879917184265009,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 559.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        480
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83624.6171875,
        "quantiles": [
          83667.0234375,
          83535.6328125,
          83578.046875,
          83597.2890625,
          83611.0625,
          83624.6171875,
          83645.078125,
          83659.8359375,
          83687.53125,
          83743.90625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5bddb8f6312c8c4bfb9afd069c00cb701651baae5116991909a285ae719d4416",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 11:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83624.07183333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:05.969013Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83624.07,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "166535.86",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:45:00.665178Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "377619.26",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4074.87",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8225.32",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,624.07"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T11:49:12.141139Z",
        "ask": 0.37,
        "depth": 559.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:49:12.022592Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:49:12.141139Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:49:12.141139Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.36,
          "ask": 0.37,
          "midpoint": 0.365,
          "last_price": 0.36,
          "implied_probability": 0.37,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T12:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:05.969013Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T12:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83624.07,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T12:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T12:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "169751.55",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:45:00.665178Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "384473.44",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "559.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8433.35",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,624.07"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.36,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.37,
            "yes_ask_size": 559.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.64,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "479": {
      "id": 479,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T11:34:12.129225Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070745-45",
      "strike": 83700.46,
      "predicted_close": 83703.96875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83624.07,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:34:12.129225Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 479,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83700.45633333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117724,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.44,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 218,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 95.92,
          "trading_fee": 3.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5875.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 44.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 45.73,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -44.0,
          "net_pnl": -45.73,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5875.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        479
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83703.96875,
        "quantiles": [
          83749.375,
          83621.8984375,
          83660.7890625,
          83679.6875,
          83693.5,
          83703.96875,
          83724.2109375,
          83737.7734375,
          83758.8671875,
          83812.1640625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a6c7a902da8eea15f4d127a292780f60400a1c5e11c623c6cfb05bfd265b3be5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 11:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83700.45633333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:05.653585Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83700.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "151115.57",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:30:00.685168Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "102397.70",
        "volume_fp": "351719.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "370.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5404.17",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,700.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T11:34:12.246949Z",
        "ask": 0.44,
        "depth": 5875.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:34:12.129225Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:34:12.246949Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:34:12.246949Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.43,
          "ask": 0.44,
          "midpoint": 0.435,
          "last_price": 0.43,
          "implied_probability": 0.44,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:05.653585Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83700.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "151513.19",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:30:00.685168Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "102397.70",
              "volume_fp": "350966.75",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5875.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5442.58",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,700.46"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.43,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.44,
            "yes_ask_size": 5875.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.57,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "478": {
      "id": 478,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T11:19:11.781506Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070730-30",
      "strike": 83796.16,
      "predicted_close": 83802.2265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83700.46,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:19:11.781506Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 478,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83796.15666666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117879,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.17,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 555,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 94.35000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.49,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5332.88
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 17.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.99,
          "total_deployed": 17.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -17.0,
          "net_pnl": -17.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5332.88
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        478
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83802.2265625,
        "quantiles": [
          83848.375,
          83699.703125,
          83748.140625,
          83768.75,
          83786.9609375,
          83802.2265625,
          83825.2578125,
          83842.234375,
          83861.96875,
          83917.0859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "51fdc401beac9fbacba5b3ef0c57ebf49442a2561501895eaaed4735514d38da",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 11:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83796.15666666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:05.388468Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070730",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83796.16,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "176288.91",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070730-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:15:00.682615Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "341804.01",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5307.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1632.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,796.16"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T11:19:11.899385Z",
        "ask": 0.17,
        "depth": 5332.88,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:19:11.781506Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:19:11.899385Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:19:11.899385Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.16,
          "ask": 0.17,
          "midpoint": 0.165,
          "last_price": 0.16,
          "implied_probability": 0.17,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:05.388468Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070730",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83796.16,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "178483.86",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070730-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:15:00.682615Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "344086.83",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5332.88",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2616.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,796.16"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.16,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.17,
            "yes_ask_size": 5332.88,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.84,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "477": {
      "id": 477,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T11:04:11.832533Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070715-15",
      "strike": 83723.93,
      "predicted_close": 83733.3515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83796.16,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:04:11.832533Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 477,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83723.933,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122363,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.43,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 223,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 95.89,
          "trading_fee": 3.83,
          "total_deployed": 99.72,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 223.0,
          "gross_pnl": 127.11,
          "net_pnl": 123.28,
          "roi": 1.2362615322904131,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5891.45
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 43.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 44.72,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 57.0,
          "net_pnl": 55.28,
          "roi": 1.2361359570661896,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5891.45
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        477
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83733.3515625,
        "quantiles": [
          83776.0390625,
          83645.0,
          83687.484375,
          83703.8359375,
          83719.0546875,
          83733.3515625,
          83754.890625,
          83768.7734375,
          83789.5703125,
          83843.484375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e5c41ac1ed6644ec793cda928a3b1a1e74fb645daf28f99c74cfd9111a350f3b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 10:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83723.933,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:04.505448Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83723.93,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "162066.48",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00.760779Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "70688.47",
        "volume_fp": "380815.82",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2546.10",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7120.38",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,723.93"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T11:04:11.954896Z",
        "ask": 0.43,
        "depth": 5891.45,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:04:11.832533Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:04:11.954896Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:04:11.954896Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.42,
          "ask": 0.43,
          "midpoint": 0.425,
          "last_price": 0.43,
          "implied_probability": 0.43,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:04.505448Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83723.93,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "163821.34",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00.760779Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "70688.47",
              "volume_fp": "387674.32",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5891.45",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2440.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,723.93"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.42,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.43,
            "yes_ask_size": 5891.45,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.58,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "476": {
      "id": 476,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T10:49:11.955627Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070700-00",
      "strike": 83633.3,
      "predicted_close": 83636.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83723.93,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:49:11.955627Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 476,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83633.29583333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125755,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.79,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 124,
          "entry_price": 0.79,
          "gross_cost": 97.96000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.41000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 124.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.039999999999992,
          "net_pnl": 24.58999999999999,
          "roi": 0.24735942058143032,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3537.83
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.79,
          "gross_cost": 79.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.17,
          "total_deployed": 80.17,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.0,
          "net_pnl": 19.83,
          "roi": 0.2473493825620556,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3537.83
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        476
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83636.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83679.3125,
          83537.359375,
          83582.7109375,
          83601.8359375,
          83620.484375,
          83636.5859375,
          83660.984375,
          83673.671875,
          83699.9609375,
          83764.578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "44403707a92d94b11f18bd33c580f693afc207c20b30e99d1e61ca6d6154105c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 10:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83633.29583333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:04.191173Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83633.3,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "122707.43",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T10:45:00.677261Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "245011.54",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3491.88",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "712.13",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,633.30"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T10:49:12.081382Z",
        "ask": 0.79,
        "depth": 3537.83,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:49:11.955627Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:49:12.081382Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:49:12.081382Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.78,
          "ask": 0.79,
          "midpoint": 0.785,
          "last_price": 0.78,
          "implied_probability": 0.79,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:04.191173Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83633.3,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T11:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T11:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "123165.62",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T10:45:00.677261Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "245884.65",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3537.83",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1595.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,633.30"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.78,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.79,
            "yes_ask_size": 3537.83,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.22,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "475": {
      "id": 475,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T10:34:11.571212Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070645-45",
      "strike": 83848.7,
      "predicted_close": 83856.25,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83633.3,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:34:11.571212Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 475,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83848.69866666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124461,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.15,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 629,
          "entry_price": 0.15,
          "gross_cost": 94.35,
          "trading_fee": 5.62,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4345.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.15,
          "gross_cost": 15.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 15.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -15.0,
          "net_pnl": -15.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4345.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        475
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83856.25,
        "quantiles": [
          83900.4765625,
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          83830.375,
          83844.6953125,
          83856.25,
          83878.7421875,
          83889.8984375,
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          83958.2890625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a830d47985f99e4b3c0d63e49e23ddf608ee829dcafb128c3ac963cca31cdf36",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 10:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83848.69866666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:03.890356Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83848.7,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T10:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "230425.93",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
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          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00.688253Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "108996.18",
        "volume_fp": "471876.53",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5037.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3036.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,848.70"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T10:34:11.695673Z",
        "ask": 0.15,
        "depth": 4345.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:34:11.571212Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:34:11.695673Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:34:11.695673Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.14,
          "ask": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.14500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.14,
          "implied_probability": 0.15,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T10:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:03.890356Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83848.7,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T10:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234810.67",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00.688253Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "108996.18",
              "volume_fp": "477291.69",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4345.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4675.26",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,848.70"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.14,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.15,
            "yes_ask_size": 4345.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.86,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "472": {
      "id": 472,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T09:49:12.485287Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070600-00",
      "strike": 83762.63,
      "predicted_close": 83766.6484375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83773.42,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:49:12.485287Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 472,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83762.62500000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118846,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 164.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 64.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.6475788627687363,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.0,
          "net_pnl": 39.3,
          "roi": 0.6474464579901152,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4415.33
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        472
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83766.6484375,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5aa348f884743611beff9065bfe864f16283cce1d57d66bd007c78009de6d454",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 09:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83762.62500000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:01.943108Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83762.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T10:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "162127.77",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:45:00.673806Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "339386.95",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8069.07",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "443.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,762.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T09:49:12.604133Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 4415.33,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:49:12.485287Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:49:12.604133Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:49:12.604133Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:01.943108Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83762.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T10:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T10:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "164963.44",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:45:00.673806Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "345545.62",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4415.33",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4094.27",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,762.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 4415.33,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "471": {
      "id": 471,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T09:34:12.088057Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070545-45",
      "strike": 83802.62,
      "predicted_close": 83820.3984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83762.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:34:12.088057Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 471,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83802.61549999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11966,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.25,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 380,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 95.0,
          "trading_fee": 4.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.0,
          "net_pnl": -99.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5645.68
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 25.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 26.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -25.0,
          "net_pnl": -26.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5645.68
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        471
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83820.3984375,
        "quantiles": [
          83869.4296875,
          83695.59375,
          83751.09375,
          83774.4140625,
          83798.546875,
          83820.3984375,
          83846.984375,
          83862.9453125,
          83894.125,
          83962.078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "29988f2572bc4431da8e0e800411f2e4b1c5d863d61aea9cf721faea932f87d7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 09:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83802.61549999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:01.657177Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83802.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "177066.72",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:30:00.67545Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "87245.04",
        "volume_fp": "468244.56",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1060.06",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7262.14",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,802.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T09:34:12.207717Z",
        "ask": 0.25,
        "depth": 5645.68,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:34:12.088057Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:34:12.207717Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:34:12.207717Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.24,
          "ask": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.245,
          "last_price": 0.25,
          "implied_probability": 0.25,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:01.657177Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83802.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "183395.51",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:30:00.67545Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "87245.04",
              "volume_fp": "474830.34",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5645.68",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4550.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,802.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.24,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.25,
            "yes_ask_size": 5645.68,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.76,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "470": {
      "id": 470,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T09:19:11.230977Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070530-30",
      "strike": 83913.32,
      "predicted_close": 83929.4921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83802.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:19:11.230977Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 470,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83913.321,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11573,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.16,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 590,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 94.4,
          "trading_fee": 5.56,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.4,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2098.15
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 16.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 16.95,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -16.0,
          "net_pnl": -16.95,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2098.15
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        470
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83929.4921875,
        "quantiles": [
          83983.6171875,
          83827.1015625,
          83874.671875,
          83889.3515625,
          83909.0390625,
          83929.4921875,
          83949.6640625,
          83962.40625,
          83987.734375,
          84046.125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "968beba3fdac4a15acaff8245bc7ab812936f9727caa45dc5348b2ea7c7ecb11",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 09:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83913.321,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:01.365782Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83913.32,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "250620.06",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:15:00.665244Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "538647.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9978.71",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "35.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,913.32"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T09:19:11.346707Z",
        "ask": 0.16,
        "depth": 2098.15,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:19:11.230977Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:19:11.346707Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:19:11.346707Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.15,
          "ask": 0.16,
          "midpoint": 0.155,
          "last_price": 0.16,
          "implied_probability": 0.16,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:01.365782Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83913.32,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "260220.91",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:15:00.665244Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "552434.39",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2098.15",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7685.07",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,913.32"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.15,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.16,
            "yes_ask_size": 2098.15,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.85,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "469": {
      "id": 469,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T09:04:11.746502Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070515-15",
      "strike": 83933.38,
      "predicted_close": 83948.359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83913.32,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:04:11.746502Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 469,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83933.38083333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.110153,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.55,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 176,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 96.80000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.80000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.85000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1564.93
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 55.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 56.74000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -55.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -56.74000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1564.93
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        469
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83948.359375,
        "quantiles": [
          84000.9765625,
          83832.7421875,
          83884.015625,
          83901.8203125,
          83926.0234375,
          83948.359375,
          83969.21875,
          83985.6015625,
          84016.359375,
          84080.5234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5530c4c4cfb7ee9cf0a5e198a2b0c181055997701a5af8c20d747dad7bc5e833",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 08:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83933.38083333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:00.570316Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83933.38,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "129806.31",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:00:00.72816Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "92075.06",
        "volume_fp": "333713.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6993.59",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6536.30",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,933.38"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T09:04:11.856655Z",
        "ask": 0.55,
        "depth": 1564.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:04:11.746502Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:04:11.856655Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:04:11.856655Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.54,
          "ask": 0.55,
          "midpoint": 0.545,
          "last_price": 0.54,
          "implied_probability": 0.55,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:00.570316Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83933.38,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "132125.41",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T09:00:00.72816Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "92075.06",
              "volume_fp": "337280.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1564.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7134.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,933.38"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.54,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.55,
            "yes_ask_size": 1564.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.46,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "468": {
      "id": 468,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T08:49:11.613414Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070500-00",
      "strike": 83968.07,
      "predicted_close": 83989.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83933.38,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:49:11.613414Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 468,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83968.06766666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128576,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.61,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 159,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 96.99,
          "trading_fee": 2.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.99,
          "net_pnl": -99.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4482.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 61.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 62.67,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -61.0,
          "net_pnl": -62.67,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4482.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        468
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83989.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          84039.5390625,
          83858.8515625,
          83913.8671875,
          83936.0703125,
          83963.9140625,
          83989.8125,
          84013.96875,
          84034.8828125,
          84069.453125,
          84139.5703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3486accd2af95e18dfecbef5edeb2bb59884c5cd61ebf574b340d054593e9a67",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 08:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83968.06766666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:00.272966Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83968.07,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "177287.89",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:45:00.663689Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "437357.24",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8061.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1230.91",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,968.07"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T08:49:11.741990Z",
        "ask": 0.61,
        "depth": 4482.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:49:11.613414Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:49:11.741990Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:49:11.741990Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.6,
          "ask": 0.61,
          "midpoint": 0.605,
          "last_price": 0.6,
          "implied_probability": 0.61,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T09:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:01:00.272966Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T09:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83968.07,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T09:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T09:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "180790.72",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:45:00.663689Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "443036.97",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4482.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6156.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,968.07"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.6,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.61,
            "yes_ask_size": 4482.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.4,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "467": {
      "id": 467,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T08:34:12.681133Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070445-45",
      "strike": 84018.7,
      "predicted_close": 84046.9296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83968.07,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:34:12.681133Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 467,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84018.69633333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.141606,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.62,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 157,
          "entry_price": 0.62,
          "gross_cost": 97.34,
          "trading_fee": 2.59,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.34,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6124.98
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.62,
          "gross_cost": 62.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 63.65,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -62.0,
          "net_pnl": -63.65,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6124.98
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        467
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84046.9296875,
        "quantiles": [
          84090.8515625,
          83936.046875,
          83985.1640625,
          84000.671875,
          84022.4453125,
          84046.9296875,
          84065.7890625,
          84083.6875,
          84113.5859375,
          84176.0234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0e65ee37051b4988141fb70ced0afa6eef3641930fa790242c71f614b3415219",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 08:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84018.69633333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:59.638565Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070445",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84018.7,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "133533.11",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070445-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:30:00.674885Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "69603.10",
        "volume_fp": "328186.37",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5463.18",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "298.73",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,018.70"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T08:34:12.822739Z",
        "ask": 0.62,
        "depth": 6124.98,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:34:12.681133Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:34:12.822739Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:34:12.822739Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.61,
          "ask": 0.62,
          "midpoint": 0.615,
          "last_price": 0.62,
          "implied_probability": 0.62,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:59.638565Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070445",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84018.7,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "139837.33",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070445-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:30:00.674885Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "69603.10",
              "volume_fp": "341990.59",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6124.98",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "272.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,018.70"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.61,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.62,
            "yes_ask_size": 6124.98,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.39,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "466": {
      "id": 466,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T08:19:12.658247Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070430-30",
      "strike": 84012.98,
      "predicted_close": 84039.7421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84018.7,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:19:12.658247Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 466,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84012.98383333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.138074,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.31,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 307,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 95.17,
          "trading_fee": 4.6,
          "total_deployed": 99.77,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 307.0,
          "gross_pnl": 211.82999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 207.23000000000002,
          "roi": 2.0770772777387996,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3937.08
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 31.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 32.5,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 69.0,
          "net_pnl": 67.5,
          "roi": 2.076923076923077,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3937.08
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        466
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84039.7421875,
        "quantiles": [
          84085.3203125,
          83915.03125,
          83970.1171875,
          83990.2890625,
          84014.8359375,
          84039.7421875,
          84061.6015625,
          84083.2890625,
          84116.890625,
          84184.328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "97cb4caadf8dd7bce0772af526fb39eff08e99c7cec14ec1b3816a5db0e80337",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 08:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84012.98383333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:59.287776Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070430",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84012.98,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "225616.33",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070430-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:15:00.676567Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "567316.38",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7207.87",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1094.14",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,012.98"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T08:19:12.796321Z",
        "ask": 0.31,
        "depth": 3937.08,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:19:12.658247Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:19:12.796321Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:19:12.796321Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.305,
          "last_price": 0.3,
          "implied_probability": 0.31,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:59.287776Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070430",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84012.98,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234203.95",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070430-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:15:00.676567Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "578164.88",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3937.08",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6304.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,012.98"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.3,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.31,
            "yes_ask_size": 3937.08,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.7,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "465": {
      "id": 465,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T08:04:11.498349Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070415-15",
      "strike": 84132.98,
      "predicted_close": 84159.03125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84012.98,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:04:11.498349Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 465,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84132.97666666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.106155,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.39999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.67999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7090.89
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -36.0,
          "net_pnl": -37.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7090.89
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        465
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84159.03125,
        "quantiles": [
          84200.1640625,
          84034.015625,
          84088.7890625,
          84110.8828125,
          84134.34375,
          84159.03125,
          84177.984375,
          84198.109375,
          84225.7578125,
          84287.1953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5f50ab7033de3f89f370a2e33954fd506c2b1af3e7d6244f6c68c7455d039adf",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 07:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84132.97666666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.990233Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84132.98,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "264471.71",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00.760582Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "209209.65",
        "volume_fp": "525959.35",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7090.89",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "369.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,132.98"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T08:04:11.604504Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 7090.89,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:04:11.498349Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:04:11.604504Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:04:11.604504Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.990233Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84132.98,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "264471.71",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00.760582Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "209209.65",
              "volume_fp": "525959.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7090.89",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "369.78",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,132.98"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 7090.89,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "464": {
      "id": 464,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T07:49:11.438801Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070400-00",
      "strike": 84274.88,
      "predicted_close": 84284.6875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84132.98,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:49:11.438801Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 464,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84274.88399999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.121598,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.38,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 252,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 95.76,
          "trading_fee": 4.16,
          "total_deployed": 99.92,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.76,
          "net_pnl": -99.92,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7546.4
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 38.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 39.65,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -38.0,
          "net_pnl": -39.65,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7546.4
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        464
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84284.6875,
        "quantiles": [
          84321.9140625,
          84186.046875,
          84232.328125,
          84247.875,
          84265.15625,
          84284.6875,
          84300.8203125,
          84318.2734375,
          84339.671875,
          84393.8984375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cc9c2cf4930e86f467751c4dcc74383b9aacef8db8e4cc2d798e00f6832625fa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 07:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84274.88399999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.669908Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84274.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234835.69",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00.673054Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "496042.36",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "729.32",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8065.43",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,274.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T07:49:11.560399Z",
        "ask": 0.38,
        "depth": 7546.4,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:49:11.438801Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:49:11.560399Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:49:11.560399Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.37,
          "ask": 0.38,
          "midpoint": 0.375,
          "last_price": 0.38,
          "implied_probability": 0.38,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.669908Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84274.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T08:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T08:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "236577.75",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00.673054Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "504739.36",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7546.40",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,274.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.37,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.38,
            "yes_ask_size": 7546.4,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.63,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "463": {
      "id": 463,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T07:34:11.332444Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070345-45",
      "strike": 84199.35,
      "predicted_close": 84211.96875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84274.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:34:11.332444Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 463,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84199.34983333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.104841,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5473.78
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5473.78
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        463
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84211.96875,
        "quantiles": [
          84249.9453125,
          84111.515625,
          84156.6484375,
          84174.5234375,
          84192.015625,
          84211.96875,
          84227.7421875,
          84245.0234375,
          84268.6796875,
          84326.609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4c912953033e5f0cbaf4feb27e6be230347164060bfd7321bd08ed334cd7c540",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 07:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84199.34983333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.364462Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84199.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "257285.45",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:30:00.695498Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "123304.92",
        "volume_fp": "546864.72",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6662.38",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "742.70",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,199.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T07:34:11.437285Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 5473.78,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:34:11.332444Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:34:11.437285Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:34:11.437285Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.364462Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84199.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "249952.43",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:30:00.695498Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "123304.92",
              "volume_fp": "561127.52",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5473.78",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "159.07",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,199.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 5473.78,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "462": {
      "id": 462,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T07:19:11.875061Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070330-30",
      "strike": 84233.95,
      "predicted_close": 84248.328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84199.35,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:19:11.875061Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 462,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84233.94933333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.116758,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.22,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 431,
          "entry_price": 0.22,
          "gross_cost": 94.82000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.18,
          "total_deployed": 100.0,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.82000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -100.0,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2033.71
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.22,
          "gross_cost": 22.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 23.21,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -22.0,
          "net_pnl": -23.21,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2033.71
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        462
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84248.328125,
        "quantiles": [
          84282.84375,
          84138.359375,
          84187.265625,
          84205.6171875,
          84226.6328125,
          84248.328125,
          84264.015625,
          84282.4375,
          84309.0625,
          84367.0703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a7f5007f107a5771384855dd1659831d4b69a4cf8a24578ade0aea22a20170aa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 07:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84233.94933333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.086551Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84233.95,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248374.52",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:15:00.672148Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "574295.47",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3114.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2962.90",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,233.95"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T07:19:11.991819Z",
        "ask": 0.22,
        "depth": 2033.71,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:19:11.875061Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:19:11.991819Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:19:11.991819Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.21,
          "ask": 0.22,
          "midpoint": 0.215,
          "last_price": 0.22,
          "implied_probability": 0.22,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:58.086551Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84233.95,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "254853.25",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:15:00.672148Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "583036.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2033.71",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1603.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,233.95"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.21,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.22,
            "yes_ask_size": 2033.71,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.79,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "461": {
      "id": 461,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T07:04:12.089794Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070315-15",
      "strike": 84220.03,
      "predicted_close": 84238.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84233.95,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:04:12.089794Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 461,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84220.02916666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.112885,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 289.0,
          "gross_pnl": 193.63,
          "net_pnl": 189.14999999999998,
          "roi": 1.8943415122684022,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4542.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 33.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.0,
          "net_pnl": 65.45,
          "roi": 1.8943560057887123,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4542.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        461
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84238.296875,
        "quantiles": [
          84274.8984375,
          84109.6640625,
          84164.6015625,
          84186.34375,
          84212.453125,
          84238.296875,
          84257.1640625,
          84281.0078125,
          84313.7578125,
          84381.421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d20a17a3afd2beac2f96e54f918082a743c4f65e2d5fd26dc0ba8446f6993642",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 06:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84220.02916666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:57.565264Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84220.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "194203.93",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:00:00.773345Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "95368.22",
        "volume_fp": "464942.46",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5298.31",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,220.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T07:04:12.202679Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 4542.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:04:12.089794Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:04:12.202679Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:04:12.202679Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:57.565264Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84220.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "194628.82",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T07:00:00.773345Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "95368.22",
              "volume_fp": "465426.59",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4542.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2480.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,220.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 4542.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "460": {
      "id": 460,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T06:49:11.758008Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070300-00",
      "strike": 84323.56,
      "predicted_close": 84344.0234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84220.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:49:11.758008Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 460,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84323.56233333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.097877,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4739.44
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4739.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        460
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84344.0234375,
        "quantiles": [
          84382.0859375,
          84211.1484375,
          84267.0390625,
          84290.328125,
          84317.4921875,
          84344.0234375,
          84362.96875,
          84391.7109375,
          84432.875,
          84508.140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "443a9919cddcc27a22a6679a6c29b3121a4f83e9c5794e8f55fddf19c84369b0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 06:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84323.56233333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:57.211634Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84323.56,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "237658.83",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00.675732Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "517054.78",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1688.79",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6731.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,323.56"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T06:49:11.855885Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 4739.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:49:11.758008Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:49:11.855885Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:49:11.855885Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T07:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:57.211634Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84323.56,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T07:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T07:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "239957.94",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00.675732Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "524247.78",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4739.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4989.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,323.56"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 4739.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "459": {
      "id": 459,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T06:34:11.461026Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070245-45",
      "strike": 84197.67,
      "predicted_close": 84202.7890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84323.56,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:34:11.461026Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 459,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84197.6715,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125152,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 139.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.7,
          "net_pnl": 39.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3990941117262205,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.0,
          "net_pnl": 28.53,
          "roi": 0.3991884706870016,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1642.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        459
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84202.7890625,
        "quantiles": [
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e0f4cbe18fec678becd023b2363f6b1edcda6e44ced9a6fccda59165cdc33b00",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 06:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84197.6715,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:56.867221Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84197.67,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "221864.10",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:30:00.665665Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "134967.72",
        "volume_fp": "594991.78",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "67.85",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7537.99",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,197.67"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T06:34:11.586178Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 1642.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:34:11.461026Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:34:11.586178Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:34:11.586178Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:56.867221Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84197.67,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "222286.37",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:30:00.665665Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "134967.72",
              "volume_fp": "596117.78",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1642.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6471.73",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,197.67"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 1642.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "458": {
      "id": 458,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T06:19:11.937926Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070230-30",
      "strike": 84285.79,
      "predicted_close": 84295.109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84197.67,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:19:11.937926Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 458,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84285.79133333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115098,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.14,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 673,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 94.22000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.68,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.22000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4441.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 14.000000000000002,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 14.850000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -14.000000000000002,
          "net_pnl": -14.850000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4441.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        458
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84295.109375,
        "quantiles": [
          84335.71875,
          84167.0703125,
          84224.109375,
          84248.015625,
          84269.9765625,
          84295.109375,
          84313.8359375,
          84342.2578125,
          84378.6875,
          84447.0546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "202b7eb271ca36f54fc059fc72130f17df3f0304a6f3d0ee89fcac8ca578055b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 06:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84285.79133333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:56.525225Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84285.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "329419.53",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
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            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:15:00.678615Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "650400.31",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5417.76",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1286.67",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,285.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T06:19:12.053024Z",
        "ask": 0.14,
        "depth": 4441.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:19:11.937926Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:19:12.053024Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:19:12.053024Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.13,
          "ask": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.135,
          "last_price": 0.14,
          "implied_probability": 0.14,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:56.525225Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84285.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "346002.84",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:15:00.678615Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "673061.91",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4441.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2132.80",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,285.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.13,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.14,
            "yes_ask_size": 4441.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.87,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "457": {
      "id": 457,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T06:04:11.770275Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070215-15",
      "strike": 84309.0,
      "predicted_close": 84324.0,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84285.79,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:04:11.770275Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 457,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84309.00283333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.1178,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.51,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 189,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 96.39,
          "trading_fee": 3.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.39,
          "net_pnl": -99.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 51.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 52.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -51.0,
          "net_pnl": -52.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2476.46
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        457
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84324.0,
        "quantiles": [
          84360.6484375,
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          84301.1640625,
          84324.0,
          84339.7109375,
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          84406.359375,
          84476.6875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1fd620798914417fd51291fcf96b27943699d4a31cab2f5ede4cccc0891628b0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 05:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84309.00283333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:56.231146Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84309,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "388621.54",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:00:00.794275Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "323876.86",
        "volume_fp": "980772.56",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4279.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4591.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,309.00"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T06:04:11.888075Z",
        "ask": 0.51,
        "depth": 2476.46,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:04:11.770275Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:04:11.888075Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:04:11.888075Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.5,
          "ask": 0.51,
          "midpoint": 0.505,
          "last_price": 0.5,
          "implied_probability": 0.51,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:56.231146Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84309,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "388747.72",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T06:00:00.794275Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "323876.86",
              "volume_fp": "995277.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2476.46",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5419.56",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,309.00"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.5,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.51,
            "yes_ask_size": 2476.46,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.5,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "456": {
      "id": 456,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T05:49:11.722180Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070200-00",
      "strike": 84200.88,
      "predicted_close": 84219.9140625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84309.0,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:49:11.722180Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 456,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84200.8845,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117467,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.72,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        456
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84219.9140625,
        "quantiles": [
          84256.3125,
          84123.2421875,
          84168.3828125,
          84183.5625,
          84200.828125,
          84219.9140625,
          84230.6640625,
          84254.703125,
          84286.8671875,
          84342.1953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5715fa2542c16b8aeb43ad137e612c91defc3dd042e3c0d5f5e45b8c8286a456",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 05:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84200.8845,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:55.923566Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84200.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "285059.19",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:45:00.669331Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "568931.38",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8319.63",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "300.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,200.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T05:49:11.839647Z",
        "ask": 0.72,
        "depth": 95.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:49:11.722180Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:49:11.839647Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:49:11.839647Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.71,
          "ask": 0.72,
          "midpoint": 0.715,
          "last_price": 0.71,
          "implied_probability": 0.72,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T06:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:55.923566Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84200.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T06:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T06:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "287032.65",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:45:00.669331Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "575583.67",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "95.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6882.92",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,200.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.71,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.72,
            "yes_ask_size": 95.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.29,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "455": {
      "id": 455,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T05:34:11.698765Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070145-45",
      "strike": 84181.84,
      "predicted_close": 84203.1171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84200.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:34:11.698765Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 455,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84181.84483333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11764,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.73,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 134,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 97.82,
          "trading_fee": 1.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 134.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.18000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 34.33000000000001,
          "roi": 0.34443664091501974,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4254.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 73.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 74.38,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.0,
          "net_pnl": 25.620000000000005,
          "roi": 0.34444743210540474,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4254.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        455
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84203.1171875,
        "quantiles": [
          84239.1015625,
          84099.0546875,
          84144.7265625,
          84162.3828125,
          84182.5390625,
          84203.1171875,
          84214.078125,
          84239.9296875,
          84276.625,
          84338.15625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "099b14c73eb1636ddddb4dfd5fdc4976dda47d3a74ebd9bf3eace51cfae3f5cd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 05:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84181.84483333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:55.634701Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84181.84,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T05:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "290548.55",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00.691952Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "115052.18",
        "volume_fp": "581018.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2747.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6287.11",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,181.84"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T05:34:11.816405Z",
        "ask": 0.73,
        "depth": 4254.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:34:11.698765Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:34:11.816405Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:34:11.816405Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.72,
          "ask": 0.73,
          "midpoint": 0.725,
          "last_price": 0.72,
          "implied_probability": 0.73,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T05:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:55.634701Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84181.84,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T05:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "295575.32",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00.691952Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "115052.18",
              "volume_fp": "588521.11",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4254.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7781.84",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,181.84"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.72,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.73,
            "yes_ask_size": 4254.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.28,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "454": {
      "id": 454,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T05:19:11.698409Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070130-30",
      "strike": 84158.01,
      "predicted_close": 84173.4921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84181.84,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:19:11.698409Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 454,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84158.013,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114371,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.55,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 176,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 96.80000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 176.0,
          "gross_pnl": 79.19999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 76.14999999999999,
          "roi": 0.7626439659489233,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5979.88
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 55.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 56.74000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 44.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.25999999999999,
          "roi": 0.76242509693338,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5979.88
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        454
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84173.4921875,
        "quantiles": [
          84217.859375,
          84062.1796875,
          84108.7734375,
          84129.6015625,
          84151.4296875,
          84173.4921875,
          84187.0078125,
          84213.9453125,
          84251.828125,
          84319.6875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e0880e6afa04ee3d268504139fb3e3dd2f471b5c243d6d5a5b8d6be74b0d1878",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 05:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84158.013,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:55.246433Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84158.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T05:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "232877.90",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:15:00.722818Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "471305.82",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1482.19",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4762.69",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,158.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T05:19:11.812780Z",
        "ask": 0.55,
        "depth": 5979.88,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:19:11.698409Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:19:11.812780Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:19:11.812780Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.54,
          "ask": 0.55,
          "midpoint": 0.545,
          "last_price": 0.55,
          "implied_probability": 0.55,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:55.246433Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84158.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T05:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "235562.73",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:15:00.722818Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "478930.98",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5979.88",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1732.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,158.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.54,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.55,
            "yes_ask_size": 5979.88,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.46,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "453": {
      "id": 453,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T05:04:11.220682Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070115-15",
      "strike": 84078.57,
      "predicted_close": 84086.8359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84158.01,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T05:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:04:11.220682Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 453,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84078.569,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117987,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 164.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 64.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.6475788627687363,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4409.21
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.0,
          "net_pnl": 39.3,
          "roi": 0.6474464579901152,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4409.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        453
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84086.8359375,
        "quantiles": [
          84132.9375,
          84004.4296875,
          84041.59375,
          84052.8671875,
          84068.25,
          84086.8359375,
          84094.953125,
          84118.4765625,
          84153.59375,
          84220.359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "fe6af251d3b6f8e737262e97f9093744e64241b5f3c6976a08159df908070a6d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 04:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84078.569,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:54.92869Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84078.57,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T05:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234056.59",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:00:00.78448Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "99703.45",
        "volume_fp": "480076.79",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1647.82",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4913.90",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,078.57"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T05:04:11.338669Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 4409.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:04:11.220682Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:04:11.338669Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T05:04:11.338669Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T05:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:54.92869Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84078.57,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T05:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T05:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "238330.23",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T05:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T05:00:00.78448Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "99703.45",
              "volume_fp": "491687.45",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4409.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1526.30",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,078.57"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 4409.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "451": {
      "id": 451,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T04:34:12.892896Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070045-45",
      "strike": 84118.56,
      "predicted_close": 84125.546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84043.54,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:34:12.892896Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 451,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84118.56000000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.111424,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.25,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 380,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 95.0,
          "trading_fee": 4.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.0,
          "net_pnl": -99.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2957.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 25.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 26.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -25.0,
          "net_pnl": -26.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2957.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        451
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84125.546875,
        "quantiles": [
          84170.25,
          84013.09375,
          84060.65625,
          84083.9296875,
          84104.65625,
          84125.546875,
          84139.5078125,
          84174.0546875,
          84217.7265625,
          84290.5390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c048d9b0108a30dcfd62f961a2decc9b125c75de715a9c5888d94bb905d525e7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 04:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84118.56000000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:54.29979Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84118.56,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "404861.92",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T04:30:00.698205Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "102791.09",
        "volume_fp": "659658.62",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2957.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4055.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,118.56"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T04:34:13.004320Z",
        "ask": 0.25,
        "depth": 2957.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:34:12.892896Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:34:13.004320Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:34:13.004320Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.24,
          "ask": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.245,
          "last_price": 0.24,
          "implied_probability": 0.25,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:54.29979Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84118.56,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "404861.92",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T04:30:00.698205Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "102791.09",
              "volume_fp": "659658.62",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2957.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4055.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,118.56"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.24,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.25,
            "yes_ask_size": 2957.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.76,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "450": {
      "id": 450,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T04:19:11.984000Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070030-30",
      "strike": 84117.35,
      "predicted_close": 84129.6953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84118.56,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:19:11.984000Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 450,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84117.34966666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.134062,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.29,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 328,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 95.11999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 328.0,
          "gross_pnl": 232.88,
          "net_pnl": 228.15,
          "roi": 2.2849273910866303,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6558.19
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 28.999999999999996,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 30.449999999999996,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 71.0,
          "net_pnl": 69.55000000000001,
          "roi": 2.284072249589492,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6558.19
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        450
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84129.6953125,
        "quantiles": [
          84170.203125,
          83987.1328125,
          84046.234375,
          84077.15625,
          84101.9140625,
          84129.6953125,
          84147.4609375,
          84188.6171875,
          84235.6484375,
          84314.3046875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8ad4b08d54f6e0e0bc5e187444007b958db232e230a422bb51916c8ba00a1f99",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 04:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84117.34966666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:53.996695Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84117.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "323944.57",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T04:15:00.669106Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "589154.09",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2639.52",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7316.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,117.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T04:19:12.118062Z",
        "ask": 0.29,
        "depth": 6558.19,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:19:11.984000Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:19:12.118062Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:19:12.118062Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.28,
          "ask": 0.29,
          "midpoint": 0.28500000000000003,
          "last_price": 0.28,
          "implied_probability": 0.29,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:53.996695Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84117.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "323748.37",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T04:15:00.669106Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "594600.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6558.19",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2765.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,117.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.28,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.29,
            "yes_ask_size": 6558.19,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.72,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "449": {
      "id": 449,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T04:04:11.111750Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070015-15",
      "strike": 84114.94,
      "predicted_close": 84122.2421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84117.35,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:04:11.111750Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 449,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84114.93783333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129849,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.74,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 132,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 97.67999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.46,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 132.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.32000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 32.540000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3271667001809774,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10653.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.74,
          "gross_cost": 74.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 75.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.0,
          "net_pnl": 24.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.32714001327140024,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10653.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        449
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84122.2421875,
        "quantiles": [
          84174.5234375,
          83975.8046875,
          84037.3984375,
          84068.375,
          84092.7890625,
          84122.2421875,
          84140.8359375,
          84182.140625,
          84232.109375,
          84315.8671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "68c6be47b6d7441f740e6ef97dca7ea9011976ce42c6f6691513a91730863b52",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 03:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84114.93783333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:53.68628Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84114.94,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "312413.21",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T04:00:00.752033Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "209171.23",
        "volume_fp": "699399.00",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7432.36",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "786.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,114.94"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T04:04:11.241599Z",
        "ask": 0.74,
        "depth": 10653.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:04:11.111750Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:04:11.241599Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:04:11.241599Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.73,
          "ask": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.735,
          "last_price": 0.74,
          "implied_probability": 0.74,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:53.68628Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84114.94,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "314187.89",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T04:00:00.752033Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "209171.23",
              "volume_fp": "705146.68",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10653.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2882.98",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,114.94"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.73,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.74,
            "yes_ask_size": 10653.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.27,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "448": {
      "id": 448,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T03:49:11.918314Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070000-00",
      "strike": 84121.82,
      "predicted_close": 84150.09375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84114.94,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T03:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T03:49:11.918314Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T03:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 448,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84121.81500000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113667,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.28,
          "net_pnl": -99.8,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3891.53
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -78.0,
          "net_pnl": -79.21,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3891.53
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        448
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84150.09375,
        "quantiles": [
          84201.859375,
          83970.4375,
          84048.2734375,
          84085.0234375,
          84117.046875,
          84150.09375,
          84174.3984375,
          84221.65625,
          84282.5078125,
          84380.8046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cc1e62cd97bc6ebc45b5f9433e0bfeeffd7a9e89e99e3ceadf12b0396fe66804",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 03:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84121.81500000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:45.306785Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84121.82,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "374724.44",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T03:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T03:45:00.746762Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "662414.58",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "214.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5338.18",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,121.82"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T03:49:12.031981Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 3891.53,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T03:49:11.918314Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T03:49:12.031981Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T03:49:12.031981Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T04:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:45.306785Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T04:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84121.82,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T04:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T04:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "382354.84",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T03:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Oct 7, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT070000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T03:45:00.746762Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "684251.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3891.53",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5788.68",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,121.82"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 3891.53,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "441": {
      "id": 441,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T02:04:11.398094Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062215-15",
      "strike": 84573.15,
      "predicted_close": 84629.5625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83924.25,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:04:11.398094Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 441,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84573.14966666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.119313,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.08,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.08,
          "gross_cost": 8.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.52,
          "total_deployed": 8.52,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -8.0,
          "net_pnl": -8.52,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1066.36
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        441
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84629.5625,
        "quantiles": [
          84637.8828125,
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          84766.421875,
          84859.2578125,
          84989.890625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d0bd3957fe0fea8e59a52291037b027d3aa6a64ba5cff6aa51f8878479235ee7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 01:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84573.14966666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T02:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:41.255386Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84573.15,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0770",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9230",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9220",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T02:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "576706.48",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00.972947Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "323571.60",
        "volume_fp": "1167176.78",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0780",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "426.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0770",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "824.83",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,573.15"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T02:04:11.517407Z",
        "ask": 0.08,
        "depth": 1066.36,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:04:11.398094Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:04:11.517407Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:04:11.517407Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.079,
          "ask": 0.08,
          "midpoint": 0.0795,
          "last_price": 0.08,
          "implied_probability": 0.08,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T02:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:41.255386Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84573.15,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.0800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9210",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.9200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T02:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "585690.02",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00.972947Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "323571.60",
              "volume_fp": "1190345.53",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1066.36",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0790",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1668.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,573.15"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.079,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.08,
            "yes_ask_size": 1066.36,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.921,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "440": {
      "id": 440,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T01:49:12.374951Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062200-00",
      "strike": 85278.91,
      "predicted_close": 85279.0859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84573.15,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:49:12.374951Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 440,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85278.91133333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128533,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.2,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2349.54
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -60.0,
          "net_pnl": -61.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2349.54
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        440
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85279.0859375,
        "quantiles": [
          85281.390625,
          85161.7578125,
          85204.2109375,
          85231.0546875,
          85257.1796875,
          85279.0859375,
          85295.9921875,
          85329.7109375,
          85368.0078125,
          85422.1640625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4e651fe04f1b4148e5734a2f7922f25d15a2276b6ff4ebb87c344ede0ab35a71",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85278.91133333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:40.480536Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85278.91,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "303548.58",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T01:45:00.684662Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "651264.12",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1215.34",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5950.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,278.91"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T01:49:12.503484Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 2349.54,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:49:12.374951Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:49:12.503484Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:49:12.503484Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:40.480536Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85278.91,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T02:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "303806.49",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T01:45:00.684662Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "651620.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2349.54",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4962.80",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,278.91"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 2349.54,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "439": {
      "id": 439,
      "created_at": "2026-10-07T01:34:11.915369Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062145-45",
      "strike": 85258.88,
      "predicted_close": 85264.6796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85278.91,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-07T01:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:34:11.915369Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 439,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85258.88133333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127825,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 138,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 97.97999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.96999999999998,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 138.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.02000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 38.030000000000015,
          "roi": 0.3804141242372714,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4601.6
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 71.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 72.45,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.0,
          "net_pnl": 27.549999999999997,
          "roi": 0.38026224982746715,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4601.6
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        439
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85264.6796875,
        "quantiles": [
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          85210.765625,
          85238.6796875,
          85264.6796875,
          85285.5625,
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          85365.484375,
          85429.8828125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ddd88f819c55cff9539ff92a60167e8d5ff9a4cf05969a41339901d568cc0d59",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-07 01:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85258.88133333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:40.236279Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T01:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85258.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T01:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "284794.44",
        "open_time": "2026-10-07T01:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-07T01:30:00.684418Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "675445.33",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6043.79",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "159.15",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,258.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-07T01:34:12.043194Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 4601.6,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:34:11.915369Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:34:12.043194Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-07T01:34:12.043194Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T01:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:40.236279Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T01:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85258.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T01:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T01:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "283458.08",
              "open_time": "2026-10-07T01:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-07T01:30:00.684418Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "683542.52",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4601.60",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2813.16",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,258.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 4601.6,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "432": {
      "id": 432,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T23:49:11.717607Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-07T00:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062000-00",
      "strike": 85556.64,
      "predicted_close": 85569.1015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85549.85,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:49:11.717607Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 432,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85556.64466666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123341,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.54,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 179,
          "entry_price": 0.54,
          "gross_cost": 96.66000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.12,
          "total_deployed": 99.78000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.66000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.78000000000002,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5655.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.54,
          "gross_cost": 54.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 55.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -54.0,
          "net_pnl": -55.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5655.03
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        432
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85569.1015625,
        "quantiles": [
          85571.59375,
          85435.1953125,
          85487.15625,
          85520.953125,
          85547.25,
          85569.1015625,
          85589.453125,
          85631.21875,
          85674.5625,
          85736.6953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "82681e46c65c57b31095be2f61b0e6235a27e72c8af56522324d54ed9910e150",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 23:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85556.64466666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-07T00:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:37.43532Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85556.64,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T00:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "326676.01",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00.712548Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "544126.70",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6125.87",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3690.34",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,556.64"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T23:49:11.840948Z",
        "ask": 0.54,
        "depth": 5655.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:49:11.717607Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:49:11.840948Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:49:11.840948Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.53,
          "ask": 0.54,
          "midpoint": 0.535,
          "last_price": 0.54,
          "implied_probability": 0.54,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-07T00:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:37.43532Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85556.64,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-14T00:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-07T00:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "327768.07",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT062000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00.712548Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "547948.32",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5655.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2052.28",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,556.64"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.53,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.54,
            "yes_ask_size": 5655.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.47,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "430": {
      "id": 430,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T23:19:11.969296Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061930-30",
      "strike": 85495.4,
      "predicted_close": 85503.5234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85481.41,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:19:11.969296Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 430,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85495.40183333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117469,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.44,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 218,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 95.92,
          "trading_fee": 3.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.92,
          "net_pnl": -99.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5026.14
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 44.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 45.73,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -44.0,
          "net_pnl": -45.73,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5026.14
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        430
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85503.5234375,
        "quantiles": [
          85507.1015625,
          85385.546875,
          85432.046875,
          85461.578125,
          85485.3046875,
          85503.5234375,
          85519.78125,
          85555.703125,
          85595.0234375,
          85651.640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "256a6cba694c1f9c7113b41baabe8d0dea3b68ce50aa5e3aaa0a20ab9b768314",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 23:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85495.40183333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T23:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:36.907793Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85495.4,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T23:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "520419.50",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T23:15:00.682502Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "829005.32",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2325.59",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6265.04",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,495.40"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T23:19:12.086765Z",
        "ask": 0.44,
        "depth": 5026.14,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:19:11.969296Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:19:12.086765Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:19:12.086765Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.43,
          "ask": 0.44,
          "midpoint": 0.435,
          "last_price": 0.43,
          "implied_probability": 0.44,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T23:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:36.907793Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85495.4,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T23:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "553038.30",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T23:15:00.682502Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "881530.40",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5026.14",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "778.93",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,495.40"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.43,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.44,
            "yes_ask_size": 5026.14,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.57,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "429": {
      "id": 429,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T23:04:12.535365Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061915-15",
      "strike": 85531.02,
      "predicted_close": 85540.5703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85495.4,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:04:12.535365Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 429,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85531.02183333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130944,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.53,
          "net_pnl": -99.98,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6596.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -49.0,
          "net_pnl": -50.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6596.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        429
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85540.5703125,
        "quantiles": [
          85547.5390625,
          85426.5546875,
          85470.953125,
          85500.1796875,
          85522.828125,
          85540.5703125,
          85556.171875,
          85588.609375,
          85625.484375,
          85676.1171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "af1a7f2100bf68654889d8baf78fc5595a12750b493d3da4371419df01e0d92e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 22:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85531.02183333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:36.645036Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85531.02,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T23:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "238685.00",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T23:00:00.772884Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "106934.08",
        "volume_fp": "554831.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6596.38",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1280.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,531.02"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T23:04:12.666309Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 6596.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:04:12.535365Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:04:12.666309Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:04:12.666309Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T23:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:36.645036Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85531.02,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T23:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "238685.00",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T23:00:00.772884Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "106934.08",
              "volume_fp": "554831.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6596.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1280.75",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,531.02"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 6596.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "428": {
      "id": 428,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T22:49:12.008695Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061900-00",
      "strike": 85546.13,
      "predicted_close": 85563.5546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85531.02,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:49:12.008695Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 428,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85546.13033333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.116915,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.73,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 134,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 97.82,
          "trading_fee": 1.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.82,
          "net_pnl": -99.66999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8057.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 73.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 74.38,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -73.0,
          "net_pnl": -74.38,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8057.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        428
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85563.5546875,
        "quantiles": [
          85564.6640625,
          85429.3359375,
          85478.1328125,
          85515.0625,
          85542.4296875,
          85563.5546875,
          85581.234375,
          85618.8984375,
          85661.328125,
          85717.375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3f46519116d4d2258a1c67757f49d98ec7914b66b439394ff349b6f232c30198",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 22:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85546.13033333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:36.396139Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85546.13,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T23:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "385217.41",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00.69732Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "627486.94",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8412.56",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6423.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,546.13"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T22:49:12.125610Z",
        "ask": 0.73,
        "depth": 8057.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:49:12.008695Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:49:12.125610Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:49:12.125610Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.72,
          "ask": 0.73,
          "midpoint": 0.725,
          "last_price": 0.73,
          "implied_probability": 0.73,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T23:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:36.396139Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061900",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85546.13,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T23:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T23:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "384421.86",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061900-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00.69732Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "626266.41",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8057.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4700.06",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,546.13"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.72,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.73,
            "yes_ask_size": 8057.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.28,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "426": {
      "id": 426,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T22:19:12.437259Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061830-30",
      "strike": 85579.58,
      "predicted_close": 85587.515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85492.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:19:12.437259Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 426,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85579.581,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12038,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.55,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        426
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85587.515625,
        "quantiles": [
          85589.8359375,
          85472.7734375,
          85514.203125,
          85545.125,
          85564.5625,
          85587.515625,
          85602.4296875,
          85637.6171875,
          85673.4609375,
          85724.7578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8fc5c0d7f4fc2ecc14dab40ce92caf76cd0a63d5105fb1c72eb0684e390a405b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 22:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85579.581,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:35.350729Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85579.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T22:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "441000.88",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00.790413Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "746072.96",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4500.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2725.54",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,579.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T22:19:12.557639Z",
        "ask": 0.55,
        "depth": 66.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:19:12.437259Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:19:12.557639Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:19:12.557639Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.54,
          "ask": 0.55,
          "midpoint": 0.545,
          "last_price": 0.55,
          "implied_probability": 0.55,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:35.350729Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85579.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T22:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "445628.68",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00.790413Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "770616.53",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "66.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "556.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,579.58"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.54,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.55,
            "yes_ask_size": 66.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.46,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "425": {
      "id": 425,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T22:04:11.736726Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061815-15",
      "strike": 85605.76,
      "predicted_close": 85617.53125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85579.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:04:11.736726Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 425,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85605.75533333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.11563,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.42000000000002,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2938.26
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -68.0,
          "net_pnl": -69.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2938.26
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        425
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85617.53125,
        "quantiles": [
          85626.796875,
          85492.0625,
          85534.59375,
          85569.5859375,
          85591.34375,
          85617.53125,
          85633.9140625,
          85672.4375,
          85711.0625,
          85767.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9b331200ace99f4637b0bffe6416b93d48ce565b137a9c7af2bf4d7d91b13838",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 21:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85605.75533333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:34.363917Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061815",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85605.76,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T22:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "238049.31",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061815-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00.858108Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "108053.26",
        "volume_fp": "731056.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2475.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6009.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,605.76"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T22:04:11.852356Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 2938.26,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:04:11.736726Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:04:11.852356Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:04:11.852356Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:34.363917Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061815",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85605.76,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T22:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "241773.47",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061815-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00.858108Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "108053.26",
              "volume_fp": "762226.57",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2938.26",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4209.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,605.76"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 2938.26,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "424": {
      "id": 424,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T21:49:12.616755Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061800-00",
      "strike": 85586.19,
      "predicted_close": 85599.265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85605.76,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:49:12.616755Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 424,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85586.19433333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12219,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.54,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 179,
          "entry_price": 0.54,
          "gross_cost": 96.66000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.12,
          "total_deployed": 99.78000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 179.0,
          "gross_pnl": 82.33999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 79.21999999999998,
          "roi": 0.793946682701944,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2500.95
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.54,
          "gross_cost": 54.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 55.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 46.0,
          "net_pnl": 44.26,
          "roi": 0.7940437746681018,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2500.95
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        424
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85599.265625,
        "quantiles": [
          85611.25,
          85475.8984375,
          85520.3671875,
          85550.921875,
          85574.1640625,
          85599.265625,
          85617.203125,
          85653.6015625,
          85696.0625,
          85755.1015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f3bf4abc2f5b14e8391599b73255892803be370684c8d84b4973147beb3b7551",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85586.19433333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:33.709927Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85586.19,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "193987.83",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00.696844Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "414818.00",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1744.04",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "748.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,586.19"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T21:49:12.738945Z",
        "ask": 0.54,
        "depth": 2500.95,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:49:12.616755Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:49:12.738945Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:49:12.738945Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.53,
          "ask": 0.54,
          "midpoint": 0.535,
          "last_price": 0.53,
          "implied_probability": 0.54,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:33.709927Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85586.19,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T22:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "194020.13",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00.696844Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "415894.71",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2500.95",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6909.32",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,586.19"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.53,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.54,
            "yes_ask_size": 2500.95,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.47,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "423": {
      "id": 423,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T21:34:11.999663Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061745-45",
      "strike": 85561.51,
      "predicted_close": 85574.0625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85586.19,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:34:11.999663Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 423,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85561.51283333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.116843,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.77,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 127,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 97.79,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.37,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 127.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 27.629999999999995,
          "roi": 0.27805172587299987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2855.82
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 77.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 78.24,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 23.0,
          "net_pnl": 21.760000000000005,
          "roi": 0.27811860940695304,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2855.82
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        423
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85574.0625,
        "quantiles": [
          85581.40625,
          85439.59375,
          85486.234375,
          85520.78125,
          85547.0859375,
          85574.0625,
          85594.5390625,
          85637.3984375,
          85683.4453125,
          85747.0390625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d97d484e2299469344d6b3a59b59a8ad814dba08f2b6a2c84f4b2623c2dfe542",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 21:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85561.51283333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:33.453991Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85561.51,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "297820.60",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:30:00.712107Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "152298.71",
        "volume_fp": "609438.68",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2514.32",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4274.93",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,561.51"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T21:34:12.116506Z",
        "ask": 0.77,
        "depth": 2855.82,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:34:11.999663Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:34:12.116506Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:34:12.116506Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.76,
          "ask": 0.77,
          "midpoint": 0.765,
          "last_price": 0.76,
          "implied_probability": 0.77,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:33.453991Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85561.51,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "299833.70",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:30:00.712107Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "152298.71",
              "volume_fp": "623864.14",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2855.82",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3571.97",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,561.51"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.76,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.77,
            "yes_ask_size": 2855.82,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.24,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "422": {
      "id": 422,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T21:19:12.066676Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061730-30",
      "strike": 85558.36,
      "predicted_close": 85564.609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85561.51,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:19:12.066676Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 422,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85558.35533333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131248,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.26,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 365,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 94.9,
          "trading_fee": 4.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 365.0,
          "gross_pnl": 270.1,
          "net_pnl": 265.18,
          "roi": 2.656581847325185,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7973.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 26.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 27.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 74.0,
          "net_pnl": 72.65,
          "roi": 2.656307129798903,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7973.03
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        422
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85564.609375,
        "quantiles": [
          85573.4375,
          85425.0,
          85475.0390625,
          85510.0,
          85537.953125,
          85564.609375,
          85587.3125,
          85630.0234375,
          85676.7421875,
          85740.0
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "671620369aaddfb49dc35ef988fb7c5690040a717bee5a2ce4b51888a3745599",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 21:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85558.35533333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:33.192739Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061730",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85558.36,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "321157.84",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061730-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:15:00.750155Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "645213.26",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2409.77",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4679.15",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,558.36"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T21:19:12.197924Z",
        "ask": 0.26,
        "depth": 7973.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:19:12.066676Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:19:12.197924Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:19:12.197924Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.25,
          "ask": 0.26,
          "midpoint": 0.255,
          "last_price": 0.25,
          "implied_probability": 0.26,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:33.192739Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061730",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85558.36,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "326477.88",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061730-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:15:00.750155Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "665371.30",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7973.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6062.88",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,558.36"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.25,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.26,
            "yes_ask_size": 7973.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.75,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "421": {
      "id": 421,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T21:04:11.806522Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061715-15",
      "strike": 85611.7,
      "predicted_close": 85623.234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85558.36,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:04:11.806522Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 421,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85611.7045,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133621,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.14,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 673,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 94.22000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.68,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.22000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9172.75
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 14.000000000000002,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 14.850000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -14.000000000000002,
          "net_pnl": -14.850000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9172.75
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        421
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85623.234375,
        "quantiles": [
          85632.3515625,
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          85596.6875,
          85623.234375,
          85644.6171875,
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          85735.0625,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7fb0d475e8f825c50bdfc85bbefb304656fda998e668a65c6e562ec1a09c664b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 20:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85611.7045,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:32.918299Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85611.7,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "397685.20",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
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            "step": "0.0010"
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T21:00:01.075168Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "131025.62",
        "volume_fp": "781920.99",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8068.18",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8213.52",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,611.70"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T21:04:11.940143Z",
        "ask": 0.14,
        "depth": 9172.75,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:04:11.806522Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:04:11.940143Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:04:11.940143Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.13,
          "ask": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.135,
          "last_price": 0.14,
          "implied_probability": 0.14,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:32.918299Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85611.7,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "409701.31",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
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              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "131025.62",
              "volume_fp": "810990.85",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9172.75",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7393.50",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,611.70"
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            "yes_bid": 0.13,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.14,
            "yes_ask_size": 9172.75,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.87,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "420": {
      "id": 420,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T20:49:12.131075Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061700-00",
      "strike": 85627.71,
      "predicted_close": 85653.1328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85611.7,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:49:12.131075Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 420,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85627.70883333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126824,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "shares": 167,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 96.86,
          "trading_fee": 2.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
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          "gross_pnl": -96.86,
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          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 57.99999999999999,
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          "total_deployed": 59.709999999999994,
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          "gross_pnl": -57.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -59.709999999999994,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10383.43
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
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      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85653.1328125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "618a7c5ab8b58d4642b97f14ab8ac60722c2a72c75995cc9ed27be9fe2e614c5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 20:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85627.70883333332,
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      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:31.821888Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85627.71,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "280525.26",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:45:00.711172Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "583085.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9027.34",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1528.36",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,627.71"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T20:49:12.257899Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 10383.43,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:49:12.131075Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:49:12.257899Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:49:12.257899Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T21:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:31.821888Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85627.71,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T21:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T21:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "284378.74",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:45:00.711172Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "602977.01",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10383.43",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "589.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,627.71"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 10383.43,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "419": {
      "id": 419,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T20:34:11.935003Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061645-45",
      "strike": 85611.1,
      "predicted_close": 85622.390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85627.71,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:34:11.935003Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 419,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85611.09550000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123887,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.55,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 176,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 96.80000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 176.0,
          "gross_pnl": 79.19999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 76.14999999999999,
          "roi": 0.7626439659489233,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 556.27
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 55.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 56.74000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 44.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.25999999999999,
          "roi": 0.76242509693338,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 556.27
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        419
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85622.390625,
        "quantiles": [
          85633.40625,
          85460.2109375,
          85520.65625,
          85560.796875,
          85592.9375,
          85622.390625,
          85648.5,
          85694.6953125,
          85750.71875,
          85823.4609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ed0e0935a27cd66211c57e08d6801922a0aa8457b73a7c627508ec1ed0797194",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 20:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85611.09550000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:31.306928Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85611.1,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "293426.32",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:30:00.724374Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "140202.32",
        "volume_fp": "550615.47",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5124.87",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10496.92",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,611.10"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T20:34:12.058890Z",
        "ask": 0.55,
        "depth": 556.27,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:34:11.935003Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:34:12.058890Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:34:12.058890Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.54,
          "ask": 0.55,
          "midpoint": 0.545,
          "last_price": 0.54,
          "implied_probability": 0.55,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:31.306928Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85611.1,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "295177.79",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:30:00.724374Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "140202.32",
              "volume_fp": "568820.55",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "556.27",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6428.93",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,611.10"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.54,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.55,
            "yes_ask_size": 556.27,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.46,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "418": {
      "id": 418,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T20:19:11.465897Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061630-30",
      "strike": 85617.39,
      "predicted_close": 85632.734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85611.1,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:19:11.465897Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 418,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85617.39,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132085,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.61,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 159,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 96.99,
          "trading_fee": 2.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.99,
          "net_pnl": -99.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4604.97
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 61.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 62.67,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -61.0,
          "net_pnl": -62.67,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4604.97
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        418
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85632.734375,
        "quantiles": [
          85641.171875,
          85469.3671875,
          85534.78125,
          85575.4765625,
          85604.6875,
          85632.734375,
          85657.0,
          85698.7265625,
          85753.8515625,
          85827.2421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cdb80e3686448800274c9012c66ac1e21d20e8968ddc51d2feed776e782bd1b1",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85617.39,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:31.04303Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85617.39,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "232558.66",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:15:00.718825Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "502364.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9129.31",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "870.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,617.39"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T20:19:11.597982Z",
        "ask": 0.61,
        "depth": 4604.97,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:19:11.465897Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:19:11.597982Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:19:11.597982Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.6,
          "ask": 0.61,
          "midpoint": 0.605,
          "last_price": 0.61,
          "implied_probability": 0.61,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:31.04303Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85617.39,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "232574.72",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:15:00.718825Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "516358.49",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4604.97",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9271.14",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,617.39"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.6,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.61,
            "yes_ask_size": 4604.97,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.4,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "417": {
      "id": 417,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T20:04:12.346750Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061615-15",
      "strike": 85618.0,
      "predicted_close": 85637.3125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85617.39,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:04:12.346750Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 417,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85618.00283333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.119794,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.39999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.67999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1923.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -36.0,
          "net_pnl": -37.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1923.03
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        417
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85637.3125,
        "quantiles": [
          85648.2890625,
          85469.75,
          85533.859375,
          85573.578125,
          85605.1875,
          85637.3125,
          85665.3359375,
          85711.109375,
          85768.7578125,
          85850.859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "47a34e39f6deeb1fd3503ca487be3d3439a6128db8fa47d6a4a8db7fefcae49f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 19:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85618.00283333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:30.783448Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85618,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "329342.84",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00.761977Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "155988.33",
        "volume_fp": "627815.70",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8748.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5897.33",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,618.00"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T20:04:12.466544Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 1923.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:04:12.346750Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:04:12.466544Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:04:12.466544Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:30.783448Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85618,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "329246.80",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00.761977Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "155988.33",
              "volume_fp": "625277.48",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1923.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "11022.27",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,618.00"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 1923.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "416": {
      "id": 416,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T19:49:11.764415Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061600-00",
      "strike": 85490.48,
      "predicted_close": 85495.34375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85618.0,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:49:11.764415Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 416,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85490.47583333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126878,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.89,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 111,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 98.79,
          "trading_fee": 0.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.56,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 111.0,
          "gross_pnl": 12.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 11.439999999999998,
          "roi": 0.11490558457211729,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 249.21
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.89,
          "gross_cost": 89.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 89.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.310000000000002,
          "roi": 0.114951499609767,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 249.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        416
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85495.34375,
        "quantiles": [
          85511.6953125,
          85351.109375,
          85408.3828125,
          85440.375,
          85468.0625,
          85495.34375,
          85518.5859375,
          85557.8984375,
          85612.4765625,
          85686.8671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0039f6c6f7c5a9c2b43da251027e241af28a52f335250b16fa729f020c9684d5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85490.47583333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:30.464249Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85490.48,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "433819.95",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T19:45:00.724028Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "755286.62",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6260.69",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10069.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,490.48"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T19:49:11.891293Z",
        "ask": 0.89,
        "depth": 249.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:49:11.764415Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:49:11.891293Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:49:11.891293Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.88,
          "ask": 0.89,
          "midpoint": 0.885,
          "last_price": 0.88,
          "implied_probability": 0.89,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:30.464249Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85490.48,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T20:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "436964.80",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T19:45:00.724028Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "760061.81",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "249.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8163.31",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,490.48"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.88,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.89,
            "yes_ask_size": 249.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.12,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "415": {
      "id": 415,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T19:34:12.198262Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061545-45",
      "strike": 85491.23,
      "predicted_close": 85494.25,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85490.48,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:34:12.198262Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 415,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85491.23333333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129239,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.77,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 127,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 97.79,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.37,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.79,
          "net_pnl": -99.37,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7455.44
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 77.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 78.24,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -77.0,
          "net_pnl": -78.24,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7455.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        415
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85494.25,
        "quantiles": [
          85506.5,
          85343.03125,
          85402.5078125,
          85437.5703125,
          85466.4375,
          85494.25,
          85519.171875,
          85557.0078125,
          85611.59375,
          85689.5546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cf2b60323e749ea8884983fda3c4d1877547c0c058803f58bf1a90e8f89e45e6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 19:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85491.23333333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:29.065398Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85491.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T19:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "390183.01",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00.765795Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "162262.90",
        "volume_fp": "695709.05",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8216.76",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1403.93",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,491.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T19:34:12.327501Z",
        "ask": 0.77,
        "depth": 7455.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:34:12.198262Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:34:12.327501Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:34:12.327501Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.76,
          "ask": 0.77,
          "midpoint": 0.765,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.77,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T19:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:29.065398Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85491.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T19:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "391280.53",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00.765795Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "162262.90",
              "volume_fp": "697268.85",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7455.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2849.49",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,491.23"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.76,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.77,
            "yes_ask_size": 7455.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.24,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "414": {
      "id": 414,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T19:19:11.557052Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061530-30",
      "strike": 85473.66,
      "predicted_close": 85480.125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85491.23,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:19:11.557052Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 414,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85473.66416666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13294,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 265.0,
          "gross_pnl": 169.60000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 165.32,
          "roi": 1.6585072231139648,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10015.7
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 64.0,
          "net_pnl": 62.38,
          "roi": 1.6581605528973953,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10015.7
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        414
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85480.125,
        "quantiles": [
          85491.9765625,
          85304.96875,
          85372.4921875,
          85411.9765625,
          85445.1953125,
          85480.125,
          85510.2109375,
          85554.234375,
          85616.375,
          85701.109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "49e0193bc79bfc8e45bf58c335a248085596c0313053a4d3ff58a7813443972b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 19:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85473.66416666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:28.611386Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85473.66,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T19:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "329333.23",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00.703793Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "774985.80",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7318.59",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9748.88",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,473.66"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T19:19:11.689992Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 10015.7,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:19:11.557052Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:19:11.689992Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:19:11.689992Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.36,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:28.611386Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85473.66,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T19:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "330477.38",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00.703793Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "783149.90",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10015.70",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5071.54",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,473.66"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 10015.7,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "412": {
      "id": 412,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T18:49:12.050217Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061500-00",
      "strike": 85627.34,
      "predicted_close": 85639.2421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85501.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:49:12.050217Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 412,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85627.33916666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.113697,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.15,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 629,
          "entry_price": 0.15,
          "gross_cost": 94.35,
          "trading_fee": 5.62,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6774.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.15,
          "gross_cost": 15.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 15.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -15.0,
          "net_pnl": -15.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6774.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        412
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85639.2421875,
        "quantiles": [
          85648.890625,
          85462.5390625,
          85530.84375,
          85571.4765625,
          85604.0859375,
          85639.2421875,
          85671.1015625,
          85716.625,
          85778.125,
          85861.3046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f9f8af9270e1718732cfea9503dab9f603d141d84ef3a6594bf867006d8f165b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 18:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85627.33916666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:28.081942Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85627.34,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T19:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "320706.86",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00.767565Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "575269.44",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7142.81",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3509.11",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,627.34"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T18:49:12.163914Z",
        "ask": 0.15,
        "depth": 6774.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:49:12.050217Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:49:12.163914Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:49:12.163914Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.14,
          "ask": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.14500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.15,
          "implied_probability": 0.15,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:28.081942Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85627.34,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T19:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T19:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "322980.32",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00.767565Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "577857.45",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6774.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3277.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,627.34"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.14,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.15,
            "yes_ask_size": 6774.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.86,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "411": {
      "id": 411,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T18:34:12.447377Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061445-45",
      "strike": 85719.39,
      "predicted_close": 85725.8046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85627.34,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:34:12.447377Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 411,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85719.393,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115362,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.13,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 725,
          "entry_price": 0.13,
          "gross_cost": 94.25,
          "trading_fee": 5.74,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.25,
          "net_pnl": -99.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2388.6
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.13,
          "gross_cost": 13.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.8,
          "total_deployed": 13.8,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -13.0,
          "net_pnl": -13.8,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2388.6
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        411
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85725.8046875,
        "quantiles": [
          85733.5859375,
          85544.7734375,
          85615.7734375,
          85656.9765625,
          85690.140625,
          85725.8046875,
          85758.8046875,
          85805.234375,
          85868.8984375,
          85952.078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3e6618090582565280ea480292931eafca17724b49384b8ac104fd08512775e3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 18:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85719.393,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:27.114636Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061445",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85719.39,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "356367.30",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061445-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00.719418Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "212722.43",
        "volume_fp": "639549.14",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1057.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8799.82",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,719.39"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T18:34:12.562739Z",
        "ask": 0.13,
        "depth": 2388.6,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:34:12.447377Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:34:12.562739Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:34:12.562739Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.12,
          "ask": 0.13,
          "midpoint": 0.125,
          "last_price": 0.12,
          "implied_probability": 0.13,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:27.114636Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061445",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85719.39,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "356805.15",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061445-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00.719418Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "212722.43",
              "volume_fp": "640832.53",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2388.60",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9131.28",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,719.39"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.12,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.13,
            "yes_ask_size": 2388.6,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.88,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "410": {
      "id": 410,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T18:19:11.256796Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061430-30",
      "strike": 85768.68,
      "predicted_close": 85784.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85719.39,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:19:11.256796Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 410,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85768.67733333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125038,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.39999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.67999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5737.44
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -36.0,
          "net_pnl": -37.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5737.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        410
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85784.078125,
        "quantiles": [
          85791.9296875,
          85586.7890625,
          85662.3203125,
          85709.46875,
          85747.1328125,
          85784.078125,
          85818.8203125,
          85865.703125,
          85931.96875,
          86018.21875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a4e234d1d9c2f8ab703c8a0a5e9ed3902ea14be736cfffb39913fc32561446c9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 18:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85768.67733333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:26.85067Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061430",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85768.68,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "256180.30",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061430-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00.668707Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "608587.58",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10011.76",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "514.87",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,768.68"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T18:19:11.381834Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 5737.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:19:11.256796Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:19:11.381834Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:19:11.381834Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.36,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:26.85067Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061430",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85768.68,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "258244.10",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061430-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00.668707Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "618574.29",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5737.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4489.11",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,768.68"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 5737.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "409": {
      "id": 409,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T18:04:15.694019Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061415-15",
      "strike": 85707.35,
      "predicted_close": 85734.140625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85768.68,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:04:15.694019Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 409,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85707.35316666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.109269,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.77,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 127,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 97.79,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.37,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 127.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 27.629999999999995,
          "roi": 0.27805172587299987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5384.06
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 77.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 78.24,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 23.0,
          "net_pnl": 21.760000000000005,
          "roi": 0.27811860940695304,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5384.06
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        409
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85734.140625,
        "quantiles": [
          85740.9765625,
          85546.3828125,
          85617.875,
          85661.6953125,
          85696.59375,
          85734.140625,
          85769.4921875,
          85815.3359375,
          85880.484375,
          85961.40625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "80413513a56c11908eda9765ab91e064de84f08c951fea126a2a224c5963d77b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85707.35316666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:26.578869Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85707.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "452664.79",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00.957568Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "225793.29",
        "volume_fp": "822531.48",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8133.31",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7235.31",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,707.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T18:04:15.803288Z",
        "ask": 0.77,
        "depth": 5384.06,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:04:15.694019Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:04:15.803288Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:04:15.803288Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.76,
          "ask": 0.77,
          "midpoint": 0.765,
          "last_price": 0.76,
          "implied_probability": 0.77,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:26.578869Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85707.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:15:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "462233.18",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00.957568Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "225793.29",
              "volume_fp": "851407.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5384.06",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8697.24",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,707.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.76,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.77,
            "yes_ask_size": 5384.06,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.24,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "408": {
      "id": 408,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T17:49:11.985212Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061400-00",
      "strike": 85586.99,
      "predicted_close": 85588.171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85707.35,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:49:11.985212Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 408,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85586.98650000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115505,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.33,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 289,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 95.37,
          "trading_fee": 4.48,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 289.0,
          "gross_pnl": 193.63,
          "net_pnl": 189.14999999999998,
          "roi": 1.8943415122684022,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5750.76
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.33,
          "gross_cost": 33.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 34.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.0,
          "net_pnl": 65.45,
          "roi": 1.8943560057887123,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5750.76
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        408
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85588.171875,
        "quantiles": [
          85592.2890625,
          85428.0625,
          85491.46875,
          85526.6640625,
          85555.0703125,
          85588.171875,
          85619.21875,
          85657.921875,
          85715.90625,
          85790.0859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "94170e4694753c2dd91a4d850fe5885920e4f1dd8ac6865e2f3b95e2cdd4e52e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 17:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85586.98650000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:26.334068Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85586.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "249544.14",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00.681126Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "554523.63",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "738.65",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10123.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,586.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T17:49:12.100717Z",
        "ask": 0.33,
        "depth": 5750.76,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:49:11.985212Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:49:12.100717Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:49:12.100717Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.32,
          "ask": 0.33,
          "midpoint": 0.325,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.33,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:26.334068Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85586.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T18:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T18:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "251840.36",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00.681126Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "559044.41",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5750.76",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8817.80",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,586.99"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.32,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.33,
            "yes_ask_size": 5750.76,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.68,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "407": {
      "id": 407,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T17:34:12.316973Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061345-45",
      "strike": 85627.02,
      "predicted_close": 85649.71875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85586.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:34:12.316973Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 407,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85627.01566666664,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130517,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.42,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 228,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 95.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.89,
          "total_deployed": 99.64999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.64999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 633.01
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 42.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 43.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -42.0,
          "net_pnl": -43.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 633.01
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        407
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85649.71875,
        "quantiles": [
          85650.9375,
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          85535.703125,
          85577.5390625,
          85610.8359375,
          85649.71875,
          85685.375,
          85728.7421875,
          85791.2890625,
          85872.53125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "128ea68791f6d535be435cfe70785e1e0953469b6d8927a97484c96b308dc9b0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 17:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85627.01566666664,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:25.716769Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85627.02,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T17:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "360759.62",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00.682096Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "198455.57",
        "volume_fp": "642841.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9459.42",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5155.19",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,627.02"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T17:34:12.447490Z",
        "ask": 0.42,
        "depth": 633.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:34:12.316973Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:34:12.447490Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T17:34:12.447490Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.41,
          "ask": 0.42,
          "midpoint": 0.415,
          "last_price": 0.41,
          "implied_probability": 0.42,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:25.716769Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85627.02,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T17:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T17:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "348476.39",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
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                  "start": "0.1000",
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00.682096Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "198455.57",
              "volume_fp": "684531.37",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "633.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7831.16",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,627.02"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.41,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.42,
            "yes_ask_size": 633.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.59,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "402": {
      "id": 402,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T16:19:11.992057Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061230-30",
      "strike": 85758.97,
      "predicted_close": 85766.6953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85730.54,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:19:11.992057Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 402,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85758.96599999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.119571,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.57,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 170,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 96.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.89999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.82,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4950.7
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 56.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 58.71999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -56.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -58.71999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4950.7
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        402
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85766.6953125,
        "quantiles": [
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "025905db180c1ce77e7b8af7722383c23ea1ed9fc70492b10a694426f058a068",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 16:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85758.96599999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:23.653192Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85758.97,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T16:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248563.49",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00.785423Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "654780.63",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5956.44",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8839.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,758.97"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T16:19:12.111628Z",
        "ask": 0.57,
        "depth": 4950.7,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:19:11.992057Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:19:12.111628Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:19:12.111628Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.56,
          "ask": 0.57,
          "midpoint": 0.565,
          "last_price": 0.57,
          "implied_probability": 0.57,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:23.653192Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85758.97,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:30:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T16:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "241487.63",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00.785423Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "684585.61",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4950.70",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8385.65",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,758.97"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.56,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.57,
            "yes_ask_size": 4950.7,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.44,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "400": {
      "id": 400,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T15:49:12.696553Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061200-00",
      "strike": 86105.99,
      "predicted_close": 86119.2578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85735.8,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:49:12.696553Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 400,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 86105.99233333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125776,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1843.07
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1843.07
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        400
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 86119.2578125,
        "quantiles": [
          86100.59375,
          85882.8046875,
          85969.1796875,
          86029.984375,
          86078.2265625,
          86119.2578125,
          86163.5859375,
          86214.125,
          86285.0234375,
          86376.8046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "aae25be42aca0b8f240133363608d0b2fa6bfdda2b036055b21c274b65a62eab",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 86105.99233333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:22.187039Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 86105.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248956.41",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00.707109Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "618510.54",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2105.48",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7717.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $86,105.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T15:49:12.822329Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 1843.07,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:49:12.696553Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:49:12.822329Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:49:12.822329Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.34,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:22.187039Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 86105.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T16:00:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "253759.13",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00.707109Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "626855.18",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1843.07",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8612.26",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $86,105.99"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 1843.07,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "399": {
      "id": 399,
      "created_at": "2026-10-06T15:34:12.015358Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061145-45",
      "strike": 86281.03,
      "predicted_close": 86285.9296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 86105.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:34:12.015358Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 399,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 86281.02766666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124277,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.8,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 123,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 98.4,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.4,
          "net_pnl": -99.78,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5787.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 80.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 81.12,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -80.0,
          "net_pnl": -81.12,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5787.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        399
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 86285.9296875,
        "quantiles": [
          86264.03125,
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          86285.9296875,
          86329.078125,
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          86452.375,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "15a2c766f4eb6559fd521ca2399155f6f7ae296b131ecaabc43663db7bb93763",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-06 15:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 86281.02766666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:21.921085Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 86281.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T15:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "195174.67",
        "open_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00.699657Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "94061.26",
        "volume_fp": "663996.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3119.06",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11250.88",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $86,281.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-06T15:34:12.139635Z",
        "ask": 0.8,
        "depth": 5787.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:34:12.015358Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:34:12.139635Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:34:12.139635Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.79,
          "ask": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.795,
          "last_price": 0.8,
          "implied_probability": 0.8,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-10-05T20:01:21.921085Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 86281.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-13T15:45:00Z",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-06T15:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "198125.71",
              "open_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_bounds_type": "default",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT061145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00.699657Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "94061.26",
              "volume_fp": "667850.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5787.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9554.86",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $86,281.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.79,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.8,
            "yes_ask_size": 5787.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.21,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "383": {
      "id": 383,
      "created_at": "2026-10-01T03:34:16.124494Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302345-45",
      "strike": 83466.97,
      "predicted_close": 83468.2109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83663.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:34:16.124494Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 383,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83466.967,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.157817,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 201,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.99999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 201.0,
          "gross_pnl": 104.52000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 101.00000000000001,
          "roi": 1.0100000000000002,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5742.74
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 49.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 52.0,
          "net_pnl": 50.25,
          "roi": 1.0100502512562815,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5742.74
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        383
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83468.2109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83474.4921875,
          83342.4140625,
          83392.8828125,
          83424.125,
          83450.65625,
          83468.2109375,
          83489.5625,
          83524.625,
          83558.546875,
          83614.96875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e9f2f3bf886ac18b740d26793f136cc7905941f5145edc1a97a82df667f22f9a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-01 03:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83466.967,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:17.248518Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T03:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83466.97,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T03:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "211838.35",
        "open_time": "2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-01T03:30:00.55967Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "147652.49",
        "volume_fp": "638183.72",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6139.41",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1211.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,466.97"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-01T03:34:16.282311Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 5742.74,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:34:16.124494Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:34:16.282311Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:34:16.282311Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.47,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:17.248518Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T03:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83466.97,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T03:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "214775.16",
              "open_time": "2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-01T03:30:00.55967Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "147652.49",
              "volume_fp": "657645.67",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5742.74",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1433.76",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,466.97"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.47,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 5742.74,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.53,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "382": {
      "id": 382,
      "created_at": "2026-10-01T03:19:13.981324Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302330-30",
      "strike": 83430.79,
      "predicted_close": 83430.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83466.97,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-01T03:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:19:13.981324Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 382,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83430.78583333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.152039,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.44,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 218,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 95.92,
          "trading_fee": 3.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 218.0,
          "gross_pnl": 122.08,
          "net_pnl": 118.31,
          "roi": 1.1867790149463338,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8098.65
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 44.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 45.73,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 56.0,
          "net_pnl": 54.27,
          "roi": 1.1867483052700636,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8098.65
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        382
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83430.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          83439.7109375,
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          83352.6484375,
          83384.8125,
          83412.1328125,
          83430.8125,
          83453.59375,
          83488.640625,
          83523.0703125,
          83578.453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8705cdfa3602bb6c31eea7c1134ca11e885fd4185d2a9c00e3a3aa72e01038b3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-01 03:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83430.78583333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:16.947542Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T03:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83430.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T03:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "175627.65",
        "open_time": "2026-10-01T03:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-01T03:15:00.536675Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "527966.45",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1748.09",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6536.16",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,430.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-01T03:19:14.133363Z",
        "ask": 0.44,
        "depth": 8098.65,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:19:13.981324Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:19:14.133363Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-01T03:19:14.133363Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.43,
          "ask": 0.44,
          "midpoint": 0.435,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.44,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:16.947542Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T03:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83430.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T03:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T03:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "176512.77",
              "open_time": "2026-10-01T03:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-01T03:15:00.536675Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "530013.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8098.65",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "895.69",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,430.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.43,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.44,
            "yes_ask_size": 8098.65,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.57,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "376": {
      "id": 376,
      "created_at": "2026-10-01T01:49:14.627591Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302200-00",
      "strike": 83546.42,
      "predicted_close": 83547.109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83463.29,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:49:14.627591Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 376,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83546.42216666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.140175,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.24,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 395,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 94.8,
          "trading_fee": 5.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.8,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11270.2
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 24.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 25.28,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -24.0,
          "net_pnl": -25.28,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11270.2
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        376
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83547.109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83553.984375,
          83420.2578125,
          83470.125,
          83504.015625,
          83529.3515625,
          83547.109375,
          83569.1640625,
          83601.5546875,
          83640.3359375,
          83698.703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "af9114bfcfa1256660324a26dabcf2792d94a200fb043852b1afe45f5992a96d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-01 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83546.42216666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:13.737614Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83546.42,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "255641.86",
        "open_time": "2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-01T01:45:00.535277Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "472744.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10577.24",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3940.46",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,546.42"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-01T01:49:14.767766Z",
        "ask": 0.24,
        "depth": 11270.2,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:49:14.627591Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:49:14.767766Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:49:14.767766Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.23,
          "ask": 0.24,
          "midpoint": 0.235,
          "last_price": 0.24,
          "implied_probability": 0.24,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:13.737614Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83546.42,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T02:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "256157.09",
              "open_time": "2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-01T01:45:00.535277Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "473463.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11270.20",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1317.30",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,546.42"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.23,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.24,
            "yes_ask_size": 11270.2,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.77,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "375": {
      "id": 375,
      "created_at": "2026-10-01T01:34:13.933731Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302145-45",
      "strike": 83587.92,
      "predicted_close": 83588.0625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83546.42,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:34:13.933731Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 375,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83587.91599999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125502,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.2,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 473,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 94.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.3,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8672.89
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 20.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 21.12,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -20.0,
          "net_pnl": -21.12,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8672.89
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        375
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83588.0625,
        "quantiles": [
          83599.5546875,
          83440.7265625,
          83498.796875,
          83538.328125,
          83566.7734375,
          83588.0625,
          83614.28125,
          83651.8125,
          83695.734375,
          83761.3203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "793c2f6b298ee8ce0b0599e7797b73b82c3bd70801b7aaa7411e8bcb219fdc12",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-01 01:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83587.91599999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:13.4418Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T01:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83587.92,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T01:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "323311.42",
        "open_time": "2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-01T01:30:00.731935Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "175733.28",
        "volume_fp": "685174.40",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8982.60",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3102.41",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,587.92"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-01T01:34:14.059233Z",
        "ask": 0.2,
        "depth": 8672.89,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:34:13.933731Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:34:14.059233Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:34:14.059233Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.19,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.195,
          "last_price": 0.19,
          "implied_probability": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T01:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:13.4418Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T01:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83587.92,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T01:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "328356.75",
              "open_time": "2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-01T01:30:00.731935Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "175733.28",
              "volume_fp": "699094.08",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8672.89",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6585.69",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,587.92"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.19,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.2,
            "yes_ask_size": 8672.89,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.81,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "374": {
      "id": 374,
      "created_at": "2026-10-01T01:19:16.008663Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302130-30",
      "strike": 83554.46,
      "predicted_close": 83555.6640625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83587.92,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-01T01:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:19:16.008663Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 374,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83554.46133333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142014,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 152.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.72,
          "net_pnl": 52.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.5239623019851615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3084.69
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.0,
          "net_pnl": 34.379999999999995,
          "roi": 0.5239256324291374,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3084.69
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        374
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83555.6640625,
        "quantiles": [
          83569.109375,
          83422.7421875,
          83473.3203125,
          83510.3203125,
          83537.390625,
          83555.6640625,
          83579.734375,
          83616.828125,
          83659.234375,
          83723.9375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3d915576bd7a67f82a907d4922abf06268930bb16bc38db0dadb1baf79ff3a54",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-10-01 01:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83554.46133333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:12.434486Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T01:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83554.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T01:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "239968.71",
        "open_time": "2026-10-01T01:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-01T01:15:00.540818Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "869171.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3519.96",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6577.08",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,554.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-01T01:19:16.150677Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 3084.69,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:19:16.008663Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:19:16.150677Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-01T01:19:16.150677Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T01:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:12.434486Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T01:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83554.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T01:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T01:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "247819.86",
              "open_time": "2026-10-01T01:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-01T01:15:00.540818Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "882613.39",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3084.69",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8922.24",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,554.46"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 3084.69,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "369": {
      "id": 369,
      "created_at": "2026-10-01T00:04:16.226298Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302015-15",
      "strike": 83569.02,
      "predicted_close": 83591.7109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83482.25,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:04:16.226298Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 369,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83569.01883333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.137875,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4564.77
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4564.77
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        369
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83591.7109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83598.03125,
          83448.109375,
          83500.890625,
          83543.78125,
          83573.2578125,
          83591.7109375,
          83622.4453125,
          83661.3203125,
          83702.6875,
          83760.8515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a383909b9270c27052e7deb4f7e09107ec00ed68588ce2817ebee41a59ecefdd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 23:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83569.01883333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T00:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.919384Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T00:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83569.02,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T00:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "326595.09",
        "open_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00.680731Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "175901.03",
        "volume_fp": "651528.26",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1010.42",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8101.04",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,569.02"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-10-01T00:04:16.364173Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 4564.77,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:04:16.226298Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:04:16.364173Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:04:16.364173Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.34,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T00:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.919384Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T00:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83569.02,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T00:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "329826.57",
              "open_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00.680731Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "175901.03",
              "volume_fp": "663195.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4564.77",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4226.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,569.02"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 4564.77,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "368": {
      "id": 368,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T23:49:15.161443Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302000-00",
      "strike": 83574.27,
      "predicted_close": 83582.6953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83569.02,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:49:15.161443Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 368,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83574.26816666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.176255,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.29,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 328,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 95.11999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.11999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7093.72
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 28.999999999999996,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 30.449999999999996,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.999999999999996,
          "net_pnl": -30.449999999999996,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7093.72
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        368
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83582.6953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83593.4375,
          83432.484375,
          83491.109375,
          83533.765625,
          83564.2890625,
          83582.6953125,
          83615.671875,
          83652.421875,
          83700.9375,
          83769.0859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8878a74a69efd47f1093ff8a397584ee7939b04cc265490a09a6dfb2f6193671",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 23:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83574.26816666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.643326Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T00:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83574.27,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T00:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "310117.87",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:45:00.543145Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "617127.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6094.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7627.38",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,574.27"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T23:49:15.337698Z",
        "ask": 0.29,
        "depth": 7093.72,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:49:15.161443Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:49:15.337698Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:49:15.337698Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.28,
          "ask": 0.29,
          "midpoint": 0.28500000000000003,
          "last_price": 0.29,
          "implied_probability": 0.29,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.643326Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-10-01T00:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83574.27,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-10-01T00:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "315952.25",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP302000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:45:00.543145Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "625550.16",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7093.72",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8075.93",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,574.27"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.28,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.29,
            "yes_ask_size": 7093.72,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.72,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "367": {
      "id": 367,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T23:34:14.833360Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301945-45",
      "strike": 83622.59,
      "predicted_close": 83634.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83574.27,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:34:14.833360Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 367,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83622.59266666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.154053,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.21,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 451,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 94.71,
          "trading_fee": 5.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.94999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.71,
          "net_pnl": -99.94999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7131.9
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 21.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.17,
          "total_deployed": 22.17,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -21.0,
          "net_pnl": -22.17,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7131.9
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        367
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83634.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          83644.328125,
          83497.9921875,
          83552.5234375,
          83591.9453125,
          83617.859375,
          83634.796875,
          83665.34375,
          83701.15625,
          83746.46875,
          83811.2109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cb05c27b226166d980aa24bc8fc81682921507de01409ea91655e9cfbba75007",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 23:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83622.59266666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.372421Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T23:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83622.59,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T23:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "324580.87",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:30:00.583866Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "150688.53",
        "volume_fp": "673426.06",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2016.43",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7135.11",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,622.59"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T23:34:14.987413Z",
        "ask": 0.21,
        "depth": 7131.9,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:34:14.833360Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:34:14.987413Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:34:14.987413Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.2,
          "ask": 0.21,
          "midpoint": 0.20500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.21,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.372421Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T23:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83622.59,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T23:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "328387.70",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:30:00.583866Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "150688.53",
              "volume_fp": "685963.73",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7131.90",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "489.82",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,622.59"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.2,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.21,
            "yes_ask_size": 7131.9,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.8,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "366": {
      "id": 366,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T23:19:16.706589Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301930-30",
      "strike": 83662.71,
      "predicted_close": 83668.8203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83622.59,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:19:16.706589Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 366,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83662.70816666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132146,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 201,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.99999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.47999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.99999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3539.64
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 49.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -48.0,
          "net_pnl": -49.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3539.64
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        366
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83668.8203125,
        "quantiles": [
          83681.0078125,
          83533.265625,
          83586.640625,
          83625.359375,
          83651.1328125,
          83668.8203125,
          83699.234375,
          83733.875,
          83779.0625,
          83840.1875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "bcf63a0e371edc4dd2d328636ee28835b2c7e0065d6c2e8e028eddb74944f2d7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 23:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83662.70816666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.089932Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T23:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83662.71,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T23:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "227387.96",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:15:00.560974Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "669609.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7260.51",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4842.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,662.71"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T23:19:16.838735Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 3539.64,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:19:16.706589Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:19:16.838735Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:19:16.838735Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.47,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:10.089932Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T23:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83662.71,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T23:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "234202.58",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:15:00.560974Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "680759.33",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3539.64",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3850.47",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,662.71"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.47,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 3539.64,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.53,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "365": {
      "id": 365,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T23:04:13.772191Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301915-15",
      "strike": 83642.7,
      "predicted_close": 83649.21875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83662.71,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T23:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:04:13.772191Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 365,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83642.702,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132801,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.76,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 129,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 98.04,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.69000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 129.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.959999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 29.309999999999988,
          "roi": 0.2940114354498945,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5570.86
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 76.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 77.28,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.0,
          "net_pnl": 22.72,
          "roi": 0.2939958592132505,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5570.86
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        365
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83649.21875,
        "quantiles": [
          83662.578125,
          83510.65625,
          83567.3984375,
          83605.3515625,
          83630.2890625,
          83649.21875,
          83678.984375,
          83714.703125,
          83759.8515625,
          83824.3125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f648cdb931c3ed0fa7f3154490d6d20776b2ff2a575d659634574758c2effe02",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 22:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83642.702,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:09.821551Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T23:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83642.7,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T23:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "244988.28",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:00:00.675375Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "135388.76",
        "volume_fp": "692928.08",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6361.61",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6164.35",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,642.70"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T23:04:13.904992Z",
        "ask": 0.76,
        "depth": 5570.86,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:04:13.772191Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:04:13.904992Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T23:04:13.904992Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.75,
          "ask": 0.76,
          "midpoint": 0.755,
          "last_price": 0.76,
          "implied_probability": 0.76,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:09.821551Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T23:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83642.7,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T23:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T23:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "246649.89",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T23:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T23:00:00.675375Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "135388.76",
              "volume_fp": "698863.72",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5570.86",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8489.49",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,642.70"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.75,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.76,
            "yes_ask_size": 5570.86,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.25,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "363": {
      "id": 363,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T22:34:15.022587Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301845-45",
      "strike": 83769.42,
      "predicted_close": 83793.0859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83762.43,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:34:15.022587Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 363,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83769.41899999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139903,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 167,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 96.86,
          "trading_fee": 2.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.86,
          "net_pnl": -99.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2722.85
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 57.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 59.709999999999994,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -57.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -59.709999999999994,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2722.85
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        363
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83793.0859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83804.7421875,
          83649.5703125,
          83710.3828125,
          83748.546875,
          83772.84375,
          83793.0859375,
          83820.3203125,
          83855.328125,
          83903.2890625,
          83974.4609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "28ce5eab96abbdbc0b993282939efd36a85f986b3eece544940dee1d82f88caa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 22:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83769.41899999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:09.177792Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83769.42,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "218890.45",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T22:30:00.630299Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "118873.45",
        "volume_fp": "517620.16",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5794.07",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4934.07",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,769.42"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T22:34:15.162490Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 2722.85,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:34:15.022587Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:34:15.162490Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:34:15.162490Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.57,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:09.177792Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83769.42,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "220058.24",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T22:30:00.630299Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "118873.45",
              "volume_fp": "522538.63",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2722.85",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8316.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,769.42"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 2722.85,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "362": {
      "id": 362,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T22:19:14.577239Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301830-30",
      "strike": 83663.4,
      "predicted_close": 83684.734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83769.42,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:19:14.577239Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 362,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83663.403,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139943,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 145.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.849999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 45.599999999999994,
          "roi": 0.45875251509054316,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4168.16
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 33.0,
          "net_pnl": 31.450000000000003,
          "roi": 0.45878920495988335,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4168.16
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        362
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83684.734375,
        "quantiles": [
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          83601.7890625,
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          83662.2890625,
          83684.734375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "94b16b1ba92aae5ef769636f479813bba245ee31ccc921a20cc68e74ed64a23a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 22:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83663.403,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:08.776388Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83663.4,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "231903.29",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T22:15:00.643824Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "579762.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8435.84",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8463.55",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,663.40"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T22:19:14.717182Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 4168.16,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:19:14.577239Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:19:14.717182Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:19:14.717182Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:08.776388Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83663.4,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "237876.23",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                },
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T22:15:00.643824Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "589418.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4168.16",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10076.98",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,663.40"
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            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 4168.16,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "361": {
      "id": 361,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T22:04:13.342234Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301815-15",
      "strike": 83708.91,
      "predicted_close": 83710.0,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83663.4,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:04:13.342234Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 361,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83708.91316666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.140649,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
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          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
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          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5688.23
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        361
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83710.0,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "51ceb5328a166e1b58cbc89cc0ba1da77b3b9fe66426640195efb8d406f0fab6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 21:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83708.91316666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:08.506594Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301815",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83708.91,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "207342.29",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301815-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T22:00:00.703942Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "104991.85",
        "volume_fp": "604968.15",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3700.57",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4749.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,708.91"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T22:04:13.482883Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 5688.23,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:04:13.342234Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:04:13.482883Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:04:13.482883Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:08.506594Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301815",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83708.91,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "208239.05",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301815-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T22:00:00.703942Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "104991.85",
              "volume_fp": "609337.30",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5688.23",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "26.60",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,708.91"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 5688.23,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "360": {
      "id": 360,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T21:49:14.364525Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301800-00",
      "strike": 83680.23,
      "predicted_close": 83690.84375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83708.91,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:49:14.364525Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 360,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83680.22616666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.173882,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.53,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 182,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 96.46000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.64000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 182.0,
          "gross_pnl": 85.53999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 82.35999999999999,
          "roi": 0.8265756724207143,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2320.32
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 53.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 54.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.0,
          "net_pnl": 45.25,
          "roi": 0.8264840182648402,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2320.32
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        360
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83690.84375,
        "quantiles": [
          83694.390625,
          83532.640625,
          83597.1796875,
          83637.15625,
          83665.7109375,
          83690.84375,
          83719.359375,
          83751.96875,
          83799.3125,
          83870.1953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9c242a95d1cf53d5274bf5bbf9ab6c427fc88a1b5e0d921c8e33a5b1c1e06fa9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83680.22616666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:08.220603Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83680.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "205134.80",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T21:45:00.58533Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "542793.25",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2622.23",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5154.18",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,680.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T21:49:14.538407Z",
        "ask": 0.53,
        "depth": 2320.32,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:49:14.364525Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:49:14.538407Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:49:14.538407Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.52,
          "ask": 0.53,
          "midpoint": 0.525,
          "last_price": 0.53,
          "implied_probability": 0.53,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:08.220603Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83680.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T22:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "206496.56",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T21:45:00.58533Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "549889.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2320.32",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6106.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,680.23"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.52,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.53,
            "yes_ask_size": 2320.32,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.48,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "355": {
      "id": 355,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T20:34:17.935842Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301645-45",
      "strike": 83703.31,
      "predicted_close": 83709.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83645.5,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:34:17.935842Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 355,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83703.30649999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125428,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5538.69
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5538.69
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        355
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83709.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          83714.8359375,
          83517.5,
          83593.7890625,
          83642.4921875,
          83680.046875,
          83709.8125,
          83751.0,
          83795.1640625,
          83855.90625,
          83956.4765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a6f0e884e68a44710153ac7473d8a006a265b2ac596a2437d221d2b32bb56b59",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 20:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83703.30649999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:06.443092Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83703.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "271552.00",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T20:30:00.610966Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "73468.45",
        "volume_fp": "448244.81",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5960.97",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "10389.71",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,703.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T20:34:18.061270Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 5538.69,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:34:17.935842Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:34:18.061270Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:34:18.061270Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.19,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:06.443092Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83703.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "276388.56",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T20:30:00.610966Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "73468.45",
              "volume_fp": "455053.18",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5538.69",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9879.48",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,703.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 5538.69,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "354": {
      "id": 354,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T20:19:13.075476Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301630-30",
      "strike": 83597.88,
      "predicted_close": 83619.3828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83703.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:19:13.075476Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 354,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83597.87766666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120457,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4691.06
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4691.06
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        354
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83619.3828125,
        "quantiles": [
          83623.8515625,
          83442.6171875,
          83512.3203125,
          83558.4453125,
          83594.0703125,
          83619.3828125,
          83656.734375,
          83698.4765625,
          83754.2265625,
          83846.515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5cf89b5c7124c557d7028733e87bb6ce4f5a72701b78ecc90b2120df3e95ee11",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83597.87766666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:06.13819Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83597.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "183903.85",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T20:15:00.591509Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "407556.20",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "12496.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "12.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,597.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T20:19:13.195933Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 4691.06,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:19:13.075476Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:19:13.195933Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:19:13.195933Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.45,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:06.13819Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83597.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "187319.15",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T20:15:00.591509Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "425973.54",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4691.06",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8064.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,597.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 4691.06,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "353": {
      "id": 353,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T20:04:13.437923Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301615-15",
      "strike": 83567.11,
      "predicted_close": 83584.8671875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83597.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:04:13.437923Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 353,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83567.11000000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.148886,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 197.0,
          "gross_pnl": 100.47,
          "net_pnl": 97.02,
          "roi": 0.9703940788157631,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6056.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 51.0,
          "net_pnl": 49.25,
          "roi": 0.9704433497536946,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6056.03
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        353
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83584.8671875,
        "quantiles": [
          83586.9296875,
          83393.953125,
          83470.78125,
          83519.6015625,
          83557.328125,
          83584.8671875,
          83624.390625,
          83667.3671875,
          83726.3203125,
          83824.4765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a2acdffc65cad4ded9ce4f700f974ffa02bd2b32e139b3bc2e8d8337a61ec274",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 19:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83567.11000000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:05.85389Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83567.11,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "267078.85",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T20:00:00.603899Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "125580.18",
        "volume_fp": "602375.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4124.32",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7261.25",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,567.11"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T20:04:13.586809Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 6056.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:04:13.437923Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:04:13.586809Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:04:13.586809Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:05.85389Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83567.11,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "275237.15",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T20:00:00.603899Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "125580.18",
              "volume_fp": "615181.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6056.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8004.72",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,567.11"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 6056.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "352": {
      "id": 352,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T19:49:13.449985Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301600-00",
      "strike": 83779.03,
      "predicted_close": 83782.3359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83567.11,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:49:13.449985Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 352,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83779.034,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.146358,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.18,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 525,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 94.5,
          "trading_fee": 5.43,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7583.31
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 18.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 19.04,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -18.0,
          "net_pnl": -19.04,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7583.31
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        352
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83782.3359375,
        "quantiles": [
          83787.8359375,
          83610.265625,
          83673.7890625,
          83719.453125,
          83755.8984375,
          83782.3359375,
          83818.2421875,
          83863.6953125,
          83923.3359375,
          84031.59375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d38760e5db9e986656e70d315e68f2d53bc250c37631778422988d63e9c7dbfb",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83779.034,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:05.584085Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83779.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "225117.90",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T19:45:00.590353Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "620068.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7560.94",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,779.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T19:49:13.596343Z",
        "ask": 0.18,
        "depth": 7583.31,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:49:13.449985Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:49:13.596343Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:49:13.596343Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.17,
          "ask": 0.18,
          "midpoint": 0.175,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.18,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:05.584085Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83779.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T20:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "228703.87",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T19:45:00.590353Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "632457.10",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7583.31",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1890.98",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,779.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.17,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.18,
            "yes_ask_size": 7583.31,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.83,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "351": {
      "id": 351,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T19:34:16.961215Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301545-45",
      "strike": 83725.04,
      "predicted_close": 83735.2578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83779.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:34:16.961215Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 351,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83725.03833333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12178,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 116.0,
          "gross_pnl": 17.400000000000006,
          "net_pnl": 16.36,
          "roi": 0.1641910879164994,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3593.97
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 15.0,
          "net_pnl": 14.099999999999994,
          "roi": 0.16414435389988352,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3593.97
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        351
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83735.2578125,
        "quantiles": [
          83735.8359375,
          83575.1484375,
          83632.109375,
          83676.296875,
          83709.6796875,
          83735.2578125,
          83769.4765625,
          83812.3828125,
          83868.3203125,
          83972.6796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "68edee892a68068638a5054c1bda2addfcda850e64d02f32122b610f321ece19",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 19:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83725.03833333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:05.24932Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T19:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83725.04,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T19:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "257679.38",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T19:30:00.549661Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "140111.49",
        "volume_fp": "569237.11",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2471.66",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7914.72",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,725.04"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T19:34:17.082995Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 3593.97,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:34:16.961215Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:34:17.082995Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:34:17.082995Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T19:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:05.24932Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T19:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83725.04,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T19:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "276540.78",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T19:30:00.549661Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "140111.49",
              "volume_fp": "599333.85",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3593.97",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8658.81",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,725.04"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 3593.97,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "350": {
      "id": 350,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T19:19:16.398447Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301530-30",
      "strike": 83728.93,
      "predicted_close": 83737.765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83725.04,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T19:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:19:16.398447Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 350,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83728.92583333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.138645,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.3,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 317,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 95.1,
          "trading_fee": 4.66,
          "total_deployed": 99.75999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.1,
          "net_pnl": -99.75999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11453.91
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 30.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 31.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -30.0,
          "net_pnl": -31.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11453.91
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        350
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83737.765625,
        "quantiles": [
          83738.4453125,
          83558.1640625,
          83627.609375,
          83675.9453125,
          83712.1875,
          83737.765625,
          83774.0546875,
          83818.5,
          83875.15625,
          83976.546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "aa9333073b3e4b752c719a55c4a5cc83bb1e2e4d97d7d4c2796b05addd1fa959",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 19:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83728.92583333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:04.992053Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T19:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83728.93,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T19:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "334057.43",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T19:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T19:15:00.606359Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "589659.50",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8920.25",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2548.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,728.93"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T19:19:16.537092Z",
        "ask": 0.3,
        "depth": 11453.91,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:19:16.398447Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:19:16.537092Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T19:19:16.537092Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.29,
          "ask": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.295,
          "last_price": 0.29,
          "implied_probability": 0.3,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T19:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:04.992053Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T19:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83728.93,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T19:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T19:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "343367.52",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T19:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T19:15:00.606359Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "617623.48",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11453.91",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1198.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,728.93"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.29,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.3,
            "yes_ask_size": 11453.91,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.71,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "345": {
      "id": 345,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T18:04:15.477876Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301415-15",
      "strike": 84009.31,
      "predicted_close": 84010.8984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84008.6,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T18:04:15.477876Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 345,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84009.30899999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139609,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.24,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 395,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 94.8,
          "trading_fee": 5.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.8,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10308.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 24.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 25.28,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -24.0,
          "net_pnl": -25.28,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10308.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        345
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84010.8984375,
        "quantiles": [
          84008.6796875,
          83811.8046875,
          83890.5859375,
          83942.2734375,
          83981.0078125,
          84010.8984375,
          84050.5703125,
          84099.2265625,
          84166.265625,
          84279.7890625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "158ffe36622edaa0a0d76dd0cd371d08efe469d8e8ec5176bea50d26108e56f8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84009.30899999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:03.606437Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84009.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "264074.51",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T18:00:00.659988Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "114484.33",
        "volume_fp": "565245.54",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10427.62",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "517.60",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,009.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T18:04:15.617485Z",
        "ask": 0.24,
        "depth": 10308.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T18:04:15.477876Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T18:04:15.617485Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T18:04:15.617485Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.23,
          "ask": 0.24,
          "midpoint": 0.235,
          "last_price": 0.24,
          "implied_probability": 0.24,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:03.606437Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84009.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T18:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "281364.98",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T18:00:00.659988Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "114484.33",
              "volume_fp": "589472.44",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10308.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2837.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,009.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.23,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.24,
            "yes_ask_size": 10308.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.77,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "338": {
      "id": 338,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T16:19:16.576072Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301230-30",
      "strike": 84303.25,
      "predicted_close": 84314.0,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84260.24,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:19:16.576072Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 338,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84303.25233333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.144325,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.15,
          "net_pnl": -99.4,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4697.64
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -67.0,
          "net_pnl": -68.55,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4697.64
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        338
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84314.0,
        "quantiles": [
          84312.9375,
          84020.6953125,
          84136.625,
          84212.7734375,
          84269.0625,
          84314.0,
          84365.6953125,
          84422.109375,
          84501.9921875,
          84634.6953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "29e27a8a0c2eeffd351ab51e6e4997bd59d39b95ef2e0ed495ee349051d8979b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 16:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84303.25233333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T16:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:01.589273Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T16:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84303.25,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T16:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "229315.47",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T16:15:00.606105Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "492869.52",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "780.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7823.36",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,303.25"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T16:19:16.720397Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 4697.64,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:19:16.576072Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:19:16.720397Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:19:16.720397Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T16:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:01.589273Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T16:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84303.25,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T16:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "232689.10",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T16:15:00.606105Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "521646.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4697.64",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6131.54",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,303.25"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 4697.64,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "337": {
      "id": 337,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T16:04:13.384260Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301215-15",
      "strike": 84088.21,
      "predicted_close": 84091.3203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84303.25,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:04:13.384260Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 337,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84088.21399999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142435,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 116.0,
          "gross_pnl": 17.400000000000006,
          "net_pnl": 16.36,
          "roi": 0.1641910879164994,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5217.11
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 15.0,
          "net_pnl": 14.099999999999994,
          "roi": 0.16414435389988352,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5217.11
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        337
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84091.3203125,
        "quantiles": [
          84095.6875,
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          83943.203125,
          84005.2265625,
          84052.765625,
          84091.3203125,
          84135.5859375,
          84187.1640625,
          84259.1484375,
          84379.2578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5e93958f3a62500e21e2a4757a2ba57937aa419fdf27175eafcb46b2a8da1688",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84088.21399999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:01.316779Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84088.21,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "255790.54",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T16:00:00.677992Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "134344.09",
        "volume_fp": "526537.15",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4745.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3839.91",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,088.21"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T16:04:13.526695Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 5217.11,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:04:13.384260Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:04:13.526695Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:04:13.526695Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:01.316779Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84088.21,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "259772.21",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T16:00:00.677992Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "134344.09",
              "volume_fp": "536915.16",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5217.11",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8122.18",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,088.21"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 5217.11,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "336": {
      "id": 336,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T15:49:15.129071Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301200-00",
      "strike": 84078.68,
      "predicted_close": 84095.6328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84088.21,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:49:15.129071Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 336,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84078.67616666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139755,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.8,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 123,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 98.4,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 123.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.599999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 23.22,
          "roi": 0.232711966325917,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1538.15
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.8,
          "gross_cost": 80.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 81.12,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 20.0,
          "net_pnl": 18.879999999999995,
          "roi": 0.2327416173570019,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1538.15
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        336
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84095.6328125,
        "quantiles": [
          84101.0078125,
          83824.3828125,
          83928.46875,
          83996.734375,
          84050.3671875,
          84095.6328125,
          84147.578125,
          84209.171875,
          84288.5625,
          84416.5859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e51646c116aeca669a2476ada916d771f02ffcd0cc195901ca8e555b25a0e48c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84078.67616666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:01.056486Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84078.68,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "224440.71",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T15:45:00.559148Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "517071.01",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9082.59",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2640.89",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,078.68"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T15:49:15.268826Z",
        "ask": 0.8,
        "depth": 1538.15,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:49:15.129071Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:49:15.268826Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:49:15.268826Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.79,
          "ask": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.795,
          "last_price": 0.8,
          "implied_probability": 0.8,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:01.056486Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84078.68,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T16:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "227089.04",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T15:45:00.559148Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "522563.70",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1538.15",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7928.74",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,078.68"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.79,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.8,
            "yes_ask_size": 1538.15,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.21,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "334": {
      "id": 334,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T15:19:15.978310Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301130-30",
      "strike": 83924.6,
      "predicted_close": 83944.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83818.67,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:19:15.978310Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 334,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83924.60099999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126793,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.17,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 555,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 94.35000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.49,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1197.54
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 17.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.99,
          "total_deployed": 17.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -17.0,
          "net_pnl": -17.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1197.54
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        334
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83944.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83955.6171875,
          83668.75,
          83776.3671875,
          83841.203125,
          83896.765625,
          83944.5859375,
          83994.84375,
          84055.578125,
          84139.1953125,
          84265.8203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "60c1c3d9745be3ded276fa300b07b6c7fe17c870b0a9def4fc4c58e5ef2d184d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 15:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83924.60099999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T15:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:00.505916Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T15:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83924.6,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T15:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234424.36",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T15:15:00.772218Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "532375.98",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6116.52",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7680.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,924.60"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T15:19:16.105103Z",
        "ask": 0.17,
        "depth": 1197.54,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:19:15.978310Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:19:16.105103Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:19:16.105103Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.16,
          "ask": 0.17,
          "midpoint": 0.165,
          "last_price": 0.17,
          "implied_probability": 0.17,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T15:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:01:00.505916Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T15:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83924.6,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T15:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "239162.71",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T15:15:00.772218Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "542352.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1197.54",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7429.50",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,924.60"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.16,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.17,
            "yes_ask_size": 1197.54,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.84,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "333": {
      "id": 333,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:14.982464Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301115-15",
      "strike": 83780.25,
      "predicted_close": 83805.7265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83924.6,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T15:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:04:14.982464Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 333,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83780.24866666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.144357,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.63,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 154,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 97.02,
          "trading_fee": 2.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 154.0,
          "gross_pnl": 56.980000000000004,
          "net_pnl": 54.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.5471167369901548,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9685.54
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 63.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 64.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 37.0,
          "net_pnl": 35.36,
          "roi": 0.5470297029702971,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9685.54
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        333
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83805.7265625,
        "quantiles": [
          83820.4453125,
          83522.7890625,
          83632.46875,
          83699.921875,
          83757.4375,
          83805.7265625,
          83857.0390625,
          83919.640625,
          84001.6484375,
          84126.5625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7764352b5e591fd165561df79755200feb9cf8097e08df53b155142a2dc085d3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 14:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83780.24866666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:59.804418Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T15:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83780.25,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T15:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "195133.34",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T15:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.824012Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "84774.61",
        "volume_fp": "445611.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1346.46",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4992.93",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,780.25"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:15.126821Z",
        "ask": 0.63,
        "depth": 9685.54,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:04:14.982464Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:04:15.126821Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:04:15.126821Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.62,
          "ask": 0.63,
          "midpoint": 0.625,
          "last_price": 0.62,
          "implied_probability": 0.63,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T15:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:59.804418Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T15:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83780.25,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T15:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T15:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "197083.24",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T15:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP301115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T15:00:00.824012Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "84774.61",
              "volume_fp": "465514.29",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9685.54",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "238.11",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,780.25"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.62,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.63,
            "yes_ask_size": 9685.54,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.38,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "326": {
      "id": 326,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T13:19:12.846160Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T13:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300930-30",
      "strike": 85369.62,
      "predicted_close": 85369.890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85154.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T13:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T13:19:12.846160Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T13:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 326,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 85369.61916666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13026,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.51,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 189,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 96.39,
          "trading_fee": 3.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.39,
          "net_pnl": -99.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7459.8
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 51.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 52.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -51.0,
          "net_pnl": -52.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7459.8
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        326
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 85369.890625,
        "quantiles": [
          85338.0,
          84879.2578125,
          85080.1015625,
          85201.859375,
          85291.9453125,
          85369.890625,
          85452.7734375,
          85539.5390625,
          85637.15625,
          85794.5703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "025b217f42d57af788ab7d23d4eaeebc456061d259d1ebaa6b53045704c09f5b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 13:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 85369.61916666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T13:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:57.722479Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T13:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 85369.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T13:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "310150.24",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T13:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T13:15:00.58506Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "602577.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5036.22",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9337.73",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,369.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T13:19:12.976420Z",
        "ask": 0.51,
        "depth": 7459.8,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T13:19:12.846160Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T13:19:12.976420Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T13:19:12.976420Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.5,
          "ask": 0.51,
          "midpoint": 0.505,
          "last_price": 0.51,
          "implied_probability": 0.51,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T13:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:57.722479Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T13:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 85369.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T13:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T13:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "311841.85",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T13:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T13:15:00.58506Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "612974.38",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7459.80",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5565.46",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $85,369.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.5,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.51,
            "yes_ask_size": 7459.8,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.5,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "316": {
      "id": 316,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T10:49:14.889722Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T11:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300700-00",
      "strike": 83874.16,
      "predicted_close": 83888.625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83889.75,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T10:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:49:14.889722Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 316,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83874.15733333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.144556,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.61,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 159,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 96.99,
          "trading_fee": 2.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 159.0,
          "gross_pnl": 62.010000000000005,
          "net_pnl": 59.36,
          "roi": 0.5957446808510638,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9748.14
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 61.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 62.67,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 39.0,
          "net_pnl": 37.33,
          "roi": 0.5956598053295037,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9748.14
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        316
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83888.625,
        "quantiles": [
          83904.90625,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "39942689e34eb440e6abc7b9ba803f949653fd56f5be05833de24efd14dbe97c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 10:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83874.15733333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T11:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:54.882098Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T11:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83874.16,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T11:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "206716.94",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T10:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T10:45:00.589863Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "467821.39",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "75.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7032.98",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,874.16"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T10:49:15.034278Z",
        "ask": 0.61,
        "depth": 9748.14,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:49:14.889722Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:49:15.034278Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:49:15.034278Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.6,
          "ask": 0.61,
          "midpoint": 0.605,
          "last_price": 0.6,
          "implied_probability": 0.61,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T11:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:54.882098Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T11:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83874.16,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T11:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T11:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "211488.45",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T10:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T10:45:00.589863Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "514608.10",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9748.14",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3936.87",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,874.16"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.6,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.61,
            "yes_ask_size": 9748.14,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.4,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "314": {
      "id": 314,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T10:19:13.384433Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300630-30",
      "strike": 83715.52,
      "predicted_close": 83725.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83766.86,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:19:13.384433Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 314,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83715.52216666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126573,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.38,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 252,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 95.76,
          "trading_fee": 4.16,
          "total_deployed": 99.92,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 252.0,
          "gross_pnl": 156.24,
          "net_pnl": 152.07999999999998,
          "roi": 1.522017614091273,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6629.43
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 38.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 39.65,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 62.0,
          "net_pnl": 60.35,
          "roi": 1.5220680958385877,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6629.43
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        314
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83725.078125,
        "quantiles": [
          83737.609375,
          83530.5234375,
          83610.7734375,
          83657.421875,
          83693.3125,
          83725.078125,
          83761.453125,
          83802.21875,
          83851.2421875,
          83931.21875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3b73f4ea59ec8b9bf68c1827bf714fb5e578fa6288d5202f57e9d99132f8788c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 10:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83715.52216666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T10:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:54.312772Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T10:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83715.52,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T10:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "151704.56",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T10:15:00.584222Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "302977.82",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "510.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8796.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,715.52"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T10:19:13.511006Z",
        "ask": 0.38,
        "depth": 6629.43,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:19:13.384433Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:19:13.511006Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:19:13.511006Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.37,
          "ask": 0.38,
          "midpoint": 0.375,
          "last_price": 0.37,
          "implied_probability": 0.38,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T10:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:54.312772Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T10:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83715.52,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T10:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "150397.83",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T10:15:00.584222Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "307780.63",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6629.43",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2667.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,715.52"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.37,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.38,
            "yes_ask_size": 6629.43,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.63,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "313": {
      "id": 313,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T10:04:13.157630Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300615-15",
      "strike": 83599.56,
      "predicted_close": 83610.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83715.52,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:04:13.157630Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 313,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83599.56166666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.157907,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2918.05
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2918.05
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        313
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83610.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83621.21875,
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          83486.03125,
          83536.6171875,
          83576.78125,
          83610.703125,
          83649.3515625,
          83693.953125,
          83744.6328125,
          83827.2578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "74aebc4b9d488d7efea85879b9f09e9a23301026cede3c6eba27df4f5769f6f6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 09:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83599.56166666669,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:54.026331Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T10:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83599.56,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T10:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "183130.97",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T10:00:00.568572Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "267811.85",
        "volume_fp": "534514.17",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2578.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7118.13",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,599.56"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T10:04:13.315537Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 2918.05,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:04:13.157630Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:04:13.315537Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:04:13.315537Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T10:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:54.026331Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T10:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83599.56,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T10:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "190909.22",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T10:00:00.568572Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "267811.85",
              "volume_fp": "544809.87",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2918.05",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5514.11",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,599.56"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 2918.05,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "312": {
      "id": 312,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T09:49:14.945038Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300600-00",
      "strike": 83520.76,
      "predicted_close": 83522.421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83599.56,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T09:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T09:49:14.945038Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T09:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 312,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83520.76200000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.144231,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 150.0,
          "gross_pnl": 52.5,
          "net_pnl": 50.11,
          "roi": 0.5016518169986985,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6226.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 35.0,
          "net_pnl": 33.400000000000006,
          "roi": 0.5015015015015016,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6226.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        312
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83522.421875,
        "quantiles": [
          83533.4453125,
          83316.4375,
          83396.390625,
          83446.5078125,
          83486.328125,
          83522.421875,
          83561.625,
          83608.4921875,
          83660.1875,
          83744.3359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4f3a12da9f531894939b6314f75cb95308414f3c0b466c49cb2dc2541a0778d5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 09:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83520.76200000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:53.741622Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T10:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83520.76,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T10:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "129553.52",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T09:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T09:45:00.540801Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "316539.65",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2310.16",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9287.41",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,520.76"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T09:49:15.089269Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 6226.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T09:49:14.945038Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T09:49:15.089269Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T09:49:15.089269Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T10:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:53.741622Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T10:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83520.76,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T10:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T10:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "131364.92",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T09:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T09:45:00.540801Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "323113.90",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6226.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6355.21",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,520.76"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 6226.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "304": {
      "id": 304,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T07:49:13.277053Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T08:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300400-00",
      "strike": 83383.77,
      "predicted_close": 83396.46875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83280.55,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:49:13.277053Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 304,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83383.76566666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.174974,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.38,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 252,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 95.76,
          "trading_fee": 4.16,
          "total_deployed": 99.92,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.76,
          "net_pnl": -99.92,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7597.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 38.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 39.65,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -38.0,
          "net_pnl": -39.65,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7597.55
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        304
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83396.46875,
        "quantiles": [
          83414.75,
          83210.640625,
          83284.859375,
          83333.6015625,
          83368.0234375,
          83396.46875,
          83429.8671875,
          83468.2578125,
          83515.5234375,
          83597.0546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8da819860486a8c33b03abf302664cc809c830854223a10254f412a7b1572f41",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 07:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83383.76566666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T08:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:51.27467Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T08:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83383.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T08:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "144962.89",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T07:45:00.530818Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "352294.06",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3131.78",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5335.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,383.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T07:49:13.452027Z",
        "ask": 0.38,
        "depth": 7597.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:49:13.277053Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:49:13.452027Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:49:13.452027Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.37,
          "ask": 0.38,
          "midpoint": 0.375,
          "last_price": 0.38,
          "implied_probability": 0.38,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T08:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:51.27467Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T08:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83383.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T08:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T08:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "145053.31",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T07:45:00.530818Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "353106.24",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7597.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4141.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,383.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.37,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.38,
            "yes_ask_size": 7597.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.63,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "303": {
      "id": 303,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T07:34:13.270733Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300345-45",
      "strike": 83259.44,
      "predicted_close": 83260.96875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83383.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T07:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:34:13.270733Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 303,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83259.4395,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.15728,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 209.22
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 209.22
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        303
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83260.96875,
        "quantiles": [
          83283.6640625,
          83078.3203125,
          83150.328125,
          83198.5234375,
          83233.2734375,
          83260.96875,
          83294.3359375,
          83332.984375,
          83382.609375,
          83469.265625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "28656b8a87a9794c6087c202ab10b924de0163028ae9aa6d683a370cd37f8ca8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 07:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83259.4395,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:50.981849Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T07:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83259.44,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T07:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "154328.62",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T07:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T07:30:00.513486Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "89644.24",
        "volume_fp": "387541.01",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2464.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5908.08",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,259.44"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T07:34:13.428013Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 209.22,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:34:13.270733Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:34:13.428013Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T07:34:13.428013Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.68,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T07:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:50.981849Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T07:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83259.44,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T07:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T07:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "157016.01",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T07:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T07:30:00.513486Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "89644.24",
              "volume_fp": "394011.69",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "209.22",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4082.99",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,259.44"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 209.22,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "299": {
      "id": 299,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T06:34:16.341224Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300245-45",
      "strike": 83128.91,
      "predicted_close": 83139.515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83075.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T06:34:16.341224Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 299,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83128.91483333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139768,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2184.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2184.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        299
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83139.515625,
        "quantiles": [
          83152.0859375,
          83000.6953125,
          83058.515625,
          83094.0546875,
          83118.8828125,
          83139.515625,
          83165.015625,
          83191.1328125,
          83228.3125,
          83299.1953125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b37f76cd1387239f2d5491782c747d29e03bf99a0ae3aa33f6cc96ec9a305501",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 06:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83128.91483333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T06:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:49.853428Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T06:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83128.91,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T06:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "288711.55",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T06:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T06:30:00.538594Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "167984.45",
        "volume_fp": "508196.68",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "359.76",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6582.23",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,128.91"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T06:34:16.480992Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 2184.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T06:34:16.341224Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T06:34:16.480992Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T06:34:16.480992Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T06:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:49.853428Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T06:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83128.91,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T06:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T06:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "292067.24",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T06:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T06:30:00.538594Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "167984.45",
              "volume_fp": "524184.73",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2184.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5675.46",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,128.91"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 2184.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "294": {
      "id": 294,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T05:19:11.912961Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T05:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300130-30",
      "strike": 83204.29,
      "predicted_close": 83211.2109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83338.4,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T05:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T05:19:11.912961Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T05:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 294,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83204.28933333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.184425,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.56,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 173,
          "entry_price": 0.56,
          "gross_cost": 96.88000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 173.0,
          "gross_pnl": 76.11999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 73.13,
          "roi": 0.7322519275057574,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6230.36
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.56,
          "gross_cost": 56.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 57.730000000000004,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 43.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 42.269999999999996,
          "roi": 0.7322016282695305,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6230.36
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        294
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83211.2109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83218.75,
          83110.40625,
          83156.8125,
          83180.0390625,
          83196.234375,
          83211.2109375,
          83228.9609375,
          83250.4296875,
          83287.375,
          83354.984375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e279a94362e7457c96f548fa7f9c012f3ffcb5233143cee0423cf02431566cb9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 05:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83204.28933333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T05:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:48.316267Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T05:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83204.29,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T05:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "263589.69",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T05:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T05:15:00.517806Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "688229.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "110.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5802.21",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,204.29"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T05:19:12.097386Z",
        "ask": 0.56,
        "depth": 6230.36,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T05:19:11.912961Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T05:19:12.097386Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T05:19:12.097386Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.55,
          "ask": 0.56,
          "midpoint": 0.555,
          "last_price": 0.56,
          "implied_probability": 0.56,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T05:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:48.316267Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T05:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83204.29,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T05:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T05:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "266195.95",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T05:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Sep 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP300130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T05:15:00.517806Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "697353.15",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6230.36",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6758.61",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,204.29"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.55,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.56,
            "yes_ask_size": 6230.36,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.45,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "280": {
      "id": 280,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T01:49:13.855458Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292200-00",
      "strike": 83399.79,
      "predicted_close": 83400.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83410.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T01:49:13.855458Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 280,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83399.78983333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139114,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.42,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 228,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 95.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.89,
          "total_deployed": 99.64999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 228.0,
          "gross_pnl": 132.24,
          "net_pnl": 128.35000000000002,
          "roi": 1.2880080280983446,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11324.53
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 42.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 43.71,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 58.0,
          "net_pnl": 56.29,
          "roi": 1.2878059940517044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11324.53
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        280
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83400.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          83411.09375,
          83293.8984375,
          83337.6484375,
          83364.4296875,
          83384.9921875,
          83400.8125,
          83421.8203125,
          83446.28125,
          83480.84375,
          83547.53125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "695e6ed0a10ca4696cc92fcd33eaded1e6a6a70244022b97b1ecc69da942a4e7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83399.78983333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:17.060159Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83399.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "249164.01",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T01:45:00.534601Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "602809.87",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3579.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8210.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,399.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T01:49:13.994572Z",
        "ask": 0.42,
        "depth": 11324.53,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T01:49:13.855458Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T01:49:13.994572Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T01:49:13.994572Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.41,
          "ask": 0.42,
          "midpoint": 0.415,
          "last_price": 0.41,
          "implied_probability": 0.42,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:17.060159Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83399.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T02:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "249288.78",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T01:45:00.534601Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "603318.45",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11324.53",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "507.24",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,399.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.41,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.42,
            "yes_ask_size": 11324.53,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.59,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "274": {
      "id": 274,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T00:19:11.844420Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292030-30",
      "strike": 83513.23,
      "predicted_close": 83522.421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83545.85,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:19:11.844420Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 274,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83513.22983333333,
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      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.23,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 412,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 94.76,
          "trading_fee": 5.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 412.0,
          "gross_pnl": 317.24,
          "net_pnl": 312.13,
          "roi": 3.125362971863422,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7039.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 23.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 24.24,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 77.0,
          "net_pnl": 75.76,
          "roi": 3.125412541254126,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7039.57
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        274
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83522.421875,
        "quantiles": [
          83529.328125,
          83377.59375,
          83436.546875,
          83471.8515625,
          83500.390625,
          83522.421875,
          83552.8203125,
          83580.7421875,
          83623.4296875,
          83697.03125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0c81ce5631fa62365a73d59235fa6337601a6a206ca0fc9afb9176608149591e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-30 00:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83513.22983333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:15.530865Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T00:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83513.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T00:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "281349.01",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
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            "start": "0.0000",
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          },
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T00:15:00.574204Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "586899.34",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7738.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "11663.99",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,513.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T00:19:11.980108Z",
        "ask": 0.23,
        "depth": 7039.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:19:11.844420Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:19:11.980108Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:19:11.980108Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.22,
          "ask": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 0.225,
          "last_price": 0.23,
          "implied_probability": 0.23,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:15.530865Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T00:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83513.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T00:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "309873.83",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T00:15:00.574204Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "627569.84",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7039.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7545.35",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,513.23"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.22,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.23,
            "yes_ask_size": 7039.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.78,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "273": {
      "id": 273,
      "created_at": "2026-09-30T00:04:26.025609Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292015-15",
      "strike": 83629.68,
      "predicted_close": 83637.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83513.23,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:04:26.025609Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 273,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83629.68333333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.698487,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.2,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4753.83
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -60.0,
          "net_pnl": -61.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4753.83
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        273
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83637.8125,
        "quantiles": [
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          83555.390625,
          83589.3046875,
          83616.984375,
          83637.8125,
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          83736.921875,
          83810.3984375
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7d76081f0b7fed09a70701d4912eeba0c61ed10e7891e4b2d0882d7d039a12d4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 23:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83629.68333333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:15.248128Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T00:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83629.68,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T00:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "222186.22",
        "open_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
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            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.656793Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "128116.40",
        "volume_fp": "558951.61",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7242.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "187.47",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,629.68"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-30T00:04:26.724096Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 4753.83,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:04:26.025609Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:04:26.724096Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-30T00:04:26.724096Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.61,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:15.248128Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-30T00:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83629.68,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-07T00:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-30T00:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "218744.87",
              "open_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
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                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP292015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.656793Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "128116.40",
              "volume_fp": "611594.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4753.83",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7219.47",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,629.68"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 4753.83,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "271": {
      "id": 271,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T23:34:16.203388Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T23:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291945-45",
      "strike": 83713.91,
      "predicted_close": 83721.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83623.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T23:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T23:34:16.203388Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T23:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 271,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83713.90983333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.15282,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.31,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 307,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 95.17,
          "trading_fee": 4.6,
          "total_deployed": 99.77,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.17,
          "net_pnl": -99.77,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2194.92
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.31,
          "gross_cost": 31.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 32.5,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -31.0,
          "net_pnl": -32.5,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2194.92
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        271
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83721.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83731.6640625,
          83556.3671875,
          83620.6640625,
          83661.640625,
          83696.421875,
          83721.703125,
          83753.4453125,
          83782.15625,
          83827.9296875,
          83902.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a7711c0bfe47d9afd62f33e2368ffefdf27ab7c8e1995e86353e43ce358c8045",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 23:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83713.90983333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T23:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:14.526608Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T23:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83713.91,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T23:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "224268.42",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T23:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T23:30:00.564113Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "123936.33",
        "volume_fp": "478913.55",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9033.16",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3519.88",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,713.91"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T23:34:16.356208Z",
        "ask": 0.31,
        "depth": 2194.92,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T23:34:16.203388Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T23:34:16.356208Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T23:34:16.356208Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.305,
          "last_price": 0.3,
          "implied_probability": 0.31,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T23:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:14.526608Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T23:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83713.91,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T23:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T23:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "233025.27",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T23:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T23:30:00.564113Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "123936.33",
              "volume_fp": "494998.24",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2194.92",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9926.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,713.91"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.3,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.31,
            "yes_ask_size": 2194.92,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.7,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "267": {
      "id": 267,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T22:34:18.239595Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291845-45",
      "strike": 83566.62,
      "predicted_close": 83573.453125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83572.15,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:34:18.239595Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 267,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83566.61816666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.143665,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 281.0,
          "gross_pnl": 185.45999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 181.04,
          "roi": 1.8111244497799117,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9739.46
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 66.0,
          "net_pnl": 64.42,
          "roi": 1.810567734682406,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9739.46
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        267
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83573.453125,
        "quantiles": [
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          83511.8203125,
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          83681.0625,
          83755.65625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ec2ac4d18b9e64d500757711389806ee71a2a578414f5d8371925a407629250d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 22:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83566.61816666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:13.484347Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83566.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "263236.18",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
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          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T22:30:00.614904Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "186337.61",
        "volume_fp": "595081.71",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "12282.61",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1039.76",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,566.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T22:34:18.383260Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 9739.46,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:34:18.239595Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:34:18.383260Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:34:18.383260Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.34,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:13.484347Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83566.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "268945.29",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                },
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T22:30:00.614904Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "186337.61",
              "volume_fp": "605852.34",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9739.46",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6204.88",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,566.62"
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            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 9739.46,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "266": {
      "id": 266,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T22:19:17.246976Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291830-30",
      "strike": 83643.89,
      "predicted_close": 83646.0390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83566.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:19:17.246976Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 266,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83643.89183333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139297,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.14,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "shares": 673,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 94.22000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.68,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
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          "gross_pnl": -94.22000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "shares": 100,
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          "trading_fee": 0.85,
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          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -14.000000000000002,
          "net_pnl": -14.850000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10285.53
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        266
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83646.0390625,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9b6d2d134796852ed147b90931b0ff3a29c9a1b5c8702fd92afb16ec8a35f79f",
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        "last_observed_close": 83643.89183333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:13.241537Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83643.89,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "280276.84",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T22:15:00.549584Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "599213.98",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8252.53",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7853.44",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,643.89"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T22:19:17.386273Z",
        "ask": 0.14,
        "depth": 10285.53,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:19:17.246976Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:19:17.386273Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:19:17.386273Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.13,
          "ask": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.135,
          "last_price": 0.14,
          "implied_probability": 0.14,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:13.241537Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83643.89,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "285388.76",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T22:15:00.549584Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "610901.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10285.53",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2574.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,643.89"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.13,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.14,
            "yes_ask_size": 10285.53,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.87,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "265": {
      "id": 265,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T22:04:25.038374Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291815-15",
      "strike": 83465.72,
      "predicted_close": 83477.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83643.89,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:04:25.038374Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 265,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83465.72316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.168107,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.84,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 117,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 117.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.72,
          "net_pnl": 17.61,
          "roi": 0.17718080289767582,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4047.37
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 84.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 84.95,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.0,
          "net_pnl": 15.049999999999997,
          "roi": 0.17716303708063563,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4047.37
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        265
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83477.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83503.4609375,
          83313.1953125,
          83374.796875,
          83411.8515625,
          83449.5625,
          83477.703125,
          83507.8046875,
          83542.8046875,
          83596.0859375,
          83678.171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9c9af8465f8f6b563d8c78119199a2c9bf95e32af0198f459ef4eddef3c51c89",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 21:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83465.72316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:12.990273Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291815",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83465.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "294223.79",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291815-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T22:00:00.729144Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "151521.94",
        "volume_fp": "577504.70",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "25796.68",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7740.34",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,465.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T22:04:25.206481Z",
        "ask": 0.84,
        "depth": 4047.37,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:04:25.038374Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:04:25.206481Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:04:25.206481Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.83,
          "ask": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.835,
          "last_price": 0.83,
          "implied_probability": 0.84,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:12.990273Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291815",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83465.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "296633.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291815-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T22:00:00.729144Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "151521.94",
              "volume_fp": "608610.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4047.37",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9165.21",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,465.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.83,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.84,
            "yes_ask_size": 4047.37,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.17,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "264": {
      "id": 264,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T21:49:15.555058Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291800-00",
      "strike": 83486.71,
      "predicted_close": 83492.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83465.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:49:15.555058Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 264,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83486.70916666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.555341,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.16,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 590,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 94.4,
          "trading_fee": 5.56,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.4,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5063.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 16.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 16.95,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -16.0,
          "net_pnl": -16.95,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5063.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        264
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83492.078125,
        "quantiles": [
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          83492.078125,
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          83554.984375,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "901d0043c5567fdf71dc56209877cf38831b783003d0ac0bc41b9910e05b42f7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83486.70916666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:12.731512Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83486.71,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "326019.57",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T21:45:00.528895Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "518896.32",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8022.62",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1099.34",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,486.71"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T21:49:16.110399Z",
        "ask": 0.16,
        "depth": 5063.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:49:15.555058Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:49:16.110399Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:49:16.110399Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.15,
          "ask": 0.16,
          "midpoint": 0.155,
          "last_price": 0.15,
          "implied_probability": 0.16,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:12.731512Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83486.71,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T22:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "327941.98",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T21:45:00.528895Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "540031.29",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5063.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5508.33",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,486.71"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.15,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.16,
            "yes_ask_size": 5063.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.85,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "263": {
      "id": 263,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T21:34:19.254489Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291745-45",
      "strike": 83365.49,
      "predicted_close": 83384.8671875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83486.71,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T21:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:34:19.254489Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 263,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83365.48550000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.149881,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.75,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 131,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 98.25,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 131.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.75,
          "net_pnl": 31.03,
          "roi": 0.3103931179353806,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 15210.2
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.75,
          "gross_cost": 75.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 76.32,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 25.0,
          "net_pnl": 23.680000000000007,
          "roi": 0.31027253668763116,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 15210.2
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        263
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83384.8671875,
        "quantiles": [
          83416.0703125,
          83192.65625,
          83264.875,
          83307.1953125,
          83352.8359375,
          83384.8671875,
          83415.8828125,
          83452.9609375,
          83509.8046875,
          83592.8046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a38ea453373149079f8e2a7cc620c80691fd7fe33f481a40aa54ba216036db86",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 21:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83365.48550000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:12.482678Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T21:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83365.49,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T21:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248274.51",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T21:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T21:30:00.557942Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "151025.26",
        "volume_fp": "467482.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8774.17",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "257.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,365.49"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T21:34:19.404370Z",
        "ask": 0.75,
        "depth": 15210.2,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:34:19.254489Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:34:19.404370Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:34:19.404370Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.74,
          "ask": 0.75,
          "midpoint": 0.745,
          "last_price": 0.75,
          "implied_probability": 0.75,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T21:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:12.482678Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T21:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83365.49,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T21:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T21:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "250083.82",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T21:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T21:30:00.557942Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "151025.26",
              "volume_fp": "487423.13",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "15210.20",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7170.89",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,365.49"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.74,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.75,
            "yes_ask_size": 15210.2,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.26,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "256": {
      "id": 256,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T19:49:18.455855Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291600-00",
      "strike": 83441.05,
      "predicted_close": 83444.71875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83558.13,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:49:18.455855Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 256,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83441.04583333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.149025,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 120.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 20.360000000000014,
          "roi": 0.2043356081894823,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 933.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.959999999999994,
          "roi": 0.2042389210019267,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 933.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        256
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83444.71875,
        "quantiles": [
          83480.796875,
          83233.3203125,
          83312.84375,
          83366.0,
          83407.703125,
          83444.71875,
          83481.0703125,
          83525.6328125,
          83582.6640625,
          83680.4140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d9bb45eb2e166c9eba2aa2a2e4d7b30331404e817aa0fb952acfbe2df3ff7d54",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83441.04583333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:10.283843Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83441.05,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "243064.26",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T19:45:00.891855Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "857064.42",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3227.89",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7954.28",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,441.05"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T19:49:18.604880Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 933.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:49:18.455855Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:49:18.604880Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:49:18.604880Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.82,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:10.283843Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83441.05,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T20:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "258317.98",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T19:45:00.891855Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "892851.36",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "933.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5474.05",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,441.05"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 933.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "254": {
      "id": 254,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T19:19:13.828472Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291530-30",
      "strike": 83568.3,
      "predicted_close": 83570.484375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83519.15,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:19:13.828472Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 254,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83568.29933333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133712,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.42000000000002,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5831.18
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -68.0,
          "net_pnl": -69.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5831.18
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        254
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83570.484375,
        "quantiles": [
          83594.671875,
          83352.265625,
          83431.984375,
          83486.328125,
          83530.6328125,
          83570.484375,
          83610.65625,
          83656.421875,
          83712.03125,
          83809.3046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2eab15be2c61b51e767b34090c70913d464241a54643854577dc62ad4b2a82ac",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 19:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83568.29933333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T19:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:09.687555Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T19:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83568.3,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T19:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "206592.97",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T19:15:00.874485Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "632827.08",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4659.83",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2291.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,568.30"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T19:19:13.962184Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 5831.18,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:19:13.828472Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:19:13.962184Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:19:13.962184Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.68,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T19:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:09.687555Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T19:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83568.3,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T19:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "206860.28",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T19:15:00.874485Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "635925.17",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5831.18",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4009.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,568.30"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 5831.18,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "253": {
      "id": 253,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T19:04:13.960605Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291515-15",
      "strike": 83603.76,
      "predicted_close": 83604.09375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83568.3,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:04:13.960605Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 253,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83603.75633333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13073,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.53,
          "net_pnl": -99.98,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6110.49
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -49.0,
          "net_pnl": -50.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6110.49
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        253
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83604.09375,
        "quantiles": [
          83621.9375,
          83364.921875,
          83454.9453125,
          83513.2734375,
          83559.4375,
          83604.09375,
          83649.7265625,
          83697.4921875,
          83755.9453125,
          83856.0234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "959222ea769a3056926360658c4bedae050dd912c6ac177d07dec1b3f66de72e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 18:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83603.75633333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:09.375757Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T19:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83603.76,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T19:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "206469.96",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T19:00:01.028493Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "111152.77",
        "volume_fp": "493780.22",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2466.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7597.53",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,603.76"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T19:04:14.091335Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 6110.49,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:04:13.960605Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:04:14.091335Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:04:14.091335Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T19:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:09.375757Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T19:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83603.76,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T19:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "207682.89",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T19:00:01.028493Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "111152.77",
              "volume_fp": "501308.22",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6110.49",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5357.93",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,603.76"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 6110.49,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "252": {
      "id": 252,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T18:49:14.091898Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291500-00",
      "strike": 83626.6,
      "predicted_close": 83651.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83603.76,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:49:14.091898Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 252,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83626.601,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130499,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.39,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 245,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.08,
          "total_deployed": 99.63,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.63,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4063.73
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 39.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 40.67,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -39.0,
          "net_pnl": -40.67,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4063.73
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        252
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83651.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83673.9453125,
          83397.3359375,
          83495.8671875,
          83556.65625,
          83604.9296875,
          83651.703125,
          83701.03125,
          83753.6875,
          83819.7265625,
          83928.140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e879739ec3bd1f3cfaf36f310f0237d48312126b0b10cd91f10eb244e43f3224",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 18:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83626.601,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:09.086916Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T19:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83626.6,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T19:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "268636.12",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:45:00.895146Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "480147.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6660.45",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4050.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,626.60"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T18:49:14.222397Z",
        "ask": 0.39,
        "depth": 4063.73,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:49:14.091898Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:49:14.222397Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:49:14.222397Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.38,
          "ask": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.385,
          "last_price": 0.39,
          "implied_probability": 0.39,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T19:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:09.086916Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T19:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83626.6,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T19:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T19:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "269218.18",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:45:00.895146Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "485438.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4063.73",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5914.89",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,626.60"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.38,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.39,
            "yes_ask_size": 4063.73,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.62,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "251": {
      "id": 251,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T18:34:13.933964Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291445-45",
      "strike": 83422.15,
      "predicted_close": 83428.0703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83626.6,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:34:13.933964Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 251,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83422.15000000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.134965,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5771.39
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5771.39
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        251
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83428.0703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83449.109375,
          83186.2421875,
          83276.3046875,
          83334.7890625,
          83382.25,
          83428.0703125,
          83477.4453125,
          83528.2109375,
          83594.6328125,
          83703.9453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9cdf3be4670997f1957438d94128f1c2c31824108470c4ef5feba3ab10c11884",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 18:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83422.15000000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.805082Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291445",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83422.15,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "275584.99",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291445-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:30:00.886094Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "154301.42",
        "volume_fp": "628599.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8270.53",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6584.82",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,422.15"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T18:34:14.068929Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 5771.39,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:34:13.933964Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:34:14.068929Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:34:14.068929Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.805082Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291445",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83422.15,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "279465.47",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291445-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:30:00.886094Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "154301.42",
              "volume_fp": "651687.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5771.39",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4424.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,422.15"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 5771.39,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "250": {
      "id": 250,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T18:19:15.038787Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291430-30",
      "strike": 83388.93,
      "predicted_close": 83407.0234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83422.15,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:19:15.038787Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 250,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83388.9265,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.136764,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 201,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.99999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 201.0,
          "gross_pnl": 104.52000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 101.00000000000001,
          "roi": 1.0100000000000002,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10164.17
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 49.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 52.0,
          "net_pnl": 50.25,
          "roi": 1.0100502512562815,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10164.17
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        250
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83407.0234375,
        "quantiles": [
          83437.6015625,
          83149.8359375,
          83244.078125,
          83308.40625,
          83359.28125,
          83407.0234375,
          83461.6484375,
          83514.6875,
          83584.3203125,
          83702.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d28806a38990009a9d64ff9a8db3376bf2067633d482e714cc5656932a4d62e0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 18:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83388.9265,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.556616Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291430",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83388.93,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "229179.05",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291430-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:15:00.906317Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "544320.53",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6022.60",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5807.82",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,388.93"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T18:19:15.175551Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 10164.17,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:19:15.038787Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:19:15.175551Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:19:15.175551Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.47,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.556616Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291430",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83388.93,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "229108.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291430-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:15:00.906317Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "546046.37",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10164.17",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5102.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,388.93"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.47,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 10164.17,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.53,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "249": {
      "id": 249,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T18:04:17.725996Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291415-15",
      "strike": 83014.32,
      "predicted_close": 83032.9609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83388.93,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:04:17.725996Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 249,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83014.3173333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.137092,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.91,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 109,
          "entry_price": 0.91,
          "gross_cost": 99.19,
          "trading_fee": 0.63,
          "total_deployed": 99.82,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 109.0,
          "gross_pnl": 9.810000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 9.180000000000007,
          "roi": 0.09196553796834309,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 429.87
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.91,
          "gross_cost": 91.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.58,
          "total_deployed": 91.58,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 9.0,
          "net_pnl": 8.420000000000002,
          "roi": 0.0919414719371042,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 429.87
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        249
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83032.9609375,
        "quantiles": [
          83054.1171875,
          82830.640625,
          82909.1953125,
          82958.1796875,
          82995.3828125,
          83032.9609375,
          83074.8671875,
          83117.6640625,
          83176.640625,
          83277.859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "39d388b5a98060d06b00b23c5c4dbaf498e98435dfbe87d5801d8d7e206fe49a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83014.3173333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.28881Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83014.32,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "501601.10",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:00:01.147381Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "198679.90",
        "volume_fp": "772127.08",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1879.26",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6927.09",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,014.32"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T18:04:17.863088Z",
        "ask": 0.91,
        "depth": 429.87,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:04:17.725996Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:04:17.863088Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:04:17.863088Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.909,
          "ask": 0.91,
          "midpoint": 0.9095,
          "last_price": 0.91,
          "implied_probability": 0.91,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.28881Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83014.32,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0910",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "503839.47",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T18:00:01.147381Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "198679.90",
              "volume_fp": "779095.77",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "429.87",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9090",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5935.59",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,014.32"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.909,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.91,
            "yes_ask_size": 429.87,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.091,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "248": {
      "id": 248,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T17:49:13.766203Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291400-00",
      "strike": 83121.33,
      "predicted_close": 83144.6953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83014.32,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:49:13.766203Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 248,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83121.33,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.145168,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 298,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 95.36,
          "trading_fee": 4.54,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.36,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1940.21
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1940.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        248
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83144.6953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83171.9296875,
          82944.3515625,
          83021.0078125,
          83069.25,
          83106.015625,
          83144.6953125,
          83186.078125,
          83230.4140625,
          83290.1015625,
          83390.9140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4254e1de29701d053c019882da443091cd264f8a5c11a7c16ad2f5401940e372",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 17:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83121.33,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.009181Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83121.33,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "289949.76",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:45:00.879467Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "637085.27",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3877.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6692.99",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,121.33"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T17:49:13.911371Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 1940.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:49:13.766203Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:49:13.911371Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:49:13.911371Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T18:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:08.009181Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T18:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83121.33,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T18:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T18:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "297317.22",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:45:00.879467Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "649776.61",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1940.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7718.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,121.33"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 1940.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "247": {
      "id": 247,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T17:34:14.122181Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291345-45",
      "strike": 83111.58,
      "predicted_close": 83140.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83121.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:34:14.122181Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 247,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83111.57566666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126978,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 139.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.7,
          "net_pnl": 39.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3990941117262205,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5257.15
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.0,
          "net_pnl": 28.53,
          "roi": 0.3991884706870016,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5257.15
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        247
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83140.296875,
        "quantiles": [
          83170.4609375,
          82932.2890625,
          83007.9765625,
          83059.1640625,
          83099.65625,
          83140.296875,
          83183.0390625,
          83228.6171875,
          83291.2578125,
          83397.3671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2f64a7bc6cfe3a4a2b5c78be1470a620c168903a97b212ed62957e9709a9da5b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 17:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83111.57566666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:07.731647Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83111.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "265110.20",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:30:00.871108Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "105058.63",
        "volume_fp": "499424.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10557.52",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "791.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,111.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T17:34:14.249159Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 5257.15,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:34:14.122181Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:34:14.249159Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:34:14.249159Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.69,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:07.731647Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83111.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "282291.06",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:30:00.871108Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "105058.63",
              "volume_fp": "520957.12",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5257.15",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "14873.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,111.58"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 5257.15,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "246": {
      "id": 246,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T17:19:14.386525Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291330-30",
      "strike": 83110.23,
      "predicted_close": 83136.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83111.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:19:14.386525Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 246,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83110.22600000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.135859,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.38,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 252,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 95.76,
          "trading_fee": 4.16,
          "total_deployed": 99.92,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 252.0,
          "gross_pnl": 156.24,
          "net_pnl": 152.07999999999998,
          "roi": 1.522017614091273,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5460.07
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.38,
          "gross_cost": 38.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 39.65,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 62.0,
          "net_pnl": 60.35,
          "roi": 1.5220680958385877,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5460.07
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        246
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83136.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          83166.2578125,
          82915.96875,
          82999.4140625,
          83052.3984375,
          83094.8828125,
          83136.796875,
          83179.7421875,
          83225.984375,
          83289.1015625,
          83396.046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e635bc5c34267377dc3bd6efab68d795839bc29eb3da0502bb889cd558aeb1b2",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 17:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83110.22600000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:07.453849Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83110.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "226241.78",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:15:00.905992Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "563244.26",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9756.68",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6024.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,110.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T17:19:14.522384Z",
        "ask": 0.38,
        "depth": 5460.07,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:19:14.386525Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:19:14.522384Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:19:14.522384Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.37,
          "ask": 0.38,
          "midpoint": 0.375,
          "last_price": 0.37,
          "implied_probability": 0.38,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:07.453849Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83110.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "228093.20",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:15:00.905992Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "569090.84",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5460.07",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8273.16",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,110.23"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.37,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.38,
            "yes_ask_size": 5460.07,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.63,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "245": {
      "id": 245,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T17:04:15.438053Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291315-15",
      "strike": 83036.99,
      "predicted_close": 83071.3046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83110.23,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:04:15.438053Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 245,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83036.98716666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.141284,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 164.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 64.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.6475788627687363,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4333.26
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.0,
          "net_pnl": 39.3,
          "roi": 0.6474464579901152,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4333.26
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        245
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83071.3046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83096.421875,
          82835.9296875,
          82927.2734375,
          82984.4140625,
          83029.1640625,
          83071.3046875,
          83115.3515625,
          83165.1875,
          83232.359375,
          83339.3984375
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3d5bd896c5d26cac91c1dfff1b7242df3c2874fae1265e16c55a2541c21e1112",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 16:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83036.98716666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:07.184477Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83036.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "255861.87",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:00:01.098667Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "146295.93",
        "volume_fp": "456194.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9019.48",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5687.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,036.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T17:04:15.579337Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 4333.26,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:04:15.438053Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:04:15.579337Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:04:15.579337Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:07.184477Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83036.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "259418.24",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T17:00:01.098667Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "146295.93",
              "volume_fp": "471683.47",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4333.26",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6175.40",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,036.99"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 4333.26,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "244": {
      "id": 244,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T16:49:14.369345Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291300-00",
      "strike": 83031.08,
      "predicted_close": 83068.03125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83036.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:49:14.369345Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 244,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83031.08416666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127278,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2263.93
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        244
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83068.03125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a1b836f9f9d08707dbcb24372c4a1a70b171ff3a4b1283e07c8bc1acfdc9f107",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 16:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83031.08416666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.915258Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83031.08,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "284262.40",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:45:00.886502Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "546636.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2662.35",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7288.80",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,031.08"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T16:49:14.496623Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 2263.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:49:14.369345Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:49:14.496623Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:49:14.496623Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.45,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T17:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.915258Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T17:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83031.08,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T17:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T17:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "293767.04",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:45:00.886502Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "573511.71",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2263.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5409.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,031.08"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 2263.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "243": {
      "id": 243,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T16:34:13.968687Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291245-45",
      "strike": 83238.1,
      "predicted_close": 83276.734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83031.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:34:13.968687Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 243,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83238.09616666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.136509,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.29,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 328,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 95.11999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.11999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4131.68
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 28.999999999999996,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 30.449999999999996,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.999999999999996,
          "net_pnl": -30.449999999999996,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4131.68
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        243
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83276.734375,
        "quantiles": [
          83305.015625,
          83003.4375,
          83107.90625,
          83176.4921875,
          83228.4453125,
          83276.734375,
          83328.9453125,
          83386.9921875,
          83464.0703125,
          83586.2265625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c7488f425430d6f78d772dbd27d01eeb40e7138aaeda67f1c3248d0522f6a99d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 16:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83238.09616666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.640977Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83238.1,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "282567.23",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:30:00.90695Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "191556.08",
        "volume_fp": "574695.12",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "14.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8757.91",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,238.10"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T16:34:14.105196Z",
        "ask": 0.29,
        "depth": 4131.68,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:34:13.968687Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:34:14.105196Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:34:14.105196Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.28,
          "ask": 0.29,
          "midpoint": 0.28500000000000003,
          "last_price": 0.28,
          "implied_probability": 0.29,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.640977Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83238.1,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "284272.83",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:30:00.90695Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "191556.08",
              "volume_fp": "582358.15",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4131.68",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5728.52",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,238.10"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.28,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.29,
            "yes_ask_size": 4131.68,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.72,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "242": {
      "id": 242,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T16:19:12.344530Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291230-30",
      "strike": 82970.75,
      "predicted_close": 82991.2734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83238.1,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:19:12.344530Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 242,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82970.74966666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.143686,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3039.76
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3039.76
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        242
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82991.2734375,
        "quantiles": [
          83017.8515625,
          82705.7421875,
          82821.84375,
          82891.3125,
          82943.296875,
          82991.2734375,
          83043.0078125,
          83101.2109375,
          83179.9140625,
          83302.4375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f07c9e13c425ee43aa3f02beb9928ac11b08ba0f357101a0b1d9a514dc42d688",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 16:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82970.74966666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.357241Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82970.75,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "273815.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:15:00.856168Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "573263.79",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3876.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4347.06",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,970.75"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T16:19:12.488216Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 3039.76,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:19:12.344530Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:19:12.488216Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:19:12.488216Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.78,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.357241Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82970.75,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "273927.57",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:15:00.856168Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "574085.66",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3039.76",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8870.83",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,970.75"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 3039.76,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "241": {
      "id": 241,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T16:04:13.819073Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291215-15",
      "strike": 82996.92,
      "predicted_close": 83016.7109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82970.75,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:04:13.819073Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 241,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82996.91550000003,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.153092,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 138,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 97.97999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.96999999999998,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.97999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.96999999999998,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3624.68
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 71.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 72.45,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -71.0,
          "net_pnl": -72.45,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3624.68
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        241
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83016.7109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83050.3828125,
          82705.90625,
          82827.5,
          82902.5859375,
          82962.0859375,
          83016.7109375,
          83077.1015625,
          83143.5390625,
          83233.3984375,
          83372.515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f1096732e831a8e9ff1d1b456a925d164ab4f2a9d5059e48abdf5c285e157986",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82996.91550000003,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.092915Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82996.92,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "337642.34",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:00:01.083464Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "163608.73",
        "volume_fp": "601961.08",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7251.24",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4202.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,996.92"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T16:04:13.972165Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 3624.68,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:04:13.819073Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:04:13.972165Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:04:13.972165Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.71,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:06.092915Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82996.92,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "337556.25",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T16:00:01.083464Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "163608.73",
              "volume_fp": "607086.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3624.68",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2502.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,996.92"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 3624.68,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "240": {
      "id": 240,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T15:49:17.598527Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291200-00",
      "strike": 83129.81,
      "predicted_close": 83187.9375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82996.92,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:49:17.598527Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 240,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83129.80716666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.154311,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.6,
          "net_pnl": -99.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9285.76
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -85.0,
          "net_pnl": -85.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9285.76
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        240
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83187.9375,
        "quantiles": [
          83219.375,
          82863.53125,
          82988.90625,
          83067.7265625,
          83129.640625,
          83187.9375,
          83250.171875,
          83316.671875,
          83403.859375,
          83539.765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e73d60542fcdf4d5aa1a9bf5c8e0f30046e8cc6aa73e36a3dfaef08b8e4ea207",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83129.80716666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:05.841702Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83129.81,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "223976.85",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:45:00.872643Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "752120.62",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6946.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6512.33",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,129.81"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T15:49:17.752838Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 9285.76,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:49:17.598527Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:49:17.752838Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:49:17.752838Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:05.841702Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83129.81,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T16:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "232527.54",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:45:00.872643Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "775526.92",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9285.76",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7736.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,129.81"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 9285.76,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "239": {
      "id": 239,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T15:34:15.728570Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291145-45",
      "strike": 82984.7,
      "predicted_close": 82997.1953125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83129.81,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:34:15.728570Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 239,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82984.70416666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133229,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.84,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 117,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 117.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.72,
          "net_pnl": 17.61,
          "roi": 0.17718080289767582,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6425.28
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 84.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 84.95,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.0,
          "net_pnl": 15.049999999999997,
          "roi": 0.17716303708063563,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6425.28
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        239
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82997.1953125,
        "quantiles": [
          83026.4375,
          82602.8515625,
          82759.1875,
          82853.3671875,
          82927.671875,
          82997.1953125,
          83069.015625,
          83146.859375,
          83243.9453125,
          83399.796875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c8eb7a02e65960f3abdbd2b9b8c15a378218b9c389eeb55d015a22d29e9d3e5c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 15:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82984.70416666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:05.57774Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82984.7,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "279370.31",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:30:00.869676Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "205331.53",
        "volume_fp": "640675.36",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11601.06",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1372.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,984.70"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T15:34:15.861799Z",
        "ask": 0.84,
        "depth": 6425.28,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:34:15.728570Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:34:15.861799Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:34:15.861799Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.83,
          "ask": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.835,
          "last_price": 0.83,
          "implied_probability": 0.84,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:05.57774Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82984.7,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "281174.54",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:30:00.869676Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "205331.53",
              "volume_fp": "659264.03",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6425.28",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7298.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,984.70"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.83,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.84,
            "yes_ask_size": 6425.28,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.17,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "238": {
      "id": 238,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T15:19:13.284227Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291130-30",
      "strike": 83384.36,
      "predicted_close": 83438.4375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82984.7,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:19:13.284227Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 238,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83384.36083333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142042,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.28,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 340,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 95.2,
          "trading_fee": 4.8,
          "total_deployed": 100.0,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.2,
          "net_pnl": -100.0,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5227.47
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.28,
          "gross_cost": 28.000000000000004,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 29.42,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.000000000000004,
          "net_pnl": -29.42,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5227.47
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        238
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83438.4375,
        "quantiles": [
          83457.6875,
          83130.828125,
          83252.421875,
          83324.1875,
          83382.4765625,
          83438.4375,
          83495.8984375,
          83558.34375,
          83636.34375,
          83759.9140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7f70a4fb26a2ea1c7936f264ea4dee1a51a8b6f1ef56d0d00127176caee1c971",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 15:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83384.36083333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:05.296114Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83384.36,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "241578.13",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:15:00.873403Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "589157.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3622.17",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9368.86",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,384.36"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T15:19:13.426269Z",
        "ask": 0.28,
        "depth": 5227.47,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:19:13.284227Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:19:13.426269Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:19:13.426269Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.27,
          "ask": 0.28,
          "midpoint": 0.275,
          "last_price": 0.27,
          "implied_probability": 0.28,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:05.296114Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83384.36,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "241328.54",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:15:00.873403Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "613806.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5227.47",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9543.74",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,384.36"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.27,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.28,
            "yes_ask_size": 5227.47,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.73,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "237": {
      "id": 237,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T15:04:17.890008Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291115-15",
      "strike": 83763.79,
      "predicted_close": 83793.3671875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83384.36,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:04:17.890008Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 237,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83763.786,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.147187,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3601.4
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3601.4
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        237
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83793.3671875,
        "quantiles": [
          83809.671875,
          83577.7578125,
          83663.59375,
          83712.6484375,
          83753.9375,
          83793.3671875,
          83833.171875,
          83879.921875,
          83935.8203125,
          84027.328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "bf8dfd69ef566e4e543241288485f494cce90e089fe5b5d688d7ec50f5321d20",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 14:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83763.786,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:04.792583Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83763.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "399097.80",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:00:01.104632Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "114449.28",
        "volume_fp": "632590.65",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "397.45",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6842.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,763.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T15:04:18.037195Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 3601.4,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:04:17.890008Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:04:18.037195Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:04:18.037195Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:04.792583Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83763.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "399273.67",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T15:00:01.104632Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "114449.28",
              "volume_fp": "646829.77",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3601.40",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9639.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,763.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 3601.4,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "236": {
      "id": 236,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T14:49:20.827288Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291100-00",
      "strike": 83842.21,
      "predicted_close": 83872.5546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83763.79,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:49:20.827288Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 236,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83842.21283333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.161343,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.62,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 157,
          "entry_price": 0.62,
          "gross_cost": 97.34,
          "trading_fee": 2.59,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.34,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10520.62
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.62,
          "gross_cost": 62.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 63.65,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -62.0,
          "net_pnl": -63.65,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10520.62
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        236
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83872.5546875,
        "quantiles": [
          83884.296875,
          83657.6171875,
          83739.3671875,
          83789.25,
          83833.2890625,
          83872.5546875,
          83910.890625,
          83954.125,
          84007.8515625,
          84099.3671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "afcac55ba4f79ee476734047f1bc10729408fc86b0df82d218aed7104899b006",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 14:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83842.21283333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:04.487608Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83842.21,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "193132.36",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:45:00.87631Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "477051.47",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4321.66",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9992.38",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,842.21"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T14:49:20.988631Z",
        "ask": 0.62,
        "depth": 10520.62,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:49:20.827288Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:49:20.988631Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:49:20.988631Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.61,
          "ask": 0.62,
          "midpoint": 0.615,
          "last_price": 0.61,
          "implied_probability": 0.62,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T15:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:04.487608Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T15:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83842.21,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T15:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T15:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "196813.26",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:45:00.87631Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "500121.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10520.62",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3884.33",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,842.21"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.61,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.62,
            "yes_ask_size": 10520.62,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.39,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "235": {
      "id": 235,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T14:34:13.285726Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291045-45",
      "strike": 83943.38,
      "predicted_close": 83961.109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83842.21,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:34:13.285726Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 235,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83943.37833333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.1389,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.5,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        235
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83961.109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83975.328125,
          83746.6640625,
          83829.296875,
          83879.609375,
          83923.1796875,
          83961.109375,
          83998.578125,
          84039.9140625,
          84090.2890625,
          84179.328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "96d33f29464b9a89bc73720822d24c773f1e59d251313d0ba95d3c3a92f3a709",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 14:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83943.37833333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:04.193201Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83943.38,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "185641.36",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:30:00.874487Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "86079.76",
        "volume_fp": "421868.72",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4247.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4408.64",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,943.38"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T14:34:13.424626Z",
        "ask": 0.5,
        "depth": 31.18,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:34:13.285726Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:34:13.424626Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:34:13.424626Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.49,
          "ask": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.495,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.5,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:04.193201Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83943.38,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "186154.47",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:30:00.874487Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "86079.76",
              "volume_fp": "424511.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "31.18",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9070.11",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,943.38"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.49,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.5,
            "yes_ask_size": 31.18,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.51,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "234": {
      "id": 234,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T14:19:13.185098Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291030-30",
      "strike": 83927.02,
      "predicted_close": 83944.5078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83943.38,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:19:13.185098Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 234,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83927.02116666664,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.135966,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.66,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 147,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 97.02000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.33000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 147.0,
          "gross_pnl": 49.97999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 47.66999999999999,
          "roi": 0.4799154334038053,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2759.54
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 66.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 67.58,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.0,
          "net_pnl": 32.42,
          "roi": 0.47972773009766206,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2759.54
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        234
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83944.5078125,
        "quantiles": [
          83954.3125,
          83697.8125,
          83793.1953125,
          83851.6328125,
          83901.3671875,
          83944.5078125,
          83986.359375,
          84029.6796875,
          84082.4375,
          84175.546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "123ffb7efba47303d38c76ab686d907642b3daf8171e991db0da794cf90ab53d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 14:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83927.02116666664,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:03.864122Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83927.02,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "222401.09",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:15:00.867325Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "457773.67",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4748.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6467.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,927.02"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T14:19:13.321064Z",
        "ask": 0.66,
        "depth": 2759.54,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:19:13.185098Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:19:13.321064Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:19:13.321064Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.65,
          "ask": 0.66,
          "midpoint": 0.655,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.66,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:03.864122Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83927.02,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "223123.99",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:15:00.867325Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "465174.76",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2759.54",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9076.68",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,927.02"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.65,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.66,
            "yes_ask_size": 2759.54,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.35,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "233": {
      "id": 233,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T14:04:14.401151Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291015-15",
      "strike": 84204.14,
      "predicted_close": 84224.78125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83927.02,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:04:14.401151Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 233,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84204.13566666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139783,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9253.41
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9253.41
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        233
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84224.78125,
        "quantiles": [
          84240.15625,
          84035.796875,
          84108.140625,
          84151.75,
          84191.8359375,
          84224.78125,
          84256.234375,
          84290.2890625,
          84331.578125,
          84408.5390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "27c4705892ffff12201c1dd66bda36b3559227f70de220b43e4142013b5df045",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 13:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84204.13566666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:03.49283Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84204.14,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "242256.45",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:00:00.936493Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "110558.66",
        "volume_fp": "557769.13",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10160.97",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4984.87",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,204.14"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T14:04:14.540934Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 9253.41,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:04:14.401151Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:04:14.540934Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:04:14.540934Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.19,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:03.49283Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84204.14,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "248251.57",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T14:00:00.936493Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "110558.66",
              "volume_fp": "577168.84",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9253.41",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1788.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,204.14"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 9253.41,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "232": {
      "id": 232,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T13:49:13.395936Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291000-00",
      "strike": 84169.68,
      "predicted_close": 84204.6328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84204.14,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:49:13.395936Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 232,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84169.67849999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129046,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        232
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84204.6328125,
        "quantiles": [
          84215.9921875,
          84000.640625,
          84080.0,
          84127.7421875,
          84168.8671875,
          84204.6328125,
          84238.359375,
          84275.9296875,
          84320.9921875,
          84402.421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3f0f4e65944becf0211c15bbebea87c8f16289ac6340fa4df1b5eec6ffc17cd0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 13:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84169.67849999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:03.158639Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84169.68,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "230734.08",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T13:45:00.860043Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "462021.88",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "750.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8950.30",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,169.68"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T13:49:13.524982Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 10.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:49:13.395936Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:49:13.524982Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:49:13.524982Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T14:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:03.158639Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T14:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84169.68,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T14:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T14:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "238265.47",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP291000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T13:45:00.860043Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "476386.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9480.74",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,169.68"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 10.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "231": {
      "id": 231,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T13:34:13.429307Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290945-45",
      "strike": 84342.18,
      "predicted_close": 84345.0078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84169.68,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T13:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:34:13.429307Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 231,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84342.18483333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122722,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.097,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 969,
          "entry_price": 0.097,
          "gross_cost": 93.99300000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.95,
          "total_deployed": 99.94300000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -93.99300000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.94300000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1197.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.097,
          "gross_cost": 9.700000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 0.62,
          "total_deployed": 10.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -9.700000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -10.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1197.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        231
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84345.0078125,
        "quantiles": [
          84355.09375,
          84179.625,
          84246.28125,
          84284.265625,
          84317.890625,
          84345.0078125,
          84371.625,
          84401.7578125,
          84438.0546875,
          84506.0390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f1c5769a704018b100a61488cd05949374d108516280009cb13b107d9a492573",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 13:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84342.18483333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:02.859598Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T13:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T13:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84342.18,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0880",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T13:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9130",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9120",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T13:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "303504.41",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T13:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T13:30:00.894277Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "95054.07",
        "volume_fp": "517504.40",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0880",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "29.34",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0870",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,342.18"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T13:34:13.552029Z",
        "ask": 0.097,
        "depth": 1197.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:34:13.429307Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:34:13.552029Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T13:34:13.552029Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.096,
          "ask": 0.097,
          "midpoint": 0.0965,
          "last_price": 0.096,
          "implied_probability": 0.097,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T13:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:01:02.859598Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T13:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T13:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84342.18,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.0960",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T13:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9040",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.9030",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T13:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "304013.01",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T13:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T13:30:00.894277Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "95054.07",
              "volume_fp": "534484.69",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0970",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1197.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0960",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "991.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,342.18"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.096,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.097,
            "yes_ask_size": 1197.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.904,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "223": {
      "id": 223,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T11:34:13.186274Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290745-45",
      "strike": 84039.9,
      "predicted_close": 84040.4375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84214.47,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T11:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:34:13.186274Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 223,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84039.90333333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133121,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.935,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 106,
          "entry_price": 0.935,
          "gross_cost": 99.11,
          "trading_fee": 0.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.57,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 106.0,
          "gross_pnl": 6.890000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 6.430000000000007,
          "roi": 0.064577684041378,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3423.48
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.935,
          "gross_cost": 93.5,
          "trading_fee": 0.43,
          "total_deployed": 93.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 6.5,
          "net_pnl": 6.069999999999993,
          "roi": 0.06462259129138713,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3423.48
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        223
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84040.4375,
        "quantiles": [
          84045.3046875,
          83862.5234375,
          83940.921875,
          83980.078125,
          84010.234375,
          84040.4375,
          84069.765625,
          84099.1875,
          84133.0234375,
          84197.7578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "29a67f9b0823618c04f9f640f5e64a6297ccaa2b487ef084cd0a34285c6ebcb5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 11:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84039.90333333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T11:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:59.977071Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T11:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84039.9,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9340",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.0670",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.0660",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T11:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "170725.07",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T11:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T11:30:00.853308Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "61412.73",
        "volume_fp": "375751.34",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9340",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "781.94",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9330",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1800.70",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,039.90"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T11:34:13.319395Z",
        "ask": 0.935,
        "depth": 3423.48,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:34:13.186274Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:34:13.319395Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:34:13.319395Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.934,
          "ask": 0.935,
          "midpoint": 0.9345000000000001,
          "last_price": 0.935,
          "implied_probability": 0.935,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T11:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:59.977071Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T11:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84039.9,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9350",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0660",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0650",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T11:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "172094.68",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T11:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T11:30:00.853308Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "61412.73",
              "volume_fp": "403342.49",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9350",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3423.48",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9340",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1695.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,039.90"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.934,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.935,
            "yes_ask_size": 3423.48,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.066,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "221": {
      "id": 221,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T11:04:15.082543Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290715-15",
      "strike": 84006.07,
      "predicted_close": 84007.7890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83981.12,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T11:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:04:15.082543Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 221,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84006.07233333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.154851,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.35,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 273,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.35,
          "total_deployed": 99.89999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.89999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10908.69
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 35.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 36.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -35.0,
          "net_pnl": -36.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10908.69
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        221
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84007.7890625,
        "quantiles": [
          84009.3359375,
          83811.9296875,
          83896.40625,
          83939.265625,
          83972.65625,
          84007.7890625,
          84040.53125,
          84072.1171875,
          84111.0,
          84178.3125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "423881147703519f8684b8638eb5b3dd86289ef395c3283c806a7749390b06cd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 10:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84006.07233333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T11:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:59.358757Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T11:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84006.07,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T11:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "127569.32",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T11:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T11:00:00.943852Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "60297.57",
        "volume_fp": "346586.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6885.88",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4892.08",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,006.07"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T11:04:15.237394Z",
        "ask": 0.35,
        "depth": 10908.69,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:04:15.082543Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:04:15.237394Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T11:04:15.237394Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.34,
          "ask": 0.35,
          "midpoint": 0.345,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.35,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T11:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:59.358757Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T11:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84006.07,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T11:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T11:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "129384.22",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T11:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T11:00:00.943852Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "60297.57",
              "volume_fp": "356647.80",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10908.69",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3702.74",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,006.07"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.34,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.35,
            "yes_ask_size": 10908.69,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.66,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "216": {
      "id": 216,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T09:49:14.010124Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T10:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290600-00",
      "strike": 83950.8,
      "predicted_close": 83963.7734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84222.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:49:14.010124Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 216,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83950.80066666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125283,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.92,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 108,
          "entry_price": 0.92,
          "gross_cost": 99.36,
          "trading_fee": 0.56,
          "total_deployed": 99.92,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 108.0,
          "gross_pnl": 8.64,
          "net_pnl": 8.079999999999998,
          "roi": 0.0808646917534027,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1584.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.92,
          "gross_cost": 92.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.52,
          "total_deployed": 92.52,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 8.0,
          "net_pnl": 7.480000000000004,
          "roi": 0.08084738434932992,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1584.55
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        216
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83963.7734375,
        "quantiles": [
          83972.7734375,
          83791.5,
          83866.9765625,
          83906.140625,
          83932.1953125,
          83963.7734375,
          83993.359375,
          84027.40625,
          84067.234375,
          84133.625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "94349d6d90078c6460075730189f9fd032b14ebf014243e30c16226e7c26add5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 09:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83950.80066666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T10:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:57.785133Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T10:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T10:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83950.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9170",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T10:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.0840",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.0830",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T10:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "162268.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:45:00.852793Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "357625.77",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9170",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "301.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9160",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5483.09",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,950.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T09:49:14.135407Z",
        "ask": 0.92,
        "depth": 1584.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:49:14.010124Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:49:14.135407Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:49:14.135407Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.919,
          "ask": 0.92,
          "midpoint": 0.9195,
          "last_price": 0.919,
          "implied_probability": 0.92,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T10:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:57.785133Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T10:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T10:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83950.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9190",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T10:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0810",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T10:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "170884.15",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:45:00.852793Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "372684.66",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1584.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9190",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "378.83",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,950.80"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.919,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.92,
            "yes_ask_size": 1584.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.081,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "215": {
      "id": 215,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T09:34:15.802354Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290545-45",
      "strike": 83824.28,
      "predicted_close": 83842.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83950.8,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:34:15.802354Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 215,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83824.27916666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.114714,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.87,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 113,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 98.31,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 99.21000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 113.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.689999999999998,
          "net_pnl": 13.789999999999992,
          "roi": 0.13899808487047668,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 629.47
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.87,
          "gross_cost": 87.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.8,
          "total_deployed": 87.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 13.0,
          "net_pnl": 12.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.13895216400911165,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 629.47
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        215
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83842.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          83853.703125,
          83660.609375,
          83739.5,
          83781.25,
          83807.8828125,
          83842.5859375,
          83874.8515625,
          83911.1796875,
          83953.1015625,
          84023.234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e71ca700b1997ab4e5237fcb4abf6fee81df5bb9bce34508eb6fa6040aa01e4b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 09:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83824.27916666669,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:57.441012Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83824.28,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "120279.92",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:30:00.856639Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "63439.24",
        "volume_fp": "347440.91",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3783.47",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8986.72",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,824.28"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T09:34:15.917068Z",
        "ask": 0.87,
        "depth": 629.47,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:34:15.802354Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:34:15.917068Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:34:15.917068Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.86,
          "ask": 0.87,
          "midpoint": 0.865,
          "last_price": 0.87,
          "implied_probability": 0.87,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:57.441012Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83824.28,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "123067.25",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:30:00.856639Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "63439.24",
              "volume_fp": "350947.72",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "629.47",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9307.43",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,824.28"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.86,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.87,
            "yes_ask_size": 629.47,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.14,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "214": {
      "id": 214,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T09:19:13.406786Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290530-30",
      "strike": 83760.07,
      "predicted_close": 83774.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83824.28,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:19:13.406786Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 214,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83760.06749999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.143525,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.57,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 170,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 96.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 170.0,
          "gross_pnl": 73.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 70.18,
          "roi": 0.7030655179322782,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3528.92
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 56.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 58.71999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 43.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 41.28000000000001,
          "roi": 0.70299727520436,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3528.92
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        214
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83774.296875,
        "quantiles": [
          83782.3203125,
          83576.453125,
          83663.0390625,
          83707.578125,
          83737.578125,
          83774.296875,
          83806.828125,
          83843.109375,
          83886.78125,
          83954.0
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "449d1a51e765632ebe42805d6ea7a0725a8aa0c03dfa1ada1dc4aec99be9c16e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 09:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83760.06749999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:57.071426Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83760.07,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "177645.18",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:15:00.866229Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "347904.39",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3093.09",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4887.36",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,760.07"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T09:19:13.550311Z",
        "ask": 0.57,
        "depth": 3528.92,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:19:13.406786Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:19:13.550311Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:19:13.550311Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.56,
          "ask": 0.57,
          "midpoint": 0.565,
          "last_price": 0.57,
          "implied_probability": 0.57,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:57.071426Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83760.07,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "180589.15",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:15:00.866229Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "354184.09",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3528.92",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2630.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,760.07"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.56,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.57,
            "yes_ask_size": 3528.92,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.44,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "213": {
      "id": 213,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T09:04:12.959823Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290515-15",
      "strike": 83844.3,
      "predicted_close": 83874.921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83760.07,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:04:12.959823Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 213,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83844.29766666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125219,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.21,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 451,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 94.71,
          "trading_fee": 5.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.94999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.71,
          "net_pnl": -99.94999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3627.85
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 21.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.17,
          "total_deployed": 22.17,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -21.0,
          "net_pnl": -22.17,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3627.85
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        213
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83874.921875,
        "quantiles": [
          83876.0234375,
          83671.1484375,
          83760.109375,
          83807.265625,
          83838.1015625,
          83874.921875,
          83907.109375,
          83944.4296875,
          83986.7578125,
          84050.859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c7daef2c45042803ea12d06f23f8021845524f239391754e19f243873155575b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 08:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83844.29766666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:56.683069Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83844.3,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "217261.00",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:00:00.926459Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "122719.77",
        "volume_fp": "399568.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8023.04",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3704.06",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,844.30"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T09:04:13.085042Z",
        "ask": 0.21,
        "depth": 3627.85,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:04:12.959823Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:04:13.085042Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:04:13.085042Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.2,
          "ask": 0.21,
          "midpoint": 0.20500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.21,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:56.683069Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83844.3,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "223673.03",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T09:00:00.926459Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "122719.77",
              "volume_fp": "413381.44",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3627.85",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6325.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,844.30"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.2,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.21,
            "yes_ask_size": 3627.85,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.8,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "212": {
      "id": 212,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T08:49:14.339005Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290500-00",
      "strike": 83849.11,
      "predicted_close": 83858.671875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83844.3,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T08:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T08:49:14.339005Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T08:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 212,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83849.11299999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.14334,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.43,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 223,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 95.89,
          "trading_fee": 3.83,
          "total_deployed": 99.72,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.89,
          "net_pnl": -99.72,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7701.32
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 43.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 44.72,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -43.0,
          "net_pnl": -44.72,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7701.32
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        212
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83858.671875,
        "quantiles": [
          83861.4296875,
          83639.1796875,
          83733.7421875,
          83784.5,
          83819.375,
          83858.671875,
          83895.359375,
          83935.265625,
          83980.1875,
          84049.4375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a975d7a00d8d6ec477ece23195dbad6e54d4585fa0946cbff874e3a9f1fc113b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 08:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83849.11299999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:56.338784Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83849.11,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "179158.60",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T08:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T08:45:00.85135Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "461513.08",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1092.32",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7186.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,849.11"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T08:49:14.482345Z",
        "ask": 0.43,
        "depth": 7701.32,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T08:49:14.339005Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T08:49:14.482345Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T08:49:14.482345Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.42,
          "ask": 0.43,
          "midpoint": 0.425,
          "last_price": 0.42,
          "implied_probability": 0.43,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T09:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:56.338784Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T09:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83849.11,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T09:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T09:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "181578.59",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T08:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T08:45:00.85135Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "471073.19",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7701.32",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6335.13",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,849.11"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.42,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.43,
            "yes_ask_size": 7701.32,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.58,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "208": {
      "id": 208,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T07:49:15.402254Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T08:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290400-00",
      "strike": 83994.96,
      "predicted_close": 83999.3046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83944.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:49:15.402254Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 208,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83994.9555,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133508,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.52,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 186,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 96.72,
          "trading_fee": 3.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.72,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11833.35
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 52.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 53.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -52.0,
          "net_pnl": -53.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11833.35
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        208
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83999.3046875,
        "quantiles": [
          84013.640625,
          83818.359375,
          83898.28125,
          83941.7890625,
          83969.1328125,
          83999.3046875,
          84027.7109375,
          84057.6875,
          84087.890625,
          84144.3125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a5b5b2cc72504d8b037292b1774c1d5163f65698a376df023d8659a3ac73ea1f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 07:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83994.9555,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T08:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:55.098107Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T08:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T08:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83994.96,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T08:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T08:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "222066.47",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T07:45:00.854877Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "451971.72",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5793.15",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2659.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,994.96"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T07:49:15.535762Z",
        "ask": 0.52,
        "depth": 11833.35,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:49:15.402254Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:49:15.535762Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:49:15.535762Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.51,
          "ask": 0.52,
          "midpoint": 0.515,
          "last_price": 0.52,
          "implied_probability": 0.52,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T08:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:55.098107Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T08:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T08:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83994.96,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T08:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T08:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "223495.56",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T07:45:00.854877Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "457554.73",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11833.35",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4770.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,994.96"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.51,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.52,
            "yes_ask_size": 11833.35,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.49,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "207": {
      "id": 207,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T07:34:13.224601Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290345-45",
      "strike": 83962.58,
      "predicted_close": 83964.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83994.96,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:34:13.224601Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 207,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83962.57683333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125972,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.63,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 154,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 97.02,
          "trading_fee": 2.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 154.0,
          "gross_pnl": 56.980000000000004,
          "net_pnl": 54.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.5471167369901548,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5905.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.63,
          "gross_cost": 63.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 64.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 37.0,
          "net_pnl": 35.36,
          "roi": 0.5470297029702971,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5905.03
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        207
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83964.296875,
        "quantiles": [
          83979.484375,
          83759.8671875,
          83847.40625,
          83898.5859375,
          83931.515625,
          83964.296875,
          83994.015625,
          84027.5703125,
          84062.140625,
          84125.9765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c4935f42cefc00e26b5a94c86078be16ed3a27e786a1af8f546bfb97b1c72d33",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 07:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83962.57683333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:54.742258Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T07:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83962.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T07:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "212676.41",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T07:30:00.853272Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "152649.42",
        "volume_fp": "606156.91",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "665.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8322.21",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,962.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T07:34:13.350573Z",
        "ask": 0.63,
        "depth": 5905.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:34:13.224601Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:34:13.350573Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:34:13.350573Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.62,
          "ask": 0.63,
          "midpoint": 0.625,
          "last_price": 0.62,
          "implied_probability": 0.63,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T07:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:54.742258Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T07:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83962.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T07:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "222684.68",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T07:30:00.853272Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "152649.42",
              "volume_fp": "625623.42",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5905.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1494.37",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,962.58"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.62,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.63,
            "yes_ask_size": 5905.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.38,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "206": {
      "id": 206,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T07:19:12.293830Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290330-30",
      "strike": 83953.97,
      "predicted_close": 83963.9921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83962.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T07:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:19:12.293830Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 206,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83953.97316666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128893,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 209.0,
          "gross_pnl": 112.86,
          "net_pnl": 109.22,
          "roi": 1.0946081379033874,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1870.28
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.0,
          "net_pnl": 52.26,
          "roi": 1.0946795140343526,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1870.28
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        206
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83963.9921875,
        "quantiles": [
          83979.3125,
          83744.9453125,
          83836.546875,
          83890.2265625,
          83927.2109375,
          83963.9921875,
          83998.1328125,
          84036.4453125,
          84076.1953125,
          84148.7265625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "da7ae5d81afaf66e90e62d207e776f2bc92a5afcf2743fad1066860b6cd61a8f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 07:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83953.97316666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:54.350675Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T07:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83953.97,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T07:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "240691.46",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T07:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T07:15:00.852476Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "648654.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1870.28",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7976.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,953.97"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T07:19:12.422723Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 1870.28,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:19:12.293830Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:19:12.422723Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T07:19:12.422723Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.46,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T07:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:54.350675Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T07:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83953.97,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T07:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T07:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "240691.46",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T07:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T07:15:00.852476Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "648654.41",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1870.28",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7976.51",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,953.97"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 1870.28,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "200": {
      "id": 200,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T05:49:14.391202Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T06:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290200-00",
      "strike": 83274.19,
      "predicted_close": 83278.8203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83375.74,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:49:14.391202Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 200,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83274.19316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.144269,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
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          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8716.58
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        200
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83278.8203125,
        "quantiles": [
          83297.6328125,
          83121.2890625,
          83183.4140625,
          83219.9296875,
          83248.75,
          83278.8203125,
          83303.8046875,
          83337.3515625,
          83374.828125,
          83444.40625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "06bf1276b0db5255162422745335d526bcaa0cbee5e8d8eb003e9137d2916be8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 05:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83274.19316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T06:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:52.239032Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T06:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T06:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83274.19,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T06:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T06:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "282661.65",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:45:00.855493Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "673471.91",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6549.84",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8629.89",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,274.19"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T05:49:14.535471Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 8716.58,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:49:14.391202Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:49:14.535471Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:49:14.535471Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T06:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:52.239032Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T06:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T06:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83274.19,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T06:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T06:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "285397.46",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:45:00.855493Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "680648.87",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8716.58",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3169.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,274.19"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 8716.58,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "199": {
      "id": 199,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T05:34:13.187054Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290145-45",
      "strike": 83284.17,
      "predicted_close": 83297.34375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83274.19,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:34:13.187054Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 199,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83284.1675,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128432,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.061,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 1538,
          "entry_price": 0.061,
          "gross_cost": 93.818,
          "trading_fee": 6.17,
          "total_deployed": 99.988,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -93.818,
          "net_pnl": -99.988,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1824.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.061,
          "gross_cost": 6.1,
          "trading_fee": 0.41,
          "total_deployed": 6.51,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -6.1,
          "net_pnl": -6.51,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1824.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        199
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83297.34375,
        "quantiles": [
          83317.1796875,
          83118.46875,
          83190.796875,
          83233.1015625,
          83264.234375,
          83297.34375,
          83324.6171875,
          83358.5546875,
          83397.140625,
          83469.375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "29184ab8926e598ff665a8d8bc2c97b70145e8fb2e699ba1d981d5d01da47f0e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 05:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83284.1675,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.944648Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83284.17,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0610",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9390",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "483477.16",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:30:00.860901Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "211848.13",
        "volume_fp": "830590.25",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0610",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2332.35",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2995.69",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,284.17"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T05:34:13.315486Z",
        "ask": 0.061,
        "depth": 1824.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:34:13.187054Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:34:13.315486Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:34:13.315486Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.06,
          "ask": 0.061,
          "midpoint": 0.0605,
          "last_price": 0.061,
          "implied_probability": 0.061,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.944648Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83284.17,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.0610",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.9390",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "493256.23",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:30:00.860901Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "211848.13",
              "volume_fp": "847466.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0610",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1824.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2016.89",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,284.17"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.06,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.061,
            "yes_ask_size": 1824.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.94,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "198": {
      "id": 198,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T05:19:12.689206Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290130-30",
      "strike": 83223.8,
      "predicted_close": 83234.1875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83284.17,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:19:12.689206Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 198,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83223.80166666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.134938,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        198
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83234.1875,
        "quantiles": [
          83256.0078125,
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          83130.078125,
          83172.4375,
          83203.4765625,
          83234.1875,
          83261.734375,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3f9eb4ef6fc282a7ba6e33b23a4946f317b99c18e277343c1ef2692a786ef831",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 05:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83223.80166666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.625799Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83223.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "306586.92",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:15:00.882638Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "744255.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10945.77",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "538.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,223.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T05:19:12.824144Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 58.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:19:12.689206Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:19:12.824144Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:19:12.824144Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.68,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.625799Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83223.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "311826.42",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:15:00.882638Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "768541.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "58.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "10654.98",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,223.80"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 58.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "197": {
      "id": 197,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T05:04:13.914090Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290115-15",
      "strike": 83169.61,
      "predicted_close": 83179.9765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83223.8,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:04:13.914090Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 197,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83169.61083333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126661,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 201,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.99999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 201.0,
          "gross_pnl": 104.52000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 101.00000000000001,
          "roi": 1.0100000000000002,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1600.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 49.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 52.0,
          "net_pnl": 50.25,
          "roi": 1.0100502512562815,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1600.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        197
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83179.9765625,
        "quantiles": [
          83199.2734375,
          83019.0234375,
          83085.625,
          83125.15625,
          83150.875,
          83179.9765625,
          83208.578125,
          83241.9453125,
          83279.0625,
          83352.71875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "042d4f454a0e53527f366e59709b088b8db11595e1617927bf4a7d90e7b46229",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 04:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83169.61083333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.33032Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83169.61,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "299204.61",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:00:01.165101Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "181848.85",
        "volume_fp": "635342.00",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "516.93",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7911.65",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,169.61"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T05:04:14.040751Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 1600.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:04:13.914090Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:04:14.040751Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:04:14.040751Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.46,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.47,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.019999999999999962,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.33032Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83169.61,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "297491.34",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T05:00:01.165101Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "181848.85",
              "volume_fp": "657382.24",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1600.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "0.83",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,169.61"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.46,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 1600.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.54,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "196": {
      "id": 196,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T04:49:15.198267Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290100-00",
      "strike": 83136.9,
      "predicted_close": 83151.2734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83169.61,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:49:15.198267Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 196,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83136.90283333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123646,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.18,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 525,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 94.5,
          "trading_fee": 5.43,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 525.0,
          "gross_pnl": 430.5,
          "net_pnl": 425.07,
          "roi": 4.253677574302011,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9559.29
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 18.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 19.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 82.0,
          "net_pnl": 80.96000000000001,
          "roi": 4.252100840336135,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9559.29
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        196
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83151.2734375,
        "quantiles": [
          83169.25,
          82988.9609375,
          83057.4921875,
          83098.09375,
          83124.734375,
          83151.2734375,
          83179.859375,
          83212.390625,
          83250.0078125,
          83323.515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f456a06e218b1fbc2e3c570862fa6a586d312d6cb987eb416ddba25d53f89887",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 04:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83136.90283333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.007838Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83136.9,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "302229.68",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:45:00.886527Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "587068.80",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "11693.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1798.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,136.90"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T04:49:15.321913Z",
        "ask": 0.18,
        "depth": 9559.29,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:49:15.198267Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:49:15.321913Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:49:15.321913Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.17,
          "ask": 0.18,
          "midpoint": 0.175,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.18,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T05:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:51.007838Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T05:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83136.9,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T05:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T05:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "307665.88",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:45:00.886527Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "603192.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9559.29",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7505.61",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,136.90"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.17,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.18,
            "yes_ask_size": 9559.29,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.83,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "195": {
      "id": 195,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T04:34:13.710113Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290045-45",
      "strike": 83198.58,
      "predicted_close": 83207.3046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83136.9,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:34:13.710113Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 195,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83198.57683333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117466,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.25,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 380,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 95.0,
          "trading_fee": 4.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.0,
          "net_pnl": -99.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5814.19
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 25.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 26.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -25.0,
          "net_pnl": -26.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5814.19
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        195
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83207.3046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83226.5859375,
          83024.2109375,
          83101.109375,
          83145.546875,
          83176.6015625,
          83207.3046875,
          83239.78125,
          83274.53125,
          83315.078125,
          83393.0546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "eda9fccc757429facf07675ec099839e8ed6f084c48908e2196ef484ccc4d83e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 04:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83198.57683333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:50.674402Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83198.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "313888.26",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:30:00.869879Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "173461.60",
        "volume_fp": "636439.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10029.51",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3270.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,198.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T04:34:13.827579Z",
        "ask": 0.25,
        "depth": 5814.19,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:34:13.710113Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:34:13.827579Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:34:13.827579Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.24,
          "ask": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.245,
          "last_price": 0.25,
          "implied_probability": 0.25,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:50.674402Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83198.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "318251.14",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:30:00.869879Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "173461.60",
              "volume_fp": "647612.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5814.19",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8784.32",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,198.58"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.24,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.25,
            "yes_ask_size": 5814.19,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.76,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "194": {
      "id": 194,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T04:19:13.716563Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290030-30",
      "strike": 83103.78,
      "predicted_close": 83122.3515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83198.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:19:13.716563Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 194,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83103.7833333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132185,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8052.34
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8052.34
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        194
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83122.3515625,
        "quantiles": [
          83146.953125,
          82944.7890625,
          83019.734375,
          83062.40625,
          83093.265625,
          83122.3515625,
          83153.7265625,
          83190.6484375,
          83234.7109375,
          83315.203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c4860e7caf0e027ab25b03d86a42b1e7aa840f60b153c28962fa8c15e2cfae65",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 04:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83103.7833333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:50.364567Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83103.78,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "369330.37",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:15:00.889843Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "756846.59",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4198.85",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8416.71",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,103.78"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T04:19:13.848748Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 8052.34,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:19:13.716563Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:19:13.848748Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:19:13.848748Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.68,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:50.364567Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83103.78,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "376189.53",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:15:00.889843Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "773708.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8052.34",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1011.34",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,103.78"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 8052.34,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "193": {
      "id": 193,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T04:04:13.637332Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290015-15",
      "strike": 83027.21,
      "predicted_close": 83058.28125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83103.78,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:04:13.637332Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 193,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83027.20533333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142599,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.39,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 245,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.08,
          "total_deployed": 99.63,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 245.0,
          "gross_pnl": 149.45,
          "net_pnl": 145.37,
          "roi": 1.4590986650607247,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5339.79
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 39.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 40.67,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 61.0,
          "net_pnl": 59.33,
          "roi": 1.4588148512417014,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5339.79
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        193
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83058.28125,
        "quantiles": [
          83085.9296875,
          82891.8984375,
          82963.8671875,
          83003.4375,
          83032.75,
          83058.28125,
          83087.3359375,
          83123.9296875,
          83165.9296875,
          83248.109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "156241f97274671500b91bef470cde4641af653a767aca34a177a7a9471bfe76",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 03:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83027.20533333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:50.089665Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83027.21,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "274497.39",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:00:00.95936Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "179064.64",
        "volume_fp": "856883.66",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4967.44",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6126.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,027.21"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T04:04:13.779931Z",
        "ask": 0.39,
        "depth": 5339.79,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:04:13.637332Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:04:13.779931Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:04:13.779931Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.38,
          "ask": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.385,
          "last_price": 0.39,
          "implied_probability": 0.39,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:50.089665Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83027.21,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "282642.95",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on September 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T04:00:00.95936Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "179064.64",
              "volume_fp": "894842.54",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5339.79",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8420.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,027.21"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.38,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.39,
            "yes_ask_size": 5339.79,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.62,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "192": {
      "id": 192,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T03:49:14.125943Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290000-00",
      "strike": 83099.54,
      "predicted_close": 83106.6796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83027.21,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:49:14.125943Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 192,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83099.54016666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132405,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.52,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 186,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 96.72,
          "trading_fee": 3.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.72,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8006.65
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 52.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 53.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -52.0,
          "net_pnl": -53.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8006.65
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        192
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83106.6796875,
        "quantiles": [
          83136.296875,
          82921.71875,
          83002.0625,
          83047.4765625,
          83079.2109375,
          83106.6796875,
          83137.03125,
          83176.4375,
          83220.4765625,
          83305.6171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "92f53c937e3b0c50f53b56e7371baa0e174ca61a262a197a9f74e677f5aa4605",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 03:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83099.54016666669,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:04.932988Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83099.54,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "280509.99",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:45:00.893624Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "717295.38",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2394.78",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5738.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,099.54"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T03:49:14.258348Z",
        "ask": 0.52,
        "depth": 8006.65,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:49:14.125943Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:49:14.258348Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:49:14.258348Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.51,
          "ask": 0.52,
          "midpoint": 0.515,
          "last_price": 0.52,
          "implied_probability": 0.52,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T04:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:04.932988Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T04:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83099.54,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T04:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T04:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "274945.26",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Sep 29, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP290000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:45:00.893624Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "733269.81",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8006.65",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5453.65",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,099.54"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.51,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.52,
            "yes_ask_size": 8006.65,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.49,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "191": {
      "id": 191,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T03:34:12.170808Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282345-45",
      "strike": 83168.77,
      "predicted_close": 83192.265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83099.54,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:34:12.170808Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 191,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83168.77483333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132405,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.51,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 189,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 96.39,
          "trading_fee": 3.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.39,
          "net_pnl": -99.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6664.77
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 51.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 52.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -51.0,
          "net_pnl": -52.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6664.77
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        191
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83192.265625,
        "quantiles": [
          83224.53125,
          82984.4140625,
          83073.03125,
          83123.921875,
          83159.71875,
          83192.265625,
          83227.078125,
          83272.4609375,
          83322.1484375,
          83415.390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1e110857c19756ebce701e018dfd0bfe5ee595f0b78baec7dce39557628434e5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 03:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83168.77483333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:03.880909Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83168.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "313017.63",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:30:00.897413Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "234786.32",
        "volume_fp": "767902.01",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6431.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "794.55",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,168.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T03:34:12.303213Z",
        "ask": 0.51,
        "depth": 6664.77,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:34:12.170808Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:34:12.303213Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:34:12.303213Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.5,
          "ask": 0.51,
          "midpoint": 0.505,
          "last_price": 0.5,
          "implied_probability": 0.51,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:03.880909Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83168.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "312280.94",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:30:00.897413Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "234786.32",
              "volume_fp": "777842.20",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6664.77",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5479.53",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,168.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.5,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.51,
            "yes_ask_size": 6664.77,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.5,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "190": {
      "id": 190,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T03:19:12.865002Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282330-30",
      "strike": 82879.35,
      "predicted_close": 82888.3515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83168.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:19:12.865002Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 190,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82879.35083333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123132,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6742.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6742.55
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        190
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82888.3515625,
        "quantiles": [
          82918.0234375,
          82749.53125,
          82810.5,
          82843.3359375,
          82867.4140625,
          82888.3515625,
          82912.0234375,
          82943.5390625,
          82982.140625,
          83058.21875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3d18a740b45917205ee5d60f73a7a9fe65295dd7276148402f5f98198cd64671",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 03:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82879.35083333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:03.417491Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82879.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "327472.67",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:15:00.864894Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "735236.78",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2374.07",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5568.97",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,879.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T03:19:12.988134Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 6742.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:19:12.865002Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:19:12.988134Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:19:12.988134Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:03.417491Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82879.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "326274.80",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:15:00.864894Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "758187.50",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6742.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6036.66",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,879.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 6742.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "189": {
      "id": 189,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T03:04:13.315688Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282315-15",
      "strike": 82932.33,
      "predicted_close": 82938.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82879.35,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:04:13.315688Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 189,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82932.33433333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142271,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.2,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10837.18
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -60.0,
          "net_pnl": -61.68,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 10837.18
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        189
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82938.296875,
        "quantiles": [
          82967.4765625,
          82779.09375,
          82850.7734375,
          82888.25,
          82914.828125,
          82938.296875,
          82963.2265625,
          82997.6796875,
          83038.1015625,
          83115.515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "44d945def5ce9ddb113109092c014dfdb34d5de2ce1ec5dc26a3aa077a2a93ea",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 02:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82932.33433333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:02.521622Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82932.33,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "281206.50",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:00:01.078249Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "191580.53",
        "volume_fp": "777006.74",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10726.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,932.33"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T03:04:13.457959Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 10837.18,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:04:13.315688Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:04:13.457959Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:04:13.457959Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.6,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:02.521622Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82932.33,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "285595.58",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T03:00:01.078249Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "191580.53",
              "volume_fp": "791364.71",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "10837.18",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1437.16",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,932.33"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 10837.18,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "188": {
      "id": 188,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T02:49:12.761289Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282300-00",
      "strike": 82975.22,
      "predicted_close": 82995.921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82932.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:49:12.761289Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 188,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82975.21716666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124577,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.42000000000002,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6560.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -68.0,
          "net_pnl": -69.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6560.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        188
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82995.921875,
        "quantiles": [
          83026.2265625,
          82807.7265625,
          82890.8671875,
          82935.6796875,
          82966.6796875,
          82995.921875,
          83024.1640625,
          83063.1171875,
          83108.1484375,
          83192.796875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "049329e97a776608839a38ac1efde3360ec8458a43c6df540560cc00ef5b199f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 02:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82975.21716666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:02.151335Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82975.22,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "345711.33",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:45:00.866237Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "676947.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3146.73",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6156.06",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,975.22"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T02:49:12.885866Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 6560.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:49:12.761289Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:49:12.885866Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:49:12.885866Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.68,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T03:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:02.151335Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T03:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82975.22,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T03:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T03:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "346699.05",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:45:00.866237Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "685091.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6560.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4933.26",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,975.22"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 6560.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "187": {
      "id": 187,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T02:34:13.850277Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282245-45",
      "strike": 82922.46,
      "predicted_close": 82944.015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82975.22,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:34:13.850277Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 187,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82922.4606666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.185158,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11088.23
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11088.23
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        187
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82944.015625,
        "quantiles": [
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          83152.390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cb37c079643e5a439efa4faa0475d05cc41381dcfd8bdbcc3b83de1e5f95ab01",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 02:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82922.4606666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:00.904348Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82922.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "233769.70",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:30:00.880993Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "190782.85",
        "volume_fp": "636192.09",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "472.89",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8499.82",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,922.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T02:34:14.035435Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 11088.23,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:34:13.850277Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:34:14.035435Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:34:14.035435Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:00.904348Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82922.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "235165.96",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:30:00.880993Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "190782.85",
              "volume_fp": "640439.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11088.23",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8.17",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,922.46"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 11088.23,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "186": {
      "id": 186,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T02:19:12.844667Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282230-30",
      "strike": 83016.08,
      "predicted_close": 83044.53125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82922.46,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:19:12.844667Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 186,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83016.08200000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.108269,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.89,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 15368.28
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -65.0,
          "net_pnl": -66.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 15368.28
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        186
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83044.53125,
        "quantiles": [
          83075.5,
          82852.1796875,
          82937.109375,
          82982.328125,
          83014.53125,
          83044.53125,
          83073.5390625,
          83112.96875,
          83157.4765625,
          83240.046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3818b691156aa61be44c1e7ef4b95c61b768bb1d3610fb4df550bbe6ce4077ce",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 02:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83016.08200000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:00.556907Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83016.08,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248050.82",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:15:00.862929Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "592557.98",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "14.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9235.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,016.08"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T02:19:12.952936Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 15368.28,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:19:12.844667Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:19:12.952936Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:19:12.952936Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:02:00.556907Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83016.08,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "254503.92",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:15:00.862929Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "613607.69",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "15368.28",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7660.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,016.08"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 15368.28,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "185": {
      "id": 185,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T02:04:15.512924Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282215-15",
      "strike": 83035.85,
      "predicted_close": 83073.5703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83016.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:04:15.512924Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 185,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83035.84899999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.223914,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.29,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 328,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 95.11999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.11999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 886.96
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.29,
          "gross_cost": 28.999999999999996,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 30.449999999999996,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -28.999999999999996,
          "net_pnl": -30.449999999999996,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 886.96
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        185
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83073.5703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83105.296875,
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          83010.2109375,
          83042.625,
          83073.5703125,
          83103.1953125,
          83142.90625,
          83187.3828125,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3447173e279bf86a764f684704489709289c6d9a4d5b8ac107d04cea015dbbaa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 01:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83035.84899999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:58.530518Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83035.85,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "328340.73",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:00:01.137003Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "117946.83",
        "volume_fp": "646227.39",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1257.48",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7360.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,035.85"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T02:04:15.736838Z",
        "ask": 0.29,
        "depth": 886.96,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:04:15.512924Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:04:15.736838Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:04:15.736838Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.28,
          "ask": 0.29,
          "midpoint": 0.28500000000000003,
          "last_price": 0.28,
          "implied_probability": 0.29,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:58.530518Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83035.85,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "325093.10",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T02:00:01.137003Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "117946.83",
              "volume_fp": "665124.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "886.96",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6267.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,035.85"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.28,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.29,
            "yes_ask_size": 886.96,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.72,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "184": {
      "id": 184,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T01:49:13.720393Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282200-00",
      "strike": 82913.76,
      "predicted_close": 82981.2890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83035.85,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:49:13.720393Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 184,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82913.75499999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123904,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 152.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.72,
          "net_pnl": 52.260000000000005,
          "roi": 0.5239623019851615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4993.56
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.0,
          "net_pnl": 34.379999999999995,
          "roi": 0.5239256324291374,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4993.56
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        184
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82981.2890625,
        "quantiles": [
          83013.1484375,
          82761.28125,
          82857.734375,
          82909.7890625,
          82945.9453125,
          82981.2890625,
          83015.28125,
          83059.65625,
          83113.015625,
          83203.90625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "03da796fd4b8085be1de6be5a323d93bf19aa3698d7bfe8ac3da75873363375b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82913.75499999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:58.04702Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82913.76,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234013.62",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:45:00.936202Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "633815.46",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "9216.10",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2298.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,913.76"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T01:49:13.844297Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 4993.56,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:49:13.720393Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:49:13.844297Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:49:13.844297Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:58.04702Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82913.76,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T02:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "233846.03",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:45:00.936202Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "637173.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4993.56",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6998.20",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,913.76"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 4993.56,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "183": {
      "id": 183,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T01:34:14.598625Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282145-45",
      "strike": 82812.75,
      "predicted_close": 82857.2734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82913.76,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:34:14.598625Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 183,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82812.75333333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139559,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 150.0,
          "gross_pnl": 52.5,
          "net_pnl": 50.11,
          "roi": 0.5016518169986985,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3974.96
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 35.0,
          "net_pnl": 33.400000000000006,
          "roi": 0.5015015015015016,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3974.96
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        183
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82857.2734375,
        "quantiles": [
          82888.3828125,
          82598.53125,
          82711.1953125,
          82772.9453125,
          82816.1875,
          82857.2734375,
          82896.15625,
          82947.1796875,
          83008.1171875,
          83107.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "89bb81026037fead9d1876826876dc129d92108f8f8ba88032a998fd176cbd60",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 01:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82812.75333333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:57.690401Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82812.75,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "313081.74",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:30:00.874413Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "231883.22",
        "volume_fp": "812822.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6751.19",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2461.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,812.75"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T01:34:14.738184Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 3974.96,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:34:14.598625Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:34:14.738184Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:34:14.738184Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.65,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:57.690401Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82812.75,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "315457.69",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:30:00.874413Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "231883.22",
              "volume_fp": "817305.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3974.96",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6961.13",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,812.75"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 3974.96,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "182": {
      "id": 182,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T01:19:13.876455Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282130-30",
      "strike": 82991.63,
      "predicted_close": 83047.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82812.75,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:19:13.876455Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 182,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82991.63066666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.148696,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.21,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 451,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 94.71,
          "trading_fee": 5.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.94999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.71,
          "net_pnl": -99.94999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8737.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.21,
          "gross_cost": 21.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.17,
          "total_deployed": 22.17,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -21.0,
          "net_pnl": -22.17,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8737.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        182
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83047.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83071.953125,
          82800.5390625,
          82906.96875,
          82965.9140625,
          83007.90625,
          83047.703125,
          83085.875,
          83133.1171875,
          83188.9765625,
          83281.9140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cd543c794a8ad8ec42b1e6eb9c3084ff3a0ce92090b03f33be9da91ef2031dfa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 01:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82991.63066666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:56.596545Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82991.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "339564.19",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:15:00.872497Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "731507.34",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4131.68",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8115.36",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,991.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T01:19:14.025151Z",
        "ask": 0.21,
        "depth": 8737.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:19:13.876455Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:19:14.025151Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:19:14.025151Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.2,
          "ask": 0.21,
          "midpoint": 0.20500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.21,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:56.596545Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82991.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "342356.01",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:15:00.872497Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "750752.22",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8737.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9523.57",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,991.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.2,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.21,
            "yes_ask_size": 8737.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.8,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "181": {
      "id": 181,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T01:04:17.603901Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282115-15",
      "strike": 83182.19,
      "predicted_close": 83245.7109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82991.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:04:17.603901Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 181,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83182.19183333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.20011,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.41,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 234,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 95.94,
          "trading_fee": 3.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.94,
          "net_pnl": -99.91,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3822.83
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 41.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 42.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -41.0,
          "net_pnl": -42.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3822.83
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        181
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83245.7109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83262.0625,
          83012.0,
          83110.6484375,
          83168.296875,
          83207.75,
          83245.7109375,
          83280.234375,
          83323.1875,
          83374.6484375,
          83458.28125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e555fd50e9e8afdd15fce4239ee479abf00a714249c254b587115668029fe61a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 00:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83182.19183333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:56.132369Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83182.19,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "309542.79",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:00:01.069391Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "247310.83",
        "volume_fp": "869954.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4639.20",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5600.34",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,182.19"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T01:04:17.804011Z",
        "ask": 0.41,
        "depth": 3822.83,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:04:17.603901Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:04:17.804011Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:04:17.804011Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.4,
          "ask": 0.41,
          "midpoint": 0.405,
          "last_price": 0.4,
          "implied_probability": 0.41,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:56.132369Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83182.19,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "316731.02",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T01:00:01.069391Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "247310.83",
              "volume_fp": "909329.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3822.83",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7873.63",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,182.19"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.4,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.41,
            "yes_ask_size": 3822.83,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.6,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "180": {
      "id": 180,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T00:49:15.574891Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282100-00",
      "strike": 83495.28,
      "predicted_close": 83500.15625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83182.19,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T00:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:49:15.574891Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 180,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83495.2775,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139097,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.17,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 555,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 94.35000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.49,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6387.07
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 17.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.99,
          "total_deployed": 17.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -17.0,
          "net_pnl": -17.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6387.07
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        180
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83500.15625,
        "quantiles": [
          83515.0390625,
          83330.359375,
          83406.765625,
          83449.453125,
          83475.109375,
          83500.15625,
          83524.6875,
          83551.1015625,
          83581.8828125,
          83639.359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e6512ee82d6334e92cc4148de8472eb41060885b52964f5da25ed7e367e4c686",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 00:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83495.2775,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:55.805614Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83495.28,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "381296.95",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T00:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T00:45:00.916785Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "624264.50",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8281.59",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7621.99",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,495.28"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T00:49:15.713988Z",
        "ask": 0.17,
        "depth": 6387.07,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:49:15.574891Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:49:15.713988Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:49:15.713988Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.16,
          "ask": 0.17,
          "midpoint": 0.165,
          "last_price": 0.17,
          "implied_probability": 0.17,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T01:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:55.805614Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T01:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83495.28,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T01:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T01:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "387848.02",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T00:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T00:45:00.916785Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "637138.91",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6387.07",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6892.68",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,495.28"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.16,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.17,
            "yes_ask_size": 6387.07,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.84,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "178": {
      "id": 178,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T00:19:16.122211Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282030-30",
      "strike": 83495.58,
      "predicted_close": 83504.59375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83504.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:19:16.122211Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 178,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83495.57733333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13395,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.14,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 673,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 94.22000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.68,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 673.0,
          "gross_pnl": 578.78,
          "net_pnl": 573.1,
          "roi": 5.736736736736737,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5067.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.14,
          "gross_cost": 14.000000000000002,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 14.850000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 86.0,
          "net_pnl": 85.15,
          "roi": 5.7340067340067336,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5067.55
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        178
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83504.59375,
        "quantiles": [
          83519.53125,
          83306.734375,
          83392.578125,
          83442.6328125,
          83474.6640625,
          83504.59375,
          83534.296875,
          83566.234375,
          83605.234375,
          83673.046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "135c01a9f7ac87ef89a22788126a4296d4de83b94ed2ecb4227c216976863a58",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-29 00:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83495.57733333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T00:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:53.952461Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T00:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83495.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T00:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "342584.69",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T00:15:00.909398Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "673216.99",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2826.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6998.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,495.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T00:19:16.256161Z",
        "ask": 0.14,
        "depth": 5067.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:19:16.122211Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:19:16.256161Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:19:16.256161Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.13,
          "ask": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.135,
          "last_price": 0.14,
          "implied_probability": 0.14,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T00:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:53.952461Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T00:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83495.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T00:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "354198.33",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T00:15:00.909398Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "691069.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5067.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8633.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,495.58"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.13,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.14,
            "yes_ask_size": 5067.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.87,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "177": {
      "id": 177,
      "created_at": "2026-09-29T00:04:12.872074Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282015-15",
      "strike": 83484.34,
      "predicted_close": 83498.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83495.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:04:12.872074Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 177,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83484.34216666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139852,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.53,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 182,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 96.46000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.64000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 182.0,
          "gross_pnl": 85.53999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 82.35999999999999,
          "roi": 0.8265756724207143,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7323.07
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 53.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 54.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.0,
          "net_pnl": 45.25,
          "roi": 0.8264840182648402,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7323.07
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        177
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83498.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          83510.5625,
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          83380.6640625,
          83433.6640625,
          83467.4375,
          83498.8125,
          83531.6875,
          83565.3125,
          83606.3125,
          83674.578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2f4c78bcff0efe807ddbaf1955e24070f7c9907d9541a12d942a62961e0c2d5e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 23:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83484.34216666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:52.307989Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T00:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83484.34,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T00:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "310621.19",
        "open_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:01.104462Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "108551.44",
        "volume_fp": "744475.21",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6056.60",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "194.34",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,484.34"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-29T00:04:13.011926Z",
        "ask": 0.53,
        "depth": 7323.07,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:04:12.872074Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:04:13.011926Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:04:13.011926Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.52,
          "ask": 0.53,
          "midpoint": 0.525,
          "last_price": 0.52,
          "implied_probability": 0.53,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:52.307989Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T00:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83484.34,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T00:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "312203.92",
              "open_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:01.104462Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "108551.44",
              "volume_fp": "750379.74",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7323.07",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3709.41",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,484.34"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.52,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.53,
            "yes_ask_size": 7323.07,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.48,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "176": {
      "id": 176,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T23:49:17.579471Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282000-00",
      "strike": 83559.3,
      "predicted_close": 83562.515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83484.34,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:49:17.579471Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 176,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83559.30366666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12637,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.26,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 365,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 94.9,
          "trading_fee": 4.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.9,
          "net_pnl": -99.82000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6994.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 26.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 27.35,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -26.0,
          "net_pnl": -27.35,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6994.57
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        176
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83562.515625,
        "quantiles": [
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          83530.5703125,
          83562.515625,
          83594.4453125,
          83628.78125,
          83669.3515625,
          83738.4765625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "08baf50b2bd97a56cf5ceba39101828ec6d3485eab6e38b95f339950f5792653",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 23:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83559.30366666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:51.55596Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T00:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83559.3,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T00:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "290661.20",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:45:00.875564Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "692378.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3034.23",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8810.95",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,559.30"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T23:49:17.705841Z",
        "ask": 0.26,
        "depth": 6994.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:49:17.579471Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:49:17.705841Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:49:17.705841Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.25,
          "ask": 0.26,
          "midpoint": 0.255,
          "last_price": 0.26,
          "implied_probability": 0.26,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:51.55596Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-29T00:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83559.3,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-06T00:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-29T00:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "294651.84",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP282000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:45:00.875564Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "703424.71",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6994.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4779.88",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,559.30"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.25,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.26,
            "yes_ask_size": 6994.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.75,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "175": {
      "id": 175,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T23:34:12.892162Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281945-45",
      "strike": 83546.39,
      "predicted_close": 83549.6796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83559.3,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:34:12.892162Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 175,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83546.39383333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128417,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 162.0,
          "gross_pnl": 64.8,
          "net_pnl": 62.06999999999999,
          "roi": 0.6211347943560491,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3924.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.0,
          "net_pnl": 38.32,
          "roi": 0.6212710765239948,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3924.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        175
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83549.6796875,
        "quantiles": [
          83559.171875,
          83324.3359375,
          83420.90625,
          83478.46875,
          83514.6875,
          83549.6796875,
          83584.4296875,
          83622.1953125,
          83667.5078125,
          83742.921875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "36c43c9b30d5a061af9edffcedecdc84d609466aa1f8c506bc09ed9744e87b67",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 23:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83546.39383333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:51.223257Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83546.39,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "223995.75",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:30:00.867585Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "166371.34",
        "volume_fp": "456753.14",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4511.37",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9665.23",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,546.39"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T23:34:13.020579Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 3924.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:34:12.892162Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:34:13.020579Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:34:13.020579Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.6,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:51.223257Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83546.39,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "225761.46",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:30:00.867585Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "166371.34",
              "volume_fp": "469088.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3924.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5856.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,546.39"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 3924.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "174": {
      "id": 174,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T23:19:14.195525Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281930-30",
      "strike": 83414.36,
      "predicted_close": 83436.65625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83546.39,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:19:14.195525Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 174,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83414.3565,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.22867,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 120.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 20.360000000000014,
          "roi": 0.2043356081894823,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11192.4
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.959999999999994,
          "roi": 0.2042389210019267,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11192.4
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        174
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83436.65625,
        "quantiles": [
          83445.5546875,
          83226.984375,
          83318.3984375,
          83370.1875,
          83403.265625,
          83436.65625,
          83468.4453125,
          83502.7109375,
          83545.8671875,
          83618.6171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4e958b43b8211906029f33a054e8cda65436dbdbbcdf116bb2c28b5f1ad4495d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 23:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83414.3565,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:50.877004Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83414.36,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "302044.43",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:15:00.878463Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "543416.40",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2879.26",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7144.83",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,414.36"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T23:19:14.424195Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 11192.4,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:19:14.195525Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:19:14.424195Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:19:14.424195Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.82,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:50.877004Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83414.36,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "303575.35",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:15:00.878463Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "549260.88",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11192.40",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3656.71",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,414.36"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 11192.4,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "173": {
      "id": 173,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T23:04:13.821459Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281915-15",
      "strike": 83503.58,
      "predicted_close": 83510.1171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83414.36,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:04:13.821459Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 173,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83503.57650000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.147215,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.6,
          "net_pnl": -99.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7860.25
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -85.0,
          "net_pnl": -85.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7860.25
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        173
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83510.1171875,
        "quantiles": [
          83519.2265625,
          83284.109375,
          83382.34375,
          83437.78125,
          83474.34375,
          83510.1171875,
          83544.78125,
          83581.7109375,
          83628.7265625,
          83704.078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1d2ab058ab4b648f1ea42eb8ebd632f9cb608b772ea35c045f84ca76ac04c4ab",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 22:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83503.57650000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:49.929756Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83503.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "476664.52",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:00:01.087279Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "181647.48",
        "volume_fp": "949089.82",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6119.27",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "9565.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,503.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T23:04:13.968674Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 7860.25,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:04:13.821459Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:04:13.968674Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:04:13.968674Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:49.929756Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83503.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "492149.21",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T23:00:01.087279Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "181647.48",
              "volume_fp": "986610.45",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7860.25",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4332.70",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,503.58"
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            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 7860.25,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "172": {
      "id": 172,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T22:49:15.161526Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281900-00",
      "strike": 83444.8,
      "predicted_close": 83461.25,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83503.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:49:15.161526Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 172,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83444.797,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126349,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 164.0,
          "gross_pnl": 67.24000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 64.46000000000001,
          "roi": 0.6475788627687363,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11405.09
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.0,
          "net_pnl": 39.3,
          "roi": 0.6474464579901152,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11405.09
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        172
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83461.25,
        "quantiles": [
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          83421.0859375,
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          83501.2734375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7665ba4abd7c7a26d2201427fcd9d8b8e2018510f3f4a4e116a1bc5abb3dee2e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 22:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83444.797,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:48.939344Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83444.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "329714.65",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
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          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:45:00.880701Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "657704.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "8023.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4893.13",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,444.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T22:49:15.287875Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 11405.09,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:49:15.161526Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:49:15.287875Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:49:15.287875Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
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          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
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              "close_time": "2026-09-28T23:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:48.939344Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
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              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281900",
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              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T23:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83444.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T23:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T23:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "330295.08",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281900-00",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "660091.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11405.09",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "76.92",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,444.80"
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            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 11405.09,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "171": {
      "id": 171,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T22:34:16.277422Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281845-45",
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      "predicted_close": 83224.828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83444.8,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:34:16.277422Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 171,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83198.55450000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.150783,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.902,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 110,
          "entry_price": 0.902,
          "gross_cost": 99.22,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 110.0,
          "gross_pnl": 10.780000000000001,
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          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "total_deployed": 90.82000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 9.799999999999997,
          "net_pnl": 9.179999999999993,
          "roi": 0.10107905747632671,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1463.6
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
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      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83224.828125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7bbffc79232dcce081409927c1d6fd83f6164c65f472ff8b43e72302f3a8ec7c",
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      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:48.588802Z",
        "custom_strike": {
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        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83198.55,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "309589.81",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:30:00.895421Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "124124.87",
        "volume_fp": "689338.03",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6014.25",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3389.08",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,198.55"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T22:34:16.428205Z",
        "ask": 0.902,
        "depth": 1463.6,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:34:16.277422Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:34:16.428205Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:34:16.428205Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.901,
          "ask": 0.902,
          "midpoint": 0.9015,
          "last_price": 0.901,
          "implied_probability": 0.902,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:48.588802Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83198.55,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9010",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0990",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0980",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "328634.11",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:30:00.895421Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "124124.87",
              "volume_fp": "728821.48",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9020",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1463.60",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9010",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2770.43",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,198.55"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.901,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.902,
            "yes_ask_size": 1463.6,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.099,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "170": {
      "id": 170,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T22:19:12.324518Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281830-30",
      "strike": 83173.05,
      "predicted_close": 83200.125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83198.55,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:19:12.324518Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 170,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83173.04816666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.137951,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.57,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 170,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 96.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 170.0,
          "gross_pnl": 73.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 70.18,
          "roi": 0.7030655179322782,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2309.09
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 56.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 58.71999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 43.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 41.28000000000001,
          "roi": 0.70299727520436,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2309.09
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        170
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83200.125,
        "quantiles": [
          83208.4375,
          82947.1015625,
          83057.0546875,
          83116.9609375,
          83159.9609375,
          83200.125,
          83239.8984375,
          83280.15625,
          83338.7734375,
          83423.28125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8c51f34daaec3a0ca78e48f513bc4548c0bd8b5180696d194119d90ee1398bf9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 22:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83173.04816666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:48.21376Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83173.05,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "444608.01",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:15:00.88851Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "883911.59",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4482.27",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6135.29",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,173.05"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T22:19:12.462469Z",
        "ask": 0.57,
        "depth": 2309.09,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:19:12.324518Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:19:12.462469Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:19:12.462469Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.56,
          "ask": 0.57,
          "midpoint": 0.565,
          "last_price": 0.57,
          "implied_probability": 0.57,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:48.21376Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83173.05,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "445835.08",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:15:00.88851Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "898117.20",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2309.09",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5519.95",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,173.05"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.56,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.57,
            "yes_ask_size": 2309.09,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.44,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "169": {
      "id": 169,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T22:04:16.576154Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281815-15",
      "strike": 83189.31,
      "predicted_close": 83217.703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83173.05,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:04:16.576154Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 169,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83189.30583333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.178665,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.41,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 234,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 95.94,
          "trading_fee": 3.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.94,
          "net_pnl": -99.91,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2113.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 41.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 42.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -41.0,
          "net_pnl": -42.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2113.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        169
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83217.703125,
        "quantiles": [
          83231.1328125,
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          83063.4140625,
          83127.703125,
          83173.6171875,
          83217.703125,
          83259.4765625,
          83303.4140625,
          83366.1171875,
          83461.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d5c6d1e4075a67f3db04c1e79bafa191c61aafe1e189225f4ca6b5df4bd29910",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 21:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83189.30583333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:47.851911Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281815",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83189.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "493753.59",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281815-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:00:01.143958Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "278503.49",
        "volume_fp": "1047296.74",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2278.37",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5935.42",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,189.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T22:04:16.754819Z",
        "ask": 0.41,
        "depth": 2113.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:04:16.576154Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:04:16.754819Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:04:16.754819Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.4,
          "ask": 0.41,
          "midpoint": 0.405,
          "last_price": 0.41,
          "implied_probability": 0.41,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:47.851911Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281815",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83189.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "497492.59",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281815-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T22:00:01.143958Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "278503.49",
              "volume_fp": "1068299.54",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2113.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5027.59",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,189.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.4,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.41,
            "yes_ask_size": 2113.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.6,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "168": {
      "id": 168,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T21:49:14.366175Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281800-00",
      "strike": 83381.03,
      "predicted_close": 83396.5546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83189.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:49:14.366175Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 168,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83381.02783333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13164,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.39,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 245,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.08,
          "total_deployed": 99.63,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.63,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5689.77
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 39.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 40.67,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -39.0,
          "net_pnl": -40.67,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5689.77
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        168
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83396.5546875,
        "quantiles": [
          83407.53125,
          83145.671875,
          83258.8046875,
          83316.5234375,
          83357.3515625,
          83396.5546875,
          83433.9140625,
          83471.46875,
          83526.6171875,
          83610.7109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a1784b8cbbec5750d097d7094e1a1375a25353ad634f4a9ff10e583f598af6fe",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83381.02783333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:46.235632Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83381.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "322215.46",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:45:00.861135Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "563699.58",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5139.20",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3082.96",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,381.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T21:49:14.497815Z",
        "ask": 0.39,
        "depth": 5689.77,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:49:14.366175Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:49:14.497815Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:49:14.497815Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.38,
          "ask": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.385,
          "last_price": 0.38,
          "implied_probability": 0.39,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:46.235632Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83381.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T22:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "325879.90",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:45:00.861135Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "572305.12",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5689.77",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5127.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,381.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.38,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.39,
            "yes_ask_size": 5689.77,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.62,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "167": {
      "id": 167,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T21:34:13.217190Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281745-45",
      "strike": 83415.87,
      "predicted_close": 83441.2109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83381.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:34:13.217190Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 167,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83415.87466666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128223,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.14,
          "net_pnl": -99.78,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 642.87
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -46.0,
          "net_pnl": -47.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 642.87
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        167
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83441.2109375,
        "quantiles": [
          83452.2734375,
          83183.6171875,
          83298.0625,
          83357.2109375,
          83400.1953125,
          83441.2109375,
          83480.09375,
          83518.796875,
          83573.09375,
          83656.84375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1501e7eec1e4c234ef2485acdfee4337cb5ee005884b434050133c2bc5b7e981",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 21:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83415.87466666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:45.901115Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83415.87,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "321909.87",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:30:00.866832Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "216413.63",
        "volume_fp": "714324.06",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2764.56",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7042.67",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,415.87"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T21:34:13.345413Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 642.87,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:34:13.217190Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:34:13.345413Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:34:13.345413Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.45,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:45.901115Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83415.87,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "325892.56",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:30:00.866832Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "216413.63",
              "volume_fp": "719661.58",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "642.87",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7497.05",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,415.87"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 642.87,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "166": {
      "id": 166,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T21:19:14.596262Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281730-30",
      "strike": 83542.23,
      "predicted_close": 83561.9375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83415.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:19:14.596262Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 166,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83542.227,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.187517,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.2,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 473,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 94.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.3,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8955.93
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 20.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 21.12,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -20.0,
          "net_pnl": -21.12,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8955.93
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        166
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83561.9375,
        "quantiles": [
          83575.0390625,
          83313.9921875,
          83425.8671875,
          83483.359375,
          83523.7265625,
          83561.9375,
          83598.9375,
          83635.0546875,
          83686.765625,
          83763.4296875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8b0afc336a635073da15de5357d6d522a20b9772a27232f107c5746e29716fea",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 21:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83542.227,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:45.011737Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281730",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83542.23,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "329987.88",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281730-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:15:00.869384Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "675287.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2979.56",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "8649.25",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,542.23"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T21:19:14.783779Z",
        "ask": 0.2,
        "depth": 8955.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:19:14.596262Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:19:14.783779Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:19:14.783779Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.19,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.195,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:45.011737Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281730",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83542.23,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "342038.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281730-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:15:00.869384Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "697797.92",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8955.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8530.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,542.23"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.19,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.2,
            "yes_ask_size": 8955.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.81,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "165": {
      "id": 165,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T21:04:13.955957Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281715-15",
      "strike": 83503.87,
      "predicted_close": 83524.234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83542.23,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:04:13.955957Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 165,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83503.86883333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13216,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.79,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 124,
          "entry_price": 0.79,
          "gross_cost": 97.96000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.41000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 124.0,
          "gross_pnl": 26.039999999999992,
          "net_pnl": 24.58999999999999,
          "roi": 0.24735942058143032,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2078.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.79,
          "gross_cost": 79.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.17,
          "total_deployed": 80.17,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.0,
          "net_pnl": 19.83,
          "roi": 0.2473493825620556,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2078.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        165
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83524.234375,
        "quantiles": [
          83539.2890625,
          83286.6875,
          83395.3515625,
          83449.375,
          83488.6328125,
          83524.234375,
          83559.046875,
          83594.234375,
          83643.0703125,
          83715.53125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b7e38ccf59b4794676daff926a7cab7142e72a5ec8cb157e07072fbf4f1d04fb",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 20:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83503.86883333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:44.57375Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83503.87,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "402281.16",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:00:01.064934Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "178920.69",
        "volume_fp": "691265.30",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3260.54",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5255.60",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,503.87"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T21:04:14.088117Z",
        "ask": 0.79,
        "depth": 2078.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:04:13.955957Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:04:14.088117Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:04:14.088117Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.78,
          "ask": 0.79,
          "midpoint": 0.785,
          "last_price": 0.79,
          "implied_probability": 0.79,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:44.57375Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83503.87,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "403077.45",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T21:00:01.064934Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "178920.69",
              "volume_fp": "693687.15",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2078.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2696.67",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,503.87"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.78,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.79,
            "yes_ask_size": 2078.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.22,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "164": {
      "id": 164,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T20:49:14.878482Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281700-00",
      "strike": 83459.79,
      "predicted_close": 83477.8046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83503.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:49:14.878482Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 164,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83459.79049999997,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13435,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 209.0,
          "gross_pnl": 112.86,
          "net_pnl": 109.22,
          "roi": 1.0946081379033874,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 581.84
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.0,
          "net_pnl": 52.26,
          "roi": 1.0946795140343526,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 581.84
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        164
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83477.8046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83497.1640625,
          83228.2734375,
          83339.375,
          83396.859375,
          83438.9140625,
          83477.8046875,
          83515.4453125,
          83554.3359375,
          83607.921875,
          83689.2265625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f90f43cafcc67c4f61b5b21fa8ce2ec002f02fbf8624f1c6ef4b7e6c5a61c8cb",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 20:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83459.79049999997,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:44.201264Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83459.79,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "361064.06",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:45:01.005296Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "755313.81",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4106.69",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5975.19",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,459.79"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T20:49:15.012832Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 581.84,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:49:14.878482Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:49:15.012832Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:49:15.012832Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.46,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T21:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:44.201264Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T21:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83459.79,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T21:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T21:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "363695.43",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:45:01.005296Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "765634.59",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "581.84",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6898.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,459.79"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 581.84,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "163": {
      "id": 163,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T20:34:13.733795Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281645-45",
      "strike": 83500.84,
      "predicted_close": 83511.5078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83459.79,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:34:13.733795Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 163,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83500.83750000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.207279,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.43,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 223,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 95.89,
          "trading_fee": 3.83,
          "total_deployed": 99.72,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.89,
          "net_pnl": -99.72,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1855.66
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.43,
          "gross_cost": 43.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 44.72,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -43.0,
          "net_pnl": -44.72,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1855.66
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        163
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83511.5078125,
        "quantiles": [
          83534.78125,
          83258.1484375,
          83368.5390625,
          83427.5078125,
          83471.109375,
          83511.5078125,
          83551.90625,
          83592.015625,
          83646.484375,
          83729.2421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f0e9e5e2c849affb9b3fdab1dad237529a38ee5f46f0733c6409df2f01718550",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 20:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83500.83750000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:43.849639Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281645",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83500.84,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "355458.15",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281645-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:30:00.87014Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "214406.23",
        "volume_fp": "685680.30",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10259.76",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1711.29",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,500.84"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T20:34:13.941074Z",
        "ask": 0.43,
        "depth": 1855.66,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:34:13.733795Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:34:13.941074Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:34:13.941074Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.42,
          "ask": 0.43,
          "midpoint": 0.425,
          "last_price": 0.43,
          "implied_probability": 0.43,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:43.849639Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281645",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83500.84,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "355167.31",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281645-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:30:00.87014Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "214406.23",
              "volume_fp": "689153.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1855.66",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3352.41",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,500.84"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.42,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.43,
            "yes_ask_size": 1855.66,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.58,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "162": {
      "id": 162,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T20:19:13.679155Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281630-30",
      "strike": 83539.92,
      "predicted_close": 83564.4375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83500.84,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:19:13.679155Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 162,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83539.9185,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129443,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.27,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 352,
          "entry_price": 0.27,
          "gross_cost": 95.04,
          "trading_fee": 4.86,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.04,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1491.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.27,
          "gross_cost": 27.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 28.38,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -27.0,
          "net_pnl": -28.38,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1491.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        162
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83564.4375,
        "quantiles": [
          83584.5703125,
          83278.8515625,
          83401.96875,
          83470.5078125,
          83520.0234375,
          83564.4375,
          83608.9453125,
          83652.8671875,
          83713.0390625,
          83804.0390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "88834a3d04f353a517f25c9cca690d1f2e3f23d214d599fb5b9c95bacc7864a2",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83539.9185,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:43.314762Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83539.92,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "316709.67",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:15:00.865153Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "603848.54",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1547.97",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "7052.54",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,539.92"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T20:19:13.808598Z",
        "ask": 0.27,
        "depth": 1491.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:19:13.679155Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:19:13.808598Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:19:13.808598Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.26,
          "ask": 0.27,
          "midpoint": 0.265,
          "last_price": 0.27,
          "implied_probability": 0.27,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:43.314762Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83539.92,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "320188.65",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:15:00.865153Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "614592.74",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1491.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5129.37",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,539.92"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.26,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.27,
            "yes_ask_size": 1491.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.74,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "161": {
      "id": 161,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T20:04:14.450639Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281615-15",
      "strike": 83377.12,
      "predicted_close": 83423.1640625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83539.92,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:04:14.450639Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 161,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83377.11616666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.146609,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 197.0,
          "gross_pnl": 100.47,
          "net_pnl": 97.02,
          "roi": 0.9703940788157631,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8830.87
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 51.0,
          "net_pnl": 49.25,
          "roi": 0.9704433497536946,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8830.87
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        161
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83423.1640625,
        "quantiles": [
          83448.6328125,
          83143.625,
          83262.9609375,
          83328.640625,
          83378.0625,
          83423.1640625,
          83468.890625,
          83514.8515625,
          83578.1015625,
          83676.640625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2b5f4741543754352f5eace17cefda6c8158075a9a303de2f844d52b5b958ff7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 19:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83377.11616666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:42.923181Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281615",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83377.12,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "332235.78",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281615-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:01.06186Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "151006.23",
        "volume_fp": "781125.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4240.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6754.74",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,377.12"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T20:04:14.597248Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 8830.87,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:04:14.450639Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:04:14.597248Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:04:14.597248Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:42.923181Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281615",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83377.12,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "334134.46",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281615-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:01.06186Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "151006.23",
              "volume_fp": "786660.42",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8830.87",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "20.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,377.12"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 8830.87,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "160": {
      "id": 160,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T19:49:13.001472Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281600-00",
      "strike": 83274.99,
      "predicted_close": 83333.15625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83377.12,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:49:13.001472Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 160,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83274.99183333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127752,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.44,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 218,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 95.92,
          "trading_fee": 3.77,
          "total_deployed": 99.69,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 218.0,
          "gross_pnl": 122.08,
          "net_pnl": 118.31,
          "roi": 1.1867790149463338,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5119.88
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.44,
          "gross_cost": 44.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.73,
          "total_deployed": 45.73,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 56.0,
          "net_pnl": 54.27,
          "roi": 1.1867483052700636,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5119.88
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        160
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83333.15625,
        "quantiles": [
          83352.609375,
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          83135.78125,
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          83278.296875,
          83333.15625,
          83387.5234375,
          83443.5859375,
          83520.4140625,
          83633.1875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1400f8139604a56c9e0a9da7e21aab218d8e7262ac445d0985c4087e4fa17faf",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83274.99183333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:42.572817Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83274.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "338756.06",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T19:45:00.853186Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "692534.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "279.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6957.72",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,274.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T19:49:13.129224Z",
        "ask": 0.44,
        "depth": 5119.88,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:49:13.001472Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:49:13.129224Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:49:13.129224Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.43,
          "ask": 0.44,
          "midpoint": 0.435,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.44,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:42.572817Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83274.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T20:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "346386.44",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T19:45:00.853186Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "716431.18",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5119.88",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5003.68",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,274.99"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.43,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.44,
            "yes_ask_size": 5119.88,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.57,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "159": {
      "id": 159,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T19:34:14.892916Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281545-45",
      "strike": 83619.94,
      "predicted_close": 83671.4765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83274.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:34:14.892916Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 159,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83619.93633333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142081,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.2,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 473,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 94.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.3,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3984.93
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 20.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 21.12,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -20.0,
          "net_pnl": -21.12,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3984.93
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        159
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83671.4765625,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d0d837a4aa51762353e12226db955cbe1742de8a15aa014f3808daf2490dc98a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 19:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83619.93633333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:41.998356Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T19:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83619.94,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T19:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "472624.15",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
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            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T19:30:00.905141Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "200404.36",
        "volume_fp": "802073.00",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7808.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4749.69",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,619.94"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T19:34:15.034997Z",
        "ask": 0.2,
        "depth": 3984.93,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:34:14.892916Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:34:15.034997Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:34:15.034997Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.19,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.195,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T19:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:41.998356Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T19:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83619.94,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T19:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "476825.63",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
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                },
                {
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T19:30:00.905141Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "200404.36",
              "volume_fp": "814606.54",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3984.93",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3690.92",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,619.94"
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            "yes_bid": 0.19,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.2,
            "yes_ask_size": 3984.93,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.81,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "158": {
      "id": 158,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T19:19:14.826018Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281530-30",
      "strike": 83703.59,
      "predicted_close": 83763.6875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83619.94,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T19:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:19:14.826018Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 158,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83703.58516666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.147497,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.53,
          "net_pnl": -99.98,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7398.78
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
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          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
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          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -49.0,
          "net_pnl": -50.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 7398.78
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        158
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83763.6875,
        "quantiles": [
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          83717.1796875,
          83763.6875,
          83807.6875,
          83850.40625,
          83910.4765625,
          84001.875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8f3f7f82b8094fd77dbaef0abb3d69ce9fd6dde9f28b70202a8f3d54d7695f42",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 19:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83703.58516666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:41.607767Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T19:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83703.59,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T19:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "381200.46",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T19:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T19:15:00.886173Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "635267.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3612.99",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4558.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,703.59"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T19:19:14.973515Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 7398.78,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:19:14.826018Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:19:14.973515Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:19:14.973515Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T19:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:41.607767Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T19:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83703.59,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T19:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "381421.91",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T19:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T19:15:00.886173Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "638526.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "7398.78",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2496.72",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,703.59"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 7398.78,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "156": {
      "id": 156,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T18:49:15.690644Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T19:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281500-00",
      "strike": 83836.0,
      "predicted_close": 83853.3828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84022.16,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T18:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:49:15.690644Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 156,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83836.00183333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.159893,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 162.0,
          "gross_pnl": 64.8,
          "net_pnl": 62.06999999999999,
          "roi": 0.6211347943560491,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5492.9
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.0,
          "net_pnl": 38.32,
          "roi": 0.6212710765239948,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5492.9
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        156
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83853.3828125,
        "quantiles": [
          83866.9375,
          83615.4296875,
          83719.140625,
          83773.671875,
          83814.890625,
          83853.3828125,
          83889.21875,
          83925.0859375,
          83975.4453125,
          84054.515625
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5ed47c948629f4e2d520a3bde96182e45e326072851aa535d7bc0abf0d71a529",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 18:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83836.00183333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T19:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:40.280795Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T19:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83836,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T19:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "296336.09",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T18:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T18:45:00.892838Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "747594.94",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1226.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2446.80",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,836.00"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T18:49:15.850537Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 5492.9,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:49:15.690644Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:49:15.850537Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:49:15.850537Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T19:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:40.280795Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T19:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83836,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T19:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T19:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "298568.27",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T18:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T18:45:00.892838Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "767009.87",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5492.90",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2011.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,836.00"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 5492.9,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "153": {
      "id": 153,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T18:04:13.543106Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281415-15",
      "strike": 83860.19,
      "predicted_close": 83881.6171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83945.17,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:04:13.543106Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 153,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83860.18650000003,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133464,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.7,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 139,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 97.3,
          "trading_fee": 2.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.35,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 139.0,
          "gross_pnl": 41.7,
          "net_pnl": 39.650000000000006,
          "roi": 0.3990941117262205,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6579.5
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.7,
          "gross_cost": 70.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 71.47,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.0,
          "net_pnl": 28.53,
          "roi": 0.3991884706870016,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6579.5
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        153
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83881.6171875,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "76c3053bfe53f13925ef49d288c10d779bbe8525471ba6758db0d57a7f026df2",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83860.18650000003,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:38.963802Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83860.19,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T18:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "310095.91",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T18:00:00.940215Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "154604.79",
        "volume_fp": "734868.33",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2935.41",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4467.88",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,860.19"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T18:04:13.676570Z",
        "ask": 0.7,
        "depth": 6579.5,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:04:13.543106Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:04:13.676570Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T18:04:13.676570Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.69,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.695,
          "last_price": 0.69,
          "implied_probability": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:38.963802Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83860.19,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T18:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "340290.34",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T18:00:00.940215Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "154604.79",
              "volume_fp": "779649.60",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6579.50",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4375.78",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,860.19"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.69,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.7,
            "yes_ask_size": 6579.5,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.31,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "145": {
      "id": 145,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T16:04:13.593070Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281215-15",
      "strike": 83366.8,
      "predicted_close": 83377.4453125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83386.48,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:04:13.593070Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 145,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83366.8,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.167936,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.2,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 473,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 94.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.3,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 473.0,
          "gross_pnl": 378.4,
          "net_pnl": 373.1,
          "roi": 3.734734734734735,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3596.9
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 20.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 21.12,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 80.0,
          "net_pnl": 78.88,
          "roi": 3.7348484848484844,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3596.9
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        145
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83377.4453125,
        "quantiles": [
          83416.015625,
          83154.6875,
          83249.625,
          83303.7109375,
          83343.921875,
          83377.4453125,
          83412.984375,
          83452.375,
          83494.8125,
          83576.5078125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "39300423ced18212090a10a72a419ab8c0ad31b43f0f352752c86845dd42970f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83366.8,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:32.633397Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83366.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "343352.05",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T16:00:00.936938Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "138018.50",
        "volume_fp": "666492.68",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3230.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3658.04",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,366.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T16:04:13.761006Z",
        "ask": 0.2,
        "depth": 3596.9,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:04:13.593070Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:04:13.761006Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:04:13.761006Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.19,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.195,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:32.633397Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83366.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "343835.46",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T16:00:00.936938Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "138018.50",
              "volume_fp": "667060.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3596.90",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6905.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,366.80"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.19,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.2,
            "yes_ask_size": 3596.9,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.81,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "144": {
      "id": 144,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T15:49:18.620282Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281200-00",
      "strike": 83174.2,
      "predicted_close": 83197.1875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83366.8,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:49:18.620282Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 144,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83174.19966666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132605,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 167,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 96.86,
          "trading_fee": 2.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 167.0,
          "gross_pnl": 70.14,
          "net_pnl": 67.29,
          "roi": 0.6748570855480895,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5423.21
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 57.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 59.709999999999994,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 42.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 40.290000000000006,
          "roi": 0.6747613465081228,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5423.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        144
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83197.1875,
        "quantiles": [
          83235.453125,
          82994.375,
          83082.734375,
          83130.4140625,
          83166.6484375,
          83197.1875,
          83228.90625,
          83266.109375,
          83307.84375,
          83386.765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6f073fb88c9aa446f866decac4526e3e214d376b109f37768a5ff50df3a16ec6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83174.19966666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:32.292967Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83174.2,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "425235.82",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:45:00.874148Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "636657.29",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5589.90",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5077.07",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,174.20"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T15:49:18.752887Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 5423.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:49:18.620282Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:49:18.752887Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:49:18.752887Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:32.292967Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83174.2,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T16:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "426458.44",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:45:00.874148Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "653429.62",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5423.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6975.52",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,174.20"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 5423.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "143": {
      "id": 143,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T15:34:16.585372Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281145-45",
      "strike": 83072.33,
      "predicted_close": 83099.53125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83174.2,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:34:16.585372Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 143,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83072.32800000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123929,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.41,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 234,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 95.94,
          "trading_fee": 3.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 234.0,
          "gross_pnl": 138.06,
          "net_pnl": 134.09,
          "roi": 1.3421078971073968,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8425.71
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.41,
          "gross_cost": 41.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 42.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 59.0,
          "net_pnl": 57.3,
          "roi": 1.3419203747072599,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 8425.71
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        143
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83099.53125,
        "quantiles": [
          83141.4296875,
          82899.9375,
          82986.984375,
          83033.796875,
          83070.1640625,
          83099.53125,
          83130.875,
          83168.0703125,
          83210.796875,
          83290.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6c6f728a72b26d0d3f7c531bdcddbfc4aea945cf516e0ac6aa996d4c246f7666",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 15:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83072.32800000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:31.157032Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83072.33,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234177.11",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:30:00.870346Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "185311.02",
        "volume_fp": "626394.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6827.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4310.38",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,072.33"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T15:34:16.709301Z",
        "ask": 0.41,
        "depth": 8425.71,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:34:16.585372Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:34:16.709301Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:34:16.709301Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.4,
          "ask": 0.41,
          "midpoint": 0.405,
          "last_price": 0.41,
          "implied_probability": 0.41,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:31.157032Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83072.33,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "236691.15",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:30:00.870346Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "185311.02",
              "volume_fp": "641196.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "8425.71",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,072.33"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.4,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.41,
            "yes_ask_size": 8425.71,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.6,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "142": {
      "id": 142,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T15:19:12.249402Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281130-30",
      "strike": 82960.58,
      "predicted_close": 82988.1328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83072.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:19:12.249402Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 142,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82960.58366666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.135538,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.39,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 245,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.08,
          "total_deployed": 99.63,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 245.0,
          "gross_pnl": 149.45,
          "net_pnl": 145.37,
          "roi": 1.4590986650607247,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4368.79
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.39,
          "gross_cost": 39.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 40.67,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 61.0,
          "net_pnl": 59.33,
          "roi": 1.4588148512417014,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4368.79
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        142
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82988.1328125,
        "quantiles": [
          83031.40625,
          82793.234375,
          82880.953125,
          82924.9921875,
          82959.9296875,
          82988.1328125,
          83017.4609375,
          83052.8828125,
          83096.1171875,
          83177.2421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "690e8541e628d71bcbf845395bb2494fa05af1226a7b6fbca319a42ac641e8cb",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 15:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82960.58366666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:30.751045Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82960.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "315248.80",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:15:00.871573Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "538773.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7982.28",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2468.16",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,960.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T15:19:12.384940Z",
        "ask": 0.39,
        "depth": 4368.79,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:19:12.249402Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:19:12.384940Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:19:12.384940Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.38,
          "ask": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.385,
          "last_price": 0.38,
          "implied_probability": 0.39,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:30.751045Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82960.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "317233.32",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:15:00.871573Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "550136.59",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4368.79",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3063.91",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,960.58"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.38,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.39,
            "yes_ask_size": 4368.79,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.62,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "141": {
      "id": 141,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T15:04:12.050701Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281115-15",
      "strike": 82953.65,
      "predicted_close": 82990.34375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82960.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:04:12.050701Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 141,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82953.64983333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129175,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 145.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.849999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 45.599999999999994,
          "roi": 0.45875251509054316,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11520.09
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 33.0,
          "net_pnl": 31.450000000000003,
          "roi": 0.45878920495988335,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 11520.09
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        141
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82990.34375,
        "quantiles": [
          83032.9296875,
          82771.8359375,
          82866.8125,
          82917.953125,
          82956.625,
          82990.34375,
          83024.8828125,
          83064.8203125,
          83113.3359375,
          83202.453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9541d46f134d32297e680bc3fff064a88658360176c6fa8f9aa1ddb12126332a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 14:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82953.64983333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:30.398073Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82953.65,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "312298.27",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:00:00.940888Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "147131.41",
        "volume_fp": "521950.96",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10908.45",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3.01",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,953.65"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T15:04:12.179876Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 11520.09,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:04:12.050701Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:04:12.179876Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:04:12.179876Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:30.398073Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82953.65,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "312499.56",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T15:00:00.940888Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "147131.41",
              "volume_fp": "520758.63",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "11520.09",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,953.65"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 11520.09,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "140": {
      "id": 140,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T14:49:13.082855Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281100-00",
      "strike": 82892.45,
      "predicted_close": 82925.0390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82953.65,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:49:13.082855Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 140,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82892.44716666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13627,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 167,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 96.86,
          "trading_fee": 2.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 167.0,
          "gross_pnl": 70.14,
          "net_pnl": 67.29,
          "roi": 0.6748570855480895,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9666.19
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 57.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 59.709999999999994,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 42.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 40.290000000000006,
          "roi": 0.6747613465081228,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 9666.19
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        140
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82925.0390625,
        "quantiles": [
          82957.453125,
          82645.1015625,
          82764.1171875,
          82828.7578125,
          82880.71875,
          82925.0390625,
          82971.0546875,
          83022.671875,
          83084.15625,
          83191.859375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1995ceb171a63726abbb586b3813a5d2f5bf4c1d0d7532da1ca27a76ecfb4312",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 14:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82892.44716666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:29.981611Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82892.45,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "260927.52",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:45:00.872843Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "518996.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "10246.97",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1000.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,892.45"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T14:49:13.219125Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 9666.19,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:49:13.082855Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:49:13.219125Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:49:13.219125Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T15:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:29.981611Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T15:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82892.45,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T15:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T15:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "265352.62",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:45:00.872843Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "536330.10",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "9666.19",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "0.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,892.45"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 9666.19,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "139": {
      "id": 139,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T14:34:12.412041Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281045-45",
      "strike": 83179.22,
      "predicted_close": 83225.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82892.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:34:12.412041Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 139,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83179.21716666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130083,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.69,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 141,
          "entry_price": 0.69,
          "gross_cost": 97.28999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.12,
          "total_deployed": 99.41,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.28999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.41,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6178.09
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.69,
          "gross_cost": 69.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.5,
          "total_deployed": 70.5,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -69.0,
          "net_pnl": -70.5,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6178.09
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        139
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83225.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          83254.234375,
          82997.109375,
          83097.640625,
          83150.1953125,
          83189.3203125,
          83225.8125,
          83263.0703125,
          83303.734375,
          83350.0390625,
          83433.75
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "aea284f3b6648016b582e891520b1f956a1f8522290b4f8917d9feb0781c11a0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 14:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83179.21716666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:29.641933Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T14:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83179.22,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T14:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "229407.22",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:30:00.882113Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "155697.85",
        "volume_fp": "632346.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6196.47",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1974.53",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,179.22"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T14:34:12.542124Z",
        "ask": 0.69,
        "depth": 6178.09,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:34:12.412041Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:34:12.542124Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:34:12.542124Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.68,
          "ask": 0.69,
          "midpoint": 0.685,
          "last_price": 0.69,
          "implied_probability": 0.69,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T14:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:29.641933Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T14:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83179.22,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T14:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "232242.89",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:30:00.882113Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "155697.85",
              "volume_fp": "638252.95",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6178.09",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "28.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,179.22"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.68,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.69,
            "yes_ask_size": 6178.09,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.32,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "138": {
      "id": 138,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T14:19:15.835943Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281030-30",
      "strike": 83398.37,
      "predicted_close": 83420.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83179.22,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:19:15.835943Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 138,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83398.36733333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.202342,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.32,
          "gross_cost": 32.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 33.53,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -32.0,
          "net_pnl": -33.53,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 127.98
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        138
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83420.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          83447.46875,
          83197.5,
          83291.1015625,
          83344.8046875,
          83386.53125,
          83420.796875,
          83457.171875,
          83496.921875,
          83543.078125,
          83627.7265625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "725c3c07dd1549baef0e7ec1efc373c374fbff751d385e555f4153634ba7c859",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 14:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83398.36733333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:28.06416Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T14:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83398.37,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T14:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "196723.11",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:15:00.851329Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "392134.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "510.55",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5448.83",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,398.37"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T14:19:16.038285Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 127.98,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:19:15.835943Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:19:16.038285Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:19:16.038285Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T14:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:28.06416Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T14:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83398.37,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T14:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "201278.94",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:15:00.851329Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "406169.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "127.98",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7456.63",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,398.37"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 127.98,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "137": {
      "id": 137,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T14:04:13.286647Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281015-15",
      "strike": 83635.43,
      "predicted_close": 83637.125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83398.37,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T14:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:04:13.286647Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 137,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83635.42916666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.146977,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3184.26
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3184.26
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        137
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83637.125,
        "quantiles": [
          83674.078125,
          83416.546875,
          83505.71875,
          83562.2890625,
          83603.65625,
          83637.125,
          83673.7734375,
          83716.2734375,
          83763.28125,
          83853.4609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4f4f69cc21425dba324d8e20fd701a90e09e1727ee677e577422d0344cfbe79a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 13:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83635.42916666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:27.399706Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T14:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83635.43,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T14:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "230066.29",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:00:00.917217Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "75688.81",
        "volume_fp": "361375.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5846.07",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1087.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,635.43"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T14:04:13.433624Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 3184.26,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:04:13.286647Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:04:13.433624Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T14:04:13.433624Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T14:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:27.399706Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T14:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83635.43,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T14:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T14:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "231270.36",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T14:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP281015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T14:00:00.917217Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "75688.81",
              "volume_fp": "364131.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3184.26",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5849.55",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,635.43"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 3184.26,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "135": {
      "id": 135,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T13:34:13.093230Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280945-45",
      "strike": 83528.72,
      "predicted_close": 83543.296875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83711.14,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:34:13.093230Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 135,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83528.72233333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.146732,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 197.0,
          "gross_pnl": 100.47,
          "net_pnl": 97.02,
          "roi": 0.9703940788157631,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5473.15
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 51.0,
          "net_pnl": 49.25,
          "roi": 0.9704433497536946,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5473.15
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        135
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83543.296875,
        "quantiles": [
          83577.1484375,
          83324.3359375,
          83414.671875,
          83472.6796875,
          83510.0,
          83543.296875,
          83580.78125,
          83621.3828125,
          83668.8125,
          83760.0625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0c01f109d87e836f6f8d8948d35eb14e230a3d78cd39a250f0783afb5f616bf1",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 13:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83528.72233333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T13:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:26.294347Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T13:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83528.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T13:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "172386.85",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T13:30:00.857782Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "127853.35",
        "volume_fp": "529873.93",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4657.15",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4997.41",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,528.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T13:34:13.239962Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 5473.15,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:34:13.093230Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:34:13.239962Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:34:13.239962Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T13:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:26.294347Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T13:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83528.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T13:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "173467.71",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T13:30:00.857782Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "127853.35",
              "volume_fp": "536657.74",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5473.15",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9.04",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,528.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 5473.15,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "134": {
      "id": 134,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T13:19:18.502357Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280930-30",
      "strike": 83383.49,
      "predicted_close": 83414.8671875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83528.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T13:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:19:18.502357Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 134,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83383.48500000003,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.175318,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 265.0,
          "gross_pnl": 169.60000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 165.32,
          "roi": 1.6585072231139648,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5660.91
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 64.0,
          "net_pnl": 62.38,
          "roi": 1.6581605528973953,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5660.91
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        134
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83414.8671875,
        "quantiles": [
          83451.9375,
          83185.640625,
          83276.421875,
          83337.0234375,
          83379.390625,
          83414.8671875,
          83454.96875,
          83494.7578125,
          83545.6328125,
          83639.0390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "aaaf6133e87514ac14cbd11c47d1496c598011924d9bf87afa216a94c5dff4cc",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 13:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83383.48500000003,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:25.906873Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T13:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83383.49,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T13:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "160889.88",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T13:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T13:15:00.862684Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "319056.27",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4682.96",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1565.23",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,383.49"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T13:19:18.677675Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 5660.91,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:19:18.502357Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:19:18.677675Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T13:19:18.677675Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.36,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T13:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:25.906873Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T13:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83383.49,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T13:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T13:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "161910.40",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T13:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T13:15:00.862684Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "326323.40",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5660.91",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2034.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,383.49"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 5660.91,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "120": {
      "id": 120,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T09:49:13.481495Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T10:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280600-00",
      "strike": 82602.13,
      "predicted_close": 82611.59375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82615.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:49:13.481495Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 120,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82602.12500000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.140253,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.84,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 117,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 117.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.72,
          "net_pnl": 17.61,
          "roi": 0.17718080289767582,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3084.47
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 84.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 84.95,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.0,
          "net_pnl": 15.049999999999997,
          "roi": 0.17716303708063563,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3084.47
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        120
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82611.59375,
        "quantiles": [
          82657.53125,
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          82549.2109375,
          82583.5078125,
          82611.59375,
          82643.765625,
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          82714.1796875,
          82796.3046875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8074131eec0dcdfcd2e107359bfe24a92badb62bf81c6f84518c75a37c6b6a6b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 09:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82602.12500000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T10:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:19.137327Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T10:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T10:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82602.13,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T10:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T10:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "114417.15",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T09:45:00.848131Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "256978.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7965.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6632.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,602.13"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T09:49:13.621748Z",
        "ask": 0.84,
        "depth": 3084.47,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:49:13.481495Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:49:13.621748Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:49:13.621748Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.83,
          "ask": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.835,
          "last_price": 0.83,
          "implied_probability": 0.84,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T10:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:19.137327Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T10:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T10:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82602.13,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T10:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T10:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "114382.75",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
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                },
                {
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T09:45:00.848131Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "267560.87",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3084.47",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3466.54",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,602.13"
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            "yes_bid": 0.83,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.84,
            "yes_ask_size": 3084.47,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.17,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "119": {
      "id": 119,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T09:34:13.575709Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280545-45",
      "strike": 82769.93,
      "predicted_close": 82783.484375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82602.13,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:34:13.575709Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 119,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82769.92716666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.155549,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.42,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 228,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
          "gross_cost": 95.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.89,
          "total_deployed": 99.64999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.64999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2014.73
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        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.42,
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          "total_deployed": 43.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -42.0,
          "net_pnl": -43.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2014.73
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        119
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82783.484375,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ca550c3a255b0b7de4584fc472d15df49dc132a1348202d9b4d51d809b0b57a8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 09:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82769.92716666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:18.789504Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T09:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82769.93,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T09:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "97272.77",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T09:30:00.850635Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "110874.48",
        "volume_fp": "254321.91",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3222.17",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3394.77",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,769.93"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T09:34:13.731258Z",
        "ask": 0.42,
        "depth": 2014.73,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:34:13.575709Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:34:13.731258Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:34:13.731258Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.41,
          "ask": 0.42,
          "midpoint": 0.415,
          "last_price": 0.41,
          "implied_probability": 0.42,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T09:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:18.789504Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T09:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82769.93,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T09:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "97484.87",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T09:30:00.850635Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "110874.48",
              "volume_fp": "259401.89",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2014.73",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4934.82",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,769.93"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.41,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.42,
            "yes_ask_size": 2014.73,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.59,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "118": {
      "id": 118,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T09:19:11.992310Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280530-30",
      "strike": 82826.8,
      "predicted_close": 82833.109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82769.93,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T09:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:19:11.992310Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 118,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82826.7965,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115861,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        118
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82833.109375,
        "quantiles": [
          82872.2890625,
          82638.75,
          82717.2421875,
          82773.9765625,
          82807.3359375,
          82833.109375,
          82861.0546875,
          82890.6953125,
          82923.0390625,
          83001.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7b92aa45c8ce01285a833a64ef768823072a903e3091e559598277a6b7f6a48a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 09:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82826.7965,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:18.445544Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T09:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82826.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T09:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "94918.45",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T09:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T09:15:00.847326Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "267838.89",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "45.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4398.79",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,826.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T09:19:12.108171Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 0.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:19:11.992310Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:19:12.108171Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:19:12.108171Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.58,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T09:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:18.445544Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T09:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82826.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T09:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "95996.54",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T09:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T09:15:00.847326Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "269925.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "0.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5157.08",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,826.80"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 0.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "116": {
      "id": 116,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T08:49:12.173461Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T09:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280500-00",
      "strike": 82861.02,
      "predicted_close": 82863.6015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82926.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:49:12.173461Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 116,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82861.01533333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131995,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3454.68
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3454.68
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        116
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82863.6015625,
        "quantiles": [
          82905.1015625,
          82656.3125,
          82740.4609375,
          82801.65625,
          82835.96875,
          82863.6015625,
          82895.5,
          82925.109375,
          82956.8125,
          83038.765625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a7cb0b493d8fa6c143c3f418d6f90d191865c01befe552db9a075efda754e3ba",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 08:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82861.01533333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T09:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:17.597652Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280500",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T09:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82861.02,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T09:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "137782.84",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280500-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T08:45:00.851719Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "286190.56",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "89.16",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4171.22",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,861.02"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T08:49:12.305456Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 3454.68,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:49:12.173461Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:49:12.305456Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:49:12.305456Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T09:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:17.597652Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280500",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T09:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82861.02,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T09:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T09:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "138616.22",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280500-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T08:45:00.851719Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "287473.65",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3454.68",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3798.60",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,861.02"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 3454.68,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "115": {
      "id": 115,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T08:34:13.049708Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280445-45",
      "strike": 82795.57,
      "predicted_close": 82812.828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82861.02,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T08:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:34:13.049708Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 115,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82795.56533333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12593,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 120.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 20.360000000000014,
          "roi": 0.2043356081894823,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6528.88
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.959999999999994,
          "roi": 0.2042389210019267,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6528.88
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        115
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82812.828125,
        "quantiles": [
          82848.515625,
          82587.8046875,
          82680.953125,
          82745.7265625,
          82785.390625,
          82812.828125,
          82843.2734375,
          82875.7265625,
          82916.2421875,
          83007.5703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d713928a228c0f3c6dd7dee8120504455adbf4f62c5f1884432b783a890c2166",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 08:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82795.56533333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:17.238717Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280445",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T08:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82795.57,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T08:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "141366.46",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T08:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280445-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T08:30:00.852251Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "107593.17",
        "volume_fp": "325381.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "871.81",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "40.00",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,795.57"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T08:34:13.175638Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 6528.88,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:34:13.049708Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:34:13.175638Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:34:13.175638Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.81,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T08:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:17.238717Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280445",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T08:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82795.57,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T08:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "145910.87",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T08:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280445-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T08:30:00.852251Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "107593.17",
              "volume_fp": "339989.85",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6528.88",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "203.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,795.57"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 6528.88,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "113": {
      "id": 113,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T08:04:12.479061Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280415-15",
      "strike": 82951.18,
      "predicted_close": 82955.59375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82977.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:04:12.479061Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 113,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82951.17833333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.136817,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.73,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 134,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 97.82,
          "trading_fee": 1.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 134.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.18000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 34.33000000000001,
          "roi": 0.34443664091501974,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3153.49
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 73.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 74.38,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.0,
          "net_pnl": 25.620000000000005,
          "roi": 0.34444743210540474,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3153.49
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        113
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82955.59375,
        "quantiles": [
          82999.3515625,
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          82830.6875,
          82890.3515625,
          82928.1484375,
          82955.59375,
          82984.5,
          83016.8359375,
          83056.6015625,
          83146.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "17f185aa49e8e0c866eb3ba4164707022d675d5fc43524089adc071ed5390f6e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 07:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82951.17833333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T08:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:16.488761Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T08:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82951.18,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T08:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "250218.31",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T08:00:00.906625Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "114361.72",
        "volume_fp": "535540.04",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5073.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2595.85",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,951.18"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T08:04:12.615878Z",
        "ask": 0.73,
        "depth": 3153.49,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:04:12.479061Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:04:12.615878Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:04:12.615878Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.72,
          "ask": 0.73,
          "midpoint": 0.725,
          "last_price": 0.73,
          "implied_probability": 0.73,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T08:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:16.488761Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T08:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82951.18,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T08:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "260275.65",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T08:00:00.906625Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "114361.72",
              "volume_fp": "559865.73",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3153.49",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2082.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,951.18"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.72,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.73,
            "yes_ask_size": 3153.49,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.28,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "112": {
      "id": 112,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T07:49:11.859579Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280400-00",
      "strike": 82894.82,
      "predicted_close": 82926.8046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82951.18,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:49:11.859579Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 112,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82894.82166666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127304,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.72,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 136,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 97.92,
          "trading_fee": 1.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 136.0,
          "gross_pnl": 38.08,
          "net_pnl": 36.16,
          "roi": 0.3621794871794871,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2424.06
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.72,
          "gross_cost": 72.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.42,
          "total_deployed": 73.42,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 28.0,
          "net_pnl": 26.58,
          "roi": 0.36202669572323615,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2424.06
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        112
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82926.8046875,
        "quantiles": [
          82968.53125,
          82697.25,
          82790.3125,
          82852.234375,
          82893.6796875,
          82926.8046875,
          82961.3671875,
          82998.46875,
          83044.2890625,
          83140.4375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6713df2610f39187e9756be89df17de478a4e78d0ebf00e330ce27720d314ae4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 07:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82894.82166666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:15.278876Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T08:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82894.82,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T08:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "193404.27",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:45:00.849752Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "414826.60",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2131.09",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2861.14",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,894.82"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T07:49:11.986883Z",
        "ask": 0.72,
        "depth": 2424.06,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:49:11.859579Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:49:11.986883Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:49:11.986883Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.71,
          "ask": 0.72,
          "midpoint": 0.715,
          "last_price": 0.72,
          "implied_probability": 0.72,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T08:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:15.278876Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T08:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82894.82,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T08:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T08:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "202055.97",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:45:00.849752Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "436185.60",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2424.06",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "110.02",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,894.82"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.71,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.72,
            "yes_ask_size": 2424.06,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.29,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "111": {
      "id": 111,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T07:34:12.271139Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280345-45",
      "strike": 82925.22,
      "predicted_close": 82961.609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82894.82,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:34:12.271139Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 111,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 82925.22216666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133901,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.5,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 193,
          "entry_price": 0.5,
          "gross_cost": 96.5,
          "trading_fee": 3.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.88,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.88,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3254.03
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.5,
          "gross_cost": 50.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 51.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -50.0,
          "net_pnl": -51.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3254.03
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        111
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 82961.609375,
        "quantiles": [
          82994.4140625,
          82727.203125,
          82825.421875,
          82886.40625,
          82929.4921875,
          82961.609375,
          82994.6796875,
          83034.921875,
          83079.6796875,
          83170.5234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "84d5f442bc276b940858ff3ad2cfd56f26223dd5686058d5fe41516e9696943f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 07:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 82925.22216666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:14.880099Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 82925.22,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "171381.50",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:30:00.848931Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "101112.06",
        "volume_fp": "406652.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3475.15",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5083.06",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,925.22"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T07:34:12.405040Z",
        "ask": 0.5,
        "depth": 3254.03,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:34:12.271139Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:34:12.405040Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:34:12.405040Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.49,
          "ask": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.495,
          "last_price": 0.5,
          "implied_probability": 0.5,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:14.880099Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 82925.22,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "170885.80",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:30:00.848931Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "101112.06",
              "volume_fp": "412761.77",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3254.03",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3007.63",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $82,925.22"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.49,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.5,
            "yes_ask_size": 3254.03,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.51,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "110": {
      "id": 110,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T07:19:13.147418Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280330-30",
      "strike": 83049.77,
      "predicted_close": 83074.2890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 82925.22,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:19:13.147418Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 110,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83049.7675,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131873,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.28,
          "net_pnl": -99.8,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4520.73
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -78.0,
          "net_pnl": -79.21,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4520.73
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        110
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83074.2890625,
        "quantiles": [
          83102.171875,
          82862.015625,
          82951.4296875,
          83007.125,
          83044.7890625,
          83074.2890625,
          83104.984375,
          83141.2265625,
          83182.1484375,
          83265.2578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f2c10e359f08529beb402b1f9aea42e181a8e22d3bd0dde2e059cdf6cabe0976",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 07:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83049.7675,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:13.192645Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83049.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "142489.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:15:00.855287Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "357454.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1454.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3222.33",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,049.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T07:19:13.279291Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 4520.73,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:19:13.147418Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:19:13.279291Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:19:13.279291Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.78,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:13.192645Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83049.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "147295.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:15:00.855287Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "371354.97",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4520.73",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "7050.12",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,049.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 4520.73,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "109": {
      "id": 109,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T07:04:14.343056Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280315-15",
      "strike": 83131.72,
      "predicted_close": 83144.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83049.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:04:14.343056Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 109,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83131.71949999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.136647,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.81,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 121,
          "entry_price": 0.81,
          "gross_cost": 98.01,
          "trading_fee": 1.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.32000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.01,
          "net_pnl": -99.32000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5986.82
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.81,
          "gross_cost": 81.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 82.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -81.0,
          "net_pnl": -82.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5986.82
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        109
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83144.078125,
        "quantiles": [
          83169.6640625,
          82941.625,
          83023.75,
          83079.890625,
          83118.9296875,
          83144.078125,
          83173.5234375,
          83208.7890625,
          83246.484375,
          83328.9140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6f09ade0395da8ffd6004f98598e1a52b270aaf26e95d2aaf08ca27b1f92d43e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 06:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83131.71949999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:11.797413Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83131.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "190827.03",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:00:00.916647Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "77039.99",
        "volume_fp": "424362.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "48.87",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5633.33",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,131.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T07:04:14.479703Z",
        "ask": 0.81,
        "depth": 5986.82,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:04:14.343056Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:04:14.479703Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:04:14.479703Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.8,
          "ask": 0.81,
          "midpoint": 0.805,
          "last_price": 0.8,
          "implied_probability": 0.81,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:11.797413Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83131.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "191475.77",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T07:00:00.916647Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "77039.99",
              "volume_fp": "425506.10",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5986.82",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "268.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,131.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.8,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.81,
            "yes_ask_size": 5986.82,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.2,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "108": {
      "id": 108,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T06:49:14.000595Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280300-00",
      "strike": 83181.66,
      "predicted_close": 83185.1015625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83131.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:49:14.000595Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 108,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83181.66133333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.458556,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.35,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 273,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.35,
          "total_deployed": 99.89999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.89999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2590.05
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 35.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 36.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -35.0,
          "net_pnl": -36.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2590.05
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        108
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83185.1015625,
        "quantiles": [
          83212.6328125,
          82959.4453125,
          83049.9921875,
          83112.453125,
          83153.9453125,
          83185.1015625,
          83219.1015625,
          83260.53125,
          83304.546875,
          83394.2734375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5756692c9a67119d502f70614f50f6af75b30820a121a08fa9d5fb884a7822fd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 06:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83181.66133333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:11.411702Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83181.66,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "197432.53",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:45:00.849227Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "446722.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4247.77",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3803.14",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,181.66"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T06:49:14.459151Z",
        "ask": 0.35,
        "depth": 2590.05,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:49:14.000595Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:49:14.459151Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:49:14.459151Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.34,
          "ask": 0.35,
          "midpoint": 0.345,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.35,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T07:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:11.411702Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T07:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83181.66,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T07:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T07:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "199432.99",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:45:00.849227Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "448862.66",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2590.05",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4255.27",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,181.66"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.34,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.35,
            "yes_ask_size": 2590.05,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.66,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "107": {
      "id": 107,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T06:34:12.492010Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280245-45",
      "strike": 83046.46,
      "predicted_close": 83066.15625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83181.66,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:34:12.492010Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 107,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83046.46,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128566,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 143.0,
          "gross_pnl": 45.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.579999999999984,
          "roi": 0.43834238583785934,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2350.78
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 68.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.53,
          "total_deployed": 69.53,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 32.0,
          "net_pnl": 30.47,
          "roi": 0.43822810297713216,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2350.78
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        107
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83066.15625,
        "quantiles": [
          83094.1484375,
          82815.328125,
          82918.625,
          82986.71875,
          83032.546875,
          83066.15625,
          83101.578125,
          83146.5625,
          83197.1953125,
          83297.9609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "626b86a03ad95353ad1fb32aa8657dcb929276b104271f775d17d2570570cbc4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 06:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83046.46,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:11.032698Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83046.46,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "224765.58",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:30:00.853988Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "140919.57",
        "volume_fp": "500696.43",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3660.47",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "986.87",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,046.46"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T06:34:12.620576Z",
        "ask": 0.68,
        "depth": 2350.78,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:34:12.492010Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:34:12.620576Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:34:12.620576Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.67,
          "ask": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.675,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.68,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:11.032698Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83046.46,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "227775.64",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:30:00.853988Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "140919.57",
              "volume_fp": "509177.22",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2350.78",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4042.39",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,046.46"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.67,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.68,
            "yes_ask_size": 2350.78,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.33,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "106": {
      "id": 106,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T06:19:13.230822Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280230-30",
      "strike": 83239.25,
      "predicted_close": 83243.609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83046.46,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:19:13.230822Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 106,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83239.25466666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131788,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.26,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 365,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 94.9,
          "trading_fee": 4.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.9,
          "net_pnl": -99.82000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3406.29
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 26.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 27.35,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -26.0,
          "net_pnl": -27.35,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3406.29
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        106
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83243.609375,
        "quantiles": [
          83273.078125,
          82993.203125,
          83096.8671875,
          83165.4765625,
          83210.578125,
          83243.609375,
          83280.515625,
          83325.671875,
          83377.703125,
          83476.4609375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "63bb1aff995fae4981adad2070fe9cdaf0ae0f57303f36bc750e836956cd11ef",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 06:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83239.25466666669,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:10.303884Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83239.25,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "256825.73",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:15:00.860571Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "508681.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1328.34",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4447.66",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,239.25"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T06:19:13.362610Z",
        "ask": 0.26,
        "depth": 3406.29,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:19:13.230822Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:19:13.362610Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:19:13.362610Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.25,
          "ask": 0.26,
          "midpoint": 0.255,
          "last_price": 0.26,
          "implied_probability": 0.26,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:10.303884Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83239.25,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "261883.17",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:15:00.860571Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "525192.12",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3406.29",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2773.42",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,239.25"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.25,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.26,
            "yes_ask_size": 3406.29,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.75,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "105": {
      "id": 105,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T06:04:12.880751Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280215-15",
      "strike": 83163.59,
      "predicted_close": 83177.34375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83239.25,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:04:12.880751Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 105,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83163.59066666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.12164,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.53,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 182,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 96.46000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.64000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 182.0,
          "gross_pnl": 85.53999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 82.35999999999999,
          "roi": 0.8265756724207143,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2932.56
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.53,
          "gross_cost": 53.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 54.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.0,
          "net_pnl": 45.25,
          "roi": 0.8264840182648402,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2932.56
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        105
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83177.34375,
        "quantiles": [
          83207.359375,
          82917.5546875,
          83023.4765625,
          83094.78125,
          83141.5234375,
          83177.34375,
          83217.828125,
          83267.0234375,
          83322.9375,
          83430.046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "99e31e137bcbd858682863f52e3fe4008a611b9f6be6ecf82503ccccd113079a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 05:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83163.59066666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:09.901074Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83163.59,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "228957.74",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:00:00.925255Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "118880.13",
        "volume_fp": "504309.55",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1914.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3252.52",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,163.59"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T06:04:13.002391Z",
        "ask": 0.53,
        "depth": 2932.56,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:04:12.880751Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:04:13.002391Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:04:13.002391Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.52,
          "ask": 0.53,
          "midpoint": 0.525,
          "last_price": 0.53,
          "implied_probability": 0.53,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:09.901074Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83163.59,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "228767.65",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T06:00:00.925255Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "118880.13",
              "volume_fp": "523589.92",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2932.56",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1547.77",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,163.59"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.52,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.53,
            "yes_ask_size": 2932.56,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.48,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "104": {
      "id": 104,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T05:49:12.565543Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280200-00",
      "strike": 83099.01,
      "predicted_close": 83133.609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83163.59,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:49:12.565543Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 104,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83099.014,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128606,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.57,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 170,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 96.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 170.0,
          "gross_pnl": 73.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 70.18,
          "roi": 0.7030655179322782,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2496.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.57,
          "gross_cost": 56.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.72,
          "total_deployed": 58.71999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 43.00000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 41.28000000000001,
          "roi": 0.70299727520436,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2496.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        104
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83133.609375,
        "quantiles": [
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          83133.609375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "99ffcc11839c705a648eefb037fed015541f32076d88c18b5cd7aadb7df9c74e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 05:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83099.014,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:09.555664Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83099.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "249011.47",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:45:00.854829Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "615511.79",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5003.05",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "14.43",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,099.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T05:49:12.694149Z",
        "ask": 0.57,
        "depth": 2496.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:49:12.565543Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:49:12.694149Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:49:12.694149Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.56,
          "ask": 0.57,
          "midpoint": 0.565,
          "last_price": 0.56,
          "implied_probability": 0.57,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:09.555664Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T06:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83099.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T06:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T06:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "251392.51",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:45:00.854829Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "623937.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2496.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2736.96",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,099.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.56,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.57,
            "yes_ask_size": 2496.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.44,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "103": {
      "id": 103,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T05:34:12.826300Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280145-45",
      "strike": 83071.6,
      "predicted_close": 83136.984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83099.01,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:34:12.826300Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 103,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83071.60116666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122642,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.22,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 431,
          "entry_price": 0.22,
          "gross_cost": 94.82000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.18,
          "total_deployed": 100.0,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 431.0,
          "gross_pnl": 336.18,
          "net_pnl": 331.0,
          "roi": 3.31,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4932.67
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.22,
          "gross_cost": 22.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 23.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 78.0,
          "net_pnl": 76.78999999999999,
          "roi": 3.308487720809995,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4932.67
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        103
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83136.984375,
        "quantiles": [
          83163.1171875,
          82821.59375,
          82947.6171875,
          83031.3984375,
          83092.015625,
          83136.984375,
          83185.1328125,
          83241.578125,
          83312.625,
          83430.203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "748f2334654f07d5149d385c6f697125b331d1e7912f61076d6fae46f4c52d95",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 05:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83071.60116666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:09.161648Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83071.6,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "322547.97",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:30:00.870497Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "182269.48",
        "volume_fp": "601595.13",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5262.12",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "59.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,071.60"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T05:34:12.948942Z",
        "ask": 0.22,
        "depth": 4932.67,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:34:12.826300Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:34:12.948942Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:34:12.948942Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.21,
          "ask": 0.22,
          "midpoint": 0.215,
          "last_price": 0.2,
          "implied_probability": 0.22,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:09.161648Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83071.6,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "321202.45",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:30:00.870497Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "182269.48",
              "volume_fp": "607978.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4932.67",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "100.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,071.60"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.21,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.22,
            "yes_ask_size": 4932.67,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.79,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "102": {
      "id": 102,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T05:19:12.588101Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280130-30",
      "strike": 83282.51,
      "predicted_close": 83322.3828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83071.6,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:19:12.588101Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 102,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83282.5123333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126281,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.35,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 273,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 95.55,
          "trading_fee": 4.35,
          "total_deployed": 99.89999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.55,
          "net_pnl": -99.89999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3094.65
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.35,
          "gross_cost": 35.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 36.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -35.0,
          "net_pnl": -36.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3094.65
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        102
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83322.3828125,
        "quantiles": [
          83345.875,
          83068.7890625,
          83176.453125,
          83240.6015625,
          83288.609375,
          83322.3828125,
          83358.1171875,
          83402.9921875,
          83457.3671875,
          83550.0625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3bd8cef47f8631a63d262951c84e0931f5fe27127a538bfa844475b9da7f6f17",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 05:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83282.5123333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:08.774591Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83282.51,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "283089.01",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:15:00.857099Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "656784.02",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4992.01",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,282.51"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T05:19:12.714382Z",
        "ask": 0.35,
        "depth": 3094.65,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:19:12.588101Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:19:12.714382Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:19:12.714382Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.34,
          "ask": 0.35,
          "midpoint": 0.345,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.35,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:08.774591Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83282.51,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "285939.74",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:15:00.857099Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "668664.31",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3094.65",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4914.72",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,282.51"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.34,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.35,
            "yes_ask_size": 3094.65,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.66,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "101": {
      "id": 101,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T05:04:15.168563Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280115-15",
      "strike": 83484.63,
      "predicted_close": 83504.046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83282.51,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:04:15.168563Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 101,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83484.63299999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126337,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.15,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 629,
          "entry_price": 0.15,
          "gross_cost": 94.35,
          "trading_fee": 5.62,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35,
          "net_pnl": -99.97,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3408.79
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.15,
          "gross_cost": 15.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 15.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -15.0,
          "net_pnl": -15.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3408.79
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        101
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83504.046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83526.8984375,
          83295.796875,
          83383.140625,
          83438.125,
          83479.625,
          83504.046875,
          83531.4609375,
          83565.953125,
          83606.9453125,
          83681.125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "3b3c48cc3c3ca099ad0ab76b3a21dd8c24d39ce14c2064ef92bdd30b47420c95",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 04:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83484.63299999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:08.356065Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83484.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "345330.77",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:00:00.91875Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "268709.93",
        "volume_fp": "964711.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3628.65",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3534.80",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,484.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T05:04:15.294900Z",
        "ask": 0.15,
        "depth": 3408.79,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:04:15.168563Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:04:15.294900Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:04:15.294900Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.14,
          "ask": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.14500000000000002,
          "last_price": 0.15,
          "implied_probability": 0.15,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:08.356065Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83484.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "363903.51",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T05:00:00.91875Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "268709.93",
              "volume_fp": "1012770.29",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3408.79",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4429.96",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,484.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.14,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.15,
            "yes_ask_size": 3408.79,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.86,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "100": {
      "id": 100,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T04:49:14.042354Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280100-00",
      "strike": 83481.1,
      "predicted_close": 83494.0625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83484.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T04:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:49:14.042354Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 100,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83481.1021666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.132243,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.27,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 352,
          "entry_price": 0.27,
          "gross_cost": 95.04,
          "trading_fee": 4.86,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 352.0,
          "gross_pnl": 256.96,
          "net_pnl": 252.1,
          "roi": 2.523523523523523,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2011.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.27,
          "gross_cost": 27.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 28.38,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 73.0,
          "net_pnl": 71.62,
          "roi": 2.5236081747709656,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2011.57
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        100
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83494.0625,
        "quantiles": [
          83511.8984375,
          83260.28125,
          83357.8515625,
          83418.3046875,
          83462.5703125,
          83494.0625,
          83524.78125,
          83564.0625,
          83608.453125,
          83688.3125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e5f0d5d98720fff73d0689bdf2a0c3481de6f9c4b0d7de26ea280fcf8684227e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 04:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83481.1021666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:07.790918Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83481.1,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "369222.12",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T04:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T04:45:00.848988Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "672076.35",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3170.79",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3565.03",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,481.10"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T04:49:14.174597Z",
        "ask": 0.27,
        "depth": 2011.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:49:14.042354Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:49:14.174597Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:49:14.174597Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.26,
          "ask": 0.27,
          "midpoint": 0.265,
          "last_price": 0.27,
          "implied_probability": 0.27,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T05:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:07.790918Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T05:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83481.1,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T05:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T05:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "374422.15",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T04:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T04:45:00.848988Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "681063.34",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2011.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3482.65",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,481.10"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.26,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.27,
            "yes_ask_size": 2011.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.74,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "98": {
      "id": 98,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T04:19:15.086747Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280030-30",
      "strike": 83410.26,
      "predicted_close": 83422.34375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83469.47,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:19:15.086747Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 98,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83410.25799999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.151835,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.76,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 129,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 98.04,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.69000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 129.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.959999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 29.309999999999988,
          "roi": 0.2940114354498945,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4672.24
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 76.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 77.28,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.0,
          "net_pnl": 22.72,
          "roi": 0.2939958592132505,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4672.24
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        98
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83422.34375,
        "quantiles": [
          83451.4609375,
          83164.890625,
          83270.90625,
          83334.2578125,
          83384.1328125,
          83422.34375,
          83460.359375,
          83503.3984375,
          83557.5078125,
          83653.296875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e4821e1758b6fc5c91dc02bbb390e75223868e10b25685a83ec627a63b326c96",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 04:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83410.25799999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T04:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:07.085298Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T04:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83410.26,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T04:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "285666.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T04:15:00.850543Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "743348.66",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4325.93",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4686.98",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,410.26"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T04:19:15.238582Z",
        "ask": 0.76,
        "depth": 4672.24,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:19:15.086747Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:19:15.238582Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:19:15.238582Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.75,
          "ask": 0.76,
          "midpoint": 0.755,
          "last_price": 0.75,
          "implied_probability": 0.76,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T04:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:07.085298Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T04:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83410.26,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T04:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "294347.60",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T04:15:00.850543Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "763990.25",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4672.24",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1018.44",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,410.26"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.75,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.76,
            "yes_ask_size": 4672.24,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.25,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "97": {
      "id": 97,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T04:04:12.685437Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280015-15",
      "strike": 83323.89,
      "predicted_close": 83336.8984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83410.26,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:04:12.685437Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 97,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83323.89016666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13752,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 265.0,
          "gross_pnl": 169.60000000000002,
          "net_pnl": 165.32,
          "roi": 1.6585072231139648,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4359.96
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 64.0,
          "net_pnl": 62.38,
          "roi": 1.6581605528973953,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4359.96
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        97
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83336.8984375,
        "quantiles": [
          83360.484375,
          83076.3359375,
          83182.1953125,
          83245.3828125,
          83297.5078125,
          83336.8984375,
          83374.6953125,
          83418.40625,
          83475.9140625,
          83576.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ca9a3892165b51a2c0c3dbd27cfb98a6af62b7cff0b65e5b31d66ea373c44c9b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 03:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83323.89016666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:06.66568Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T04:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83323.89,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T04:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "371329.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T04:00:01.129965Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "188700.77",
        "volume_fp": "631447.13",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "15.40",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4270.52",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,323.89"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T04:04:12.822957Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 4359.96,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:04:12.685437Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:04:12.822957Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:04:12.822957Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T04:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-27T20:01:06.66568Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T04:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83323.89,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T04:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "375021.50",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on September 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T04:00:01.129965Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "188700.77",
              "volume_fp": "640492.83",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4359.96",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2307.41",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,323.89"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 4359.96,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "96": {
      "id": 96,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T03:49:14.471748Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280000-00",
      "strike": 83457.59,
      "predicted_close": 83474.3359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83323.89,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T03:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:49:14.471748Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 96,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83457.59316666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130432,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.37,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 258,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 95.46,
          "trading_fee": 4.21,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.46,
          "net_pnl": -99.66999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4926.0
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.37,
          "gross_cost": 37.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.64,
          "total_deployed": 38.64,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -37.0,
          "net_pnl": -38.64,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4926.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        96
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83474.3359375,
        "quantiles": [
          83503.5625,
          83218.328125,
          83323.8671875,
          83386.359375,
          83435.2890625,
          83474.3359375,
          83511.2265625,
          83554.0703125,
          83610.484375,
          83708.7109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "574c4397cb944dbc3d583d6801ba817ceb033e94513688eacd7225586ab336c5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 03:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83457.59316666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:17.230742Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T04:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83457.59,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T04:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "232700.92",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T03:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T03:45:00.860599Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "465685.87",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3128.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1531.44",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,457.59"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T03:49:14.602180Z",
        "ask": 0.37,
        "depth": 4926.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:49:14.471748Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:49:14.602180Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:49:14.602180Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.36,
          "ask": 0.37,
          "midpoint": 0.365,
          "last_price": 0.37,
          "implied_probability": 0.37,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T04:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:17.230742Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T04:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83457.59,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T04:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T04:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "235123.66",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T03:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on Sep 28, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP280000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T03:45:00.860599Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "470791.27",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4926.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2949.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,457.59"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.36,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.37,
            "yes_ask_size": 4926.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.64,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "94": {
      "id": 94,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T03:19:13.489778Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272330-30",
      "strike": 83429.03,
      "predicted_close": 83445.046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83317.98,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:19:13.489778Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 94,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83429.02966666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.122723,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.66,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 147,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 97.02000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.33000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.02000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.33000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1343.17
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 66.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 67.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -66.0,
          "net_pnl": -67.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1343.17
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        94
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83445.046875,
        "quantiles": [
          83475.859375,
          83195.484375,
          83297.9375,
          83357.390625,
          83406.6640625,
          83445.046875,
          83479.8046875,
          83520.9140625,
          83581.5234375,
          83674.25
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4dc81b03fe57a534a9d420afe7f0c5a7de8dbdc2d6dfb4223e6b03d722f13d20",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 03:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83429.02966666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:16.328622Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T03:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83429.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T03:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "210527.95",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T03:15:00.854591Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "614680.60",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "286.63",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5201.80",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,429.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T03:19:13.612501Z",
        "ask": 0.66,
        "depth": 1343.17,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:19:13.489778Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:19:13.612501Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:19:13.612501Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.65,
          "ask": 0.66,
          "midpoint": 0.655,
          "last_price": 0.65,
          "implied_probability": 0.66,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:16.328622Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T03:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83429.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T03:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "210566.53",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T03:15:00.854591Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "622339.65",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1343.17",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6243.79",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,429.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.65,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.66,
            "yes_ask_size": 1343.17,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.35,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "93": {
      "id": 93,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T03:04:14.073898Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272315-15",
      "strike": 83394.03,
      "predicted_close": 83418.7421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83429.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:04:14.073898Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 93,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83394.03249999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13508,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.76,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 129,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 98.04,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.69000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 129.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.959999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 29.309999999999988,
          "roi": 0.2940114354498945,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3730.56
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 76.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 77.28,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.0,
          "net_pnl": 22.72,
          "roi": 0.2939958592132505,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3730.56
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        93
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83418.7421875,
        "quantiles": [
          83443.4609375,
          83112.2109375,
          83236.1484375,
          83311.71875,
          83371.3203125,
          83418.7421875,
          83462.78125,
          83512.140625,
          83581.578125,
          83687.640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "bd44decacea10d3f2165c1987b73dff07dcdadb7ce2ed32a4103d8e05c1712fd",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 02:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83394.03249999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:16.007023Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T03:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83394.03,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T03:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "284893.37",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
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            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T03:00:00.91753Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "184353.63",
        "volume_fp": "575832.26",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "457.15",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5079.77",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,394.03"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T03:04:14.208978Z",
        "ask": 0.76,
        "depth": 3730.56,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:04:14.073898Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:04:14.208978Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:04:14.208978Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.75,
          "ask": 0.76,
          "midpoint": 0.755,
          "last_price": 0.75,
          "implied_probability": 0.76,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:16.007023Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T03:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83394.03,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T03:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "283716.86",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T03:00:00.91753Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "184353.63",
              "volume_fp": "584457.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3730.56",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3293.85",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,394.03"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.75,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.76,
            "yes_ask_size": 3730.56,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.25,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "92": {
      "id": 92,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T02:49:15.991143Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272300-00",
      "strike": 83494.5,
      "predicted_close": 83508.578125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83394.03,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:49:15.991143Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 92,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83494.50066666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.149756,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.3,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 30.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 31.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -30.0,
          "net_pnl": -31.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 191.0
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        92
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83508.578125,
        "quantiles": [
          83529.8359375,
          83218.578125,
          83338.3046875,
          83408.421875,
          83463.6328125,
          83508.578125,
          83550.5546875,
          83596.875,
          83659.9296875,
          83759.453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5d33a11d9e6e5e6210e58fa5e76c8df7df4b19a0ed02d1429ac0511866f64d1d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 02:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83494.50066666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:15.709421Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T03:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83494.5,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T03:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "321218.13",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:45:00.862511Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "741862.05",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3555.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1817.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,494.50"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T02:49:16.140899Z",
        "ask": 0.3,
        "depth": 191.0,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:49:15.991143Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:49:16.140899Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:49:16.140899Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.29,
          "ask": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.295,
          "last_price": 0.3,
          "implied_probability": 0.3,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:15.709421Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T03:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83494.5,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T03:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T03:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "328821.89",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:45:00.862511Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "761115.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "191.00",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3630.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,494.50"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.29,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.3,
            "yes_ask_size": 191.0,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.71,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "91": {
      "id": 91,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T02:34:13.119389Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272245-45",
      "strike": 83652.19,
      "predicted_close": 83661.5390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83494.5,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:34:13.119389Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 91,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83652.18699999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13318,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.18,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 525,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 94.5,
          "trading_fee": 5.43,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.93,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2132.35
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.18,
          "gross_cost": 18.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 19.04,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -18.0,
          "net_pnl": -19.04,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2132.35
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        91
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83661.5390625,
        "quantiles": [
          83678.578125,
          83398.5234375,
          83506.765625,
          83571.5,
          83622.1796875,
          83661.5390625,
          83698.2109375,
          83738.5390625,
          83795.140625,
          83885.234375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "9a25b49b850022da61c3f26a5db329e66db00cf4f4c6f89fa5db6ff5322e2682",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 02:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83652.18699999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:15.405378Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83652.19,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "352303.54",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:30:00.849349Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "151371.88",
        "volume_fp": "627879.07",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3629.45",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5610.77",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,652.19"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T02:34:13.252569Z",
        "ask": 0.18,
        "depth": 2132.35,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:34:13.119389Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:34:13.252569Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:34:13.252569Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.17,
          "ask": 0.18,
          "midpoint": 0.175,
          "last_price": 0.17,
          "implied_probability": 0.18,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:15.405378Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83652.19,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "354746.32",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:30:00.849349Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "151371.88",
              "volume_fp": "632815.93",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2132.35",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4536.77",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,652.19"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.17,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.18,
            "yes_ask_size": 2132.35,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.83,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "90": {
      "id": 90,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T02:19:13.630494Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272230-30",
      "strike": 83732.16,
      "predicted_close": 83760.59375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83652.19,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:19:13.630494Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 90,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83732.16033333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.149615,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.24,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 395,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 94.8,
          "trading_fee": 5.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.8,
          "net_pnl": -99.85,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1288.1
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.24,
          "gross_cost": 24.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 25.28,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -24.0,
          "net_pnl": -25.28,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1288.1
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        90
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83760.59375,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6a4bdf13274b35c6d2329f5f91fe31148f7c2cefb63439f8d576511327658a4d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 02:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83732.16033333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:15.116648Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83732.16,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "297320.88",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
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            "start": "0.0000",
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          },
          {
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        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:15:00.851619Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "569042.91",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2424.01",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6149.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,732.16"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T02:19:13.780109Z",
        "ask": 0.24,
        "depth": 1288.1,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:19:13.630494Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:19:13.780109Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:19:13.780109Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.23,
          "ask": 0.24,
          "midpoint": 0.235,
          "last_price": 0.24,
          "implied_probability": 0.24,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999981,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
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              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:15.116648Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
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              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272230",
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              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83732.16,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "298208.84",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272230-30",
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              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "576675.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1288.10",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3901.97",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,732.16"
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            "yes_ask_size": 1288.1,
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            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.77,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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      }
    },
    "89": {
      "id": 89,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T02:04:14.156880Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272215-15",
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      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83732.16,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:04:14.156880Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 89,
      "venue": "kalshi",
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      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.32,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
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          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
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          "gross_pnl": 202.64,
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          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "roi": 1.9824038174768863,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3063.01
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        89
      ],
      "model": {
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        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83743.34375,
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6f4be102f555605157c28bd02da06986e7333eb86a39ebc672ffc2ba8cd8e285",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 01:45:00+00:00",
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      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:14.827667Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83700.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "356934.61",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:00:00.919619Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "175909.29",
        "volume_fp": "761735.37",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4228.08",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4646.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,700.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T02:04:14.312635Z",
        "ask": 0.32,
        "depth": 3063.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:04:14.156880Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:04:14.312635Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:04:14.312635Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.31,
          "ask": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.315,
          "last_price": 0.31,
          "implied_probability": 0.32,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:14.827667Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83700.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "359748.04",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T02:00:00.919619Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "175909.29",
              "volume_fp": "780680.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3063.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3267.65",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,700.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.31,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.32,
            "yes_ask_size": 3063.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.69,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "88": {
      "id": 88,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T01:49:15.482766Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272200-00",
      "strike": 83836.88,
      "predicted_close": 83898.765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83700.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:49:15.482766Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 88,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83836.88083333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.141333,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.51,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 189,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 96.39,
          "trading_fee": 3.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.39,
          "net_pnl": -99.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3886.51
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 51.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 52.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -51.0,
          "net_pnl": -52.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3886.51
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        88
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 83898.765625,
        "quantiles": [
          83911.390625,
          83600.1953125,
          83723.8125,
          83795.3984375,
          83850.9921875,
          83898.765625,
          83944.875,
          83991.3203125,
          84055.140625,
          84157.390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "68b813eedac810a3e192012f04c0a5a39b4e628d7b0861a904044452aba9d39c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 01:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83836.88083333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:14.519602Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83836.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "285896.85",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:45:00.856817Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "599785.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5296.41",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1440.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,836.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T01:49:15.624099Z",
        "ask": 0.51,
        "depth": 3886.51,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:49:15.482766Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:49:15.624099Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:49:15.624099Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.5,
          "ask": 0.51,
          "midpoint": 0.505,
          "last_price": 0.5,
          "implied_probability": 0.51,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T02:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:14.519602Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T02:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83836.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T02:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T02:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "285256.86",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:45:00.856817Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "602814.48",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3886.51",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5308.67",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,836.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.5,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.51,
            "yes_ask_size": 3886.51,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.5,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "87": {
      "id": 87,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T01:34:14.826285Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272145-45",
      "strike": 84077.35,
      "predicted_close": 84119.609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83836.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:34:14.826285Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 87,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84077.35333333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126288,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.41,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        87
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84119.609375,
        "quantiles": [
          84135.9375,
          83887.2265625,
          83983.375,
          84038.2734375,
          84082.859375,
          84119.609375,
          84156.890625,
          84195.3125,
          84246.15625,
          84330.6640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7cd19bf13853324e8f182c478e669aac5f33c5b7e0a140354750132157a1240e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 01:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84077.35333333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:14.229159Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84077.35,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "260676.03",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:30:00.869256Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "201360.86",
        "volume_fp": "603072.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1913.12",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3517.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,077.35"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T01:34:14.952573Z",
        "ask": 0.41,
        "depth": 21.86,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:34:14.826285Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:34:14.952573Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:34:14.952573Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.4,
          "ask": 0.41,
          "midpoint": 0.405,
          "last_price": 0.4,
          "implied_probability": 0.41,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999953,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:14.229159Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84077.35,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "272715.58",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:30:00.869256Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "201360.86",
              "volume_fp": "632049.88",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "21.86",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4459.77",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,077.35"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.4,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.41,
            "yes_ask_size": 21.86,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.6,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "86": {
      "id": 86,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T01:19:12.036854Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272130-30",
      "strike": 83978.57,
      "predicted_close": 84050.3203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84077.35,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:19:12.036854Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 86,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 83978.57266666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.147267,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4518.91
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4518.91
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        86
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84050.3203125,
        "quantiles": [
          84061.953125,
          83786.3515625,
          83895.8671875,
          83958.34375,
          84009.109375,
          84050.3203125,
          84092.3125,
          84136.7890625,
          84196.65625,
          84290.109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "65e61b90e35f36a4a1111e7bb811c1e06d313d7c377b4572b130e3cd20ed120e",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 01:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 83978.57266666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:13.912677Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 83978.57,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "378360.48",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:15:00.860663Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "671243.21",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4518.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5273.90",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,978.57"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T01:19:12.184121Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 4518.91,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:19:12.036854Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:19:12.184121Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:19:12.184121Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.45,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:13.912677Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 83978.57,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "378360.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:15:00.860663Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "671243.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4518.91",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5273.90",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $83,978.57"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 4518.91,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "85": {
      "id": 85,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T01:04:13.409325Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272115-15",
      "strike": 84142.39,
      "predicted_close": 84188.65625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 83978.57,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:04:13.409325Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 85,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84142.39149999998,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128942,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.36,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 265,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 95.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 4.28,
          "total_deployed": 99.67999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.39999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.67999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6810.21
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.36,
          "gross_cost": 36.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 37.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -36.0,
          "net_pnl": -37.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 6810.21
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        85
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84188.65625,
        "quantiles": [
          84201.453125,
          83943.890625,
          84045.140625,
          84102.3203125,
          84149.71875,
          84188.65625,
          84227.7421875,
          84271.3203125,
          84327.2734375,
          84418.7421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8e08af64ccbd81555d863086627fda2962d6ea8a707ab41f2cf2d7a37d22d517",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 00:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84142.39149999998,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:13.572935Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84142.39,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "373562.22",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:00:00.988384Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "232027.78",
        "volume_fp": "860186.41",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6422.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1732.09",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,142.39"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T01:04:13.538267Z",
        "ask": 0.36,
        "depth": 6810.21,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:04:13.409325Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:04:13.538267Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:04:13.538267Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.35,
          "ask": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.355,
          "last_price": 0.35,
          "implied_probability": 0.36,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:13.572935Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84142.39,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "375527.71",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T01:00:00.988384Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "232027.78",
              "volume_fp": "862883.69",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "6810.21",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "21.67",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,142.39"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.35,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.36,
            "yes_ask_size": 6810.21,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.65,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "84": {
      "id": 84,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T00:49:13.808164Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272100-00",
      "strike": 84272.52,
      "predicted_close": 84316.234375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84142.39,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T00:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:49:13.808164Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 84,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84272.52316666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.171194,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.946,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 105,
          "entry_price": 0.946,
          "gross_cost": 99.33,
          "trading_fee": 0.38,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -99.33,
          "net_pnl": -99.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1814.01
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.946,
          "gross_cost": 94.6,
          "trading_fee": 0.36,
          "total_deployed": 94.96,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.6,
          "net_pnl": -94.96,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1814.01
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        84
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84316.234375,
        "quantiles": [
          84324.59375,
          84051.3671875,
          84157.8359375,
          84221.4140625,
          84272.4375,
          84316.234375,
          84359.6640625,
          84406.4921875,
          84465.609375,
          84561.890625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a5e409e47fbb179d1541c2692737d755cffc330d1c03dc14e70eea30d7a1a465",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 00:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84272.52316666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:13.251005Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84272.52,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9470",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.0530",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.0520",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "267906.76",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T00:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T00:45:00.85969Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "620152.38",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9480",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "168.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9470",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "69.64",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,272.52"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T00:49:13.979358Z",
        "ask": 0.946,
        "depth": 1814.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:49:13.808164Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:49:13.979358Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:49:13.979358Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.945,
          "ask": 0.946,
          "midpoint": 0.9455,
          "last_price": 0.945,
          "implied_probability": 0.946,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T01:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:13.251005Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T01:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84272.52,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9450",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T01:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0550",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0540",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T01:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "268489.18",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T00:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T00:45:00.85969Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "625847.35",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9460",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1814.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9450",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "198.36",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,272.52"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.945,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.946,
            "yes_ask_size": 1814.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.055,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "82": {
      "id": 82,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T00:19:14.002927Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272030-30",
      "strike": 84414.77,
      "predicted_close": 84420.828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84780.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:19:14.002927Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 82,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84414.7695,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.146029,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.911,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        82
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84420.828125,
        "quantiles": [
          84427.765625,
          84225.765625,
          84305.984375,
          84352.0546875,
          84390.328125,
          84420.828125,
          84450.4453125,
          84479.921875,
          84513.765625,
          84579.46875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "78ee9e9fa2982ed3b5eb71dc1af33944275524dacef4647dfd7e17b2bf13223a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-28 00:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84414.7695,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T00:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:12.384294Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T00:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84414.77,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T00:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "261450.41",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T00:15:00.898657Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "594358.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5129.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1433.03",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,414.77"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T00:19:14.148956Z",
        "ask": 0.911,
        "depth": 0.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:19:14.002927Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:19:14.148956Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:19:14.148956Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.91,
          "ask": 0.911,
          "midpoint": 0.9105000000000001,
          "last_price": 0.91,
          "implied_probability": 0.911,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T00:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:12.384294Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T00:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84414.77,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0890",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T00:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "270488.24",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T00:15:00.898657Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "623890.07",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9110",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "0.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "820.76",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,414.77"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.91,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.911,
            "yes_ask_size": 0.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.09,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "81": {
      "id": 81,
      "created_at": "2026-09-28T00:04:12.837960Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272015-15",
      "strike": 84446.08,
      "predicted_close": 84446.4140625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84414.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:04:12.837960Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 81,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84446.07916666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.141349,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.84,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 117,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -98.28,
          "net_pnl": -99.39,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3197.66
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 84.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 84.95,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -84.0,
          "net_pnl": -84.95,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3197.66
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        81
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84446.4140625,
        "quantiles": [
          84455.4296875,
          84254.6796875,
          84335.0703125,
          84379.6796875,
          84416.5859375,
          84446.4140625,
          84475.2109375,
          84503.8515625,
          84536.8671875,
          84600.3046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0e03c7af403d7adc98f448a5d9b665d38f0bfee883c2775fd8aeef27d91bf89d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 23:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84446.07916666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:12.057617Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T00:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84446.08,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T00:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "288226.93",
        "open_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00.661159Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "170994.32",
        "volume_fp": "696000.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3310.69",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2504.52",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,446.08"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-28T00:04:12.979309Z",
        "ask": 0.84,
        "depth": 3197.66,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:04:12.837960Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:04:12.979309Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:04:12.979309Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.83,
          "ask": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.835,
          "last_price": 0.84,
          "implied_probability": 0.84,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T00:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:12.057617Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T00:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84446.08,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T00:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "289350.93",
              "open_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00.661159Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "170994.32",
              "volume_fp": "706583.31",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3197.66",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1739.14",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,446.08"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.83,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.84,
            "yes_ask_size": 3197.66,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.17,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    },
    "80": {
      "id": 80,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T23:49:14.208758Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272000-00",
      "strike": 84337.75,
      "predicted_close": 84347.2109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84446.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:49:14.208758Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 80,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84337.75416666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.156446,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.86,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 115,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 98.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 0.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.86999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 115.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 15.13000000000001,
          "roi": 0.1514969460298389,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 240.38
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 86.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 86.85,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.0,
          "net_pnl": 13.150000000000006,
          "roi": 0.1514104778353484,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 240.38
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        80
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84347.2109375,
        "quantiles": [
          84353.40625,
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          84232.9375,
          84277.96875,
          84315.0546875,
          84347.2109375,
          84378.59375,
          84409.9921875,
          84446.6328125,
          84513.1171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5108b6d3583b1f98f9b46d44bb4f26704973d36c7860f1446b0f65d0c696cb92",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 23:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84337.75416666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:11.71475Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T00:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84337.75,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T00:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "213244.43",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:45:00.854721Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "671407.57",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3971.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2502.62",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,337.75"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T23:49:14.365204Z",
        "ask": 0.86,
        "depth": 240.38,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:49:14.208758Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:49:14.365204Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:49:14.365204Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.85,
          "ask": 0.86,
          "midpoint": 0.855,
          "last_price": 0.85,
          "implied_probability": 0.86,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:11.71475Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-28T00:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84337.75,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-28T00:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "213467.47",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
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                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP272000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:45:00.854721Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "673609.24",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "240.38",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "8573.80",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,337.75"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.85,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.86,
            "yes_ask_size": 240.38,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.15,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "79": {
      "id": 79,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T23:34:13.100457Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271945-45",
      "strike": 84390.86,
      "predicted_close": 84398.328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84337.75,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:34:13.100457Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 79,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84390.86050000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139398,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.58,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 167,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 96.86,
          "trading_fee": 2.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.71,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.86,
          "net_pnl": -99.71,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2831.57
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.58,
          "gross_cost": 57.99999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.71,
          "total_deployed": 59.709999999999994,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -57.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -59.709999999999994,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2831.57
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        79
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84398.328125,
        "quantiles": [
          84407.828125,
          84193.234375,
          84279.546875,
          84327.1796875,
          84366.1796875,
          84398.328125,
          84430.1640625,
          84462.8125,
          84501.078125,
          84570.5
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "38a4b14a15b9ac9a1628895378f4ee1fdcc53ad0f0a9acb1e2e428e9a5077628",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 23:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84390.86050000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:11.379945Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84390.86,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "248254.43",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:30:01.040797Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "211709.10",
        "volume_fp": "519538.54",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4287.30",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "642.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,390.86"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T23:34:13.239855Z",
        "ask": 0.58,
        "depth": 2831.57,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:34:13.100457Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:34:13.239855Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:34:13.239855Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.57,
          "ask": 0.58,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "last_price": 0.57,
          "implied_probability": 0.58,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:11.379945Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84390.86,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "250529.44",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:30:01.040797Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "211709.10",
              "volume_fp": "525773.30",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2831.57",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3793.41",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,390.86"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.57,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.58,
            "yes_ask_size": 2831.57,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.43,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "78": {
      "id": 78,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T23:19:12.213053Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271930-30",
      "strike": 84227.58,
      "predicted_close": 84254.8359375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84390.86,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:19:12.213053Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 78,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84227.58033333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.162035,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.62,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 157,
          "entry_price": 0.62,
          "gross_cost": 97.34,
          "trading_fee": 2.59,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 157.0,
          "gross_pnl": 59.66,
          "net_pnl": 57.06999999999999,
          "roi": 0.5710997698388871,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3060.01
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.62,
          "gross_cost": 62.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 63.65,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 38.0,
          "net_pnl": 36.35,
          "roi": 0.5710919088766693,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3060.01
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        78
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84254.8359375,
        "quantiles": [
          84259.625,
          84058.09375,
          84143.640625,
          84187.5859375,
          84223.09375,
          84254.8359375,
          84283.859375,
          84316.796875,
          84356.6171875,
          84423.6328125
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cde53cca62febb5a325998db30b9afaf9654a4927c4493b3da74f42f0b7d6de6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 23:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84227.58033333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:11.095076Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84227.58,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "216260.00",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:15:00.879604Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "582038.56",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3957.77",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3173.43",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,227.58"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T23:19:12.375088Z",
        "ask": 0.62,
        "depth": 3060.01,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:19:12.213053Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:19:12.375088Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:19:12.375088Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.61,
          "ask": 0.62,
          "midpoint": 0.615,
          "last_price": 0.61,
          "implied_probability": 0.62,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:11.095076Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84227.58,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "216913.02",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
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                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:15:00.879604Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "583329.70",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3060.01",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3340.62",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,227.58"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.61,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.62,
            "yes_ask_size": 3060.01,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.39,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "77": {
      "id": 77,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T23:04:12.678545Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271915-15",
      "strike": 84194.99,
      "predicted_close": 84222.8828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84227.58,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:04:12.678545Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 77,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84194.99133333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.158737,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.76,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
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          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 129,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 98.04,
          "trading_fee": 1.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.69000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 129.0,
          "gross_pnl": 30.959999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 29.309999999999988,
          "roi": 0.2940114354498945,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1783.44
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.76,
          "gross_cost": 76.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.28,
          "total_deployed": 77.28,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 24.0,
          "net_pnl": 22.72,
          "roi": 0.2939958592132505,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1783.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        77
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84222.8828125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2651ad53f32bc7783d8e4bdcd360d97c21703fda3b7fab31a6f53ed3a4357d16",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 22:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84194.99133333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:10.7834Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84194.99,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "252315.11",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:00:01.058614Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "144119.22",
        "volume_fp": "520627.28",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "315.00",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4525.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,194.99"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T23:04:12.837282Z",
        "ask": 0.76,
        "depth": 1783.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:04:12.678545Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:04:12.837282Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:04:12.837282Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.75,
          "ask": 0.76,
          "midpoint": 0.755,
          "last_price": 0.75,
          "implied_probability": 0.76,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:10.7834Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84194.99,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "252354.96",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T23:00:01.058614Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "144119.22",
              "volume_fp": "521065.49",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1783.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "142.53",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,194.99"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.75,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.76,
            "yes_ask_size": 1783.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.25,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "76": {
      "id": 76,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T22:49:12.878741Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271900-00",
      "strike": 84179.88,
      "predicted_close": 84230.09375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84194.99,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:49:12.878741Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 76,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84179.8845,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.155734,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 197.0,
          "gross_pnl": 100.47,
          "net_pnl": 97.02,
          "roi": 0.9703940788157631,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3432.3
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 51.0,
          "net_pnl": 49.25,
          "roi": 0.9704433497536946,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3432.3
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        76
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84230.09375,
        "quantiles": [
          84231.0703125,
          83965.3671875,
          84073.328125,
          84135.6328125,
          84184.875,
          84230.09375,
          84270.7890625,
          84315.296875,
          84368.578125,
          84452.03125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7a54111bb7793220777cfc9fa2e1fe2811a9fc8e0692534182e949ac2b899ee9",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 22:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84179.8845,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:10.47049Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84179.88,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "275091.11",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T22:45:00.873662Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "560913.81",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5944.56",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4145.45",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,179.88"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T22:49:13.034475Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 3432.3,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:49:12.878741Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:49:13.034475Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:49:13.034475Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T23:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:10.47049Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271900",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T23:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84179.88,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T23:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T23:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "273126.40",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271900-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T22:45:00.873662Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "575422.28",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3432.30",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "657.45",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,179.88"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 3432.3,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "75": {
      "id": 75,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T22:34:15.122927Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271845-45",
      "strike": 84545.95,
      "predicted_close": 84548.2734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84179.88,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:34:15.122927Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 75,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84545.94666666664,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.134872,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.05,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        75
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84548.2734375,
        "quantiles": [
          84551.9765625,
          84352.8828125,
          84432.5546875,
          84479.1640625,
          84516.1171875,
          84548.2734375,
          84578.421875,
          84611.265625,
          84645.765625,
          84709.125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ca89f6a66747b95c5bc88e972886b9855b933787b16455de2161d3bbbafbe2f3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 22:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84545.94666666664,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:10.127958Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271845",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T22:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84545.95,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0590",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9420",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9410",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T22:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "254983.68",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271845-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T22:30:01.572489Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "155668.05",
        "volume_fp": "528644.19",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0590",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "620.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0580",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "438.54",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,545.95"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T22:34:15.257799Z",
        "ask": 0.05,
        "depth": 60.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:34:15.122927Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:34:15.257799Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:34:15.257799Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.049,
          "ask": 0.05,
          "midpoint": 0.0495,
          "last_price": 0.05,
          "implied_probability": 0.05,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T22:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:10.127958Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271845",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T22:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84545.95,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.0500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9510",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.9500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T22:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "267154.50",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271845-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T22:30:01.572489Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "155668.05",
              "volume_fp": "556741.42",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "60.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0490",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1376.53",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,545.95"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.049,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.05,
            "yes_ask_size": 60.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.951,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "74": {
      "id": 74,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T22:19:12.116035Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271830-30",
      "strike": 84314.62,
      "predicted_close": 84329.625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84545.95,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T22:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:19:12.116035Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 74,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84314.61616666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.127586,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.77,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 127,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 97.79,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.37,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 127.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 27.629999999999995,
          "roi": 0.27805172587299987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2722.54
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 77.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 78.24,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 23.0,
          "net_pnl": 21.760000000000005,
          "roi": 0.27811860940695304,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2722.54
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        74
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84329.625,
        "quantiles": [
          84325.046875,
          84075.0234375,
          84176.2421875,
          84237.1171875,
          84286.8125,
          84329.625,
          84368.3984375,
          84412.328125,
          84466.078125,
          84551.46875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e93fc059f6922805c4f9e9b6165f6d71a94f945977ea9b69d157fcbd06475bf0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 22:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84314.61616666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:09.796176Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T22:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84314.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T22:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "244551.17",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T22:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T22:15:00.859825Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "600441.18",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3901.68",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5783.73",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,314.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T22:19:12.243621Z",
        "ask": 0.77,
        "depth": 2722.54,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:19:12.116035Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:19:12.243621Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:19:12.243621Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.76,
          "ask": 0.77,
          "midpoint": 0.765,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.77,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T22:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:09.796176Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T22:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84314.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T22:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "245811.41",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T22:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T22:15:00.859825Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "603736.64",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2722.54",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3268.95",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,314.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.76,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.77,
            "yes_ask_size": 2722.54,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.24,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "72": {
      "id": 72,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T21:49:13.622303Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T22:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271800-00",
      "strike": 84532.33,
      "predicted_close": 84543.1484375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84656.98,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T21:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:49:13.622303Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 72,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84532.32516666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.133879,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.9,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 110,
          "entry_price": 0.9,
          "gross_cost": 99.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 110.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.299999999999997,
          "roi": 0.10330992978936808,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3875.54
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.9,
          "gross_cost": 90.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.63,
          "total_deployed": 90.63,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 10.0,
          "net_pnl": 9.370000000000005,
          "roi": 0.10338739931589987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3875.54
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        72
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84543.1484375,
        "quantiles": [
          84544.171875,
          84346.96875,
          84426.375,
          84471.2265625,
          84508.578125,
          84543.1484375,
          84576.625,
          84612.3984375,
          84653.5390625,
          84727.8359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d0effc308c05c3bc13c6fd5bec0f893afd43f15ebad4fd584e3ab877c7ea515b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 21:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84532.32516666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T22:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:08.887101Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T22:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84532.33,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9100",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.0900",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.0890",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T22:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "261393.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T21:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T21:45:00.865403Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "537092.86",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9110",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "884.91",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9100",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "474.21",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,532.33"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T21:49:13.756182Z",
        "ask": 0.9,
        "depth": 3875.54,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:49:13.622303Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:49:13.756182Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:49:13.756182Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.89,
          "ask": 0.9,
          "midpoint": 0.895,
          "last_price": 0.89,
          "implied_probability": 0.9,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T22:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:08.887101Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T22:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84532.33,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T22:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T22:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "261366.11",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T21:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T21:45:00.865403Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "542473.63",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3875.54",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1646.01",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,532.33"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.89,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.9,
            "yes_ask_size": 3875.54,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.11,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "70": {
      "id": 70,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T21:19:12.248120Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271730-30",
      "strike": 84667.05,
      "predicted_close": 84682.1640625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84606.54,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:19:12.248120Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 70,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84667.048,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125685,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.59,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 164,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 96.75999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 2.78,
          "total_deployed": 99.53999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.75999999999999,
          "net_pnl": -99.53999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3619.13
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.59,
          "gross_cost": 59.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.7,
          "total_deployed": 60.7,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -59.0,
          "net_pnl": -60.7,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3619.13
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        70
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84682.1640625,
        "quantiles": [
          84687.5234375,
          84506.7421875,
          84576.4453125,
          84617.8671875,
          84650.171875,
          84682.1640625,
          84714.3359375,
          84746.8828125,
          84780.7734375,
          84848.6875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1f8faee97980f1f3f5ef54715fa5a39bcde4b3ee4cd9f675a58c5d43ab4b55c6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 21:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84667.048,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T21:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:08.257233Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271730",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T21:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84667.05,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T21:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "191786.51",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271730-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T21:15:00.863004Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "540715.11",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4113.79",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2486.63",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,667.05"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T21:19:12.373805Z",
        "ask": 0.59,
        "depth": 3619.13,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:19:12.248120Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:19:12.373805Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:19:12.373805Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.58,
          "ask": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.585,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.59,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T21:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:08.257233Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271730",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T21:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84667.05,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T21:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "192860.10",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271730-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T21:15:00.863004Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "551432.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3619.13",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2066.58",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,667.05"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.58,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.59,
            "yes_ask_size": 3619.13,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.42,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "69": {
      "id": 69,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T21:04:12.970263Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271715-15",
      "strike": 84534.55,
      "predicted_close": 84546.328125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84667.05,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:04:12.970263Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 69,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84534.55166666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142806,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.85,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 116,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 98.6,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 116.0,
          "gross_pnl": 17.400000000000006,
          "net_pnl": 16.36,
          "roi": 0.1641910879164994,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5408.45
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.85,
          "gross_cost": 85.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.9,
          "total_deployed": 85.9,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 15.0,
          "net_pnl": 14.099999999999994,
          "roi": 0.16414435389988352,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5408.45
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        69
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84546.328125,
        "quantiles": [
          84551.4609375,
          84357.453125,
          84431.875,
          84476.4765625,
          84512.625,
          84546.328125,
          84579.0,
          84614.40625,
          84653.9609375,
          84727.875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2e5927f08d52ec53ef04825e4bcb056da966aac22afb114841141abba161fd7d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 20:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84534.55166666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:07.938929Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T21:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84534.55,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T21:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "238003.13",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T21:00:00.696697Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "166826.32",
        "volume_fp": "590334.01",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3016.88",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2264.50",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,534.55"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T21:04:13.113069Z",
        "ask": 0.85,
        "depth": 5408.45,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:04:12.970263Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:04:13.113069Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:04:13.113069Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.84,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "midpoint": 0.845,
          "last_price": 0.85,
          "implied_probability": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T21:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:07.938929Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T21:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84534.55,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T21:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "244134.93",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T21:00:00.696697Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "166826.32",
              "volume_fp": "610260.40",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5408.45",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "251.45",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,534.55"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.84,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.85,
            "yes_ask_size": 5408.45,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.16,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "68": {
      "id": 68,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T20:49:13.436934Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271700-00",
      "strike": 84621.47,
      "predicted_close": 84638.8515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84534.55,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T20:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:49:13.436934Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 68,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84621.46650000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.167901,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 254.1
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        68
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84638.8515625,
        "quantiles": [
          84646.140625,
          84459.5546875,
          84530.2734375,
          84573.671875,
          84607.578125,
          84638.8515625,
          84669.2421875,
          84699.84375,
          84733.15625,
          84802.109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "951d0aaad33f1b1ffd13f96d0b6901d8e6a10a2a92df616e3af74c1fc4ca9d3d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 20:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84621.46650000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:07.590814Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T21:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84621.47,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T21:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "273796.22",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T20:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T20:45:00.971724Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "604951.22",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1735.75",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3689.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,621.47"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T20:49:13.604835Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 254.1,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:49:13.436934Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:49:13.604835Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:49:13.604835Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.34,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T21:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:07.590814Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T21:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84621.47,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T21:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T21:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "279205.69",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T20:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T20:45:00.971724Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "618080.02",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "254.10",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3513.40",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,621.47"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 254.1,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "66": {
      "id": 66,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T20:19:13.794022Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271630-30",
      "strike": 84795.01,
      "predicted_close": 84807.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84605.94,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T20:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:19:13.794022Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 66,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84795.00766666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118811,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.23,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 412,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 94.76,
          "trading_fee": 5.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.76,
          "net_pnl": -99.87,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2617.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 23.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 24.24,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -23.0,
          "net_pnl": -24.24,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2617.55
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        66
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84807.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          84823.28125,
          84642.46875,
          84709.0,
          84748.96875,
          84779.015625,
          84807.796875,
          84837.0625,
          84863.578125,
          84891.7734375,
          84953.4140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4944bddcd5ad453fa0cece7ad4967a319c25df1b8bc5fe169ccd133675f52516",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 20:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84795.00766666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T20:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:06.765683Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271630",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T20:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84795.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T20:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "170899.00",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T20:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271630-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T20:15:02.653204Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "373050.74",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "7364.20",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "18.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,795.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T20:19:13.912833Z",
        "ask": 0.23,
        "depth": 2617.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:19:13.794022Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:19:13.912833Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:19:13.912833Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.22,
          "ask": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 0.225,
          "last_price": 0.22,
          "implied_probability": 0.23,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T20:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:06.765683Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271630",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T20:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84795.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T20:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "174012.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T20:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271630-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T20:15:02.653204Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "385449.77",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2617.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2586.17",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,795.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.22,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.23,
            "yes_ask_size": 2617.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.78,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "64": {
      "id": 64,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T19:49:12.579188Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T20:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271600-00",
      "strike": 84757.82,
      "predicted_close": 84783.390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84720.83,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:49:12.579188Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 64,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84757.82366666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.144424,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.64,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 152,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 97.28,
          "trading_fee": 2.46,
          "total_deployed": 99.74,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.28,
          "net_pnl": -99.74,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2814.02
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.64,
          "gross_cost": 64.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.62,
          "total_deployed": 65.62,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -64.0,
          "net_pnl": -65.62,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2814.02
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        64
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84783.390625,
        "quantiles": [
          84798.3515625,
          84609.78125,
          84679.0546875,
          84720.84375,
          84752.84375,
          84783.390625,
          84814.1640625,
          84844.5390625,
          84876.28125,
          84943.1875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4f97b4070f37714f07fd64a61d15cf0064a88123f10e9cd36fada3b3476c54ee",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 19:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84757.82366666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T20:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:06.118139Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271600",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T20:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84757.82,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T20:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "185817.07",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271600-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:45:00.915559Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "382384.66",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1759.23",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3257.58",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,757.82"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T19:49:12.723612Z",
        "ask": 0.64,
        "depth": 2814.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:49:12.579188Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:49:12.723612Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:49:12.723612Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.63,
          "ask": 0.64,
          "midpoint": 0.635,
          "last_price": 0.63,
          "implied_probability": 0.64,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T20:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:06.118139Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271600",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T20:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84757.82,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T20:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T20:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "186887.95",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271600-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:45:00.915559Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "385889.06",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2814.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2331.61",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,757.82"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.63,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.64,
            "yes_ask_size": 2814.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.37,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "63": {
      "id": 63,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T19:34:13.632971Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271545-45",
      "strike": 84680.29,
      "predicted_close": 84688.9609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84757.82,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:34:13.632971Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 63,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84680.28866666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.181983,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.51,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 189,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 96.39,
          "trading_fee": 3.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 189.0,
          "gross_pnl": 92.61,
          "net_pnl": 89.3,
          "roi": 0.8956870611835506,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2793.11
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.51,
          "gross_cost": 51.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 52.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 49.0,
          "net_pnl": 47.25,
          "roi": 0.8957345971563981,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2793.11
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        63
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84688.9609375,
        "quantiles": [
          84699.2734375,
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          84622.4140625,
          84656.7109375,
          84688.9609375,
          84720.0625,
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          84785.96875,
          84854.4921875
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f974780e997b2faa471141fc5ee316aa7b9c443c8923ec42efdf41230e6df9ae",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 19:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84680.28866666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:05.795924Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T19:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84680.29,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T19:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "198711.40",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:30:00.982401Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "161474.99",
        "volume_fp": "420127.53",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "188.30",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4750.44",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,680.29"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T19:34:13.814954Z",
        "ask": 0.51,
        "depth": 2793.11,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:34:13.632971Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:34:13.814954Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:34:13.814954Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.5,
          "ask": 0.51,
          "midpoint": 0.505,
          "last_price": 0.5,
          "implied_probability": 0.51,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T19:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:05.795924Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T19:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84680.29,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T19:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "195252.34",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
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                  "start": "0.0000",
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                },
                {
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                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:30:00.982401Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "161474.99",
              "volume_fp": "429743.39",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2793.11",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1981.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,680.29"
            },
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            "yes_bid": 0.5,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.51,
            "yes_ask_size": 2793.11,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.5,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "62": {
      "id": 62,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T19:19:14.703062Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271530-30",
      "strike": 84786.32,
      "predicted_close": 84798.265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84680.29,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:19:14.703062Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 62,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84786.32133333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.221697,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.15,
          "net_pnl": -99.4,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 647.32
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
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          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -67.0,
          "net_pnl": -68.55,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 647.32
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
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      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84798.265625,
        "quantiles": [
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          84956.5546875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "e312175b0d08b100ef3e2c07fc7b21d4d0dcc56607fc5d1983b416cd96d3f5eb",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 19:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84786.32133333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:05.421956Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T19:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84786.32,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T19:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "316350.98",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:15:00.935042Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "560707.97",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2967.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2502.78",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,786.32"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T19:19:14.924759Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 647.32,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:19:14.703062Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:19:14.924759Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:19:14.924759Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.67,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T19:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:05.421956Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T19:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84786.32,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T19:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "318743.97",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:15:00.935042Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "565658.36",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "647.32",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2028.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,786.32"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 647.32,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "61": {
      "id": 61,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T19:04:13.175002Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271515-15",
      "strike": 84795.5,
      "predicted_close": 84814.2890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84786.32,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T19:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:04:13.175002Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 61,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84795.49566666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.148027,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.16,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 590,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 94.4,
          "trading_fee": 5.56,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.4,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 762.3
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.16,
          "gross_cost": 16.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 16.95,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -16.0,
          "net_pnl": -16.95,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 762.3
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        61
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84814.2890625,
        "quantiles": [
          84827.0,
          84619.3984375,
          84698.234375,
          84745.609375,
          84781.234375,
          84814.2890625,
          84848.8671875,
          84880.328125,
          84913.21875,
          84981.53125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c55517ff1b336c27f2ac6216e19277ea55588b7d9d65d5160aecbf80e16c24ad",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 18:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84795.49566666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:05.110628Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T19:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84795.5,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T19:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "299833.08",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:00:01.039726Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "247233.02",
        "volume_fp": "653303.15",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "512.39",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4218.49",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,795.50"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T19:04:13.323029Z",
        "ask": 0.16,
        "depth": 762.3,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:04:13.175002Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:04:13.323029Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T19:04:13.323029Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.15,
          "ask": 0.16,
          "midpoint": 0.155,
          "last_price": 0.16,
          "implied_probability": 0.16,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T19:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:05.110628Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T19:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84795.5,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T19:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T19:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "303155.04",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T19:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T19:00:01.039726Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "247233.02",
              "volume_fp": "662026.52",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "762.30",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4008.11",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,795.50"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.15,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.16,
            "yes_ask_size": 762.3,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.85,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "57": {
      "id": 57,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T18:04:13.828586Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271415-15",
      "strike": 84548.52,
      "predicted_close": 84559.5546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84585.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:04:13.828586Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 57,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84548.52000000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.151321,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.52,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 186,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 96.72,
          "trading_fee": 3.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.97,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 186.0,
          "gross_pnl": 89.28,
          "net_pnl": 86.03,
          "roi": 0.8605581674502351,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1416.56
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.52,
          "gross_cost": 52.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 53.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 48.0,
          "net_pnl": 46.25,
          "roi": 0.8604651162790697,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1416.56
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        57
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84559.5546875,
        "quantiles": [
          84570.328125,
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          84559.5546875,
          84586.6328125,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "504799ecffa3fe18dd3b0533ae20ad48d9a9312a7677ef86ee3093772c28b5e4",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 17:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84548.52000000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T18:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:03.68296Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271415",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T18:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84548.52,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T18:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "332554.38",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271415-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T18:00:01.001074Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "196066.53",
        "volume_fp": "529812.03",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3690.74",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3404.51",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,548.52"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T18:04:13.979907Z",
        "ask": 0.52,
        "depth": 1416.56,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:04:13.828586Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:04:13.979907Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:04:13.979907Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.51,
          "ask": 0.52,
          "midpoint": 0.515,
          "last_price": 0.51,
          "implied_probability": 0.52,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T18:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:03.68296Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271415",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T18:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84548.52,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T18:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "341695.29",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271415-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T18:00:01.001074Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "196066.53",
              "volume_fp": "545718.76",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1416.56",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3298.00",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,548.52"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.51,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.52,
            "yes_ask_size": 1416.56,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.49,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "56": {
      "id": 56,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T17:49:15.752221Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271400-00",
      "strike": 84464.13,
      "predicted_close": 84474.46875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84548.52,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:49:15.752221Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 56,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84464.12616666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.134663,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.86,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 115,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 98.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 0.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.86999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 115.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 15.13000000000001,
          "roi": 0.1514969460298389,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2005.49
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 86.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 86.85,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.0,
          "net_pnl": 13.150000000000006,
          "roi": 0.1514104778353484,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2005.49
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        56
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84474.46875,
        "quantiles": [
          84482.1953125,
          84305.828125,
          84374.96875,
          84416.828125,
          84447.3125,
          84474.46875,
          84503.0703125,
          84526.2265625,
          84557.3046875,
          84626.140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ec3b6ec531c1c7b5460c5aa470ccdc7f9e8d64d2439115461bceca1b879dd362",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 17:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84464.12616666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:03.316994Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271400",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T18:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84464.13,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T18:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "200085.99",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271400-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:45:00.875738Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "374684.83",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5136.98",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2252.21",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,464.13"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T17:49:15.886884Z",
        "ask": 0.86,
        "depth": 2005.49,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:49:15.752221Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:49:15.886884Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:49:15.886884Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.85,
          "ask": 0.86,
          "midpoint": 0.855,
          "last_price": 0.86,
          "implied_probability": 0.86,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:03.316994Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271400",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T18:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84464.13,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T18:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T18:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "203793.96",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271400-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:45:00.875738Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "382455.29",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2005.49",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5329.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,464.13"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.85,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.86,
            "yes_ask_size": 2005.49,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.15,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "55": {
      "id": 55,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T17:34:17.721698Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271345-45",
      "strike": 84417.64,
      "predicted_close": 84439.765625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84464.13,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:34:17.721698Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 55,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84417.63983333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.270059,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.77,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 127,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 97.79,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 99.37,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 127.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.209999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 27.629999999999995,
          "roi": 0.27805172587299987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3492.44
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.77,
          "gross_cost": 77.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 78.24,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 23.0,
          "net_pnl": 21.760000000000005,
          "roi": 0.27811860940695304,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3492.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        55
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84439.765625,
        "quantiles": [
          84449.2265625,
          84283.4375,
          84347.953125,
          84385.890625,
          84412.765625,
          84439.765625,
          84469.8671875,
          84493.4453125,
          84524.9140625,
          84597.453125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6a36260be370c29dda7fc41b1a9995455c933d4d319005279a4b2c19d6e47742",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 17:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84417.63983333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:02.962105Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271345",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84417.64,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "171944.25",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271345-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:30:00.874772Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "107289.14",
        "volume_fp": "355847.33",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4375.81",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4947.81",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,417.64"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T17:34:17.991757Z",
        "ask": 0.77,
        "depth": 3492.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:34:17.721698Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:34:17.991757Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:34:17.991757Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.76,
          "ask": 0.77,
          "midpoint": 0.765,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.77,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:02.962105Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271345",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84417.64,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "178822.48",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271345-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:30:00.874772Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "107289.14",
              "volume_fp": "366709.16",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3492.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4793.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,417.64"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.76,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.77,
            "yes_ask_size": 3492.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.24,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "54": {
      "id": 54,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T17:19:16.079095Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271330-30",
      "strike": 84372.63,
      "predicted_close": 84389.4921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84417.64,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:19:16.079095Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 54,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84372.62550000002,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.150487,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.84,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 117,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.39,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 117.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.72,
          "net_pnl": 17.61,
          "roi": 0.17718080289767582,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 592.12
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.84,
          "gross_cost": 84.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.95,
          "total_deployed": 84.95,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.0,
          "net_pnl": 15.049999999999997,
          "roi": 0.17716303708063563,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 592.12
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        54
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84389.4921875,
        "quantiles": [
          84391.8046875,
          84231.8203125,
          84294.90625,
          84330.9375,
          84359.0546875,
          84389.4921875,
          84420.8828125,
          84444.4453125,
          84476.515625,
          84548.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6e93e7bdb22a120da5a208d67554b2e0a1b15ea9614d507772e1e8df03214db5",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 17:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84372.62550000002,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:02.592526Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84372.63,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "176677.74",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:15:00.55274Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "365271.92",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2225.47",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1495.71",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,372.63"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T17:19:16.229582Z",
        "ask": 0.84,
        "depth": 592.12,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:19:16.079095Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:19:16.229582Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:19:16.229582Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.83,
          "ask": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.835,
          "last_price": 0.83,
          "implied_probability": 0.84,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:02.592526Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84372.63,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "181654.07",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:15:00.55274Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "379058.98",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "592.12",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3610.41",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,372.63"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.83,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.84,
            "yes_ask_size": 592.12,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.17,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "53": {
      "id": 53,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T17:04:13.128224Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271315-15",
      "strike": 84406.87,
      "predicted_close": 84447.6796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84372.63,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:04:13.128224Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 53,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84406.86916666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.320626,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.65,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 150,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 97.5,
          "trading_fee": 2.39,
          "total_deployed": 99.89,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -97.5,
          "net_pnl": -99.89,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2815.58
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.65,
          "gross_cost": 65.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.6,
          "total_deployed": 66.6,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -65.0,
          "net_pnl": -66.6,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2815.58
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        53
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84447.6796875,
        "quantiles": [
          84449.09375,
          84273.7421875,
          84343.0078125,
          84383.1484375,
          84415.4921875,
          84447.6796875,
          84481.3125,
          84508.9296875,
          84544.6015625,
          84620.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c1472972b1e8075e448d0ea8449544a29f73568538747c71cfd025192b56d20d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 16:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84406.86916666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:02.210896Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84406.87,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "366278.80",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:01.404003Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "118405.62",
        "volume_fp": "664587.63",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2602.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1396.92",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,406.87"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T17:04:13.448850Z",
        "ask": 0.65,
        "depth": 2815.58,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:04:13.128224Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:04:13.448850Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:04:13.448850Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.64,
          "ask": 0.65,
          "midpoint": 0.645,
          "last_price": 0.64,
          "implied_probability": 0.65,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:02.210896Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84406.87,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "366733.13",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:01.404003Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "118405.62",
              "volume_fp": "668339.65",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2815.58",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2135.34",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,406.87"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.64,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.65,
            "yes_ask_size": 2815.58,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.36,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "52": {
      "id": 52,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T16:49:25.392099Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271300-00",
      "strike": 84370.69,
      "predicted_close": 84399.8515625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84406.87,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:49:25.392099Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 52,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84370.69233333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.322523,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 138,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 97.97999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.96999999999998,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 138.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.02000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 38.030000000000015,
          "roi": 0.3804141242372714,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3010.52
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 71.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 72.45,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.0,
          "net_pnl": 27.549999999999997,
          "roi": 0.38026224982746715,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3010.52
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        52
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84399.8515625,
        "quantiles": [
          84399.421875,
          84216.0546875,
          84291.71875,
          84334.5078125,
          84367.0546875,
          84399.8515625,
          84435.5859375,
          84467.25,
          84506.265625,
          84587.640625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6adbcbe5ad6e47e34d471ca39494a296960ee5d94fcbc98fbc34ccf555c51efa",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 16:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84370.69233333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:01.440984Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84370.69,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "225990.19",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:45:00.945636Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "444760.11",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1905.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1801.21",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,370.69"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T16:49:25.714622Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 3010.52,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:49:25.392099Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:49:25.714622Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:49:25.714622Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:01.440984Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T17:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84370.69,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T17:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "227512.54",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:45:00.945636Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "459637.56",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3010.52",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1390.04",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,370.69"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 3010.52,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "51": {
      "id": 51,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T16:34:12.950773Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271245-45",
      "strike": 84569.84,
      "predicted_close": 84572.5078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84370.69,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:34:12.950773Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 51,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84569.83750000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.178935,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.25,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 380,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 95.0,
          "trading_fee": 4.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.0,
          "net_pnl": -99.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2692.33
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.25,
          "gross_cost": 25.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.32,
          "total_deployed": 26.32,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -25.0,
          "net_pnl": -26.32,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2692.33
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        51
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84572.5078125,
        "quantiles": [
          84579.2265625,
          84407.921875,
          84476.4375,
          84515.296875,
          84545.1875,
          84572.5078125,
          84605.0546875,
          84630.546875,
          84665.2578125,
          84738.0703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d9bd550472df31b43efe90cf2d8a8a60757923658f6e43ad24ef0d6ba9371256",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 16:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84569.83750000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:01.055147Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271245",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84569.84,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "238978.51",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271245-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:30:01.021986Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "125137.21",
        "volume_fp": "502726.73",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2684.25",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4123.25",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,569.84"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T16:34:13.129708Z",
        "ask": 0.25,
        "depth": 2692.33,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:34:12.950773Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:34:13.129708Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:34:13.129708Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.24,
          "ask": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.245,
          "last_price": 0.24,
          "implied_probability": 0.25,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:01.055147Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271245",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84569.84,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "240350.31",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271245-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:30:01.021986Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "125137.21",
              "volume_fp": "507332.07",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2692.33",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3392.85",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,569.84"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.24,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.25,
            "yes_ask_size": 2692.33,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.76,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "50": {
      "id": 50,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T16:19:19.038555Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271230-30",
      "strike": 84547.16,
      "predicted_close": 84563.3203125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84569.84,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:19:19.038555Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 50,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84547.15566666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131519,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.6,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 162,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 97.2,
          "trading_fee": 2.73,
          "total_deployed": 99.93,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 162.0,
          "gross_pnl": 64.8,
          "net_pnl": 62.06999999999999,
          "roi": 0.6211347943560491,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3249.7
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.6,
          "gross_cost": 60.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.68,
          "total_deployed": 61.68,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.0,
          "net_pnl": 38.32,
          "roi": 0.6212710765239948,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3249.7
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        50
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84563.3203125,
        "quantiles": [
          84566.0625,
          84386.796875,
          84455.734375,
          84499.4140625,
          84532.1875,
          84563.3203125,
          84597.828125,
          84625.5390625,
          84661.6171875,
          84740.4296875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "27a000b2a45cdf683bcd2d150a684db4f3ccf38629374dd9f406d2e9e29a93c8",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 16:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84547.15566666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:00.666875Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271230",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84547.16,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "335134.67",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271230-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:15:00.523865Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "643203.05",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3500.61",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2815.40",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,547.16"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T16:19:19.170074Z",
        "ask": 0.6,
        "depth": 3249.7,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:19:19.038555Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:19:19.170074Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:19:19.170074Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.59,
          "ask": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.595,
          "last_price": 0.59,
          "implied_probability": 0.6,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:00.666875Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271230",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84547.16,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "344469.17",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271230-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:15:00.523865Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "663643.79",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3249.70",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3518.37",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,547.16"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.59,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.6,
            "yes_ask_size": 3249.7,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.41,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "49": {
      "id": 49,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T16:04:13.094431Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271215-15",
      "strike": 84455.59,
      "predicted_close": 84487.796875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84547.16,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:04:13.094431Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 49,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84455.58866666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142403,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 145.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.849999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 45.599999999999994,
          "roi": 0.45875251509054316,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2313.51
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 33.0,
          "net_pnl": 31.450000000000003,
          "roi": 0.45878920495988335,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2313.51
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        49
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84487.796875,
        "quantiles": [
          84489.875,
          84313.4375,
          84383.46875,
          84424.7109375,
          84456.3984375,
          84487.796875,
          84520.90625,
          84547.0625,
          84584.09375,
          84664.578125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5ba818eff82c51337e93d2fc6b5e85c5953e557747b971dac7e0b90177f1f74c",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 15:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84455.58866666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:00.287627Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271215",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84455.59,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "281140.64",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271215-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:00:00.608146Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "99279.11",
        "volume_fp": "490049.51",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1443.48",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3818.12",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,455.59"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T16:04:13.236834Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 2313.51,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:04:13.094431Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:04:13.236834Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:04:13.236834Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:01:00.287627Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271215",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84455.59,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "283432.90",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271215-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T16:00:00.608146Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "99279.11",
              "volume_fp": "502351.80",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2313.51",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3769.44",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,455.59"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 2313.51,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "48": {
      "id": 48,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T15:49:12.358175Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271200-00",
      "strike": 84450.34,
      "predicted_close": 84493.4140625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84455.59,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:49:12.358175Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 48,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84450.33716666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.266295,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.67,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 145,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 97.15,
          "trading_fee": 2.25,
          "total_deployed": 99.4,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 145.0,
          "gross_pnl": 47.849999999999994,
          "net_pnl": 45.599999999999994,
          "roi": 0.45875251509054316,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4281.66
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.67,
          "gross_cost": 67.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.55,
          "total_deployed": 68.55,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 33.0,
          "net_pnl": 31.450000000000003,
          "roi": 0.45878920495988335,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4281.66
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        48
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84493.4140625,
        "quantiles": [
          84495.296875,
          84284.96875,
          84370.5234375,
          84419.109375,
          84456.359375,
          84493.4140625,
          84533.515625,
          84567.1015625,
          84613.3515625,
          84707.9375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b9c4088ec701fde4707aad0093e4ea1a01080dba2c0b94ca72ef5cf6751c3047",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 15:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84450.33716666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:59.887201Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271200",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84450.34,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "179889.53",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271200-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:45:00.585724Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "380738.31",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3628.28",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3848.68",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,450.34"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T15:49:12.624470Z",
        "ask": 0.67,
        "depth": 4281.66,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:49:12.358175Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:49:12.624470Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:49:12.624470Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.66,
          "ask": 0.67,
          "midpoint": 0.665,
          "last_price": 0.66,
          "implied_probability": 0.67,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T16:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:59.887201Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271200",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T16:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84450.34,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T16:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T16:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "180753.02",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271200-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:45:00.585724Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "382322.19",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4281.66",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3061.15",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,450.34"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.66,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.67,
            "yes_ask_size": 4281.66,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.34,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "47": {
      "id": 47,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T15:34:14.719509Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271145-45",
      "strike": 84577.8,
      "predicted_close": 84638.0078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84450.34,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:34:14.719509Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 47,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84577.796,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.322868,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 281,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 95.54,
          "trading_fee": 4.42,
          "total_deployed": 99.96000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.54,
          "net_pnl": -99.96000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1985.3
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1985.3
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        47
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84638.0078125,
        "quantiles": [
          84639.0234375,
          84438.4921875,
          84517.4921875,
          84564.1328125,
          84601.6796875,
          84638.0078125,
          84677.3125,
          84710.6484375,
          84756.3125,
          84850.1171875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "12a5ca8d2c7eee24ccfbdd97bda88f045945d01e89093cc9ae787d4cf08cfef2",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 15:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84577.796,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:59.090972Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84577.8,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234097.63",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:30:01.012145Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "146607.89",
        "volume_fp": "546149.55",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5136.88",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "73.65",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,577.80"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T15:34:15.042377Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 1985.3,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:34:14.719509Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:34:15.042377Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:34:15.042377Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:59.090972Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84577.8,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "239023.89",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:30:01.012145Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "146607.89",
              "volume_fp": "559161.19",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1985.30",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5371.81",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,577.80"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 1985.3,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "46": {
      "id": 46,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T15:19:11.987214Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271130-30",
      "strike": 84478.08,
      "predicted_close": 84539.421875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84577.8,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:19:11.987214Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 46,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84478.07666666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.137988,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4578.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4578.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        46
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84539.421875,
        "quantiles": [
          84535.765625,
          84344.15625,
          84424.578125,
          84469.09375,
          84502.75,
          84539.421875,
          84575.09375,
          84608.4296875,
          84654.1171875,
          84745.9140625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "0fd2690d71617733d30ec40d9a6113df49c220bb65f8207750c0e3069bfebf11",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 15:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84478.07666666668,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:58.702171Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271130",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84478.08,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "254220.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271130-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:15:00.940642Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "521749.84",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2130.51",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4183.98",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,478.08"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T15:19:12.125202Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 4578.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:19:11.987214Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:19:12.125202Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:19:12.125202Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.78,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:58.702171Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271130",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84478.08,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "257258.58",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271130-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:15:00.940642Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "540074.90",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4578.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2211.76",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,478.08"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 4578.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "45": {
      "id": 45,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T15:04:13.465754Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271115-15",
      "strike": 84540.45,
      "predicted_close": 84599.0546875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84478.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:04:13.465754Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 45,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84540.45133333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.143897,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.34,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.34,
          "gross_cost": 34.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 35.58,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -34.0,
          "net_pnl": -35.58,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 240.96
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        45
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84599.0546875,
        "quantiles": [
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          84407.640625,
          84485.2265625,
          84529.5390625,
          84562.7890625,
          84599.0546875,
          84635.140625,
          84669.703125,
          84716.0625,
          84809.7734375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d01bb35febbace1855b5b76f42078b2a37c78d4214b00d510829563c20c708ad",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 14:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84540.45133333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:58.339589Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84540.45,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "247798.11",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:00:00.603867Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "144314.13",
        "volume_fp": "603431.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2244.68",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "6148.29",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,540.45"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T15:04:13.609651Z",
        "ask": 0.34,
        "depth": 240.96,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:04:13.465754Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:04:13.609651Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:04:13.609651Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.33,
          "ask": 0.34,
          "midpoint": 0.335,
          "last_price": 0.33,
          "implied_probability": 0.34,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:58.339589Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84540.45,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "253524.82",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T15:00:00.603867Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "144314.13",
              "volume_fp": "621051.22",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "240.96",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5146.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,540.45"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.33,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.34,
            "yes_ask_size": 240.96,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.67,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "44": {
      "id": 44,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T14:49:13.770203Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271100-00",
      "strike": 84746.37,
      "predicted_close": 84798.3046875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84540.45,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:49:13.770203Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 44,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84746.36583333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.130225,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.085,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 1105,
          "entry_price": 0.085,
          "gross_cost": 93.92500000000001,
          "trading_fee": 6.02,
          "total_deployed": 99.94500000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -93.92500000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.94500000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1556.97
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.085,
          "gross_cost": 8.5,
          "trading_fee": 0.55,
          "total_deployed": 9.05,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -8.5,
          "net_pnl": -9.05,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1556.97
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        44
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84798.3046875,
        "quantiles": [
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          84763.609375,
          84798.3046875,
          84829.984375,
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        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "79ddbea39314197a5347c7deb6499fd55b082f8cdcbe4cb39521a8a41682eb94",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 14:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84746.36583333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:58.000165Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84746.37,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9110",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "293489.33",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T14:45:00.533411Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "548625.06",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "178.81",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0890",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1497.15",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,746.37"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T14:49:13.900428Z",
        "ask": 0.085,
        "depth": 1556.97,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:49:13.770203Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:49:13.900428Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:49:13.900428Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.084,
          "ask": 0.085,
          "midpoint": 0.0845,
          "last_price": 0.085,
          "implied_probability": 0.085,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:58.000165Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T15:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84746.37,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.0850",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T15:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9160",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.9150",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T15:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "299721.77",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 11:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T14:45:00.533411Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "566279.55",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.0850",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1556.97",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0840",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1543.10",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,746.37"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.084,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.085,
            "yes_ask_size": 1556.97,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.916,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "43": {
      "id": 43,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T14:34:13.830796Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271045-45",
      "strike": 84702.2,
      "predicted_close": 84748.15625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84746.37,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T14:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:34:13.830796Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 43,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84702.19583333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.16741,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 138,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 97.97999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.96999999999998,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 138.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.02000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 38.030000000000015,
          "roi": 0.3804141242372714,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5392.06
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 71.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 72.45,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.0,
          "net_pnl": 27.549999999999997,
          "roi": 0.38026224982746715,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5392.06
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        43
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84748.15625,
        "quantiles": [
          84741.7109375,
          84554.9375,
          84632.3984375,
          84675.6328125,
          84710.015625,
          84748.15625,
          84783.3359375,
          84817.9296875,
          84866.390625,
          84959.34375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "166b8d2ac4e2ab24960044095c7cc9a6612eca8215d5b14c8c39e4aad26dfb9a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 14:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84702.19583333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:57.63662Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T14:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84702.2,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T14:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "181634.17",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T14:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T14:30:00.596266Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "142247.58",
        "volume_fp": "400987.85",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "629.86",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4977.92",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,702.20"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T14:34:13.998206Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 5392.06,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:34:13.830796Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:34:13.998206Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:34:13.998206Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T14:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:57.63662Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T14:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84702.2,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T14:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "184003.23",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T14:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T14:30:00.596266Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "142247.58",
              "volume_fp": "405423.37",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5392.06",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1205.97",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,702.20"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 5392.06,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "40": {
      "id": 40,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T13:49:15.249423Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T14:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271000-00",
      "strike": 84798.31,
      "predicted_close": 84816.0703125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 85016.5,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:49:15.249423Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 40,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84798.30583333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.135604,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.86,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 115,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 98.89999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 0.97,
          "total_deployed": 99.86999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 115.0,
          "gross_pnl": 16.10000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 15.13000000000001,
          "roi": 0.1514969460298389,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5336.49
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.86,
          "gross_cost": 86.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.85,
          "total_deployed": 86.85,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 14.0,
          "net_pnl": 13.150000000000006,
          "roi": 0.1514104778353484,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5336.49
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        40
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84816.0703125,
        "quantiles": [
          84806.3828125,
          84642.234375,
          84709.484375,
          84747.828125,
          84778.3515625,
          84816.0703125,
          84848.6171875,
          84877.203125,
          84918.6953125,
          85000.390625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "c89794bde23ad1a306faeb0e49827eb59c45f5bc5c92c960616f279f520378cc",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 13:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84798.30583333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T14:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:56.6721Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271000",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T14:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84798.31,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T14:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "161967.68",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271000-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:45:00.988318Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "401001.68",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1966.33",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5205.94",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,798.31"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T13:49:15.385027Z",
        "ask": 0.86,
        "depth": 5336.49,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:49:15.249423Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:49:15.385027Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:49:15.385027Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.85,
          "ask": 0.86,
          "midpoint": 0.855,
          "last_price": 0.85,
          "implied_probability": 0.86,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T14:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:56.6721Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271000",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T14:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84798.31,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T14:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T14:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "164240.31",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP271000-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:45:00.988318Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "418282.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5336.49",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "553.99",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,798.31"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.85,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.86,
            "yes_ask_size": 5336.49,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.15,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "39": {
      "id": 39,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T13:34:12.166360Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270945-45",
      "strike": 84919.49,
      "predicted_close": 84962.90625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84798.31,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:34:12.166360Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 39,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84919.48583333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123271,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.951,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        39
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84962.90625,
        "quantiles": [
          84952.859375,
          84787.6328125,
          84854.3828125,
          84895.703125,
          84927.125,
          84962.90625,
          84992.453125,
          85017.78125,
          85052.0859375,
          85124.6015625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "97f67f3d632ce93cbbfe47d3d449e29a4a03e3a83b13a02293d323875bb1445d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 13:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84919.48583333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:56.355398Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270945",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84919.49,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.9350",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.0650",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.0640",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "194458.95",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270945-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:30:00.997521Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "135472.65",
        "volume_fp": "440229.24",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9360",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "233.27",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9350",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1216.32",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,919.49"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T13:34:12.289631Z",
        "ask": 0.951,
        "depth": 93.02,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:34:12.166360Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:34:12.289631Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:34:12.289631Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.95,
          "ask": 0.951,
          "midpoint": 0.9504999999999999,
          "last_price": 0.95,
          "implied_probability": 0.951,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:56.355398Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270945",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84919.49,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.9500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.0500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.0490",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "203775.62",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270945-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:30:00.997521Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "135472.65",
              "volume_fp": "456251.59",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9510",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "93.02",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.9500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1394.09",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,919.49"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.95,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.951,
            "yes_ask_size": 93.02,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.05,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "38": {
      "id": 38,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T13:19:13.993663Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270930-30",
      "strike": 84657.95,
      "predicted_close": 84706.6640625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84919.49,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:19:13.993663Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 38,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84657.95016666665,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131317,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.82,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 120,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 98.39999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 99.63999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 120.0,
          "gross_pnl": 21.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 20.360000000000014,
          "roi": 0.2043356081894823,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5623.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.82,
          "gross_cost": 82.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.04,
          "total_deployed": 83.04,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 18.0,
          "net_pnl": 16.959999999999994,
          "roi": 0.2042389210019267,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5623.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        38
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84706.6640625,
        "quantiles": [
          84695.328125,
          84551.3125,
          84615.125,
          84648.90625,
          84675.015625,
          84706.6640625,
          84732.0078125,
          84755.65625,
          84793.78125,
          84864.8203125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6cb9df01c83fa4d2b9929c160a8de56faa58dfbea98d526420dec88c9f816ac7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 13:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84657.95016666665,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:56.03632Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270930",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84657.95,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "170208.31",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270930-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:15:00.987311Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "373029.82",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4373.29",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3095.65",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,657.95"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T13:19:14.124980Z",
        "ask": 0.82,
        "depth": 5623.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:19:13.993663Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:19:14.124980Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:19:14.124980Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.81,
          "ask": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.815,
          "last_price": 0.81,
          "implied_probability": 0.82,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:56.03632Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270930",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84657.95,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8100",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "172738.82",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270930-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:15:00.987311Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "379994.15",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5623.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4980.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,657.95"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.81,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.82,
            "yes_ask_size": 5623.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.19,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "37": {
      "id": 37,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T13:04:16.048603Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270915-15",
      "strike": 84791.51,
      "predicted_close": 84825.5859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84657.95,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:04:16.048603Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 37,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84791.50533333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.14542,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.17,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 555,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 94.35000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.49,
          "total_deployed": 99.84,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.35000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.84,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2539.67
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.17,
          "gross_cost": 17.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.99,
          "total_deployed": 17.99,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -17.0,
          "net_pnl": -17.99,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2539.67
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        37
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84825.5859375,
        "quantiles": [
          84809.6171875,
          84683.484375,
          84742.4609375,
          84771.0234375,
          84793.3984375,
          84825.5859375,
          84847.859375,
          84868.5546875,
          84900.34375,
          84956.421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "7a75e891426bcd99d383664b81f7cb55d11a3d20e24c6f1b4775cd206b870bfc",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 12:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84791.50533333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:55.68183Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270915",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84791.51,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "220327.26",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270915-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:00:01.122789Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "176326.03",
        "volume_fp": "559104.35",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5322.64",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1543.88",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,791.51"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T13:04:16.194023Z",
        "ask": 0.17,
        "depth": 2539.67,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:04:16.048603Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:04:16.194023Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:04:16.194023Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.16,
          "ask": 0.17,
          "midpoint": 0.165,
          "last_price": 0.17,
          "implied_probability": 0.17,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:55.68183Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270915",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84791.51,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8400",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8300",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "221494.43",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270915-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T13:00:01.122789Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "176326.03",
              "volume_fp": "564702.00",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1700",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2539.67",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1600",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5063.17",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,791.51"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.16,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.17,
            "yes_ask_size": 2539.67,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.84,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "36": {
      "id": 36,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T12:49:14.803627Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270900-00",
      "strike": 84974.89,
      "predicted_close": 84986.0859375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84791.51,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T12:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:49:14.803627Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 36,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84974.89033333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.135145,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.3,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 317,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 95.1,
          "trading_fee": 4.66,
          "total_deployed": 99.75999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -95.1,
          "net_pnl": -99.75999999999999,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4986.29
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.3,
          "gross_cost": 30.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.47,
          "total_deployed": 31.47,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -30.0,
          "net_pnl": -31.47,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4986.29
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        36
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84986.0859375,
        "quantiles": [
          84970.0625,
          84865.3125,
          84916.8828125,
          84942.5234375,
          84961.375,
          84986.0859375,
          85003.7578125,
          85017.3828125,
          85039.015625,
          85083.53125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ac848ce3caddb27007366f9f0610c1bb57a56e7b376dfa4fed5579b28c1115db",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 12:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84974.89033333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:55.222124Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270900",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84974.89,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.3400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.6700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.6600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "132294.40",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T12:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270900-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T12:45:00.993218Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "304359.61",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5539.65",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.3300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2221.02",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,974.89"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T12:49:14.938772Z",
        "ask": 0.3,
        "depth": 4986.29,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:49:14.803627Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:49:14.938772Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:49:14.938772Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.29,
          "ask": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.295,
          "last_price": 0.3,
          "implied_probability": 0.3,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T13:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:55.222124Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270900",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T13:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84974.89,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.3000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T13:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T13:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "142407.13",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T12:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270900-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T12:45:00.993218Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "326803.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4986.29",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3657.93",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,974.89"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.29,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.3,
            "yes_ask_size": 4986.29,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.71,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "34": {
      "id": 34,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T12:19:12.660495Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270830-30",
      "strike": 84981.42,
      "predicted_close": 84991.7734375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84942.08,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:19:12.660495Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 34,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84981.41933333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.125174,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.49,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 197,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 96.53,
          "trading_fee": 3.45,
          "total_deployed": 99.98,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -96.53,
          "net_pnl": -99.98,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3044.63
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.49,
          "gross_cost": 49.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 50.75,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -49.0,
          "net_pnl": -50.75,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3044.63
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        34
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84991.7734375,
        "quantiles": [
          84981.4453125,
          84847.015625,
          84906.5546875,
          84939.6484375,
          84964.6875,
          84991.7734375,
          85012.3671875,
          85029.515625,
          85052.46875,
          85103.2421875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "8cab830955006299ef9a83d698e53075d78ac5234f14a42dd4aaaef49de67d70",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 12:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84981.41933333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T12:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:54.502016Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270830",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T12:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84981.42,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T12:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "128379.14",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270830-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T12:15:00.975857Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "244108.72",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3044.63",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5457.45",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,981.42"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T12:19:12.785669Z",
        "ask": 0.49,
        "depth": 3044.63,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:19:12.660495Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:19:12.785669Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:19:12.785669Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.48,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "midpoint": 0.485,
          "last_price": 0.49,
          "implied_probability": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T12:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:54.502016Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270830",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T12:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84981.42,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T12:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "128379.14",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270830-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T12:15:00.975857Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "244108.72",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3044.63",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5457.45",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,981.42"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.48,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.49,
            "yes_ask_size": 3044.63,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.52,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "33": {
      "id": 33,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T12:04:12.935685Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270815-15",
      "strike": 84881.7,
      "predicted_close": 84895.28125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84981.42,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:04:12.935685Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 33,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84881.70083333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.131256,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1888.04
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1888.04
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        33
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84895.28125,
        "quantiles": [
          84883.671875,
          84758.9140625,
          84815.9140625,
          84845.3671875,
          84868.6796875,
          84895.28125,
          84913.4609375,
          84929.515625,
          84952.15625,
          84999.671875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "d641ee3e35ba899c82c85663402f81e1c0ada691dd15f9046c1b1716a615d927",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 11:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84881.70083333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:54.211284Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270815",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T12:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84881.7,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T12:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "138254.19",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270815-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T12:00:01.373176Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "48674.41",
        "volume_fp": "238561.94",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4915.26",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4337.31",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,881.70"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T12:04:13.066941Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 1888.04,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:04:12.935685Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:04:13.066941Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:04:13.066941Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.77,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T12:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:54.211284Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270815",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T12:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84881.7,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T12:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "140452.54",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270815-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T12:00:01.373176Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "48674.41",
              "volume_fp": "245618.12",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1888.04",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "6445.95",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,881.70"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 1888.04,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "32": {
      "id": 32,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T11:49:13.667614Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270800-00",
      "strike": 84887.51,
      "predicted_close": 84908.2890625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84881.7,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:49:13.667614Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 32,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84887.50733333336,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.151268,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.26,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 365,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 94.9,
          "trading_fee": 4.92,
          "total_deployed": 99.82000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.9,
          "net_pnl": -99.82000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4621.2
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.26,
          "gross_cost": 26.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.35,
          "total_deployed": 27.35,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -26.0,
          "net_pnl": -27.35,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4621.2
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        32
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84908.2890625,
        "quantiles": [
          84894.0,
          84767.2578125,
          84825.1796875,
          84855.171875,
          84879.6796875,
          84908.2890625,
          84925.9453125,
          84943.9140625,
          84967.546875,
          85018.0625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "633333206b5d0a510905839c7fb8a7989136e99c8e450984f7c5271204ae3a85",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 11:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84887.50733333336,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:53.904546Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270800",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T12:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84887.51,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7600",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T12:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "133553.27",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270800-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:45:00.991668Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "308503.28",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2400",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1713.10",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4109.74",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,887.51"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T11:49:13.818882Z",
        "ask": 0.26,
        "depth": 4621.2,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:49:13.667614Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:49:13.818882Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:49:13.818882Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.25,
          "ask": 0.26,
          "midpoint": 0.255,
          "last_price": 0.26,
          "implied_probability": 0.26,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T12:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:53.904546Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270800",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T12:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84887.51,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T12:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T12:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "134975.69",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 8:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270800-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:45:00.991668Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "312743.99",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4621.20",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2694.46",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,887.51"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.25,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.26,
            "yes_ask_size": 4621.2,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.75,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "31": {
      "id": 31,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T11:34:13.961154Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270745-45",
      "strike": 84901.09,
      "predicted_close": 84910.7109375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84887.51,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:34:13.961154Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 31,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84901.0856666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.121878,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.23,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 412,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 94.76,
          "trading_fee": 5.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.76,
          "net_pnl": -99.87,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3230.51
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 23.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 24.24,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -23.0,
          "net_pnl": -24.24,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3230.51
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        31
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84910.7109375,
        "quantiles": [
          84896.140625,
          84744.234375,
          84813.5703125,
          84851.6484375,
          84880.3828125,
          84910.7109375,
          84930.7421875,
          84950.9453125,
          84977.5625,
          85032.359375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6d7b7fefe7141c5bcd2113c3b0f7605a3146c18b3cb524374b5469a5e56d0eb3",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 11:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84901.0856666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:53.459245Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270745",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84901.09,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "120683.33",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270745-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:30:00.992945Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "46477.63",
        "volume_fp": "235362.73",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3379.46",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3302.75",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,901.09"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T11:34:14.083032Z",
        "ask": 0.23,
        "depth": 3230.51,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:34:13.961154Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:34:14.083032Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:34:14.083032Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.22,
          "ask": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 0.225,
          "last_price": 0.22,
          "implied_probability": 0.23,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:53.459245Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270745",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84901.09,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "122073.87",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
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                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270745-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:30:00.992945Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "46477.63",
              "volume_fp": "237846.96",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3230.51",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1942.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,901.09"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.22,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.23,
            "yes_ask_size": 3230.51,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.78,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "30": {
      "id": 30,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T11:19:12.524623Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270730-30",
      "strike": 84903.62,
      "predicted_close": 84908.3984375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84901.09,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:19:12.524623Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 30,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84903.62299999999,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.139808,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.19,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 498,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 94.62,
          "trading_fee": 5.37,
          "total_deployed": 99.99000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.62,
          "net_pnl": -99.99000000000001,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3130.16
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.19,
          "gross_cost": 19.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 20.08,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -19.0,
          "net_pnl": -20.08,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3130.16
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        30
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84908.3984375,
        "quantiles": [
          84891.9375,
          84727.015625,
          84801.6640625,
          84844.4296875,
          84876.7265625,
          84908.3984375,
          84932.1953125,
          84954.6484375,
          84984.03125,
          85043.046875
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "a7054ba434539c54200ee76de0598c17dc3c0dc28a5f43da33ef9ae5f901a26f",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 11:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84903.62299999999,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:53.120317Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270730",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84903.62,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "121543.73",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270730-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:15:00.973292Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "253329.67",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3913.96",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2162.71",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,903.62"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T11:19:12.664431Z",
        "ask": 0.19,
        "depth": 3130.16,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:19:12.524623Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:19:12.664431Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:19:12.664431Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.18,
          "ask": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.185,
          "last_price": 0.18,
          "implied_probability": 0.19,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:53.120317Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270730",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84903.62,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8200",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "122223.08",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270730-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:15:00.973292Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "254939.21",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3130.16",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1800",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2536.45",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,903.62"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.18,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.19,
            "yes_ask_size": 3130.16,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.82,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "29": {
      "id": 29,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T11:04:14.652512Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270715-15",
      "strike": 84857.73,
      "predicted_close": 84873.9921875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84903.62,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:04:14.652512Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 29,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84857.72883333333,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.160994,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.55,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "50_60",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 176,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 96.80000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.05,
          "total_deployed": 99.85000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 176.0,
          "gross_pnl": 79.19999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 76.14999999999999,
          "roi": 0.7626439659489233,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2210.59
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.55,
          "gross_cost": 55.00000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 56.74000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 44.99999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 43.25999999999999,
          "roi": 0.76242509693338,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2210.59
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        29
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84873.9921875,
        "quantiles": [
          84859.0546875,
          84692.9921875,
          84767.5703125,
          84809.6640625,
          84841.1953125,
          84873.9921875,
          84897.453125,
          84918.625,
          84946.046875,
          85002.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "93dc6e03d3712df0f194a71f6b255a3427c9cd1b18b7ada8ef81d9cd9e9964d6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 10:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84857.72883333333,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:52.763279Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270715",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84857.73,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "86052.82",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270715-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:00:01.037204Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "60618.79",
        "volume_fp": "200068.48",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2600.85",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5314.61",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,857.73"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T11:04:14.813506Z",
        "ask": 0.55,
        "depth": 2210.59,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:04:14.652512Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:04:14.813506Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:04:14.813506Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.54,
          "ask": 0.55,
          "midpoint": 0.545,
          "last_price": 0.54,
          "implied_probability": 0.55,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:52.763279Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270715",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84857.73,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.5400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "86382.99",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270715-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T11:00:01.037204Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "60618.79",
              "volume_fp": "200994.70",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2210.59",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5871.18",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,857.73"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.54,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.55,
            "yes_ask_size": 2210.59,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.46,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "28": {
      "id": 28,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T10:49:15.162940Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270700-00",
      "strike": 84852.39,
      "predicted_close": 84871.3828125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84857.73,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T10:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T10:49:15.162940Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T10:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 28,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84852.38966666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.140627,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.61,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 159,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 96.99,
          "trading_fee": 2.65,
          "total_deployed": 99.64,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 159.0,
          "gross_pnl": 62.010000000000005,
          "net_pnl": 59.36,
          "roi": 0.5957446808510638,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1913.39
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.61,
          "gross_cost": 61.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.67,
          "total_deployed": 62.67,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 39.0,
          "net_pnl": 37.33,
          "roi": 0.5956598053295037,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 1913.39
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        28
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84871.3828125,
        "quantiles": [
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        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "6ec74635643a7df984874f436d05e8ec5e3e369c8476ba8a1d11cb6e5bd4c99d",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 10:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84852.38966666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:52.435605Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270700",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84852.39,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "80646.23",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T10:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270700-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T10:45:00.983622Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "183056.84",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4221.03",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1985.33",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,852.39"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T10:49:15.303567Z",
        "ask": 0.61,
        "depth": 1913.39,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T10:49:15.162940Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T10:49:15.303567Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T10:49:15.303567Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.6,
          "ask": 0.61,
          "midpoint": 0.605,
          "last_price": 0.6,
          "implied_probability": 0.61,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T11:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:52.435605Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270700",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T11:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84852.39,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T11:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.4000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T11:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "84111.27",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T10:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 7:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 6:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270700-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T10:45:00.983622Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "194814.43",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "1913.39",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3419.49",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,852.39"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.6,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.61,
            "yes_ask_size": 1913.39,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.4,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "23": {
      "id": 23,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T09:34:12.741996Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270545-45",
      "strike": 84691.13,
      "predicted_close": 84704.484375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84774.09,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:34:12.741996Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 23,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84691.134,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.117848,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.78,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 126,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 98.28,
          "trading_fee": 1.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.8,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 126.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.72,
          "net_pnl": 26.200000000000003,
          "roi": 0.26252505010020044,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4318.44
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.78,
          "gross_cost": 78.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.21,
          "total_deployed": 79.21,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.0,
          "net_pnl": 20.790000000000006,
          "roi": 0.26246686024491866,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4318.44
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        23
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84704.484375,
        "quantiles": [
          84695.0546875,
          84549.9375,
          84614.6953125,
          84651.953125,
          84677.6640625,
          84704.484375,
          84726.4921875,
          84744.328125,
          84770.625,
          84825.7890625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "f856665be425cb1a608bedcc4e42c11577eb7e0b201e7bf1203e46d3799fe269",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 09:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84691.134,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T09:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:50.564972Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270545",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T09:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84691.13,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7700",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T09:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "234046.05",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270545-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T09:30:00.979811Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "78259.74",
        "volume_fp": "425969.19",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3513.67",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3734.20",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,691.13"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T09:34:12.859844Z",
        "ask": 0.78,
        "depth": 4318.44,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:34:12.741996Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:34:12.859844Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:34:12.859844Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.77,
          "ask": 0.78,
          "midpoint": 0.775,
          "last_price": 0.78,
          "implied_probability": 0.78,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T09:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:50.564972Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270545",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T09:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84691.13,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T09:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "238921.57",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270545-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T09:30:00.979811Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "78259.74",
              "volume_fp": "434233.48",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4318.44",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "3117.21",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,691.13"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.77,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.78,
            "yes_ask_size": 4318.44,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.23,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "22": {
      "id": 22,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T09:19:13.235193Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270530-30",
      "strike": 84659.72,
      "predicted_close": 84672.4609375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84691.13,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:19:13.235193Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 22,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84659.71966666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120117,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.45,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 213,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 95.85000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 3.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.55000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 213.0,
          "gross_pnl": 117.14999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 113.44999999999999,
          "roi": 1.1396283274736312,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4179.76
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.45,
          "gross_cost": 45.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 46.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 55.0,
          "net_pnl": 53.26,
          "roi": 1.1394950791613179,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 4179.76
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        22
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84672.4609375,
        "quantiles": [
          84661.7578125,
          84512.3515625,
          84577.4375,
          84616.1171875,
          84643.1796875,
          84672.4609375,
          84695.921875,
          84715.9140625,
          84744.6015625,
          84803.3515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "2aa27e79fc5965e4bcc2257898d50ecf1493328277609149dedba995d66631de",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 09:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84659.71966666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:50.244371Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270530",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T09:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84659.72,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T09:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "197414.51",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270530-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T09:15:00.990888Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "418318.64",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5075.12",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4173.07",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,659.72"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T09:19:13.355310Z",
        "ask": 0.45,
        "depth": 4179.76,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:19:13.235193Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:19:13.355310Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:19:13.355310Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.44,
          "ask": 0.45,
          "midpoint": 0.445,
          "last_price": 0.44,
          "implied_probability": 0.45,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T09:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:50.244371Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270530",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T09:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84659.72,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4400",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T09:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "196328.93",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270530-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T09:15:00.990888Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "416942.31",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "4179.76",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4966.69",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,659.72"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.44,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.45,
            "yes_ask_size": 4179.76,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.56,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "21": {
      "id": 21,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T09:04:12.843945Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270515-15",
      "strike": 84786.64,
      "predicted_close": 84791.8125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84659.72,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T09:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:04:12.843945Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 21,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84786.63833333334,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.107415,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.2,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 473,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 94.60000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 5.3,
          "total_deployed": 99.9,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.60000000000001,
          "net_pnl": -99.9,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3915.96
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.2,
          "gross_cost": 20.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.12,
          "total_deployed": 21.12,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -20.0,
          "net_pnl": -21.12,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3915.96
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        21
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84791.8125,
        "quantiles": [
          84781.375,
          84624.0390625,
          84692.6015625,
          84734.5234375,
          84763.515625,
          84791.8125,
          84813.6953125,
          84833.5625,
          84859.5859375,
          84915.109375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b1a7b69b6e1847346c87174e84d4edcc3f1697dfd8b727b7ccdbd1cd089f8da6",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 08:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84786.63833333334,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:49.93666Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270515",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T09:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84786.64,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T09:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "189238.07",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T09:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270515-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T09:00:01.025087Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "112410.60",
        "volume_fp": "373782.69",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "4448.09",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "2614.86",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,786.64"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T09:04:12.951360Z",
        "ask": 0.2,
        "depth": 3915.96,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:04:12.843945Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:04:12.951360Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T09:04:12.951360Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.19,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.195,
          "last_price": 0.19,
          "implied_probability": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T09:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:49.93666Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270515",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T09:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84786.64,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T09:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T09:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "189879.62",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T09:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270515-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T09:00:01.025087Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "112410.60",
              "volume_fp": "374717.82",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3915.96",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "1222.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,786.64"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.19,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.2,
            "yes_ask_size": 3915.96,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.81,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "14": {
      "id": 14,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T07:19:12.267573Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270330-30",
      "strike": 84508.71,
      "predicted_close": 84510.40625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84514.78,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:19:12.267573Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 14,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84508.70583333331,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.115009,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.46,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 209,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 96.14,
          "trading_fee": 3.64,
          "total_deployed": 99.78,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 209.0,
          "gross_pnl": 112.86,
          "net_pnl": 109.22,
          "roi": 1.0946081379033874,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 971.72
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.46,
          "gross_cost": 46.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.74,
          "total_deployed": 47.74,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 54.0,
          "net_pnl": 52.26,
          "roi": 1.0946795140343526,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 971.72
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        14
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84510.40625,
        "quantiles": [
          84503.2890625,
          84378.40625,
          84437.125,
          84466.5234375,
          84486.71875,
          84510.40625,
          84530.15625,
          84545.203125,
          84568.6875,
          84622.5703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "5f8010f87bf6a4cb199e497d13aaa2231ac5b4127e6a21654cb72e94b8c9f6b7",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 07:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84508.70583333331,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T07:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:47.448563Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270330",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T07:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84508.71,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T07:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "164667.71",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270330-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T07:15:01.005384Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "438521.31",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "971.72",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4248.25",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,508.71"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T07:19:12.382582Z",
        "ask": 0.46,
        "depth": 971.72,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:19:12.267573Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:19:12.382582Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:19:12.382582Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.45,
          "ask": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.455,
          "last_price": 0.46,
          "implied_probability": 0.46,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T07:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:47.448563Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270330",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T07:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84508.71,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4600",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T07:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "164667.71",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270330-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T07:15:01.005384Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "438521.31",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "971.72",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4248.25",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,508.71"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.45,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.46,
            "yes_ask_size": 971.72,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.55,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "13": {
      "id": 13,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T07:04:11.702865Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270315-15",
      "strike": 84508.51,
      "predicted_close": 84517.390625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84508.71,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:04:11.702865Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 13,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84508.51466666667,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.128168,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.66,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 147,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 97.02000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.33000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 147.0,
          "gross_pnl": 49.97999999999999,
          "net_pnl": 47.66999999999999,
          "roi": 0.4799154334038053,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2070.97
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.66,
          "gross_cost": 66.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.58,
          "total_deployed": 67.58,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 34.0,
          "net_pnl": 32.42,
          "roi": 0.47972773009766206,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2070.97
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        13
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84517.390625,
        "quantiles": [
          84510.8984375,
          84378.7890625,
          84439.78125,
          84471.046875,
          84492.6875,
          84517.390625,
          84537.828125,
          84553.71875,
          84579.640625,
          84633.890625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cbd1d78cd16c39ff2f06c96b34cced81c5c6d289d8c3e4969f8ae8a539de710a",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 06:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84508.51466666667,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:47.100495Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270315",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T07:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84508.51,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6800",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3300",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3200",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T07:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "191202.39",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270315-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:01.088067Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "128127.00",
        "volume_fp": "439240.49",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6800",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "3791.46",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6700",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "717.31",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,508.51"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T07:04:11.831033Z",
        "ask": 0.66,
        "depth": 2070.97,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:04:11.702865Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:04:11.831033Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:04:11.831033Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.65,
          "ask": 0.66,
          "midpoint": 0.655,
          "last_price": 0.65,
          "implied_probability": 0.66,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T07:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:47.100495Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270315",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T07:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84508.51,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.6500",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3500",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.3400",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T07:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "195001.94",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270315-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:01.088067Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "128127.00",
              "volume_fp": "457998.23",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.6600",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2070.97",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6500",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4907.03",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,508.51"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.65,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.66,
            "yes_ask_size": 2070.97,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.35,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "12": {
      "id": 12,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T06:49:12.350145Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270300-00",
      "strike": 84502.01,
      "predicted_close": 84510.484375,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84508.51,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T06:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T06:49:12.350145Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T06:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 12,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84502.00933333332,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129294,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.71,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 138,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 97.97999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 1.99,
          "total_deployed": 99.96999999999998,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 138.0,
          "gross_pnl": 40.02000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 38.030000000000015,
          "roi": 0.3804141242372714,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3489.71
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.71,
          "gross_cost": 71.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.45,
          "total_deployed": 72.45,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 29.0,
          "net_pnl": 27.549999999999997,
          "roi": 0.38026224982746715,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3489.71
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        12
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84510.484375,
        "quantiles": [
          84505.6015625,
          84359.21875,
          84423.1171875,
          84458.09375,
          84483.25,
          84510.484375,
          84534.671875,
          84556.9140625,
          84589.796875,
          84652.6484375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "ff57e960b170b39960d1e6a8351e0428caf9c9a2cd5b4413c41c0bc813c7b788",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 06:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84502.00933333332,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:46.355527Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270300",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T07:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84502.01,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.6900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.3100",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.3000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T07:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "186652.75",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T06:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270300-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T06:45:00.996374Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "353003.48",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "1879.28",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.6900",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "4995.48",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,502.01"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T06:49:12.479439Z",
        "ask": 0.71,
        "depth": 3489.71,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T06:49:12.350145Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T06:49:12.479439Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T06:49:12.479439Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.7,
          "ask": 0.71,
          "midpoint": 0.705,
          "last_price": 0.7,
          "implied_probability": 0.71,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:46.355527Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270300",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T07:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84502.01,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T07:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.3000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T07:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "187548.00",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T06:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 3:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270300-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T06:45:00.996374Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "354327.05",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3489.71",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5369.64",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,502.01"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.7,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.71,
            "yes_ask_size": 3489.71,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.3,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "7": {
      "id": 7,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T05:34:11.962827Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270145-45",
      "strike": 84377.04,
      "predicted_close": 84379.03125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84521.33,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T05:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:34:11.962827Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 7,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84377.03533333335,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.13861,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.9,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 110,
          "entry_price": 0.9,
          "gross_cost": 99.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.7,
          "total_deployed": 99.7,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 110.0,
          "gross_pnl": 11.0,
          "net_pnl": 10.299999999999997,
          "roi": 0.10330992978936808,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 401.23
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.9,
          "gross_cost": 90.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.63,
          "total_deployed": 90.63,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 10.0,
          "net_pnl": 9.370000000000005,
          "roi": 0.10338739931589987,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 401.23
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        7
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84379.03125,
        "quantiles": [
          84374.3828125,
          84251.6171875,
          84305.1328125,
          84332.828125,
          84355.1484375,
          84379.03125,
          84399.78125,
          84417.2890625,
          84444.15625,
          84500.515625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "1cff824e163d110c88b21a0e657467a41d60e48ad1f96383499fd7963f4ade76",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 05:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84377.03533333335,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T05:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:44.703365Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270145",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T05:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84377.04,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.1200",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1100",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T05:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "321395.21",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T05:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270145-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T05:30:00.976163Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "130457.02",
        "volume_fp": "695163.96",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8900",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2948.67",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8800",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5110.53",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,377.04"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T05:34:12.101437Z",
        "ask": 0.9,
        "depth": 401.23,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:34:11.962827Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:34:12.101437Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:34:12.101437Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.89,
          "ask": 0.9,
          "midpoint": 0.895,
          "last_price": 0.89,
          "implied_probability": 0.9,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T05:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:44.703365Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270145",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T05:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84377.04,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8900",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T05:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "326489.07",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T05:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270145-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T05:30:00.976163Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "130457.02",
              "volume_fp": "707445.60",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "401.23",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "9068.96",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,377.04"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.89,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.9,
            "yes_ask_size": 401.23,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.11,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "5": {
      "id": 5,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T05:04:15.209894Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270115-15",
      "strike": 84317.38,
      "predicted_close": 84335.078125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84365.77,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:04:15.209894Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 5,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84317.38116666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.129919,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.81,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "80_plus",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 121,
          "entry_price": 0.81,
          "gross_cost": 98.01,
          "trading_fee": 1.31,
          "total_deployed": 99.32000000000001,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 121.0,
          "gross_pnl": 22.989999999999995,
          "net_pnl": 21.679999999999993,
          "roi": 0.21828433346757944,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 476.85
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.81,
          "gross_cost": 81.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.08,
          "total_deployed": 82.08,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 19.0,
          "net_pnl": 17.92,
          "roi": 0.2183235867446394,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 476.85
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        5
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84335.078125,
        "quantiles": [
          84324.6796875,
          84205.703125,
          84261.9765625,
          84289.796875,
          84311.4765625,
          84335.078125,
          84356.7421875,
          84373.953125,
          84395.9375,
          84452.84375
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "b4d9d59cf5b722c79158a76909249a6ca81a840dbd1fb279bda216c4797f5baf",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 04:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84317.38116666669,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T05:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:43.958301Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270115",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T05:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84317.38,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T05:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "212353.58",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270115-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T05:00:01.043469Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "153397.13",
        "volume_fp": "614886.29",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2828.92",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "3917.45",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,317.38"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T05:04:15.339813Z",
        "ask": 0.81,
        "depth": 476.85,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:04:15.209894Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:04:15.339813Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:04:15.339813Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.8,
          "ask": 0.81,
          "midpoint": 0.805,
          "last_price": 0.8,
          "implied_probability": 0.81,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T05:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:43.958301Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270115",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T05:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84317.38,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.8000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.1900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T05:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "216045.21",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270115-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T05:00:01.043469Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "153397.13",
              "volume_fp": "623647.83",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.8100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "476.85",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.8000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "5649.91",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,317.38"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.8,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.81,
            "yes_ask_size": 476.85,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.2,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "4": {
      "id": 4,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T04:49:13.492806Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270100-00",
      "strike": 84294.83,
      "predicted_close": 84315.171875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84317.38,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:49:13.492806Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 4,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84294.82500000001,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.126912,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.73,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "70_80",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 134,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 97.82,
          "trading_fee": 1.85,
          "total_deployed": 99.66999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 134.0,
          "gross_pnl": 36.18000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 34.33000000000001,
          "roi": 0.34443664091501974,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5883.55
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.73,
          "gross_cost": 73.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.38,
          "total_deployed": 74.38,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 27.0,
          "net_pnl": 25.620000000000005,
          "roi": 0.34444743210540474,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5883.55
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        4
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84315.171875,
        "quantiles": [
          84303.171875,
          84170.734375,
          84232.96875,
          84264.6015625,
          84289.96875,
          84315.171875,
          84339.7421875,
          84361.0625,
          84385.28125,
          84448.1328125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4bc9d834203972b382312c1fa22777813975002111f083b94c431eb71a9344bc",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 04:30:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84294.82500000001,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:43.634628Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270100",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T05:05:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:00:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84294.83,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:00:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T05:05:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "214340.85",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270100-00",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:45:00.996931Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "628529.48",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "6850.82",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1200.39",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,294.83"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T04:49:13.619718Z",
        "ask": 0.73,
        "depth": 5883.55,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:49:13.492806Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:49:13.619718Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:49:13.619718Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.72,
          "ask": 0.73,
          "midpoint": 0.725,
          "last_price": 0.72,
          "implied_probability": 0.73,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T05:00:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:43.634628Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270100",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T05:05:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:00:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84294.83,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.7200",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T05:00:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.2800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.2700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T05:05:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "215310.88",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 1:00 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270100-00",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:45:00.996931Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "632946.77",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.7300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5883.55",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.7200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "891.48",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,294.83"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.72,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.73,
            "yes_ask_size": 5883.55,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.28,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "3": {
      "id": 3,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T04:34:12.013789Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270045-45",
      "strike": 84416.48,
      "predicted_close": 84418.5625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84294.83,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:34:12.013789Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 3,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84416.484,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.120051,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.11,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 855,
          "entry_price": 0.11,
          "gross_cost": 94.05,
          "trading_fee": 5.86,
          "total_deployed": 99.91,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.05,
          "net_pnl": -99.91,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2586.35
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.11,
          "gross_cost": 11.0,
          "trading_fee": 0.69,
          "total_deployed": 11.69,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -11.0,
          "net_pnl": -11.69,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 2586.35
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        3
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84418.5625,
        "quantiles": [
          84403.7734375,
          84285.828125,
          84342.0,
          84372.765625,
          84394.734375,
          84418.5625,
          84441.3203125,
          84461.5390625,
          84485.6484375,
          84543.90625
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "4f460bf822e88e798be515a880a55b6c93f821cb44380a3cd630f5cbc3f21152",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 04:15:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84416.484,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:43.231244Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270045",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T04:50:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:45:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84416.48,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.0990",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:45:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.9010",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.9000",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T04:50:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "356709.38",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270045-45",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:30:00.561469Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "156990.08",
        "volume_fp": "603531.10",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1000",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "2814.35",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.0990",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "651.92",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,416.48"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T04:34:12.133840Z",
        "ask": 0.11,
        "depth": 2586.35,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:34:12.013789Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:34:12.133840Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:34:12.133840Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.1,
          "ask": 0.11,
          "midpoint": 0.10500000000000001,
          "last_price": 0.1,
          "implied_probability": 0.11,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999995,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T04:45:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:43.231244Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270045",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T04:50:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:45:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84416.48,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.1000",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:45:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.9000",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.8900",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T04:50:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "369788.16",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:45 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270045-45",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:30:00.561469Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "156990.08",
              "volume_fp": "626230.91",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.1100",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "2586.35",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.1000",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2309.65",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,416.48"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.1,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.11,
            "yes_ask_size": 2586.35,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.9,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "2": {
      "id": 2,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T04:19:15.656266Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270030-30",
      "strike": 84469.22,
      "predicted_close": 84469.7265625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84416.48,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:19:15.656266Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 2,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84469.21566666666,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.142766,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 0,
      "outcome": "loss",
      "entry_probability": 0.23,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 412,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 94.76,
          "trading_fee": 5.11,
          "total_deployed": 99.87,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -94.76,
          "net_pnl": -99.87,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5239.81
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.23,
          "gross_cost": 23.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.24,
          "total_deployed": 24.24,
          "settlement_value": 0.0,
          "settlement_payout": 0.0,
          "gross_pnl": -23.0,
          "net_pnl": -24.24,
          "roi": -1.0,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 5239.81
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        2
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84469.7265625,
        "quantiles": [
          84456.9765625,
          84323.453125,
          84385.46875,
          84419.265625,
          84444.046875,
          84469.7265625,
          84493.0,
          84513.7265625,
          84539.2109375,
          84600.703125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "97dabc4600c2f72c5eea512cf9d89a54e550107cbce8ab8afdfcebea2333cdc0",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 04:00:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84469.21566666666,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:42.897617Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270030",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T04:35:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:30:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84469.22,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:30:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T04:35:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "240897.92",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270030-30",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:15:01.04789Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
        "volume_fp": "632571.80",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "5051.13",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "1542.19",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,469.22"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T04:19:15.799032Z",
        "ask": 0.23,
        "depth": 5239.81,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:19:15.656266Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:19:15.799032Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:19:15.799032Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.22,
          "ask": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 0.225,
          "last_price": 0.23,
          "implied_probability": 0.23,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T04:30:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:42.897617Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270030",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T04:35:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:30:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84469.22,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.2300",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:30:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.7800",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.7700",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T04:35:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "246053.52",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                }
              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:30 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270030-30",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:15:01.04789Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "0.00",
              "volume_fp": "644788.91",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.2300",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "5239.81",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.2200",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "4414.44",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,469.22"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.22,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.23,
            "yes_ask_size": 5239.81,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.78,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "1": {
      "id": 1,
      "created_at": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.002764Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270015-15",
      "strike": 84386.45,
      "predicted_close": 84387.640625,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 84469.22,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-09-27T04:00:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.002764Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 1,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 84386.4545,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.123712,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.48,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 201,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
          "total_deployed": 99.99999999999999,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 201.0,
          "gross_pnl": 104.52000000000001,
          "net_pnl": 101.00000000000001,
          "roi": 1.0100000000000002,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3297.67
        },
        "fixed_shares": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_shares",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 100,
          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
          "trading_fee": 1.75,
          "total_deployed": 49.75,
          "settlement_value": 1.0,
          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
          "gross_pnl": 52.0,
          "net_pnl": 50.25,
          "roi": 1.0100502512562815,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3297.67
        }
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
      "forecast_ids": [
        1
      ],
      "model": {
        "model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
        "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
        "predicted_close": 84387.640625,
        "quantiles": [
          84374.5390625,
          84249.8046875,
          84306.828125,
          84339.8515625,
          84363.2578125,
          84387.640625,
          84409.25,
          84428.0,
          84451.71875,
          84513.8125
        ],
        "quantile_layout": "mean, p10, p20, p30, p40, p50, p60, p70, p80, p90",
        "input_sha256": "cedc40938412f3ca3623eda6b22024842f2f5e12e1a24d8c8068d66eaeb7745b",
        "last_observed_timestamp": "2026-09-27 03:45:00+00:00",
        "last_observed_close": 84386.4545,
        "context_length": 512
      },
      "market": {
        "can_close_early": true,
        "close_time": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
        "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:42.53307Z",
        "custom_strike": {
          "round_digits": "2"
        },
        "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270015",
        "exchange_index": 2,
        "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T04:20:00Z",
        "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:15:00Z",
        "expiration_value": "",
        "floor_strike": 84386.45,
        "last_price_dollars": "0.5500",
        "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:15:00Z",
        "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
        "market_type": "binary",
        "no_ask_dollars": "0.4500",
        "no_bid_dollars": "0.4400",
        "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
        "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
        "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T04:20:00Z",
        "open_interest_fp": "258906.35",
        "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:00:00Z",
        "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
        "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
        "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
        "price_ranges": [
          {
            "end": "0.1000",
            "start": "0.0000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          },
          {
            "end": "0.9000",
            "start": "0.1000",
            "step": "0.0100"
          },
          {
            "end": "1.0000",
            "start": "0.9000",
            "step": "0.0010"
          }
        ],
        "result": "",
        "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
        "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
        "status": "active",
        "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
        "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270015-15",
        "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
        "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:00:00.63211Z",
        "volume_24h_fp": "87438.25",
        "volume_fp": "749013.19",
        "yes_ask_dollars": "0.5600",
        "yes_ask_size_fp": "15.02",
        "yes_bid_dollars": "0.5500",
        "yes_bid_size_fp": "5281.13",
        "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,386.45"
      },
      "selected_quote": {
        "captured_at": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.126476Z",
        "ask": 0.48,
        "depth": 3297.67,
        "usable": true,
        "audit": {
          "requested_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.002764Z",
          "quote_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.126476Z",
          "retrieval_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.126476Z",
          "data_source": "kalshi_trade_api_v2_orderbook",
          "price_type": "live_executable_ask",
          "bid": 0.47,
          "ask": 0.48,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "last_price": 0.48,
          "implied_probability": 0.48,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
          "quality_notes": null,
          "raw": {
            "market": {
              "can_close_early": true,
              "close_time": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
              "created_time": "2026-09-26T20:00:42.53307Z",
              "custom_strike": {
                "round_digits": "2"
              },
              "event_ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270015",
              "exchange_index": 2,
              "expected_expiration_time": "2026-09-27T04:20:00Z",
              "expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:15:00Z",
              "expiration_value": "",
              "floor_strike": 84386.45,
              "last_price_dollars": "0.4800",
              "latest_expiration_time": "2026-10-04T04:15:00Z",
              "liquidity_dollars": "0.0000",
              "market_type": "binary",
              "no_ask_dollars": "0.5300",
              "no_bid_dollars": "0.5200",
              "no_sub_title": "Target price: TBD",
              "notional_value_dollars": "1.0000",
              "occurrence_datetime": "2026-09-27T04:20:00Z",
              "open_interest_fp": "258433.69",
              "open_time": "2026-09-27T04:00:00Z",
              "previous_price_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_ask_dollars": "0.0000",
              "previous_yes_bid_dollars": "0.0000",
              "price_level_structure": "tapered_deci_cent",
              "price_ranges": [
                {
                  "end": "0.1000",
                  "start": "0.0000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
                },
                {
                  "end": "0.9000",
                  "start": "0.1000",
                  "step": "0.0100"
                },
                {
                  "end": "1.0000",
                  "start": "0.9000",
                  "step": "0.0010"
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              ],
              "result": "",
              "rules_primary": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 AM EDT on Sep 27, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 AM EDT on September 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
              "rules_secondary": "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.",
              "settlement_timer_seconds": 1,
              "status": "active",
              "strike_type": "greater_or_equal",
              "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270015-15",
              "title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?",
              "updated_time": "2026-09-27T04:00:00.63211Z",
              "volume_24h_fp": "87438.25",
              "volume_fp": "745017.66",
              "yes_ask_dollars": "0.4800",
              "yes_ask_size_fp": "3297.67",
              "yes_bid_dollars": "0.4700",
              "yes_bid_size_fp": "2300.22",
              "yes_sub_title": "Target Price: $84,386.45"
            },
            "orderbook": {},
            "yes_bid": 0.47,
            "yes_bid_size": null,
            "yes_ask": 0.48,
            "yes_ask_size": 3297.67,
            "no_bid": null,
            "no_bid_size": null,
            "no_ask": 0.53,
            "no_ask_size": null,
            "no_ask_source": "market_no_ask"
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        }
      }
    }
  },
  "forecasts": [
    {
      "id": 716,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.582691Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T07:00:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150300-00",
      "strike": 80849.65,
      "predicted_close": 80864.78125,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": null,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.582691Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 716,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80849.64766666669,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.124204,
      "status": "pending",
      "direction_correct": null,
      "outcome": "pending",
      "entry_probability": 0.18,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": null,
        "fixed_shares": null
      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?"
    },
    {
      "id": 715,
      "created_at": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.332748Z",
      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:45:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT150245-45",
      "strike": 80847.53,
      "predicted_close": 80859.21875,
      "direction": "UP",
      "model_revision": "1d952420fba87f3c6dee4f240de0f1a0fbc790e3",
      "actual_close": 80849.65,
      "experiment_group_id": "aika-2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:34:12.332748Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-10-15T06:30:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
      "model_label": "TimesFM 2.5",
      "forecast_id": 715,
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "last_observed_close": 80847.52716666668,
      "quote_timing_offset_seconds": 0.118368,
      "status": "settled",
      "direction_correct": 1,
      "outcome": "win",
      "entry_probability": 0.68,
      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "60_70",
      "trades": {
        "fixed_dollars": {
          "stake_mode": "fixed_dollars",
          "stake_amount": 100,
          "shares": 143,
          "entry_price": 0.68,
          "gross_cost": 97.24000000000001,
          "trading_fee": 2.18,
          "total_deployed": 99.42000000000002,
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      "resolution_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:15:00Z",
      "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26SEP270015-15",
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      "trigger_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:06:06.002764Z",
      "market_start_timestamp": "2026-09-27T04:00:00Z",
      "model_alias": "Aika",
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      "entry_price_type": "live_executable_ask",
      "entry_price_label": "Live executable ask",
      "data_quality_status": "usable_live_ask",
      "probability_bucket": "below_50",
      "trades": {
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          "gross_cost": 96.47999999999999,
          "trading_fee": 3.52,
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          "settlement_payout": 201.0,
          "gross_pnl": 104.52000000000001,
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          "roi": 1.0100000000000002,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
          "displayed_depth": 3297.67
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        "fixed_shares": {
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          "entry_price": 0.48,
          "gross_cost": 48.0,
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          "settlement_payout": 100.0,
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          "roi": 1.0100502512562815,
          "fee_formula": "ceil_to_cent(0.07 * contracts * price * (1 - price))",
          "fee_rate": 0.07,
          "paper_only": true,
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      },
      "market_title": "BTC price up in next 15 mins?"
    }
  ],
  "runtime_status": [
    {
      "component": "capture",
      "status": "awaiting",
      "attempted_at": "2026-10-15T08:54:02.511977Z",
      "last_success_at": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.715644Z",
      "error": "Live Kalshi strike is not available yet"
    },
    {
      "component": "settlement",
      "status": "ok",
      "attempted_at": "2026-10-15T08:54:02.775627Z",
      "last_success_at": "2026-10-15T08:54:02.775627Z",
      "error": null
    },
    {
      "component": "quote",
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      "attempted_at": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.717367Z",
      "last_success_at": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.717367Z",
      "error": null
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  ],
  "providers": [
    {
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "label": "Kalshi",
      "status": "awaiting",
      "last_successful_retrieval": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.715644Z",
      "latest_stored_quote": "2026-10-15T06:49:11.706895Z",
      "pending_settlements": 1,
      "missing_unavailable_quotes": 0,
      "error": "Live Kalshi strike is not available yet",
      "collection_mode": "Prospectively collected executable asks"
    }
  ]
}